Friday 7/10/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Buchholz has been stellar in recent starts
Justin Hartling

In his past four starts for the Boston Red Sox, Clay Buchholz has posted a perfect 4-0 record and has been playing lights-out.

Buchholz has pitched 31 innings while only allowing three earned runs and carrying a strikeout/walk ratio of 23/2.

The Red Sox host the rival New York Yankees Friday.
 
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‘Under’ has cashed in each of this pitchers home games
Justin Hartling

In Noah Syndergaard’s five home starts this season, the under has cashed out for bettors each occasions. Those under’s have been thanks to Syndergaard’s play at Citi Field.

The youngster has posted a 1.89 ERA with a 29/4 strikeout/walk ratio at home this year. Syndergaard has only allowed seven runs in those five starts.

The Mets host the Arizona Diamondbacks Friday.
 
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Five To Follow MLB Betting: Friday July 10, 2015 Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews

Potentially devastating injury for the Kansas City Royals on Wednesday. All-Star left fielder Alex Gordon was carted off the field with what is now being called a Grade 2 left groin strain suffered while making a great catch on a ball hit by the Rays’ Logan Forsythe at Kauffman Stadium. Gordon, who was to have an MRI on Thursday, said he heard the muscle in his groin pop, and Manager Ned Yost said Gordon could miss “months.” Early reports are it will be eight weeks. Gordon, a free-agent-to-be, is easily the Royals’ best player. He’s hitting .279 with 11 homers and 39 RBIs, numbers that don’t sound all that amazing. But he’s without peer as a defensive left fielder and is the heart and soul of the club. Gordon also was one of four Royals selected to start the All-Star Game.

Blue Jays at Royals (-110, 8)

Kansas City will use some combination of Jarrod Dyson and Paulo Orlando in Gordon’s spot for now, but if the eight weeks is accurate then the team probably will have to make a trade. I still think the Royals can win the Central if Gordon does two months, but mainly because I don’t trust the Twins, and the Tigers aren’t their usual selves. Lefty Danny Duffy (2-4, 5.14) is on the mound for K.C. He allowed two runs over 6.1 innings last time out against the Twins. He is 0-2 with an 11.42 ERA in three career games against the Blue Jays. Jose Bautista is 3-for-4 with an RBI off him. Toronto’s Marco Estrada (6-4, 3.59) beat the Tigers last time out, allowing two runs over five innings. This will be his first career start against the Royals.

Key trends: The Jays are 4-0 in Estrada’s past four against teams with a winning record. The Royals are 9-1 in Duffy’s past 10 series openers. The “over/under” has gone over in five of Estrada’s past six vs. teams with a winning record. The under is 9-4 in Duffy’s past 13 at home.

Early lean: Blue Jays and under.


Tigers at Twins (-138, 8)

How’s that Justin Verlander contract looking for you, Detroit? Verlander (0-2, 6.75) is making $28 million this season and $140 million more through 2019. I seriously don’t understand why teams give pitchers in their 30s such huge long-term deals. They almost never work out. Verlander was shelled for seven runs last time out over five innings against the Jays. go to askthebookie dot com.This will be his first start of the season vs. Minnesota. Joe Mauer is a career .369 hitter off him with three homers and 10 RBIs. Verlander is opposed by Ervin Santana. He made his season debut off a drug suspension on July 5 and pitched well at the Royals, allowing two runs and three hits over eight innings. Ian Kinsler is a .351 hitter off him in 57 at-bats.

Key trends: The Tigers are 1-7 in Verlander’s past eight road starts vs. teams with a winning record. The Twins are 1-6 in their past seven Friday games. The over is 7-0 in Verlander’s past seven vs. teams with a winning record.

Early lean: Twins and over.


Phillies at Giants (-159, 6)

You should see Giants star catcher Buster Posey back in the lineup Friday. He hasn’t played since Monday due to a tight hamstring. It’s the pitching matchup of the day here and the only time the Phillies are relevant is when lefty ace Cole Hamels pitches. Hamels (5-6, 3.02), who could always be making his final start in a Philly uniform, was fantastic last time out, shutting out the Braves on six hits over seven innings. The Phillies had lost his previous four. go to askthebookie. Posey rakes him, going 9-for-18 with four doubles and a homer. It’s All-Star lefty Madison Bumgarner (8-5, 3.34) for the Giants. Should he be an All-Star? Probably not. Having a good year but not great. Bumgarner was shelled in his last start, allowing six runs over five innings at Washington. Jeff Francouer is 2-for-3 with a homer and four RBIs off him.

Key trends: The Phillies are 2-8 in their past 10 against a lefty. They are 5-1 in Hamels’ past six vs. the NL West. The Giants are 1-5 in Bumgarner’s past six at home vs. teams with a losing record. The over is 7-3 in his past 10 vs. teams with a losing record.

Early lean: Giants and under.


