Friday 8/7/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
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French Division 1 TODAY 19:30
LillevParis St-G.
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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT LILLERECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: PSG have won five of the last seven meetings

EXPERT VERDICT: It’s been a difficult summer for Lille with Simon Kjaer, Nolan Roux and Idrissa Gueye among those to leave and Divock Origi’s loan spell from Liverpool has ended. The hosts also face a daunting start against the reigning treble winners and Paris St-Germain can overcome Zlatan Ibrahimovic’s knee injury to make a winning start.

RECOMMENDATION: PSG
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English Championship TODAY 19:45
BrightonvNottm Forest
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS113/1012/512/5More markets
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KEY STAT: Brighton failed to score in six of their last seven games of 2014-15

EXPERT VERDICT: Both teams will be eager to improve on a disappointing 2014-15, but it may take time to build confidence. Neither side managed a single victory in their final seven outings last term and the Seagulls were desperately short of goals, so this could prove a cagey, cautious opening match despite the new signings on show.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
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REFEREE: Keith Stroud STADIUM:

 

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Scottish Championship TODAY 19:45
RangersvSt Mirren
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT RANGERSRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: St Mirren have scored in one of their last six away games

EXPERT VERDICT: Rangers' 6-2 drubbing of Hibernian in the Challenge Cup suggests they’ve overcome their playoff heartache and Mark Warburton can lead them to a Championship win at the first attempt. St Mirren have had a shocking pre-season and must fear the worst.

RECOMMENDATION: Rangers-Rangers double result
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REFEREE: Kevin Clancy STADIUM:

 

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English Championship Sa 8Aug 12:30
LeedsvBurnley
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS1212/56/4More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT LEEDSRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Leeds lost more home games than they won last term

EXPERT VERDICT: Leeds were an infuriating side to back last term as they did the double over the likes of Bournemouth and Middlesbrough but dropped dozens of winnable points. It could go either way but Burnley were a good Championship side before gaining promotion to the Premier League and they should be solid on their return to the second tier.

RECOMMENDATION: Burnley
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English Premier Sa 8Aug 12:45
Man UtdvTottenham
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT MAN UTDRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Man Utd kept clean sheets in just two of their final ten home matches last season

EXPERT VERDICT: Louis van Gaal’s big fanfare went horribly wrong 12 months ago and Manchester United again look on the short side for their Premier League opener at home to Tottenham. Van Gaal has a lot of new faces to endeavour to integrate straight away and Spurs, who are fairly settled from last season, could take advantage at a big price.

RECOMMENDATION: Tottenham
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REFEREE: Jonathan Moss STADIUM:



 

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English Premier Sa 8Aug 15:00
EvertonvWatford
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT EVERTONRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Everton conceded 17 second-half home league goals compared to four in the first half last season

EXPERT VERDICT: Everton finished last season in good nick – a top-five outfit over the last ten games – and should be ready to kick on this term, while Watford’s new-look squad may take time to ge. However, stalwarts Troy Deeney, Matej Vydra and Odion Ighalo offer a potent goal threat and goals are fancied at both ends.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
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REFEREE: Mike Jones STADIUM:

 
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WNBA Betting Recap - 7/27-8/2
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes (from Monday, July 27 through Sunday, Aug. 2)

-- Favorites went 16-1 straight up
-- Favorites went 9-8 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams posted a 10-7 SU record
-- Road teams posted a 9-8 ATS record
-- The 'over' went 10-7

Team Betting Notes

-- Los Angeles (5-14) has won back-to-back games for the second straight time this season, and they're 2-0 SU/ATS in their past two road outings. Overall the Sparks have covered three straight, and four of the past five while the 'over' has hit in three in a row.

-- Indiana (11-8) has won three straight games after dumping Connecticut (9-9). The Fever have covered three in a row after an 0-3-1 ATS run. Indiana plays at Chicago (12-8) Tuesday. The Fever is 0-3 SU/ATS against the Sky this season.

-- The 'under' hit for the Sky Sunday, but the 'over' has been the play going 13-8, including 2-1 against the Fever, including their home game June 5 against Indiana.

