Friday 6/3/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[superbeets]

Copa America Sa 4Jun 02:30

USA

v

Colombia

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
PMSK		15/8	21/10	31/20	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
HWALHWAWHWNW​ Most recent​	2 - 2 0 - 0 0 - 1 3 - 0	ALADHLAWHWNW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: USA have scored 12 goals in their last four games

EXPERT VERDICT: USA have been in good form in their warm-up matches and are on a four-game winning run, but Colombia have recorded competitive victories over two of the same opponents, Bolivia and Ecuador, in 2016 scoring three goals each time. They also held Copa champions Chile to a draw in November, so will fancy themselves to get a result.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
2

 

[superbeets]

Copa America Sa 4Jun 22:00

Costa Rica

v

Paraguay

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
PMSK		2	2	6/4	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
AWHWALADHWHW​ Most recent​	0 - 0 2 - 1 0 - 2 0 - 1	HDALHWADHDNL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Just two of Paraguay’s last 27 games have been settled by a margin of more than one goal

EXPERT VERDICT: Paraguay have managed just one victory in their last six outings, while Costa Rica have won only two of their last nine matches. It looks difficult to separate the two sides and the fact that this is an opening game makes a cagey draw more likely.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
2

 

[superbeets]

Copa America Su 5Jun 00:30

Haiti

v

Peru

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		8	16/5	2/5	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
ALHLAWHDALNL​ Most recent​	1 - 1	HWALHDALHWNW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Haiti have won just one of their 15 matches against South American opposition

EXPERT VERDICT: The expansion of the Copa America to 16 teams has given Haiti a great opportunity, but they look set to find it tough against superior opposition. Peru, 25 places above them in the Fifa rankings, are not a powerhouse, but they should still get off to a winning start.

RECOMMENDATION: Peru
3

 

[superbeets]

Copa America Su 5Jun 03:00

Brazil

v

Ecuador

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		17/20	12/5	10/3	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
HWADHWHDADNW​ Most recent​	1 - 0 4 - 2 1 - 1 5 - 0	HWHWAWHDALAL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Brazil’s record against Ecuador is W11, D2, L2

EXPERT VERDICT: Brazil take on Ecuador in the Copa America at the Rose Bowl in California and it’s hard to make a case for any kind of upset. You have to go back to 2004 for the last time Ecuador beat Brazil and since then these two have met on six occasions, with the Samba Boys winning five times.

RECOMMENDATION: Brazil
4

 

[superbeets]

Copa America Su 5Jun 22:00

Jamaica

v

Venezuela

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
PMSK		2	2	29/20	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
ALHLAWHDALAW​ Most recent​	2 - 1 0 - 2 2 - 1 0 - 2	HWADHLADADAL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Venezuela have let in 17 goals and lost five of six World Cup qualifiers

EXPERT VERDICT: Jamaica lost all three games without scoring as guests at last year’s Copa and are in trouble in 2018 World Cup qualifying. But the Reggae Boyz are still a value bet to beat Venezuela in Chicago. They won a friendly 2-1 against La Vinotinto last year and beat Chile 2-1 last week.

RECOMMENDATION: Jamaica
1

 

[superbeets]

Copa America Mo 6Jun 01:00

Mexico

v

Uruguay

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
PMSK		6/4	11/5	19/10	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
AWNWAWHWNWNW​ Most recent​	0 - 1 0 - 1 3 - 1 3 - 1	HWALHWADHWHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Uruguay have won the last two head-to-heads 1-0

EXPERT VERDICT: Back Uruguay to win this match 1-0 in Glendale. Uruguay will be wary of a Mexico outfit that drew their opener in last year’s Copa 0-0, followed up with a Concacaf Gold Cup victory, and have coasted through to the next stage of World Cup qualifying.

RECOMMENDATION: Uruguay to win 1-0
1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Dream (5-1) at Sun (1-5)

Date: June 03, 2016 7:00 PM EDT

An indication of her growing maturity, Angel McCoughtry is trying to stay in a brighter mood when faced with obstacles.

McCoughtry and the Atlanta Dream, however, haven't encountered too many impediments so far this season and look to extend one of the best starts in franchise history Friday night.