Padres at Rangers (-111, 9)

Keep an eye on the status of San Diego’s Justin Upton on Friday after he was scratched from Wednesday’s game with oblique soreness. Upton is slumping with just three hits in his past 30 at-bats. Ian Kennedy (4-8, 4.84) starts here for San Diego, which has lost his past three. Kennedy has been hurt by the long ball this season, allowing 18 of them and at least one in five straight starts. Lefty Wandy Rodriguez (5-4, 4.23) goes for Texas. He doesn’t like pitching in Arlington, going 0-4 with a 7.42 ERA in six starts there this season. The Padres’ Matt Kemp is 6-for-24 with three doubles , a homer and seven RBIs against him. San Diego will add the DH in this interleague series.

Key trends: The Padres are 2-7 in Kennedy’s past nine series openers. The Rangers have lost eight straight at home. The under is 5-0 in Kennedy’s past five.

Early lean: Padres and over.


Diamondbacks at Mets (-140, 6.5)

Have you noticed that Arizona isn’t half bad all of a sudden? On Wednesday, the Snakes got to .500 after going 0-12 in previous attempts to get to that mark. Chase Anderson (4-2, 3.71) gets the call here for Arizona. He got a no-decision against the Mets on June 6, allowing a run and eight hits over 5.2 innings. The Diamondbacks also have won his past two outings. Only a few Mets have seen him. Michael Cuddyer is 2-for-9 with a double, but he’s iffy with an injury. The Mets have won the past two starts of big Noah Syndergaard (3-4, 3.38). He has allowed just two runs over 14 innings and seven hits in those two outings. The rookie has never faced Arizona.

Key trends: Arizona is 1-7 in Anderson’s past eight road starts vs. teams with a winning record. The Mets are 0-5 in their past five following an off day. The under is 5-2 in Anderson’s past seven series openers.

Early lean: Mets and under.
 
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Games of the Day: CFL Doubleheader

Montreal Alouettes at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-3, 53)

The Montreal Alouettes look to build off their impressive Week 2 victory over the defending Grey Cup champions when they travel to Winnipeg to face the Blue Bombers on Friday. Rookie quarterback Rakeem Cato made it look easy in his CFL debut, throwing for 241 yards and three touchdowns as the Alouettes stunned the Calgary Stampeders 29-11.

Montreal has won four consecutive games against West Division opponents – playoffs included – dating back to last season, but has dropped four straight meetings to the Blue Bombers. Winnipeg hopes to recover mentally and physically from a 52-26 defeat to the Hamilton Tiger-Cats. The Blue Bombers lost Drew Willy in the first quarter after he took a vicious hit to the head and lay motionless for several moments before wobbling off the field, but the 28-year-old quarterback is ready to go after returning to practice Monday. “I feel good and I was glad to be out there competing with my teammates,” Willy told reporters. “I’m looking forward to looking at the practice film and keep working this week.”

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TSN, RDS

LINE HISTORY: Most books opened the Blue Bombers at -3 and have yet to move. The total climbed from 52.5 to 53.

INJURY REPORT:

Alouettes – LB Bear Woods (Ques-Shoulder), OL Philip Blake (Ques-Hand), DB Chris Ackie (Ques-Hamstring)

Blue Bombers – QB Drew Willy (Prob-Head), DB Maurive Leggett (Ques-Upper Body), DL Keshawn Fraser (Ques-Toe)

WHAT ODDSMAKERS SAY: “Bettors are divided on this one as the Bombers opened as a 3.5 or 4 point choice with little movement off that number. Although both teams 1-1 at the moment, the ‘what have you done for me lately’ theory may apply here as Winnipeg comes off a 52-26 home thumping at the hands of the Ti-Cats while the Alouettes were impressive in a 29-11 victory as hosts to the Stampeders. Montreal QB Rakeem Cato may have some sex appeal to bettors after his inspiring debut in last week’s upset win. The total also held fairly steady at a current 52½ as bettors try to figure out if Montreal’s defence (31 points in two games) is that good or Winnipeg’s ‘D’ is that bad (78 points in two games).” – CFL Oddsmaker Randall “The Handle”

ABOUT THE ALOUETTES (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 0-2 O/U): Cato finished 20-of-25 and completed his first five passes as he led Montreal on a nine-play, 95-yard touchdown drive on its opening possession. “I’m proud of the way I played,” Cato told reporters. “I had fun, played fast and took advantage of what the defence was giving me.” Tyrell Sutton helped Cato out by rushing for 134 yards on 25 carries and Nik Lewis came back to haunt his old team by catching three passes for 65 yards and a touchdown.

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 2-0 O/U): Willy was 3-of-6 for 48 yards and one interception before being knocked out of the game and his replacement Brian Brohm fared no better, going 16-of-28 with two interceptions returned for touchdowns against the Tiger-Cats. go to askthebookie. Running back Paris Cotton is off to a fast start as he’s rushed for 154 yards and a touchdown to go along with seven receptions for 81 yards and a score in two games. Winnipeg’s defence has given up 39 points per game and has conceded a league-worst 477 yards per contest.

TRENDS:

*Alouettes are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games in July.
*Blue Bombers are 0-3-2 ATS in their last 5 home games.
*Under is 11-2 in Alouettes last 13 road games.
*Over is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last 5 games overall.

CONSENSUS: 50.2 percent are being the Als with 54.9 percent on the ‘Under.