-- New York (13-6) got back on track Sunday afternoon with a win over Seattle (5-16). The Liberty has won six of their past seven, but they have failed to cover three of the past four.

-- After a pre-All-Star break hiccup, Phoenix (12-7) has won three straight, including each of their past two on the road. The Mercury failed to cover for the sixth time in the past seven outings heading into their game Tuesday against Tulsa (10-11). They're 2-0 SU/ATS against the Shock this season.

-- The Shock are in quite the tailspin, losers of six in a row, and they have posted an 0-5-1 ATS mark during the stretch after covering their first eight.

-- San Antonio (6-14) dropped a second straight Sunday, and they have failed to cover in two in a row after a four-game cover streak. The Stars have been up and down all season, and they travel to Connecticut Tuesday.

-- Washington (11-7) lost Sunday in Chicago for the first time in six games, but they have covered in a season-high six straight. They host the Stars Wednesday, a team they rolled 88-53 in San Antonio July 31.
 
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Mercury has only covered once during winning streak
Justin Hartling

The Phoenix Mercury have won their past four games straight-up, but the team has only once covered for bettors.

The Mercury have been outscoring opponents by an average of 4.9 points per game on their past four, while they have faced an average closing spread of -4.9.

Two of their past four have been wins in overtime which saw the Mercury triumph by a combined five points.

Phoenix is currently +1 when they host the Minnesota Lynx Friday.
 
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StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | NEW YORK at CHICAGO
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals, well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )

WNBA | ATLANTA at INDIANA
Play Against - Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, on Friday nights
44-31 since 1997. ( 58.7% | 0.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | MINNESOTA at PHOENIX
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points good foul drawing team - attempting >=20 free throws/game
402-258 since 1997. ( 60.9% | 118.2 units )
4-6 this year. ( 40.0% | -2.6 units )
 
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CFL Betting Recap - Week 6
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes (ONE GAME PENDING FOR AUG. 3)

-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 6
-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 6
-- Home teams posted a 4-0 SU record in Week 6
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 6
-- The 'Under' went 4-0 in Week 6

Team Betting Notes

-- The BC Lions (2-3) fell to 1-2 SU and 0-2-1 ATS on the road with a 23-13 setback at Winnipeg (3-3) despite being a 2.5-point favorite. The 'under' also hit for the third consecutive road outing for Jeff Tedford's squad.

-- Calgary (4-2) bounced back with a 25-22 win at home against Montreal (2-3), but they failed to cover for the sixth time in six games. The 'under' has also cashed in five of the first six games for the Stamps.

-- After failing to cover in their opening game, the Alouettes are 3-0-1 ATS in their past four games. And more importantly, the 'under' is a perfect 5-0 in five games for Montreal.

-- Saskatchewan (0-6) remains winless, and they looked worse than ever in Friday's setback in Edmonton (4-1). While the Esks have covered four in a row, and the 'under' is 4-1 through five games, things are going the other way for the Roughriders. Saskatchewan is 0-5-1 ATS through six games, and the 'under' has hit in three straight, helped out Friday by a mere five points. Their scoring totals have decreased in each of the past four games.

-- Hamilton (3-2) has won back-to-back games for the first time this season, knocking out a 34-18 win against Toronto (3-2) in the home opener for the TiCats after a road odyssey to kick off the season. The 'under' has now hit in three in a row for Hamilton, and four of five overall.

-- The Argonauts failed to cover for the first time in five games. Oddly enough, they're 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS in four games against the West, and 0-1 SU/ATS inside their own division.

-- Ottawa (3-2) was off in Week 6, as they prepare for the Alouettes at home Friday. They won at Montreal 20-16 June 25, winning outright as an eight-point underdog.
 
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CFL Betting Notes - Week 7
By David Schwab

Week 6 Betting Recap

It took a few weeks of the new CFL regular season for the favorites to finally assert themselves, but they came away with a 3-1 straight-up run in Week 6 while going 2-2 against the spread. It did not start out that way in Winnipeg’s stunning 23-13 victory against British Columbia last Thursday night as a two-point home underdog, but Edmonton got things rolling with a 30-5 rout of Saskatchewan as a 9 ½-point favorite at home.