The Connecticut Sun are trying to avoid matching their worst and their first 0-3 mark at home.

McCoughtry has been known as a mercurial player and one of the lowlights of her career was a team-imposed, two-game suspension in 2012.

"I didn't know how to channel adversity when I was younger. I love to win so much, I would get frustrated when we didn't. Now I channel my adversity by not getting frustrated and playing through it," she said.

McCoughtry is in her usual spot among the league leaders with 19 points per game, but she's getting a little more help this season. Tiffany Hayes is averaging 15.7 points, up from 12.9 in each of the previous two years, and Layshia Clarendon has made an even bigger leap while helping Atlanta jump out to a 5-1 record.

Clarendon is scoring 14.5 points per contest, nearly triple her average from her three seasons in Indiana. The guard has totaled 36 points in the past two games and had 17 as the Dream avenged their only defeat this season with an 85-76 victory over Indiana on Sunday, their fourth in a row.

McCoughtry led the way with 22 points and Atlanta is averaging 86.2 during the third-best start in team history, up from 77.8 in 2015. The Dream began 10-1 in 2013 and 6-1 in 2010.

"We are slowly but surely getting our momentum," coach Michael Cooper said. "We are playing good but it's early. With the format of the playoffs it is important that you win these games and that's why we are 5-1."

The Sun are 1-5 following their fourth consecutive defeat Tuesday, 99-90 at Phoenix. Connecticut has started 1-6 one other time in franchise history, in 2001 as the Orlando Miracle.

The Sun's leading scorer is Jasmine Thomas at 13.0 points per game. Connecticut is near the bottom in the league at 76.8 per contest and is giving up an average of 85.7.

The Sun have allowed their past two opponents to surpass 90 points.

The Dream won the final three of last season's five meetings and ended a five-game losing streak at Connecticut with a 102-92 victory Aug. 23. McCoughtry scored 33 points, one shy of matching her season high.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Fever (3-3) at Liberty (2-3)

Date: June 03, 2016 7:30 PM EDT

Shots aren't falling during a winless stretch the New York Liberty never experienced a season ago.

Losers of three straight, they'll finish a difficult homestand Friday night against an Indiana Fever team that's posed problems in the recent past.

New York (2-3) hasn't had an easy time against the WNBA's early season successes, dropping consecutive games to Los Angeles, Atlanta and Minnesota in a five-game stay at Madison Square Garden. Poor shooting has been the main culprit, with the Liberty hitting 36.3 percent from the field and going 7 of 32 on 3-pointers during the skid.

The Liberty missed 12 of their first 16 shots Tuesday against the unbeaten Lynx, who raced out to a 17-point lead behind Maya Moore's 11 first-quarter points en route to a 79-69 victory.

'Maya was great in the first quarter and we knew they were going to try and deliver the first punch,' forward Tina Charles said.

New York didn't lose more than two straight in compiling a league-best 23-11 record during the 2015 regular season. Four of those defeats came to Indiana (3-3), which later ousted the Liberty in three games in the Eastern Conference finals.

The Fever also have endured an uneven start, though they'll be entering a two-game road trip on a positive note following Wednesday's 85-75 win over Seattle. Lynetta Kizer and rookie Tiffany Mitchell each recorded career highs with 20 and 19 points, respectively, and Indiana shot 61.8 percent in the first half on the way to halting a two-game skid.

Mitchell started a third straight game in place of a concussed Shenise Johnson and the Fever also lost guard Maggie Lucas to a torn ACL in last Friday's 74-71 loss at Minnesota. They did get Briann January back Wednesday, with the veteran point guard logging 16 minutes off the bench in her return from microfracture knee surgery.

"It's always great having Bri back," coach Stephanie White told the team's official website. "I think one of the things that she does is she is calming factor for our team. She comes on the floor and everybody sort of feels a little more at ease because she understands what we're trying to get on the offense."

January played for the first time since Indiana's 66-51 Game 3 win at Madison Square Garden in September's East finals, in which she recorded six steals and the Fever forced 21 turnovers.

