Friday 8/12/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[superbeets]

French Ligue 1 TODAY 19:00

Bastia

v

Paris St-G.

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT1		10	7/2	1/3	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT BASTIA	RECENT FORM
ALHLALADHWAW​ Most recent​	0 - 2 0 - 4 4 - 2 0 - 3	HWAWADHWNW*HW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: PSG have won six of the past seven meetings to nil

EXPERT VERDICT: Bastia host PSG hoping to gain revenge for 2015’s Coupe de la Ligue final defeat. However, PSG ran out comfortable 4-0 winners that day and, with Bastia losing their top goalscorer Floyd Atite to Fulham, they can run out convincing winners once more. PSG will miss the qualities of Zlatan Ibrahimovic but Hatem Ben Arfa can successfully fill the void.

RECOMMENDATION: PSG
4

 

[superbeets]

Premier League Sa 13Aug 12:30

Hull

v

Leicester

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS1		16/5	13/5	5/6	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT HULL	RECENT FORM
HWALHWAWHLHW​ Most recent​	1 - 1 0 - 1 0 - 0 2 - 1	HDHWADHWADNL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Leicester are unbeaten in their last 12 Premier League games

EXPERT VERDICT: Leicester could find it difficult to maintain a strong title defence this term but they can get off to the perfect start by beating Hull. Sometimes it can be tricky to face a newly promoted team due to the enthusiasm of the oppositions fans and players, but a cloud of negativity has enveloped Hull since they triumphed in the Championship playoff final.

RECOMMENDATION: Leicester
4


REFEREE: Mike Dean STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Premier League Sa 13Aug 15:00

Burnley

v

Swansea

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		11/8	11/5	2	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT BURNLEY	RECENT FORM
HWAWHDAWHWAW​ Most recent​	0 - 1 2 - 1 0 - 2 3 - 0	HWALALHWAWHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Burnley lost just twice at home last season

EXPERT VERDICT: Burnley are expected to struggle this season but can begin their top-flight campaign with a victory. The Clarets had a strong record at Turf Moor last term and look decent value against a Swansea team which picked up just 17 of their 47 points away from the Liberty Stadium in the 2015-16 season.

RECOMMENDATION: Burnley
3


REFEREE: Jonathan Moss STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Premier League Sa 13Aug 15:00

Everton

v

Tottenham

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		2	11/5	11/8	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT EVERTON	RECENT FORM
ALNLHWALALHW​ Most recent​	1 - 1 0 - 1 0 - 0 2 - 1	HWAWHDADHLAL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Everton won just three of their final 12 home league games last season

EXPERT VERDICT: Everton look likely to improve under the guidance of new manager Ronald Koeman but this is a tough opener. Friendly form can be taken with a pinch of salt, but Tottenham were hugely impressive in a 6-1 win over Inter and could hit the ground running after finishing last season in third spot.

RECOMMENDATION: Tottenham
2


REFEREE: Martin Atkinson STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Premier League Sa 13Aug 15:00

Southampton

v

Watford

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		3/4	11/4	7/2	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT SOUTHAMPTON	RECENT FORM
HWADAWHWAWHW​ Most recent​	2 - 0 4 - 0 0 - 3 0 - 3	ALNLHWALALHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Southampton scored at least twice in seven of their final nine league games​

EXPERT VERDICT: Watford lost eight of their final ten league away games last season and this looks a difficult opener for a team who struggled for goals in the second half of the campaign. The Saints won eight of their final ten home games last term and can get off to a winning start.

RECOMMENDATION: Southampton
3


REFEREE: Roger East STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Premier League Sa 13Aug 15:00

C Palace

v

West Brom

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		Evs	11/5	3	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT C PALACE	RECENT FORM
ALNWALHWALND*​ Most recent​	2 - 0 0 - 2 3 - 1 1 - 1	HLALADHLADHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: West Brom lost only seven of their 19 league away games last season

EXPERT VERDICT: Crystal Palace struggled during the second half of last season, winning just two of 21 matches in the Premier League after Christmas and the draw is the value. By contrast, West Brom were solid on the road in 2015-16 and have lost just two of their last six meetings with the Eagles.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


REFEREE: Craig Pawson STADIUM:

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Rio 2016 Olympic betting cheat sheet and odds: King of the Track

We break down Days 7-9 of Rio 2016 Olympic betting action with our betting cheat sheet. The title of fastest man on the planet will be handed out this weekend at Olympic Stadium as the 100-meter final goes Sunday night.

Wide-Open Women’s Draw

Eight remain in the women’s Olympic tennis draw, which concludes with Saturday’s gold-medal final. It’s a wide-open affair after heavy pre-tournament favorite Serena Williams was dumped in earlier action. In Thursday’s action, Monica Puig of Puerto Rico (-225) faces Laura Siegemund of Germany (+175), American Madison Keys (-300) tangles with Russia’s Daria Kasatkina (+230), Elina Svitolina of Ukraine (+163) takes on Petra Kvitova of the Czech Republic (-225) and Britain’s Johanna Konta (+230) duels Germany’s Angelique Kerber (-300).

Go(lf)ing for Gold

Golf makes its triumphant return to the Olympics, beginning with Thursday’s opening round of the men’s event. Many of the top players in the world bowed out in the weeks prior to the competition, but there are still several solid options for bettors to consider. Henrik Stenson comes in as the slight favorite at +500, with Sergio Garcia (+800), Justin Rose (+1,100) and Rickie Fowler (+1,400) close behind. And after finally recovering his clubs - more than a day after they were lost in transit - Emiliano Grillo is listed as a +2,500 underdog.