Saskatchewan Roughriders at BC Lions (-3, 49)

The BC Lions host the Saskatchewan Roughriders on Friday in a battle of winless teams. The Lions had high expectations heading into their season opener, but the Jeff Tedford era began with a thud following a 27-16 loss to the Ottawa Redblacks.

BC quarterback Travis Lulay threw his first touchdown pass since 2013 after battling shoulder injuries for the past two years and hopes to stay healthy as the Lions try to avoid their second consecutive 0-2 start. go to askthebookie. The Roughriders look to bounce back from a disheartening 42-40 double-overtime loss to the Toronto Argonauts. Saskatchewan let a seven-point lead slip away in the final minute of regulation before falling in the second overtime and has lost its first two contests by a combined six points. “When you lose them tight that means you are really close,” Roughriders head coach Corey Chamblin told reporters. “As the guys continue to grow, we won’t be losing them by two or three.”

TV: 10 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: The spread climbed half-a-point from Lions -3.5 to -3. The total has climbed from 47.5 to 49.

INJURY REPORT: Roughriders – LB Shea Ery (Out-Neck), WR Chaz Schilens (Out-Suspension) Lions – DB Staven Clarke (Ques-Undisclosed), G Cody Husband (Ques-Undisclosed)

WHAT ODDSMAKERS SAY: “After losing opening two games at home for just the fourth time in 80 years, the Roughriders head to Vancouver to take on the 0-1 Lions. Something’s gotta give. The Lions opened as 3.5-point chalk, dropping slightly to current 3’s across the board. The two teams split last year’s contests, both winning and covering at home. The irony here is that Saskatchewan QB Kevin Glenn was the pivot for BC in both contests and the 26-13 win on this field. The total opened at 47.5 and has seen a slight upward tick, sitting at 48 and 48.5’s in various books. This despite neither game reaching 40 points in pair of meeting last season. The total opened at 47.5 but Thursday afternoon saw a flurry of activity on the over, driving it up to as much as 50. The bump came despite neither game reaching 40 points in pair of meetings last season.” – CFL Oddsmaker Randall “The Handle”

ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS, 2-0 O/U): Kevin Glenn, who started 17 games for the Lions last season, finished with 477 yards and two touchdowns, but threw an interception that was returned 100 yards for a score in the fourth quarter. Ryan Smith was named one of the CFL top performers of the week after he caught eight passes for 174 yards and a touchdown and Jerome Messam accumulated 156 total yards as Saskatchewan’s offence finished with 579 yards. Former BC kicker Paul McCallum, who was picked up by Saskatchewan last week, kicked field goals of 9, 22, 30 and 49 yards.

ABOUT THE LIONS (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS, 0-1 O/U): Lulay’s surgically repaired shoulder held up nicely as he went 18-of-32 for 254 yards and a touchdown while former Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Austin Collie caught five passes for 65 yards and a score on his CFL debut. Defensive back Ryan Phillips injured his hamstring while trying to make an interception in the fourth quarter and will likely be out for the foreseeable future. “It probably was very severe,” Tedford told reporters. “If you just get a tweak in your hamstring, usually you’re just walking off the field.”

TRENDS:

*Roughriders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings in BC.
*Lions are 8-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
*Over is 5-2 in Roughriders last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
*Under is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings in BC.

CONSENSUS: 55.9 percent of the public is on the Lion with 55 percent on the ‘Over.
 
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CFL Betting Notes – Week 3
By David Schwab

Friday, July 10

Montreal Alouettes (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: OFF
Total: OFF

Game Overview

Montreal bounced-back from a 20-16 loss to Ottawa in its opener as an eight-point home favorite. In last Friday’s win against Calgary at home, Rakeem Cato got the start at quarterback and made the most of the opportunity with 241 yards passing and three touchdown throws while completing an impressive 80 percent of his 25 attempts.

The Blue Bombers closed-out the 2014 season with just one SU victory in their last nine games. go to askthebookie. They appeared to revert back to that form in Week 2 after stunning Saskatchewan 30-26 in their season opener as six-point road underdogs. Brian Brohm and Drew Willy combined for less than 200 yards passing and three interceptions in this past week’s loss to Hamilton. Willy remains questionable with a hand injury.

Betting Trends

Winnipeg is a perfect 4-0 both SU and ATS in the last four meetings with the total evenly split 2-2. Montreal is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games against the Blue Bombers.

Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -4
Total: 47

Game Overview

Saskatchewan had to turn to Kevin Glenn as its starting quarterback after Darian Durant was lost for the season with a torn Achilles in the season-opening loss to Winnipeg. Last week in a losing cause against Montreal, Glenn threw for 477 yards and two touchdowns while completing 33-of-40 attempts.

BC came off a Week 1-bye showing some serious signs of rust in last Saturday’s loss to Ottawa. Travis Lulay was back under center and while he did throw for 254 yards and a score, he completed just 18-of-32 attempts and he was picked-off once. The Lions could only muster a total of 59 yards on the ground.

Betting Trends

The home team is 4-2 SU in the last six meetings and Saskatchewan has a slight 3-1-1 edge ATS in the last five games between these two West Division rivals. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of the last 10 meetings overall.
 
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Serena advances to final, where she will be big fave
Andrew Caley

World No. 1 Serena Williams easily advanced to her 26th Grand Slam final defeating Maria Sharapova 6-2, 6-4 in the Wimbledon semi final Thursday.