Calgary squeezed out a tight 25-22 victory in its matchup against Montreal this past Saturday, but it could not cover as 5 ½-point home favorite. In Monday’s East Division showdown between Hamilton and Toronto, the Tiger-Cats came out on top 34-18 as five-point favorites at home.



Friday, Aug. 7

Montreal Alouettes (2-3 SU, 3-1-1 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS)
Point-spread: PICK
Total: 46 ½

Game Overview

Montreal has to be kicking itself for last week’s loss after opening up a 17 point lead on Calgary. The Alouettes did get another strong effort from quarterback Rakeem Cato, who threw for 278 yards and a score while completing 20 of his 32 attempts. His big target against the Stampeders was slotback SJ Green with seven receptions for 132 yards and a score.

Ottawa is coming off a bye and it has to be thrilled with its surprising 3-2 SU start after winning just two games all last season in its inaugural season in the CFL as the RedBlacks. Offensively, it is averaging just 21 points a game, but veteran quarterback Henry Burris is still ranked fifth in the CFL in total passing yards with 1,372 through his first five games.

Betting Trends

Montreal swept Ottawa with three SU wins last season while going 2-1 ATS, but the RedBlacks drew first blood this season with a 20-16 victory as eight-point road underdogs in Week 1. The total has stayed UNDER in all four meetings.

Saturday, Aug. 8

Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-6 SU, 0-6 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -9 ½
Total: 48 ½

Game Overview

The loss of quarterback Darian Durant for the entire season continues to take its toll, but the Roughriders also have to place a good bit of the blame for their dismal 0-6 start both SU and ATS on the play of their defense. Following last week’s loss to Edmonton, this unit has been torched for an average of 32.5 points a game.

Toronto fell behind 14-0 early to Hamilton in Monday’s loss never recovered. Backup quarterback Trevor Harris put-up some solid numbers with 326 yards passing and one touchdown throw while completing 72.5 percent of his 40 attempts. It was the Argonauts’ defense that had no answer for stopping the Tiger-Cats.

Betting Trends

The Roughriders lost to Toronto 42-40 in overtime in Week 2 as three-point home favorites. They are now just 1-3 both SU and ATS in the last four meetings. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six games in this inter-division clash.

Sunday, Aug. 9

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-3 SU, 3-2-1 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -7
Total: 54

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers are off to a respectable 3-3 SU start following a second-half collapse last season in which they lost 10 of their last 12 games SU. Quarterback Drew Willy has had to battle through injury this season and last week against BC he threw for 269 yards and two touchdowns to help pace the upset. He also led the team in rushing with 72 yards on just five carries.

Hamilton has gotten a solid effort from its quarterback Zach Collaros to help pace its 3-2 SU start. He is currently ranked fourth in the CFL in total passing yards with 1,444 yards and he has completed 71.4 percent of his 168 attempts this season. In this past Monday’s victory over Toronto, he completed 21-of-27 attempts for 229 yards and three touchdowns.

Betting Trends

Winnipeg is just 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last eight meetings in Hamilton. The Tiger-Cats won the first meeting this season 52-26 as one-point road underdogs.
 
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Game of the day: Alouettes at Redblacks

Montreal Alouettes at Ottawa Redblacks (+2, 46.5)

The Ottawa Redblacks look to take sole possession of first place in the East Division when they host the Montreal Alouettes on Friday. The Redblacks have already surpassed their win total from a year ago following an impressive 29-26 overtime victory over the Calgary Stampeders on July 24.

Ottawa has won two home games after dropping five of its seven contests at TD Place last season and hopes to beat the Alouettes in back-to-back meetings for the first time in franchise history, and earn the tiebreaker over its division rival in the process. Montreal is left to pick up the pieces after letting a 17-point lead slip away in a 25-22 loss to the Stampeders in Week 6. The last-placed Alouettes are 1-3 in games decided by four points or fewer this season and their three losses have come by a combined nine points, but can create a four-team logjam at the top of the division by beating the Redblacks for the fourth time in the last five meetings. "We have to learn how to win," Montreal wide receiver S.J. Green told reporters. "We have to execute in critical moments."