King of the Track

The title of fastest man on the planet will be handed out this weekend at Olympic Stadium as the 100-meter final goes Sunday night. Often considered one of the biggest events of the summer games, several familiar names will stake their claim to Olympic glory. At the head of the list: Jamaican sensation Usain Bolt, who comes in as a -200 favorite despite sitting out his national championships with a hamstring injury that could have him at less than full strength. Despite this, Bolt is confident he’ll sweep his events - the 100m, 200m and 4x100m relay.

Gold Medal Event Schedule (all times ET; live TV listed where applicable):

Friday, August 12

9:00 a.m.: Equestrian - Dressage team grand prix special
9:32 a.m.: Rowing - Lightweight women’s double sculls final
9:44 a.m.: Rowing - Lightweight men’s double sculls final
10:00 a.m.: Shooting - 50m rifle prone men’s final
10:04 a.m.: Rowing - Women’s pair final
10:10 a.m.: Athletics - Women’s 10,000m
10:24 a.m.: Rowing - Men’s four final
1:30 p.m.: Athletics - Men’s 20km race walk
2:25 p.m.: Shooting - Skeet women’s gold-medal match (MSNBC)
2:30 p.m.: Weightlifting - Women’s 75kg final
2:42 p.m.: Trampoline - Women’s final
3:43 p.m.: Archery - Men’s individual gold-medal match
5:04 p.m.: Cycling track - Women’s team sprint finals (CNBC)
5:30 p.m.: Fencing - Men’s foil team gold-medal match
5:42 p.m.: Cycling track - Men’s team pursuit finals (CNBC)
6:00 p.m.: Weightlifting - Men’s 85kg final
9:00 p.m.: Athletics - Women’s shot put final
9:03 p.m.: Swimming - Women’s 200m backstroke final (NBC)
9:12 p.m.: Swimming - Men’s 100m butterfly final (NBC)
9:20 p.m.: Swimming - Women’s 800m freestyle final (NBC)
9:44 p.m.: Swimming - Men’s 50m freestyle final (NBC)
TBD: Judo - Women’s 78kg gold-medal final; Men’s 100kg final
TBD: Tennis - Men’s doubles gold-medal match (BRAVO)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 7
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 7
-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 7
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 7
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 7
-- The 'Under' went 3-1 in Week 7

Team Betting Notes

-- Ottawa (4-2-1) upended Edmonton (2-4) in a rematch of the 103rd Grey Cup last November, avenging a 26-20 loss in Winnipeg. Despite the victory the RedBlacks are 0-3 ATS over the past three games after starting out 3-1 ATS in the first four contests.

-- The RedBlacks have been impressive at the betting window when it comes to totals. The 'under' is 4-1-1 over the past six games since an 'over' result in Week 1 against the Esks.

-- Saskatchewan (1-5) laid another egg, as they have followed up their July 22 win against the RedBlacks with two lopsided losses, averaging just 9.0 points per game (PPG) while allowing 38.0 PPG. They're not 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS on the road this season.

-- It was another loss and non-cover for Montreal (2-4), as they have now scored 18 or fewer points in four of their six games. As such the 'under' is 4-2 in their six games this season. The Alouettes have failed to cover in four of their past five games, too.

-- The BC Lions (4-2) rebounded after last weekend's disappointing loss in Calgary, humbling the Alouettes 38-18 in Montreal. The Lions improved to 5-1 ATS, including a perfect 4-0 ATS on the road. They are also averaging 39.7 PPG over the past three, all 'over' results, after a 3-0 'under' run.

-- Winnipeg (3-4) continued their solid play with an impressive 37-11 win over Hamilton (3-3). After starting out 1-3-1 ATS in their first five games, the Bombers have covered in back-to-back affairs for the first time since a four-game cover streak from Sept. 25-Oct. 16, 2015.

-- The 'under' has cashed in four of the past five games for the Ti-Cats. In games Hamilton has been favored, the 'under' is 4-0. When they're an underdog, the 'over' is 2-0.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 8
By David Schwab

Week 7 in the CFL started things off with a big upset when Winnipeg hammered Hamilton 37-11 as a two-point home underdog. In the first of two games on Thursday night, British Columbia went on the road to Montreal and came away with a 38-18 victory as a three-point favorite.

In the backend of that double-header, Calgary cruised past Saskatchewan 35-15 as a 12 ½-point home favorite and the week’s action came to an end on Saturday when Ottawa outlasted Edmonton 23-20 but failed to cover as a 4 ½-point favorite at home.

Friday, Aug. 12

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -3 ½
Total: 49 ½

Game Overview

Just when you thought the Blue Bombers were one of the worst teams in the CFL, they turn around and shock you with a couple of unexpected wins. Much of the credit for last Wednesday’s upset has to go to the continued high level of play from quarterback Matt Nichols. He ended that game with just 246 yards passing and he tossed two touchdowns as part of a 74.2 completion percentage. This followed a 26-for-33 effort the week before against Edmonton for 304 yards and one touchdown pass.

Toronto is right in the thick of the East Division title race coming off last week’s bye. The Argonauts have won three of their last four games both straight-up and against the spread and they had shown a good balance between the pass and the run with Ricky Ray at quarterback and Brandon Whitaker running the ball. Ray will be sidelined until early September with a knee injury and in his place Logan Kilgore did an adequate job filling the void in a Week 6 win against Ottawa.

Betting Trends

Toronto has won four of its last five games against the Blue Bombers both SU and ATS. The total stayed UNDER in both meetings last season after going OVER in five of the previous six games between the two.