Indiana held Charles to 13 points on 6-of-16 shooting, though opponents have had a hard time containing her this season. The All-Star center is averaging league highs of 23.4 points and 11.8 rebounds while posting double-doubles in all five games.

Charles hasn't had much of a supporting cast with Sugar Rodgers slumping. Since going 6 of 8 on 3s in a career-high 24-point effort against Dallas on May 15, she's shot 29.3 percent while averaging 10.7 points during the losing streak.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Mystics (2-5) at Sky (3-4)

Date: June 03, 2016 8:30 PM EDT

Another dismal home defeat has the Washington Mystics ready to hit the road.

They've played their best basketball away from home and look to gain a split of a home-and-home set with the Chicago Sky on Friday night.

Washington (2-5) fell to 0-4 at home with Wednesday's 86-78 defeat to Chicago. The Mystics were shredded for 26 assists on the 32 baskets by the Sky.

The club may be feeling the pressure of playing at home.

"We just got to cut down on distractions I think," guard Tayler Hill said. "At some point, we've just got to come together, you know what I mean and not listen to the outside critics or the negative talk and we gotta block that out and play for us 12."

The Mystics are 2-1 on the road and have played much better basketball away from home as they start a three-game trip.

"Having two of them (the road games) be overtime games and we won them, last year we may have given some of those games away down the stretch, I think that's a huge confidence builder," coach Mike Thibault said.

Elena Delle Donne had 18 points and nine rebounds and Cappie Pondexter scored 16 in the Sky's fifth straight win over the Mystics.

Jamierra Faulkner had nine points and seven assists as she started her fifth straight game at point guard for Courtney Vandersloot, who missed three games with an ankle injury before returning for the last two off the bench. Faulkner is second in the league in field-goal percentage at 58.2.

Vandersloot had 10 points and eight assists in 16 minutes as she works her way back from the injury.

Stefanie Dolson scored 14 points while Hill made 3 of 14 shots for 11 for the Mystics, who know that they need a better defensive effort against the Sky in this rematch.

"Pressuring the ball, getting into them, making everything they do difficult and not letting them get anything easy and then offensively, just knock down open shots," Dolson said.

This is Chicago's only home game in the first 20 days of the month. The Sky have a four-game trip after this contest.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Mercury (2-4) at Storm (2-4)

Date: June 03, 2016 10:00 PM EDT

Having put their early season struggles behind, the Phoenix Mercury can now concentrate on re-establishing their dominance over the Seattle Storm.

The Mercury head to Seattle for Friday night's matchup with a two-game winning streak and an opportunity to avenge a surprising home loss to the Storm two weeks back.

Of all the outcomes during the Mercury's unexpected 0-4 start, none was more surprising than an 81-80 defeat to Seattle on May 20. The Storm ended nine straight losses in the series by holding Phoenix to 37.5 percent shooting and rallying from an early 13-point deficit.

Phoenix (2-4) played closer to its expected status as a title contender over the final two games of the homestand. After shooting 53.2 percent and receiving 28 points from Diana Taurasi in Sunday's 93-77 win over Washington, all five starters finished in double figures in Tuesday's 99-90 victory over Connecticut.

The Mercury overcame a 14-point second-quarter deficit against the Sun by taking care of the ball and shooting nearly flawlessly from the foul line. They committed just four turnovers while forcing 21 and went 27 of 31 on free throws, with Brittney Griner finishing 9 for 9 while recording a season-high 21 points.

"One thing we do have is veterans on this team that have been through it all," Taurasi said. "Games like this you could easily let go and kind of just put your head down and stop."

Phoenix felt it let one get away against the Storm, as it missed its final seven shots and failed to stop Jewell Loyd down the stretch. The 2015 WNBA Rookie of the Year scored 12 of her career-high 30 points in the fourth quarter and banked in a go-ahead 12-footer with 2.9 seconds left.

Loyd's play has been the X-factor for Seattle (2-4), as she's amassed 56 points and shot 56.8 percent in the Storm's two wins and averaged 13.5 points while missing 12 of 13 3-point tries in their four losses. She was held to 11 points in Wednesday's 85-75 defeat at Indiana, where the Fever went 13 for 17 from the floor during a 31-point second quarter and led by as many as 22 in the third.