Williams, attempting to win her 21st Grand Slam title, will face off against 21-year-old Garbine Muguruza, who is making her fist Grand Slam final appearance Saturday.

So it is no surprise Williams has opened as a heavy -800 favorite. Muguruza is on the board at +500.
 
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Wimbledon: Federer, Murray advance, meet Friday
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

Roger Federer and Andy Murray have a date in the Wimbledon semifinals on Friday, their second in the history of the tournament.

The country’s favorite son, Murray, playing before Prince William and Princess Kate, outlasted Canadian Vasek Pospisil despite a delay to close the roof on Centre Court in his 6-4, 7-5, 6-4.

The win of the day in the men’s quarterfinal draw was France’s Richard Gasquet outlasting Stan Wawrinka in a classic five-set rollercoaster. Just when Wawrinka appeared to be finding life in the fifth set, Gasquet took the 83-minute deciding set 11-9 after previous sets of 6-4, 4-6, 3-6, 6-4.

Wawrinka had 22 aces but 13 of 19 net volleys went to Gasquet in the fifth set.

Federer improved to 9-0 in quarterfinal play at Wimbledon just as Murray’s match was moving into the final set. The seven-time Wimbledon champion beat Frenchman Gilles Simon 6-3, 7-5, 6-2.

Top seed Novak Djokovic cruised by No. 9 seed Marin Cilic in straight sets (6-4, 6-4, 6-4) and draws Gasquet in the semifinals.

Federer leads the all-time series with Murray 12-11, and is 4-1 in Grand Slam events. Federer beat Murray in the 2012 final at Wimbledon.
 
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USA faces inferior Haiti squad Friday
By Ethan Back

‘Gold Cup’
Group Stage
Kick-off: Friday, 8:30 p.m. ET
Line: United States -2000, Honduras +3000, Tie +1150, Total: 2.5

The United States and Haiti square off in a pivotal Group A match on Friday.

Despite a mixed performance against Honduras in its opener, the United States was able to prevail with a 2-1 win. Two goals from Clint Dempsey – both headers – gave the Americans a two-goal lead, but they had to hold on after Carlos Discua scored in the 68th minute for Honduras. Michael Bradley provided an assist to mark his 100th international appearance, but no American played particularly well aside from Dempsey. Andy Najar of Honduras looked like the most dangerous player throughout, and he was unfortunate not to find the back of the net in the first half on two occasions. The United States defense and midfield must take more control if the team plans on winning the tournament. Haiti, relative minnows in Group A, ranked 76th in the world, used an 85th minute goal from Duckens Nazon to grab a point against Panama in a match that ended 1-1. The Haitians will look to use the momentum from this game against the United States, where even a tie would be a stunning result. go to askthebookie. Although the country has a low ranking, the United States would be unwise to take Haiti lightly, as the latter displayed some real quality in its first outing. The American forwards should be good enough to find the back of the net multiple times against Haiti, who in turn has enough quality up front to score a goal of its own. For this reason, expect over 2.5 goals to be scored. The United States should win this fixture, perhaps by a score of 3-1, but the Americans must be careful to not underestimate their opponent in what could be a trap game.
 
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Mohawk: Friday 7/10 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

2,4,5/1,2,6,10/2,5,6,7/7 = $48



LATE PICK 4: 1/4,9/5,9/2,3,5,6,7 = $20

MEET STATS: 160 - 515 / $920.60 BEST BETS: 20 - 46 / $71.10 SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 44 / $53.20

Best Bet: RIDE AWAY SHARK (8th)

Spot Play: M G JADE (11th)

Race 1

(8) LEVY TAYLORE was one of two from the same unheralded sire that performed extremely well for the same connections on June 28 at Georgian on a track rated two seconds slow. We get the feeling there could be more than meets the eye here; top call. (7) VEGAS DREAM won his debut easily in the same dash as the choice. He looks like the one to beat. (2) KIRKTONS CREDIT led most of the way in the pouring rain in his 2nd qualifier in a good performance and should be a pace threat at minimum.


Race 2

(4) ANISTON SEELSTER was an impressive maiden breaker last week in good time and this isn't the strongest non-winners of two field. Call to repeat. (3) HEATHERS SHADOW was fried making the front last time in a Grassroots race - having to go a 26 4/5 suicide second 1/4 - and understandably stopped. She can get a much better trip here and looks like the main threat to the choice. (5) PROMESSE DUHARAS has been racing well with 4 wins from 9 starts and looks like the biggest danger to close in late.

Race 3

(5) KOKANEE SEELSTER was on excess cover stalking a snail's pace but still managed to pick up a check by coming home in 26 1/5 behind an excellent debut winner. He should improve off that effort here. (3) THREE TRUTHS won his debut in good time over Clinton last week and is likely the one to beat here. (2) DERECHO knocked four seconds off in his second qualifier and is another for early pick 4 tickets.

Race 4

(2) GERRIES SPORT motored home in 25 2/5 last time but still missed a check. He will likely take lots of action off that finish but Zeron needs to keep him much closer to have a chance; slight nod. (4) UPGRADE VALLEY has two solid qualifying wins on display when he has behaved and should be a threat. (5) STONEBRIDGE BETTOR looks fit and ready and trainer 'O Sullivan typically sends them first out.