Saturday, Aug. 13

Calgary Stampeders (4-1-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -5 ½
Total: 54

Game Overview

The Stampeders are probably the most balanced team in the CFL heading into Week 8 with an offense that is averaging 32 points a game complementing a defense that has allowed an average of 23.7 points to their opponents. In the first game against Saskatchewan, Calgary quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell put the ball up 37 times and he completed 25 passes for 312 yards and a score. Jerome Messam gained another 109 yards and scored a touchdown on 17 rushing attempts.

Saskatchewan remained competitive in Game 1 of this home-and-home series into the fourth quarter before giving up 16 unanswered points while getting shutout in the final 15 minutes of play. Darian Durant got the start at quarterback after missing some time with an ankle injury and he was somewhat effective with 247 yards passing and one touchdown throw. The Roughriders’ ground game only accounted for 55 total yards on 11 rushing attempts.

Betting Trends

With last week’s win in the front-end of this home-and-home series, Calgary has won the last five meetings SU while going 4-1 ATS. The total stayed UNDER 55 ½ points in that game after it had gone OVER in the previous four meetings.

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS) Point-spread: BC -3 Total: 55 ½

Game Overview

The Tiger-Cats have now lost three games this season closing as favorites and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their first six games overall. The 11 points scored against Winnipeg was the first time they failed to score at least 24 points over their past four contests and their defense has been torched for a total 68 points in the last two games. Hamilton trailed the Blue Bombers 34-0 at the half as a result of four sloppy turnovers. The good news is that quarterback Zach Collaros has been upgraded to probable for this week’s game, but there is no word on whether he will start.

BC comes into this interdivision tilt just a half game in back of Calgary in the West Division race. The Lions have now scored at least 38 points in each of their last three games and on the year they are putting up an average of 30.2 points a game. Last week against Montreal, Jonathon Jennings completed an amazing 84.4 percent of his 32 passing attempts for 331 yards and a score. He was able to complete at least two passes to seven different players.

Betting Trends

The Lions won the first meeting this season 28-3 on July 1 as 5 ½-point road underdogs. It was the first time the road team won in the last seven meetings and the total stayed UNDER in that game after going OVER in five of the previous six games between the two.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Week 8 CFL games

Winnipeg (3-4) @ Toronto (4-2)– Argonauts won six of last seven series games; Winnipeg lost last three visits here, by 15-17-10 points. Bombers won last two games (scoring 33.5 ppg) after their 1-4 start; under is 4-0-1 in last five Winnipeg games. Bombers won two of three on road, losing at Calgary by 14. Toronto won four of last five games (under 4-1); they’re 4-0 when scoring more than 20 points, 0-2 if they score 20 or less. Over is 8-5 in last thirteen series games.

Calgary (4-1) @ Saskatchewan (1-5)– Roughriders were outscored 76-18 in losing last two games; they lost 35-15 (+10) in Calgary LW, Stampeders had 132 rushing yards in game that was only 16-12 at the half. Calgary won last five series games, scring 31+ points in all five; they won by 7-3 in last couple of trips to Regina. Under is 8-3 in last 11 series games. Stamps scored 37.3 ppg in winning their last three games; they’re 1-1-1 on road, tying Lions in Vancouver, losing in Ottawa.

Hamilton (3-3) @ British Columbia (4-2)– Lions (+5.5) won 28-3 in Hamilton July 6, snapping home series win streak at six; Hamilton lost its last four visits here, by 3-3-7-27 points. Five of last seven in series went over total. TiCats are on road for 4th game in row, with bye mixed in there; they’re 3-1 on road, losing in Winnipeg LW- road team won six of their seven games SU. Lions are home for first time in a month; they’re 1-1 at home. BC scored 39.7 ppg in winning two of last three games.

— Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ Toronto Argonauts (-4, 49.5)
— Calgary Stampeders (-6, 54) @ Saskatchewan Roughriders
— Hamilton Tiger Cats @ British Columbia Lions (-2.5, 54.5)
— Underdogs*18-7 Home 7-20-1 vs spread Over: 10-16-2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Friday's CFL betting preview and odds: Blue Bombers at Argonauts

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Toronto Argonauts (-4, 50.0)

The Toronto Argonauts can take sole possession of first place in the East Division when they host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers on Friday. The Argonauts made a big statement by beating the Ottawa Redblacks 23-20 in Logan Kilgore's first CFL start on July 31, and they hope their young quarterback can lead them to their third straight victory and improve to 3-0 against West Division opponents in the process.

Toronto, which is coming off a bye, has given up 20 points or fewer in four of its last five games and looks to put the clamps on a Winnipeg offence that has come to life since backup Matt Nichols was inserted into the starting lineup.The Blue Bombers have won back-to-back games for the first time in over two years following an impressive 37-11 victory over the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in Week 7. Winnipeg's offence has thrived with Nichols under centre, averaging 33.5 points in two games without a turnover, and he hopes to lead the Blue Bombers to their first three-game winning streak since 2014. "There's a good feeling but I also believe that the players are keeping it in perspective," Winnipeg head coach Mike O'Shea told reporters. "They're excited about the outcomes of the last two games but realize there is more work to be done."

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TSN, ESPN3

LINE HISTORY: The Argos opened as 4-point home favorites and the line has been steady since it's release early in the week. The total hit the board at 49.5 and has risen slightly to 50.