"In the second quarter they had a lot of energy, a lot of aggressiveness and we never matched it," Seattle's Sue Bird said. "It seemed like they were just constantly coming at us."

Breanna Stewart, the league's Rookie of the Month for May, had 22 points Wednesday and is averaging 19.3 over her last three games. The 2016 No. 1 overall pick was held to 4-of-15 shooting in last month's meeting with Phoenix.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Meadowlands

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Post: 7:55 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$10000 - 3 YEAR OLD FILLIES N/W 2 EXTENDED PM RACES OR $20,000 LIFETIME


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 SKINNY DIPPER 5/2


# 9 ROLLATOWN 10/1


# 6 ADDY GIRL 12/1


Look no further than SKINNY DIPPER as the wager in this event. Exhibits the look of a profitable play, averaging a rather good 84 speed figure. It's often dangerous to consider based only on class, but this filly has among the most compelling class figures of the group of horses. If performance in the most recent race is any indicator, this interesting entrant will have a very very good shot in this one. High last race speed figure. ROLLATOWN - This horse may have some hidden form, a ultimate prize would be a pleasant surprise. ADDY GIRL - The number crunching team can't help but support this contender because the internal pace percentages fit well here at Meadowlands. Hands down the best slot at Meadowlands is the 6. The win percentage is tremendous.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrah's Philadelphia

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Post: 1:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$8500 - CLAIMING $10,000 WINNERS 2 RACES LAST 4 STARTS AT THIS CLAIMING LEVEL OR HIGHER INELIGIBLE PA PREFERENCE


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 6 CASH CAB 8/5


# 2 MYSTERY ISLAND 5/2


# 4 JS MCFLASH 12/1


CASH CAB is the clear stand out wager in the eyes of the consortium. Could surprise us at a nice price. Don't leave out. Very nice driver-trainer, winning 31 percent of the time. Seems to be a magnificent wager. With a excellent driver, who has won at a competitive 24 percent rate over the last 30 days, this has to be one of the top choices. MYSTERY ISLAND - He has been squaring off quite well and the TrackMaster speed figs are among the most solid in the group of horses. With a really strong 77 TrackMaster speed fig last time out, will most definitely be a factor in this competition. JS MCFLASH - The consortium gives this entrant a really good chance to win this one, class numbers are tops in the group of animals. When the starter calls, horses beginning out of the 4 hole have more wins than you would expect.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Arlington

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $22500 Class Rating: 96

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS OR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 3, 2016 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $40,000 1 LB.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 4 WESTERN ELEGANCE 3/1


# 6 BOOTLEGGIN 7/2


# 8 MALACHITE 9/2


WESTERN ELEGANCE is the top wager in this race. Earned a competitive Equibase Speed Fig last time out. Must be considered given the class of races run recently. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this equine look very strong in this race. BOOTLEGGIN - Should be given a chance for this race if only for the formidable speed figure put up in the last contest. MALACHITE - He has been racing admirably recently while recording strong Speed Figures. This gelding with Valdivia in the irons makes him a contender.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $15500 Class Rating: 67

FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 3 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 5 I'M A SPOT 12/1


# 1A RIGHT ON THE MONEY 7/2


# 3 GENTLEMAN JUSTIN 9/2


I'M A SPOT looks very strong to best this group and could score at a price in here. With Hiraldo controlling the reins on him, this gelding should be able to break out quickly in here. Is difficult not to examine given the company run in lately. Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. RIGHT ON THE MONEY - Conditioner has strong win rate (21 percent) at this distance and surface. I like the jockey on this gelding - competitive chance to win the race. GENTLEMAN JUSTIN - Overall, this trainer has been money-making at this distance/surface. He looks decent in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Monmouth Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:46pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $16,700 Class Rating: 89

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 WHIPPO (ML=3/1)
#2 ROYAL MOMENT (ML=7/2)