Race 5

(1) A LOT OF SENSE closed a big gap late last time and looks at a favorable ace scenario here which should enhance her late kick. (10) TABOO SEELSTER has won two straight in style off the claim but the 10 hole can be the great equalizer. (6) DELIRIUM mapped out a great trip last time to take her second in a row. Her form has been solid for a while now.

Race 6

(7) MOOT COURT chased down a loose leader - which wasn't an easy feat on June 27 - and gets top call here in his debut off that effort. (2) MACHARONI N CHEESE made a big move to the front down the backside in his lone qualifier and went on to an easy win. This $35K yearling purchase looks to have some potential. (5) SHADOWS PRO raced only evenly over a wet track in his debut and quite likely has more to offer which could come into play here.

Race 7

(7) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL chased a strong winner in vain but couldn't keep pace late last week. MacDonell may try to take this mare coast-to-coast here which may be very possible in this mostly weak group. (5) OLE BLACK MAGIC takes a class plunge here and will be closing for sure in this group - if he stays flat which he couldn't do last week.

Race 8

(1) RIDE AWAY SHARK drops back into the class that she dominated two weeks ago and will be tough to overhaul starting from the inside here. (7) SOUTHWIND LUNA was overtaken turning home last week but was well clear of the balance in a good effort first off the claim. (2) ONE HOT MAJORETTE won a non-winners of two easily in April then stepped into company that was too tough. She's in with a shot here returning from a short break.

Race 9

(9) BLUE ZOMBIE is a full-brother to three winners from three that have raced from his dam. He has shown high late speed in two of his three qualifiers and will be tough to hold off late if he can float out for position early. (4) THINK ON IT may have been a victim of his own pace slowing tactics in his debut when passed late by two rivals. He should be better here with that experience in tow. (7) WILD CHANCE has geared up for this debut with four qualifiers in less than a month. He isn't without a chance to score first time out here.

Race 10

(5) CALIFORNIA SUN is the 6th foal to race out of a $1.4 million winning racemare that has thrown all winners so far. This colt has not been asked for a lot in his qualifiers and should show more right away. (9) ST LADS MOONWALK was a nice winner in her lone qualifier and could threaten even from the 9-hole. (1) ONLY HALF BAD had a debut race where he got too far behind a tepid pace and couldn't close. He should show more here.

Race 11

(6) M G JADE latched onto some cover on the final turn but the slow third 1/4 did her chances in last week. She should get more pace to chase here. (9) ROLLTIDEROLL drops for her second start following a forced break. She is likely pointed right to the top for as far as she goes. (4) KENDAL GUCCI may also benefit from a slowing late pace and could threaten at a square price.

Race 12

(3) MYSTIQUE BEACHBUM has really improved in the past couple of months and should be able to latch onto some cover here and convert in the finale. (5) CALL ME MAYBE has similarly stepped up her game in the past month and should not be taken lightly here. (7) VICTORIA SEMALU was an easy winner off a soft 1/2 in non-winners of two company but these are tougher. (6) EXHILIRATED has been going great guns for Auciello and is another in with a chance in a contentious heat. (2) MACARENA MAMA should be along late for a minor share.
 
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Meadowlands: Friday 7/10 Analysis
By Derick Giwner


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 74 - 252 / $370.50 BEST BETS: 10 - 19 / $39.30

Best Bet: BROOKLYN HILL (2nd)

Spot Play: SILENT BLESSINGS (3rd)

Race 1

(5) SILVIA was a willing third behind a runaway winner in her career debut and seems likely to graduate in this spot. (2) NEW LEAF took plenty of tote action and made an early miscue; another chance? (7) SKARA BRAE raced okay in her first start and could certainly improve.


Race 2

(1) BROOKLYN HILL sat behind rated fractions and sprinted home with another very nice looking colt to be a narrowly defeated second. This $390k yearling purchase should pick up career win #1. (3) SOUTHWIND FLASH took aim but could not pass what seems like a pretty game youngster in Jack Vernon. I'm looking at a cold 1-3 exacta returning about $8. (6) STAYIN STRONG lost all chance at the start in his debut and deserves a second look either this week or down the road.

Race 3

(1) SILENT BLESSINGS took a nice tour of the track from last after starting from post 10 in her debut. I have to expect she'll be handled more aggressively this time around. (5) DREAM CHILD impressed by being able to gun off the gate from post 10. There seems to be some talent here. (2) ALL THE TIME faced a tough foe in her first trip to the track; capable.

Race 4

(6) BOSTON RED ROCKS looked good in his NJSS win a week ago and deserves top billing again. (5) KATIES ROCKER chased home the top one from off the pace. I can see this son of Rocknroll Hanover turning the tables if kept closer to the action. (4) WINNING LINC sprinted home nicely to start his career; more now?

Race 5

(1) EXQUISITE GLIDE took a shot on the rim and faded slightly last time. He drops to the basement condition now and has no excuses. (7) GUILTYWITHANEXCUSE sat the pocket for second in the same race where the top pick finished sixth; obvious player. (2) HOME TURF is hard to love on the win end with just 1 in 16 starts this year, but he is an exotics must. (8) ELIN raced evenly after a two month layoff and could certainly bring more now.