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS, 1-5-1 O/U): Nichols looked sharp from the get-go even though kickoff was delayed over 2 1/2 hours due to a lightning storm, as he went 23-of-31 for 246 yards and two touchdowns in the win against Hamilton. Offensive tackle Jermarcus Hardrick suffered an upper-body injury against the Tiger-Cats and will likely be replaced by Manase Foketi, who bounced around the NFL with the New Orleans Saints and Buffalo Bills in 2014. Wide receivers Weston Dressler (knee), Darvin Adams (arm) and Ryan Smith (lower body) missed practice and are questionable for Friday's game.

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS, 2-4 O/U): Kilgore completed 25-of-42 passes for 322 yards and a touchdown while A.J. Jefferson recorded two interceptions, including a pick late in the fourth quarter to seal the win against Ottawa. "It feels great to have a full team behind you," Kilgore told reporters. "You know you just have to do your job and you don't have to be superman to win ball games." Toronto added quarterback Dan LeFevour, who played last season with the Montreal Alouettes, to the practice roster on Tuesday to add more depth to the position as Ricky Ray continues to rehab his knee.

TRENDS:

* Blue Bombers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
* Argonauts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week.
* Under is 4-0 in Blue Bombers last 4 games in August.
* Over is 7-0 in Argonauts last 7 games following a bye week.
* Blue Bombers are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

CONSENSUS: Early consensus action is on the side of the home favorite Argos at a rate of 60 percent. The early wagers on the total are on the Under at 54 percent.

EXTRA POINTS:

* Toronto has won six of the last seven meetings with Winnipeg.
* Blue Bombers RB Andrew Harris is second in the CFL with 382 rushing yards.
* Argonauts WR Kenny Shaw has caught 15 passes for 193 yards and two touchdowns in his last two games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

CFL*|*HAMILTON*at*BRITISH COLUMBIA
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 off 1 or more straight overs, good offensive team - scoring 29 or more points/game
90-43*since 1997.**(*67.7%*|*42.7 units*)
2-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*2.0 units*)

CFL*|*WINNIPEG*at*TORONTO
Play On - Home favorites of -160 to -475 vs. the money line (TORONTO) with a poor passing D - allowing a comp pct of 61% or worse, after allowing 6.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game
30-0*over the last 5 seasons.**(*100.0%*|*0.0 units*)
1-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*0.0 units*)

CFL*|*CALGARY*at*SASKATCHEWAN
Play On - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (SASKATCHEWAN) with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 32 or more points/game, after allowing 34 points or more in 2 straight games
29-6*since 1997.**(*82.9%*|*22.4 units*)
1-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*1.0 units*)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preseason Coaching Records
By Marc Lawrence

If you’re looking to make a quick score before the start of the 2016 NFL season then look no further than the coaches and their preseason tendencies.

It appears coaches like Jason Garrett, Hue Jackson and Chuck Pagano don’t appear to put much stock in exhibition play, as evidenced by their collective 13-28 SU and 13-27-1 collective ATS career marks during the preseason.

The same, however, cannot be said for Pete Carroll, John Harbaugh and Mike Zimmer who together are 53-29 SU and 53-28-1 ATS throughout the preseason.

Then there’s Mike McCarthy and Bill O’Brien, the epitomes of consistency throughout their NFL career during the preseason, sporting 20-20 and 4-4 SU, and 20-20 ATS and 4-4 ATS marks, respectively.

And if Totals (O/U) are your cup of tea, take a look at the defensive priorities of Bill O’Brien and Gus Bradley who have played 4-16 to the UNDER combined in their preseason games.

While on the other side of the coin Chip Kelly and Gary Kubiak seem more interested in fine tuning their offenses, going 33-13-2 OVER the total collectively in their exhibition games.

Please Note: O/U records are since 1999. O/U records with an asterisk (*) represent the coaches’ totals performance in preseason games since 1999 only.

All other results are as an NFL head coach throughout his career.

With that we present another PLAYBOOK exclusive, the 2016 NFL Preseason Coaches records.

Enjoy…

Preseason Records (1999-2015)
Team-Coach SU ATS O/U
Arizona – Bruce Arians 6-6 7-4-1 6-6
Atlanta – Dan Quinn 2-2 2-2 3-1
Baltimore - John Harbaugh 20-12 19-13 17-15
Buffalo – Rex Ryan 13-15 13-15 19-9
Carolina - Ron Rivera 11-9 11-9 10-10
Chicago – John Fox 31-25 27-28-1 27-28-1
Cincinnati - Marvin Lewis 28-25 28-24-1 26-27
Cleveland – Hue Jackson 0-4 0-4 2-2
Dallas - Jason Garrett 8-13 6-14-1 8-12-1
Denver – Gary Kubiak 22-14 22-12-2 23-11-2
Detroit - Jim Caldwell 8-12 10-1 9-11
Green Bay - Mike McCarthy 20-20 20-20 26-14
Houston – Bill O’Brien 4-4 4-4 1-7
Indianapolis – Chuck Pagano 5-11 7-9 6-9
Jacksonville – Gus Bradley 4-8 6-6 3-9
Kansas City - Andy Reid* 32-36 30-34-4 39-27-2
Los Angeles - Jeff Fisher 38-42 37-41-2 38-28
Miami - Adam Gase - - -
Minnesota – Mike Zimmer 8-1 7-2 4-5
New England - Bill Belichick* 46-39 42-36-7 31-33-1
New Orleans – Sean Payton 19-18 21-16 19-15-3
New York Giants - Ben McAdoo - - -
New York Jets – Todd Bowles 3-1 3-1 2-2
Oakland – Jack Del Rio 22-18 21-17-2 22-18
Philadelphia - Doug Pederson - - -
Pittsburgh - Mike Tomlin 21-17 16-21-1 15-22-1
San Diego – Mike McCoy 5-7 7-4-1 5-7
San Francisco – Chip Kelly 7-5 7-5 10-2
Seattle - Pete Carroll* 25-16 27-13-1 17-11
Tampa Bay - Dirk Koetter - - -
Tennessee - Mike Mularkey 6-6 7-5 5-6-1
Washington - Jay Gruden 6-2 5-3 2-6

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

New Coaches Report
By Chip Chirimbes

Every season there are a plethora of 'new' coaches that are starting with a new team or have a head coaching job for the first time in the NFL. How they fare during the regular season and preseason can have a dramatic difference. There are a number of factors and scenarios that will play out and I will try and help you take advantage of of their strengths or weaknesses.