WHIPPO - In this race here, this pony has clearly shown signs that he likes the turf. His Equibase speed figures are the highest in the field for this distance and surface. Average class figure is tops in this field. I think that is a big edge for a turf race. ROYAL MOMENT - He keeps getting closer at the finish with each and every start. I like to play this handicapping theory, a thoroughbred coming back off a sharp contest within the last month.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 TALENT SHOW (ML=4/1), #10 FLOWERS FOR LISA (ML=5/1), #6 THORISTIC (ML=5/1),

TALENT SHOW - You always think this animal has a shot to be victorious, but he falls short often. All types of crazy zip entered for this event. No chance for this speed merchant. FLOWERS FOR LISA - If this race shapes up right, all the front runners will force a furious speed battle early. Too bad this horse is one of those front runners. Never really did much at all last time out on May 21st. Hard to wager on in today's race. THORISTIC - Three-year old versus older for the first time is a tough one. Have to see this effort first.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #4 WHIPPO on top if we're getting at least 2/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Pimlico - Race #3 - Post: 2:06pm - Maiden Claiming - 9.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 57

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 FED UP FIRED UP (ML=1/1)


FED UP FIRED UP - Trainer Delacour moves this one down the class scale to face a lower class of horses. Look for a solid effort at this level. Last time out on the sod, this animal was strong. Anything close right here, and this one should win. I'm focusing on the class of this race horse, and this one is the 'classiest' of the bunch. Here is an appropriate handicapping angle that I've used many times before. Play a filly (like this one) getting Lasix for the 2nd time. This filly's last fig is good enough to win here, I'll wager on her back again this time around.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 BOSSYPANTS BIANCA (ML=7/2), #7 OOHLALA (ML=4/1),

BOSSYPANTS BIANCA - I don't possess a 'use' intuition about this runner in this contest. OOHLALA - If you keep selecting these sort of 'hanger' types, you're going to be let down often. This filly finished off the board on May 12th and wasn't even close last time out either. Earned a pedestrian speed fig in the last race in a Maiden Special race on May 18th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that fig.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - FED UP FIRED UP - This mount is going to be tough against these ponies. Her trainer Delacour is successful with routes on the turf.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #3 FED UP FIRED UP on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
3 with [5,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #9 - BELMONT PARK - 5:45 PM EASTERN POST

8½ FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $12,500.00 CLAIMING $25,000.00 PURSE

#2B CITY STEEL / #2 LURE OF THE SOUTH
#5 LUCKBOX SAM
#1 HOWL
#8 SAINT FINIAN

#2B CITY STEEL is the overall speed leader in this claiming field racing at, or about, this afternoon's distance of 8½ furlongs on the dirt, and has turned in "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in each of his last five outings, including back-to-back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in his last three starts. The stablemate, #2 LURE OF THE SOUTH, is much less talented, yet has hit the board in two straight, winning in his last outing. I would not use this entry as a "key" in boxed, exotic tickets if CITY STEEL is scratched! #5 LUCKBOX SAM, a 5-1 shot, has produced "POWER RUNS" in four straight, hitting the board in three, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 2nd race back.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Friday 6/3 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 8/1,3,4/5,7/1,3,6,10/4,5,6 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 1,3,6,10/4,5,6/2,3,5/3 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 2,3,5/1,4/4,5/4,6,8,10 = $48

MEET STATS: 104 - 325 / $590.20 BEST BETS: 18 - 31 / $65.60

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 31 / $32.80

Best Bet: SOLAR SISTER (10TH) Spot Play: HIE BENNY (1ST)


Race 1

(4) HIE BENNY raced decently for Henry from the worst post last time and now moves to the middle of the gate. He should get a much more aggressive steer; call to upset. (8) BAX OF LIFE faces her easiest competition in a long time here and is the obvious horse to beat, but her racing style often works against her and she will likely be odds-on. (10) KINETIC KING was a good second in this class last time and has the speed to get position early from this post. He isn’t out of this. (7) HARLEIGH RYDER had a long trip last time and is capable of better.

Race 2

(4) MERCHANDISER closed well last time but the winner was long gone. He can beat these if he starts his move earlier. (3) EMOTICON HANOVER should benefit from her seasonal bow and threaten here from an improved post. (1) WINDSONG MAGIC faces easier and is another contender to consider. Note she won last time she raced in the non-winners of two class. (8) DIA MONDE was an easy winner then a vet scratch. Facing tougher here, he is likely to take a smaller share.