Race 6

(1) SOUTHWIND FRANK proved game while out-sprinting Brooklyn Hill last week. This Muscle Hill-sired colt appears to have ability. (2) BAR HOPPING looks like the obvious back end of a short exacta. (4) PROMISE DELIVERED was forced wide by a breaker in his latest qualifier and still maintained his composure to win. (7) TECH TITAN was never asked last in his last qualifier and he looked sure-footed enough to trot more than he showed.

Race 7

(2) WITCH DALI doesn't look particularly sharp at first glance, but she was impeded last time, came home in 25 2/5 prior to that, and was uncovered three-back. I don't see any reason why she can't win at a healthy price. (3) BEACH GRANNY has been very consistent over the last month; capable. (5) ACT NOW can't seem to stay on the track lately but possesses a huge late kick. (7) DREA'S GOOD POWOW was super last time and might actually be able to handle the class rise.

Race 8

(7) GIFTED WAY was out-kicked in his last qualifier by a talented trotter in Muscle Diamond. In a race with many options, he seems worth a shot if the price is close to double digits. (3) FINISH LINE chased for second money in a good time a couple of weeks back at this track. (8) LIBERTARIAN gets Campbell back in the bike; combo teamed up to score on 6/26. (2) BOBS HOPE blew away a cheap field at Philly; gets tested.

Race 9

(1) SINGIT LIKE ARETHA has been just okay in her qualifiers, but finds a pretty good spot and drew well for her debut. (6) DISMISSAL is out of a mare that has produced seven 2-year-old winners from 11 foals, with five sporting career earnings of at least $225k. (4) UPSIDE SURPRISE has shown enough in the morning to take a look at her on the track during warm-ups.

Race 10

(7) ACELO HANOVER came up a bit short having missed a month prior to his last start. He should take care of business in this spot. (4) TRIPLE MAJOR draws inside this week and should be forwardly placed. (6) GONE NUCLEAR lit up the board last time and shouldn't be hurt with Tetrick jumping in the bike.

Race 11

(5) ROCK MY GIRL was very sharp in her career debut. She seems worth following. (1) SHOW TIME HILL chased the top one last time; can improve. (8) BLUE MOON STRIDE was used while finishing second behind the pick a week ago; threat again.

Race 12

(4) A FORTUNE'S LEGACY ships in for trainer/driver Jenny Melander and has a big shot of going down the road. (5) CRAZED N LINDY was expertly steered by Kleinhans last time; dangerous. (9) JACKS TO OPEN has performed well week after week in the amateur ranks.

Race 13

(4) WHITTAKER changes barns for the fourth consecutive time. I can't guarantee a win, but he far and away looks like the most likely winner. (5) BUCKEYE IN CHARGE has been racing better in recent weeks and would be a surprise. (8) ELECTRIFY was dull in his first start for this barn; could improve. (9) CROCADILE CANYON has been racing well; worth using.
 

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CONCACAF Gold Cup TODAY 23:00
HondurasvPanama
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
BT213/8215/8More markets
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  • 2 - 2
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ALAWHWHDALHD
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KEY STAT: Honduras convereted only one of their 16 shots against USA

EXPERT VERDICT: Honduras and Panama failed to get the results they wanted in their first matches but both sides performed well, dominating possession. Both sides are creating plenty of scoring opportunities so expect an entertaining game. It should be close but Honduras played very well against highly-fancied USA and they could edge it.

RECOMMENDATION: Honduras
1


 

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CONCACAF Gold Cup Sa 11Jul 01:30
USAvHaiti
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
BT21/713/218More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUESRECENT FORM
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  • 2 - 2
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–-–-NLALADAD
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KEY STAT: USA have scored 14 goals in their last five games

EXPERT VERDICT: USA played poorly but managed to hold on for the win against Honduras while Haiti snatched a late equaliser to deny Panama victory. However, the Americans have a very strong squad, should improve their performance and comfortably beat Haiti to guarantee themselves a place in the knockout phase. Clint Dempsey scored both goals in their opener and can show the way again.

RECOMMENDATION: Dempsey to score first
1


 

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CONCACAF Gold Cup Su 12Jul 02:00
Costa RicavEl Salvador
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUESRECENT FORM
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NDNLNLADHWND
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KEY STAT: El Salvador have managed to score against only St Kitts & Nevis in their last seven outings

EXPERT VERDICT: Costa Rica looked to have sacrificed the defensive solidity they showed at last year's World Cup in their opening 2-2 draw with Jamaica but can kickstart their Gold Cup campaign in this clash. El Salvador failed to find the net for the fifth time in seven games in their goalless encounter with Canada and could be vulnerable to Costa Rica's more attacking style.

RECOMMENDATION: Costa Rica
3


 

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CONCACAF Gold Cup Su 12Jul 23:30
TrinidadvCuba
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–-–-–-ADHLHW
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KEY STAT: Jamaica have conceded in five of their last six matches

EXPERT VERDICT: After a predictably tough Copa America campaign, Jamaica performed with credit to gain an opening point against a useful Costa Rica outfit. However, the Reggae Boyz are prone to leaking the odd goal and against a Canada side who have netted in seven of their last eight matches, an open encounter looks likely.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
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MLB

Cardinals @ Pirates
Lynn is 3-0, 1.14 in his last five starts; his last eight all stayed under.