I will list them and give you the reasons they will or will not make 'us' money during these meaningless 'exhibition' (not called exhibition games as the owners still receive full price for season ticket holders) games. Some coaches will feel a need to impress either the fan base or owners early on...lets see who does!

New York Giants - Ben McAdoo
Plenty of attention will be paid to McAdoo, who replaced two-time Super Bowl winning coach Tom Coughlin and just being in New York will put added pressure on him to succeed. Not that all NFL coaches aren't under pressure, but the Big Apple media is like none other. McAdoo was promoted from offensive coordinator and many wonder why him after realizing the Giants were 6-10 in both of his two seasons leading the offense.

I look for New York to start fast in the preseason as the entire offense won't have to spend time learning a new system and they have a veteran quarterback in Eli Manning who knows how to make the offense work on the fly. The Giants' back-up Ryan Nassib will see plenty of preseason action and already understands the offense and during this time of the year it is a major advantage. The defense will be run by Steve Spagnuolo who returned last season and they were dead last in total defense last season. He did not fare well in his first stint with the Giants in 2006 and 2007. Look for the offense to play well early until the 'others' catch-up to the Giants as the preseason moves forward. Take New York early to get the money!

Miami Dolphins - Adam Gase
Gase come from the Chicago Bears and there are questions as to how he will fare coming from a team full of dissension and a spotty offense that never reached its potential. Gase comes to a club even more dysfunctional than the Bears as Miami's offense has had no running game to speak of and their offensive line has allowed quarterback Ryan Tannehill little time to develop as he was sacked more times than any other QB in the league the past two seasons.

Add that the Dolphins have had a number of defections on both sides of the ball and Gase will virtually have to start from stretch. This is his first head coaching job and he will get plenty of on-the job-training. There is just too much to do in such a short period of time before the opening preseason contest and Gase will still be evaluating talent when the regular season begins.

Tennessee Titans - Mike Mularkey
Mularkey doesn't actually qualify as a 'new' head coach as he was the Titans interim coach last season taking over just before the mid-point of the season and Tennessee was just 2-7 with him in the lead. One of the first things he did upon being named head coach was revamp his staff hiring experience in Dick LeBeau, Terry Robiskie, Russ Grimm, Bobby April, Sylvester Croom and Bob Bratkowski. That may all help but the question really is does Mularkey have what it takes to be a winning NFL head coach?

He has had three and a half seasons as a head coach in the NFL and he is a dismal 18-39 as a leader. The best thing he has going for himself is that the Titans have a young and talented quarterback in Marcus Mariota and the newly acquired running backs Demarco Murray and Heisman Trophy winner Derrick Henry. Look for Henry to get plenty of work early and Tennessee who does play smash mouth defense to impress early on as the defense that will dominate during the preseason.

Philadelphia Eagles - Doug Pederson
On the surface, Philadelphia appears to be in disarray as the lost their head coach and have a new quarterback and new running back. Former Chiefs offensive coordinator Doug Pederson has taken over the reins and although he was coaching high school football eight years ago, he has NFL experience. As a former NFL quarterback as a back-up for 11 years, Pederson will enjoy working with the trio of San Bradford, Chase Daniel and No. 2 overall draft pick Carson Wentz, who is not expected to compete for a starting job this season.

This should be a transition year for the Eagles and there will be little pressure on Pederson as not much is expected of this year's Eagles. But, remember that Philly fans are not the kindest of supporters. Pederson brought in defensive wiz Jim Schwartz to handle that that side of the ball so that he can concentrate on his offense. It should be slowing going early, but they have no where to go but up.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Dirk Koetter
Lovie Smith is gone and one of the reasons is that he just could not instill discipline on a club that committed an NFL-high 143 penalties. New head coach Dirk Koetter worked well with the development of Jameis Winston, which had the No. 5 offense in the NFL last season. So it is not the offense that he has to worry about, it is a pass defense that had opponents' quarterbacks play to a 102.5 rating and a 70% completion rate.

The Buccaneers play their first two preseason games on the road, the first of which is at Philadelphia where they embarrassed the Eagles, 45-17 last November, so be careful in that one. Tampa Bay has finished in the division basement five straight seasons and can improve, but not enough to contend with Carolina because defense wins...see Broncos.

San Francisco 49ers - Chip Kelly
If you remember when Chip Kelly started with Philadelphia, he came out gunning in the preseason and had everybody swooning over his no-huddle offense that put up a large number of points in these meaningless games. The pressure is even greater now that he has moved back to the West Coast and he has two quarterbacks that will be dueling for a starting spot. San Francisco posted only five wins last season as quarterback Colin Kaepernick was a bust and Blaine Gabbert emerged as the starter before season's end.

Kelly will bring a fresh attitude for the offense and the open at home as the lone game on a Monday night. He will look to impress the fan base and have his troupe excited to start anew. Take the 49ers in their preseason opener!