Race 3

(7) MAPLELEA had equipment issues last time which caused her to lose all chance. The class drop should help and this is a field she should handle. (5) BET YA disappointed last time but should be a threat here from close range. (6) KATIES BEACH will be closing and passing many of these late for a share. (1) RIDE AWAY SHARK comes off a good performance at London and could better this placing if she leaves in the top flight.

Race 4

(6) LADY JEN powered up late to win last week and her improved stretch speed appears to give her an edge over these; top call. (10) IN THE SHADOWS drops into a claimer after facing the same sharp winner three times straight. She will find these easier and is a contender despite her weak win record. (3) SPORTSONTHEBEACH has reeled off three straight out of town and must be considered here. (1) SOPHIE BLU self-destructed on the lead last time and can rebound here with a better placing if she behaves.

Race 5

(4) HOPE FOR PADDY lands in a spot where there should be some early battling for the front. She could roll by some winded foes late here. (5) PRINCESS KATIE has really turned up her game and is the one to beat, but she could face more heat early here. (6) SOUTHWIND GEISHA is another closer that could benefit from some hot fractions here. (9) BAROCKEY should stick around for a share after blasting early.

Race 6

(3) UTOPIA flew home to win last week and that late speed should be respected despite the step up in class. (2) CAULFIELD raced much better on the class drop and should be a top contender here back at the same level. (5) HUBBY NUMBER ONE took a new life’s mark last week and will be a threat again from close range. (1) FASHION GODDESS is a good one to use on the bottom of tri and super wagers.

Race 7

(3) DE VALERIA just missed to an iron-tough mare last week and this step up may not be that great; slight nod. (5) CALL IT COURAGE has been racing better and will likely get sent for position near the front here, which makes her a threat. (2) SHOW SOME LEG qualified okay and has done well here in the past; using. (6) MYSTERY WRITER faces easier and could stick around for a slice.

Race 8

(2) TORTOLA SUNRISE has taken a new life’s mark two weeks straight and should get another good trip near the front here. (5) CLASSIC VENTURE ships in for a trainer that sends them ready and has the speed to contend. (3) MUSCLES FOR LIFE should go much better from an improved post and could turn the tables on the choice here. (1) IRISH SCOTCH is showing signs of improvement and is in with an upset chance here.

Race 9

(4) LINWOOD BEACHGIRL faces tougher here but should be able to latch onto cover and unleash her potent late kick to extend her winning streak. (1) SHE LIGHTS OUT is just a nose short of three straight wins herself and is the main threat to the choice. (8) MISS BABE DELIGHT will be closing late and can make the tri or super. (2) TOP ROYAL had to re-qualify after breaking last time but could contend on or near the lead is she stays flat.

Race 10

(4) SOLAR SISTER went a tough trip after missing 20 days last week and she should be sharper here; can beat these with a slightly better trip. (5) WITCH DALI rode a speed-favoring track to a front-stepping victory but also took a new life’s mark in the process; respect her sharp form. (7) LADY SHADOW returns to her favorite track and could show sharp improvement. (1) MUCH ADOO can take a share off a following trip near the lead.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Meadowlands: Friday 6/3 Analysis
By Derick Giwner

DRF HARNESS

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 34 - 92 / $160.60 (-$23.40) BEST BETS: 4 - 8/ $9.90 (-6.10)

Best Bet: GIRLOFYOURDREAMS (9th)

Spot Play: NOT BEFORE EIGHT (7th)


Race 1

(9) REAL DJ HANOVER seems to be ready for a peak effort in his third start of the year and gets in really cheap in this amateur race. Driver Sarah Svanstedt is Ake’s wife and she looked fine in the bike during a recent qualifier. (2) DOC SIMON’S DREAM made a costly early break last time; forgive and forget. (10) WINDSUN GALLIANO broke as the heavy favorite in his last try with Kleinhans in the bike. Perhaps he learned something from that experience.