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TSN, RDS, ESPN2

LINE HISTORY: The spread opened as a pick'em, but has since shifted to OTT +2. The total has not changed since opening at 46.5.

INJURY REPORT: Alouettes - SB Justin Caliste (Out-Suspension), WR Chad Johnson (Out-Suspension), QB Kyle Quinlan (Out-Suspension) Redblacks - QB Brock Jensen (Ques-Undisclosed), WR Khalil Paden (Ques-Undisclosed), WR Chris Williams (Out-Undisclosed)

ABOUT THE ALOUETTES (2-3 SU, 4-1 ATS, 0-5 O/U): Slotback Fred Stamps should return to the lineup Friday after missing the loss to Calgary to attend to an urgent personal matter at home in Louisiana. Rakeem Cato continues to impress after being thrust into a starting role as he completed 20-of-32 passes for 278 yards and a touchdown against the defending Grey Cup champions. Montreal coach Tom Higgins said defensive end Michael Sam will make his season debut at some point in August but it's not known whether he will be activated for Friday's contest.

ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U): Ottawa released Delbert Alvarado, who missed two field goals against the Stampeders and brought in Canadian kicker Chris Milo as his replacement. "We just felt we needed to be better and we hope Chris can be that guy," Redblacks GM Marcel Desjardins told reporters. "What happened in the last game just wasn't good enough." Kick returner/wide receiver Chris Williams has lived up to the hype after returning to Canada from a two-year stint in the NFL as he's ranked third in the CFL with 432 receiving yards, and has 14 receptions for 252 yards in his last two games.

TRENDS:

*Alouettes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
*RedBlacks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
*Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
*Under is 11-5-1 in RedBlacks last 17 games overall.

CONSENSUS: Split 50/50 on the spread with 57.3 percent on the under.
 
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Alouettes look to remain a perfect under play
Justin Hartling

Through five games this CFL season, the Montreal Alouettes have been a flawless under play.

The Als are combining a league-worse offense (21.4 ppg) with a top level defense (18.8 ppg) to make total bettors happy. The combined average score of an Als game this season is 40.2 compared to an average closing total of 49.9.

Montreal will travel to Ottawa Friday with the total currently 46.5.
 
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Week 7 CFL games

Montreal (2-3) @ Ottawa (3-2)-- Four of five Alouette games this year were decided by 4 or less points, with Montreal losing 25-23/25-22 in its two road games, covering both as underdogs. Ottawa is off its bye week after upsetting Calgary here in Week 5; they're 2-1 at home, and 3-0 overall when they score 20+ points. RedBlacks (+8) opened season with 20-16 road upset over Als, outgaining Montreal 377-197 in game they trailed 13-5 at half. It was first series win in four tries for Ottawa, which lost to Alouettes by 10-8-6 points in their expansion year LY.

Montreal Alouettes
Ottawa RedBlacks even, 46.5

Saskatchewan Roughriders
Toronto Argonauts 9.5, 48.5

Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Hamilton TigerCats 7, 53.5
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Pocono Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 11 - Post: 9:30 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 89 - Purse:$16000 - CLAIMING HANDICAP $20,000 - $25,000 POST POSITION BY PRICE MOHEGAN SUN POCONO DRIVER`S CHOICES: GEORGE NAPOLITANO #3 OVER #1, #4 & #6


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 7 PROUD MOMENT 5/2



# 3 RAS SHAKINTHTBACON 7/2



# 4 MY MAN CAN 8/1



PROUD MOMENT is the best bet in this outing. Positive instinct - battling well enough to contend in this competition. This gelding getting the win wouldn't be impossible, a chance. This standardbred achieved a good TrackMaster Speed Rating last time out. Looks sharp to come right back. RAS SHAKINTHTBACON - With a really strong 93 TrackMaster Speed Rating last time out, will surely be a factor in this race. The panel of smart guys happens to know that when you put Napolitano and Garcia-Herrera together really strong results frequently occur. MY MAN CAN - Chances are greatly improved for entrants beginning from the 4 slot at Pocono Downs. Should compete well in this outing as his style of running fits well in this group of horses.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodstock

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Post: 8:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 70 - Purse:$850 - N/W $361 L4 STARTS


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 4 HAUNTO 5/2



# 6 DEUCE MAN 3/1



# 2 GRIMSBY 7/2



Really keen on the likelihood of HAUNTO taking down the winner's share today. Horoscope said take a chance today, this harness racer is as good as any to take a shot with. A nice class horse should not be be ignored. With an average class rating of 74 all signs say this is the one to beat. Could dominate this field, just look at the speed rating - 61 - from his most recent showing. DEUCE MAN - A great play in here as he has one of the highest winning pcts in the field of horses as well as terrific credentials all around. He has been performing admirably and the TrackMaster Speed Ratings are among the most favorable in the pack. GRIMSBY - Quite possibly the class of the field of horses with an average rating of 72. A nice play.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ellis Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 82

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $9,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 5 FLAUNT 6/1


# 6 MAJESTIC RIDE 3/1


# 2 CORNBREAD WARRIOR 9/2


FLAUNT looks like the bet in here. Is tough not to consider based on speed figs which have been solid - 71 avg - of late. Has formidable front-end speed and ought to fare strongly versus this field. Overall, has one of the best earnings per start in dirt sprint contests in this group. MAJESTIC RIDE - Should best this group here, showing very good figures of late. Has to be given consideration based on the respectable speed rating garnered in the last race. CORNBREAD WARRIOR - With a solid 72 average Equibase speed fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 9 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $16100 Class Rating: 56

FOR FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 7 TOO FAST FOR LOVE 9/5


# 1 MARKET RISK 6/1


# 4 BACK TO TOGA 3/1


TOO FAST FOR LOVE has a very good shot to take this race. She looks formidable in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. In fine fettle, and coming back quickly again today. Have to consider solely on class, with some of the best class figures of this group. MARKET RISK - Salvato has her trained quite well to break swiftly out of the gate. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group of horses in this race lately. BACK TO TOGA - Have to bet on this filly with the reliable earnings per start in dirt sprint races. This choice will feel the med change - with second time Lasix today.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


Bar

Louisiana Downs - Race #7 - Post: 5:57pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 40

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 SMARTFROMTHEGITGO (ML=7/2)
#2 CAMP ALLEGHENY (ML=6/1)
#5 SWEET ABBY (ML=9/2)


SMARTFROMTHEGITGO - State bred races are generally easier than 'open' company, and this filly's move into the 'state bred' class today should make her tough in here. Taking a trip down the ladder based on class; has the class ability to make her presence felt. CAMP ALLEGHENY - State bred races are generally easier than 'open' company, and this filly's move into the 'state bred' class today should make her tough in here. This filly is in nice form. Ended up third on July 16th. I usually like playing sprinters who are 3-4 races into a comeback. SWEET ABBY - Based on works, I look for this filly to run a big race. The Jun 19th race at Louisiana Downs was at a class level of (47). Dropping to a lower class level a significant amount, so she should be in a good spot. Lets try to beat the probable favorites with this filly. Just missed last out, but ran a pretty good race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 LACEY'S ENVOY (ML=4/1), #7 SLY ADVICE (ML=9/2), #4 HARVEY'S SONG (ML=5/1),

LACEY'S ENVOY - Awfully difficult to play this questionable contender when she hasn't been showing any signs of readiness recently. SLY ADVICE - Not the proper 'fit' in this affair. HARVEY'S SONG - You figure that this horse is going to be victorious just because she's always close. Just doesn't win regularly. When scrutinizing today's class figure, she will have to notch a better speed rating than in the last race to vie in this dirt sprint.




STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 SMARTFROMTHEGITGO is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,3]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,3,5] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
 

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