Cleveland Browns - Hue Jackson
An entirely new coaching staff in Cleveland will join head coach Hue Jackson and 'new' quarterback Robert Griffin III will at least help the attitude of a franchise that has never even appeared in the Super Bowl after 50 years of competition. The Browns have had two winning seasons in 15 years and are off a 3-13 year their worst since 2000, but Jackson will bring positive energy to the franchise. He is a quarterback guru and the sideshow of Johnny Manziel is a thing of that past and with the return of wide receiver Josh Gordon, they should should huge improvement, especially early in the year.

This team has the most room for improvement and you will see it right away. Josh McCown who started most of last season will see plenty of action along with USC standout quarterback Cody Kessler and they will provide a strong offensive showing during the preseason. Competition is good and the Browns will be better.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Friday's NFL Week 1 preseason betting primer and odds

Week 1 of the NFL preseason continues Friday, with five more games on the schedule for you to sink your teeth in. We break down the best betting tidbits from each game to help you 'cap the preseason like a pro.

Miami Dolphins at New York Giants (-2.5, 36.5)

* According to reports, the Dolphins haven't worked on their run game much during training camp, so look for the 'Phins that to change in their preseason opener versus the Giants. Newly signed Arian Foster won't suit up, (essentially just to keep the injury prone back fresh), so expect second-year runner Jay Ajayi to get a healthy amount of touches Friday.

* Expect fourth year quarterback Ryan Nassib to get most of the snaps when the Giants host the Dolphins Friday night. That has been the norm since being drafted by the G-Men. In three preseasons, Nassib completed 105 of 196 passes (53.6 percent) for 1,313 yards, seven touchdowns, no interceptions, and a passer rating of 86.5.

Detroit Lions at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3, 34.5)

* If quarterback Matthew Stafford and wide receiver Marvin Jones both suit up for Friday's game, look for the new battery mates to work on their chemistry early in this contest. Reports out of camp are that Jones has emerged as Stafford's "go-to guy" since coming over as a free agent from Cincinnati this offseason, especially in joint practices with the Steelers this week. That's exactly what the Lions need with Calvin Johnson retiring.

* Steelers coach Mike Tomlin told reporters Wednesday, that most of his key starters will not play in Friday's preseason opener. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, wide receiver Antonio Brown, running backs Le'Veon Bell and center Maurkice Pouncey are all expected to sit out the game. Expect backup Landry Jones to play into the second half.

Minnesota Vikings at Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5, 35)

* The Vikings will have a fairly healthy and in attendance lineup for this road game to open their preseason schedule. Most of their offensive starters will get some first quarter time. They will, however, be missing starting corner Terence Newman, linebacker Eric Kendricks and defensive tackle Sharif Floyd. As with most teams in preseason Week 1, Teddy Bridgewater and the starting offense will play a series or two before putting their helmets away.

* Not many in the media are giving the Bengals much respect for this upcoming season, despite the fact that they've won 52 games over the past five years and made the playoffs in each of those five. Perhaps it has something to do with the way they exited the postseason back in January - respect is something that may have to be earned back. Andy Dalton and A.J. Green will play a series or two and A.J. McCarron will take over for the rest of the opening half.

Cleveland Browns at Green Bay Packers (-3.5, 34.5)

* Two Browns wide receivers will miss Friday's game versus the Packers due to hamstring injuries, including their first round pick. Both Corey Coleman and Andrew Hawkins will be sidelined after failing to get on the practice field this week. Look for newly named starter Robert Griffin III to build some chemistry with former quarterback, now receiver Terrelle Pryor, but head coach Hue Jackson has not said how long his starters will stay in the game.

* As was the case heading into the Hall of Fame Game, star quarterback Aaron Rodgers is not expected to suit up for the Packers preseason opener against the Browns. The problem is, it's looking like backup Brett Hundley may also be sidelined for the game with an ankle injury.

Oakland Raiders at Arizona Cardinals (-2.5, 37.5)

* Latavious Murray is expected to be the Raiders bell cow running back this season, so that probably means you won't see too much of him Friday. However, the job as his top backup is up for grabs. Look for fifth round draft pick DeAndré Washington to get plenty of carries with fellow rookie Jalen Richard's status unknown after missing practice Wednesday.

* Cardinals offensive coordinator Harold Goodwin will be calling plays in three of four preseason games, including Friday night's preseason opener against the Raiders. Head coach Bruce Arians calls the plays during the regular season and should the same in the third preseason game when starters play the most minutes. The main piece of advice Arians has given Goodwin when it comes to play-calling has been "take more shots."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Friday's Preseason Tips
By Kevin Rogers

Dolphins at Giants (-3, 36 ½) – 7:00 PM EST

Miami
Head Coach: Adam Gase (No preseason record)
Quarterback Rotation: Ryan Tannehill, Matt Moore, Brandon Doughty (Rookie), Zac Dysert
Beat Twitter Follow: Omar Kelly

The Dolphins haven’t made the playoffs since 2008 as the team turns to Gase to try and save a pedestrian offense. Miami dropped three of four preseason games in 2015 in Joe Philbin’s final (quarter) season as coach, including losing both road contests at Chicago and Carolina. The Dolphins are riding a four-game losing streak in preseason openers dating back to 2012, while scoring 10 points or less in three of those defeats.

New York
Head Coach: Ben McAdoo (No preseason record)
Quarterback Rotation: Eli Manning, Ryan Nassib, Logan Thomas
Beat Twitter Follow: Ralph Vacchiano

The Giants also made a head coaching change following Tom Coughlin’s departure after 12 seasons, as offensive coordinator McAdoo steps into Coughlin’s shoes. New York split four preseason contests last year, including a 23-10 defeat in the opener at Cincinnati. In the last two preseasons, the Giants have finished ‘under’ the total in six of nine games, including a 3-1 ‘under’ mark at home.