Cole is 1-1, 4.66 in his last three starts, all of which went over.

St Louis won eight of last ten games with Pittsburgh; home side won nine of last 11 series games. Cardinals won five of last seven games overall, as three of last four went over total. Pirates won eight of last ten games; under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.

Reds @ Marlins
Leake is 0-1, 9.00 in his last two starts; seven of his last ten went over.

Phelps is making first start since June 21; he is 2-1, 3.12 in his last four starts at home- five of his last seven starts overall stayed under.

Cincinnati lost eight of last 12 games overall; their last four games all stayed under total. Marlins lost four of last five games, outscored 19-10; under is 4-1-1 in their last six- they lost three of last five games with the Reds- six of last seven series games stayed under.

Diamondbacks @ Mets
Anderson is 2-1, 6.84 in his last four road starts, three of which went over.

Syndergaard is 1-0, 2.63 in his last four starts; seven of his last nine stayed under the total.

Arizona is 6-4 in its last ten games against the Mets; under is 6-1-1 in the last eight. D'backs won five of last six games; three of last four went over. Mets won four of last six games; their last three stayed under.

Braves @ Rockies
Miller is 0-2, 3.38 in his last six starts; six of his last eight went over, despite Atlanta scoring four runs is his last four outings.

de la Rosa is 2-0, 1.50 in his last three starts; five of his last seven went under.

Braves won six of last nine games (under 6-2-1); they lost last three games with Colorado (under 5-2-1 in last eight), which lost nine of last 12 games overall (over 3-2 last five).

Brewers @ Dodgers
Nelson is 3-0, 3.86 in his last three starts; over is 6-4 in his last ten.

Bolsinger is 0-2, 5.21 in his last four starts; five of his last seven went over.

Brewers are 7-3 in last ten games with the Dodgers; over is 4-0-1 in last five series games. Milwaukee won nine of last 11 games; three of last four went over total. Dodgers won six of last nine games; four of last six went over.

Phillies @ Giants
Hamels is 0-1, 2.42 in his last four starts; Phils scored nine runs in four games.

Bumgarner is 1-3, 3.25 in his last five starts; SF scored 11 runs in five games. .

Philly lost nine of last 11 games; over is 7-4-1 in their last 12 . Phillies lost four of last five games with the Giants; five of last six series games went over total. Giants lost eight of last nine games; five of their last six stayed under.

American League
Astros @ Rays
McHugh is 3-1, 3.29 in his last four starts; six of his last eight went over.

Ramirez is 5-1, 1.18 in his last seven starts (under 4-1-2).

Astros lost seven of last nine games with Tampa Bay; eight of last ten went under total. Houston lost five of last six games; last three stayed under- they are 9-20 in last 29 road games. Rays lost 10 of last 11 games (over 9-1-1).

A's @ Indians
Graveman is 3-0, 0.86 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five.

Salazar is 1-3, 6.35 in his last five starts, last three of which went over.

Oakland lost three of its last four games; six of last nine stayed under total; they won five of last seven games with the Indians- last four series games all went over. Cleveland won eight of last 11 games; five of their last seven stayed under the total.

Bronx @ Red Sox
Pineda is 0-2, 5.40 in his last three starts; three of his last four stayed under.

Buchholz is 4-0, 145 in his last four starts, last three of which stayed under.

Bronx won last four games with Boston; six of last eight series games went over total. Bombers won five of last seven games; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten. Red Sox won four in row, eight of last ten games; four of their last six went over.

Blue Jays @ Royals
Estrada is 2-1, 2.74 in his last four starts; five of his last seven went over.

Duffy is 0-4, 7.24 in his last six starts; three of his last four stayed under.

Toronto lost eight of last 11 games; six of their last nine went over total. Jays are 3-5 in last eight games with KC; under is 6-4 in last ten. Royals won six of last seven games; with last four going over the total.

Tigers @ Twins
Detroit lost first four Verlander starts (0-2, 7.15); all four games went over.

Santana allowed two runs in eight IP (93 PT) in his first '15 start.

Twins won four of last six games; under is 6-1-2 in their last nine games; they lost nine of last 11 games with Detroit (under 7-4). Tigers won five of last seven games; their 18-game streak of overs ended yesterday.

Angels @ Mariners
Santiago is 1-1, 2.05 in his last five starts; three of his last four went under.

Montgomery is 3-0, 0.38 in his last three starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six.

Angels won nine of last 11 games; five of their last six went over. Angels also won six of last nine games with Seattle- four of last five series games stayed under total. Mariners are 0-4 in game following their last four wins; five of their last seven games overall went over.

Interleague
White Sox @ Cubs
Rodon is 1-2, 7.78 in his last four starts, three of which went over.

Hendricks won his last two starts 1-0/2-0 (13.1 IP); seven of his last nine starts stayed under total.