Race 2

(2) GOIN TO THE LIMIT comes off an impressive 3-year-old debut and seems like one to follow. (1A) MARGARITA M rolled along on the engine in her latest qualifier and was a completely different horse. I would want a decent price to play her, but she could have some talent. (2A) JIMMY WILLIAM stayed flat and finished fast last time. The talent is there with this guy and he comes as the betting partner of the top choice. (5) CATCH A MISSION has done well in both career starts.

Race 3

(5) SKINNY DIPPER has been having issues against PA-sired company against the likes of top filly Darlinonthebeach. This field is much easier. (8) GRACEFUL VISION has some breaking issues but did pace in 1:52 3/5 last year; demand some value. (3) AMERICAN CURVES had been racing well at Mohawk before her last couple of starts; worth a look.

Race 4

(3) DEMONS N DIAMONDS raced okay in 2015 and finally seems ready for her 4-year-old debut off some decent qualifiers; questionable field. (7) VERDI raced well on the drop to this level last time and should be involved in the outcome. (5) ICE O LATE couldn’t ask for a much easier spot and has been racing a bit better of late.

Race 5

(2) BALLINEEN returns to the NW3500 level and actually gets a good post to work with this time around. I’ll give her the slight edge over (7) EXOTIC BEACH, who has won here in the past and should benefit from the addition of David Miller. (1) M A JACKIE has been racing steadily and should get a piece of the exotics.

Race 6

I don’t have a strong opinion in this race and will likely press the ALL button in this last leg of the pick four. (1) QUICK DEAL was a very fast horse at one point in his career. He comes off a decent mile in his first start for Svanstedt and should enjoy the switch back to the mile track. (3) YOU ROCK MY WORLD moves into a decent barn and should keep his form. (2) JEWELS IN HOCK was sharp in the Miss Versatility, but things did go her way that night. (8) CAN DO reunites with Gingras, who posted consecutive wins with him two and three starts back.

Race 7

(2) NOT BEFORE EIGHT had no chance last Friday after the leader put up a soft 56 1/5 half. Tetrick jumps in the bike now and I expect a big effort. (3) TABLE TALK is another mare getting an interesting driver change. She could go a long way with Gingras steering the ship. (6) SHEEZA SHARK N tends to bring an honest effort more often than not.

Race 8

(2) MEADOWBRANCH WENDY appears to be way up in class but was able to trot a 1:53 3/5 winning mile last year. She is sharp and should only be helped by reuniting with Tetrick. (5) FOREVER ROYAL flashed crazy speed in his first start with hobbles and remarkably held reasonably well. Maybe he is ready to turn a corner? (1) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT comes off a sharp score, but this guy wears two fly screens to keep him calm and I wonder what happens if he gets stressed during the mile. (4) I C CAVIAR has some form and could provide exotics value.

Race 9

(6) GIRLOFYOURDREAMS continues to race better as she drops in class and should be ready to roll in this spot. (1) INTOVIEW charged home last week after taking plenty of tote action. (8) THAT WOMAN HANOVER can play with this group if on her game.

Race 10

(6) ASTOR was close to the early pace in a very fast mile last time and kept up nicely in the late stages. Fusco, Jr. trainee finds a soft spot and can take charge. (3) BULLSEYE made a bid first-over a week ago and also held well late. (5) CARD SHOCK failed as the favorite last time but deserves a second chance.

Race 11

(5) FERRISWHEEL JUNKIE came to the rim and kept rolling along last week and seems more than capable of handling tonight’s class rise. (3) COMMENTARY has raced well each of the last three weeks and seems like the main threat on paper. (4) CREAMPUFF MACDADDY has plenty of early speed and class. Maybe the switch to the big track helps?

Race 12

(6) WOODMERE ULTIMATE doesn’t look like much on paper with an 0-18 record in 2016, but in my humble opinion he lays over this field. I’ll take the short price. (3) RUSTY SKIPP finally gets a good post to work with and adds Tetrick to the equation. (1) BO’S SO HOT can stick within striking position from the inside post and pass one or two late for a good check. (4) HUXLEY closed okay last time. He’s another horse without much form in 2016 in this blank field.