Lions at Steelers (-3, 35 ½) – 7:00 PM EST

Detroit
Head Coach: Jim Caldwell (8-12 SU, 10-10 ATS in preseason)
Quarterback Rotation: Matthew Stafford, Dan Orlovsky, Jake Rudock (Rookie)
Beat Twitter Follow: Dave Birkett

The Lions put together one of the more impressive preseasons in 2015 with a 3-1 SU/ATS record, while allowing 17 points or less in each of their three victories. All four games finished ‘under’ the total, as seven of Detroit’s past eight exhibition contests have gone ‘under.’ The Lions have won three consecutive preseason openers, but open on the road for the first time since a 23-7 setback at Pittsburgh in 2010.

Pittsburgh
Head Coach: Mike Tomlin (21-17 SU, 16-21-1 ATS)
Quarterback Rotation: Bruce Gradkowski, Landry Jones, Dustin Vaughan
Beat Twitter Follow: Ed Bouchette

The Steelers will be without several of their key offensive weapons in Thursday’s opener as quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, running back Le’Veon Bell, and wide receiver Antonio Brown will all sit. Pittsburgh didn’t put too much stock into last preseason, posting a 1-4 SU/ATS record, while scoring 19 points or fewer in three of those defeats. Big Ben also sat out their opener last season against the Vikings in the Hall of Fame game, as the Steelers put up only three points.

Vikings at Bengals (-2 ½, 35) – 7:30 PM EST

Minnesota
Head Coach: Mike Zimmer (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS)
Quarterback Rotation: Teddy Bridgewater, Shaun Hill, Joel Stave (Rookie)
Beat Twitter Follow: Chris Tomasson

If there’s one coach that cares about preseason results, it’s Zimmer. The Vikings have won eight of nine exhibition games under Zimmer, while compiling a 3-1 SU/ATS record as a road underdog. The ‘under’ has hit in five of nine preseason games since 2014 for Minnesota, as the Vikings yielded just six points in their opening week victory over Oakland.

Cincinnati
Head Coach: Marvin Lewis (28-25 SU, 28-24-1 ATS in preseason)
Quarterback Rotation: Andy Dalton, A.J. McCarron, Keith Wenning, Joe Licata (Rookie)
Beat Twitter Follow: Jim Owczarski

The Bengals have been extremely competitive the last four preseasons by winning 10 of 16 games, including a 3-1 mark in 2015. Cincinnati cruised to a pair of home victories over the Giants and Bears by double-digits apiece, while posting a 5-1 SU/ATS record in the past six exhibition games at Paul Brown Stadium. In all four preseason contests last season, the Bengals finished ‘under’ the total each time, which is in stark contrast to the 3-1 ‘over’ mark in the 2014 preseason.

Browns at Packers (-3 ½, 36 ½) – 8:00 PM EST

Cleveland
Head Coach: Hue Jackson (0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS in preseason)
Quarterback Rotation: Josh McCown, Robert Griffin III, Cody Kessler (Rookie), Austin Davis
Beat Twitter Follow: Mary Kay Cabot

The Browns scored the third-fewest points in the NFL last season, as Cleveland signed RGIII hoping to bolster its offense. In the 2015 preseason, Cleveland scored 17 points or less in its three defeats, while all four games went ‘under’ the total. The Browns won three of four road preseason games from 2012-13, but own a 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS in the past four away exhibition contests in 2013-14.

Green Bay
Head Coach: Mike McCarthy (20-20 SU, 20-20 ATS in preseason)
Quarterback Rotation: Joe Callahan (Rookie), Marquise Williams (Rookie)
Beat Twitter Follow: Rob Demovsky

The Packers didn’t have to worry about injuring any of their players when Sunday’s Hall of Fame game against the Colts was cancelled due to poor field conditions. Green Bay returns home as Aaron Rodgers will likely sit out (as he was expected to in the HOF game), while Brett Hundley is questionable with an ankle injury. The Packers haven’t put much stock in their preseason opener recently by losing five of the past six in this situation, including setbacks to the Browns in 2010 and 2011.

Raiders at Cardinals (-3, 37 ½) – 10:00 PM EST

Oakland
Head Coach: Jack Del Rio (22-18 SU, 21-17-2 ATS in preseason)
Quarterback Rotation: Derek Carr, Matt McGloin, Connor Cook (Rookie)
Beat Twitter Follow: Vic Tafur

The Raiders have high expectations this season following a 7-9 campaign in Jack Del Rio’s debut season as head coach. Oakland cruised to an 18-3 victory over St. Louis, but lost its final three preseason contests, including a 30-23 home defeat to Arizona. The Raiders have struggled on the road in preseason by losing 10 straight games away from the Coliseum, while covering only once in this span, which coincidentally came against the Cardinals in 2012 in a 31-27 defeat as 4 ½-point underdogs.

Arizona
Head Coach: Bruce Arians (6-6 SU, 7-4-1 ATS in preseason)
Quarterback Rotation: Carson Palmer, Drew Stanton, Matt Barkley
Beat Twitter Follow: Kent Somers

The Cardinals played in four high-scoring exhibition games last season, finishing ‘over’ the total in all four contests. Following a 3-1 debut in the 2013 preseason, Arizona has lost five of its past eight exhibition games under Bruce Arians, including an 0-2 mark at home in 2015. The Cardinals pitched a pair of shutouts in preseason openers in 2013 and 2014, but allowed 34 points to the Chiefs in the 2015 opener.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

At the Gate - Friday
By Mike Dempsey

Friday’s feature at Saratoga is the $100,000 Tale of the Cat, which drew a competitive field of 11 that will go six furlongs on the main track.