White Sox won three of last four games with the Cubs; over is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. Pale Hose won seven of last nine games; five of their last seven stayed under. Cubs won seven of last ten, with last three going over.

Nationals @ Orioles
Gonzalez is 2-0, 0.64 in his last two starts but is 0-1, 6.86 in his last four road starts (over 3-0-1); over is 6-3-1 in his last ten starts overall.

Tillman is 4-0, 4.94 in his last six starts; Orioles scored 53 runs in those six games, with three of last five going over.

Washington lost seven of last nine games with Baltimore; over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Nationals lost three of last four road games; six of their last seven games overall stayed under. Orioles lost six of last seven games; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight.

Padres @ Rangers
Kennedy is 0-3, 6.88 in his last three starts; his last five stayed under. Padres scored one run in those three games.

Rodriguez is 1-2, 9.00 in his last three starts; over is 3-0-1 in his last four.

San Diego lost five of last seven games with Texas; four of last five stayed under the total. Padres lost last five games, scoring seven runs; in their last six games, under is 5-0-1. Rangers lost last five games, outscored 44-14.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
StL-Pitt-- Lynn 9-6; Cole 13-4
Cin-Mia-- Leake 7-10; Phelps 5-8
Az-NY-- Anderson 7-9; Syndergaard 5-5
Atl-Colo-- Miller 9-8; de la Rosa 8-5
Mil-LA-- Nelson 7-10; Bolsinger 6-6
Phil-SF-- Hamels 8-9; Bumgarmer 9-8

Hst-TB-- McHugh 11-6; Ramirez 9-3
A's-Clev-- Graveman 8-5; Salazar 10-5
NY-Bos-- Pineda 10-6; Buchholz 8-9
Tor-KC-- Estrada 6-6; Duffy 6-5
Det-Min-- Verlander 0-4; Santana 0-1
LAA-Sea-- Santiago 9-7; Montgomery 4-3

Chi-Chi-- Rodon 6-4; Hendricks 9-7
Wsh-Balt-- Gonzalez 10-5; Tillman 8-8
SD-Tex-- Kennedy 6-9; Rodriguez 9-5

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
StL-Pitt-- Lynn 4-15; Cole 7-17
Cin-Mia-- Leake 4-17; Phelps 5-13
Az-NY-- Anderson 6-16; Syndergaard 2-10
Atl-Colo-- Miller 2-17; de la Rosa 4-13
Mil-LA-- Nelson 9-17; Bolsinger 4-12
Phil-SF-- Hamels 5-17; Bumgarmer 4-17

Hst-TB-- McHugh 6-17; Ramirez 3-12
A's-Clev-- Graveman 4-13; Salazar 4-15
NY-Bos-- Pineda 5-16; Buchholz 4-17
Tor-KC-- Estrada 2-12; Duffy 2-11
Det-Min-- Verlander 2-4; Santana 0-1
LAA-Sea-- Santiago 3-16; Montgomery 1-7

Chi-Chi-- Rodon 4-10; Hendricks 2-16
Wsh-Balt-- Gonzalez 2-15; Tillman 3-16
SD-Tex-- Kennedy 5-15; Rodriguez 6-14
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Meadowlands

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 9 - Post: 8:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 70 - Purse:$12500 - 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES N/W 1 EXTENDED PM RACE LIFETIME NEW JERSEY SIRED HORSES ELIGIBLE FOR 60% BONUS


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 9 HIGHLAND ROCKSOLID 15/1


# 1 SINGIT LIKE ARETHA 3/1


# 2 WATCH N BE WATCHED 5/1

We've got a gut feel HIGHLAND ROCKSOLID is going to get the win and could score at a price in here. Her 62 avg has this filly among the best TrackMaster SRs in here. Seems to have a competitive class edge based on the horses she has raced against. Is a substantial win contender given the 62 speed fig from her most recent race. SINGIT LIKE ARETHA - We're not going to pass on this filly given one of the most respectable driver-trainer percentages around. WATCH N BE WATCHED - Risk takers have done competitively with progeny of this sire in the past, whose 9 ROI is one of the best in the field.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Tioga Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Post: 8:15 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 79
- Purse:$3700 - N/W $1,200

CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 STARSABOVEALLERAGE 3/1


# 4 MYATTITUDEURPROBLM 10/1


# 7 SIMAZ 8/1


STARSABOVEALLERAGE seems to be our best wagering option in this gathering. This solid standardbred has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 82 avg class figure. Should play well in this one. Is a bang-up choice given the 71 speed fig from his most recent race. Considered a solid bet based solely on his high win clip. MYATTITUDEURPROBLM - Clear-cut driver/trainer figures make this interesting entrant a very promising choice. Very likely will be putting mucho dinero down today. The 4 post is on fire here at Tioga Downs. More wins than is normal. SIMAZ - Definitely the class of the group of animals with an average rating of 83. A nice contender.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Northlands Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 45

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 5 FIDDLER ON A HOOF 9/2


# 6 VIPEROUS 7/2


# 1 PRIVILEGE 8/1


I think FIDDLER ON A HOOF is a strong choice. This filly has some longshot handicapping angles I like to bet on. Last time out, this filly was up against a much tougher crew. VIPEROUS - Looks very good to be close to the front end at the first call.
 

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