Dads Caps is the 3-1 morning line favorite and will break from the 11 post for trainer Rudy Rodriguez, who will give the meet’s leading rider Irad Ortiz Jr. a leg up.

He has lost seven in a row since winning the Carter Handicap (G1) last April and has bene beaten by 8+ lengths in three of those starts.

He could win but I am going to look for more value with Lewys Vaporizer, who makes his first start for trainer Larry Rivelli and coming off a sharp win in the mud at Indiana Downs.

We have a big day coming up on Saturday at the Spa featuring a couple of graded stakes.

A field of six juvenile fillies will line up in the 100th running of the $100,000 Adirondack (G2). Rodriguez sends out the 2-1 morning line favorite Libby’s Tail, a smart looking maiden winner in her debut at Belmont Park.

The feature on Saturday is the $500,000 Fourstardave (G1) which drew a deep and contentious field of nine led by Tourist, the 5-2 morning line favorite.

The Bill Mott trainee earned a 109 Beyer Speed Figure in a runner up finish in the Shoemaker Mile (G1) last out at Santa Anita. He won the restricted Sir Cat here last summer.

A case could be made for six or seven of his foes including defending champ Grand Arch and the Chad Brown trained Takeover Target, winner of the Dixie (G2) back in May.


Here is today’s opening race from Saratoga to get the day off to a good start:

SAR Race 1 Clm $40,000N2L (1:00 ET)
#1 Elementsofharmony 3-1
#2 Undertherain 5-2
#5 Stormin Saratoga 8-1
#6 Sweet Ella 7-2

Analysis: Elementsofharmony tracked the early pace and weakened in the stretch to finish sixth and beaten 3 1/2 lengths at this level in her first start off the claim by Maker and her first outing in three months. She should be tighter second off the bench here for a barn that is 25% winners (with a +ROI) with runners making their second start off a 45-180-day layoff.

Undertherain set the early fractions and could not match strides in the stretch with the winner in a runner up finish against $50,000 non-winners of two at Belmont Park. The filly earned a career top speed fig in the effort She was fifth two back behind a pair of next out winners and four back at Gulfstream Park she was beaten just a nose and a head behind another repeat winner. She looks like a good fit in this spot.

Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,5,6
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,5,6 / 1,2,5,6,8

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Saratoga:

SAR Race 9 The Tale of the Cat (5:40 ET)
#5 Lewys Vaporizer 5-1
#11 Dads Caps 3-1
#7 Chief Lion 7-2
#3 Easy to Say 20-1

Analysis: Lewys Vaporizer took the field gate to wire to beat Alw-2 optional claimers last out in the mud at Indiana Grand The third place finisher Polo Art came back to beat Alw-2 foe sin his next outing by 6 1/4 lengths on July 29. Our top pick has won half of his 14 starts and now goes for the Rivelli barn that is 47% winners (with a +ROI) first off the claim. He earned a career top speed fig last out but earned a 101 Beyer winning a stake last year and has had enough time off to avoid a bounce.

Dads Caps prompted the early pace, took over the lead heading for home and weakened late to finish third in the mud at Belmont Park. He was beaten just a neck two back in a game effort in the True North (G2). He has lost seven in a row since winning Carter Handicap (G1) last April. He is tough to gauge but is better on a fast track.

Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 5,11 / 3,5,7,11
TRI: 5,11 / 3,5,7,11 / 2,3,5,7,11

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Saratoga
R1: #5 Stormin Saratoga 8-1
R5: #7 Elite Heir 15-1
R6: #9 Gianna’s Dream 12-1
R9: #3 Easy to Say 20-1
R10: #3 Know Your Customer 8-1

Good luck today!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Saratoga Harness

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 11 - Post: 10:25 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$4500 - FILLIES & MARES NON-WINNERS $2,500 LAST 5 STARTS
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 1 SAULSBROOK ALANA 2/1
# 5 CAMDEE 7/2
# 3 GLISSANDO 3/1

Feel pretty confident putting some green stuff down on SAULSBROOK ALANA. This harness racer has shown us some prior ability, just look at the 80 average class ranking. Should play well this time. Really liked this mare's last race. Ran a big 69 TrackMaster Speed Rating. Major player. Has one of the most respectable win figures in the group and may be able to add to those percentages in this race. CAMDEE - The knowledge group gives this harness racer a competitive chance to come home a winner, class statistics are tops in the pack. GLISSANDO - Marino has been able to get this interesting entrant to perform when sending to the post. Always worth a look. This horse has a nose for the wire, just look at her better than average win percentage.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Tioga Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Post: 7:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 74 - Purse:$24640 - GEERS STAKES 2 YEAR OLD COLTS AND GELDINGS
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 2 CERISIER 12/1
# 4 EPIC UNION 7/2
# 1 COUGAR BAIT 3/1

CERISIER will have you running to the cashier's window for this race and the potential return justifies the long odds. Clearly think these two have a very good relationship. Merton in the cart means a great chance to get the win. EPIC UNION - Has good speed ratings and surely has to be thought of for a bet in this event. With a 75 average class rating, this fine animal has one of the most compelling class edges in the pack. COUGAR BAIT - Look for Butenschoen and this nice horse to win in this race. Tremendous in the money statistic for the trainer/horse team. This horse recorded a formidable speed rating in last race. Looks in fine form to come right back.