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Euro Championships TODAY 19:45
WalesvBelgium
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN WALESRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Wales haven’t beaten Belgium in the last five meetings

EXPERT VERDICT: This top-of-the-table clash could be a cracker, as only goal difference separates the pair in Group B. Belgium have scored 13 goals in five qualifying games and can take advantage of a Welsh defence weakened by injuries, but the confident hosts have Gareth Bale and Aaron Ramsey in their ranks.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
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Copa America Sa 13Jun 00:30
MexicovBolivia
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
PMSK1/210/311/2More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUESRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Mexico have won only two of their last seven Copa America matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Mexico bombed out of the last Copa America, scoring once as they lost all three matches, and while they should give a much better account this time it’s worth remembering this is essentially a B squad. Even so, powder-puff minnows Bolivia are unlikely to take advantage.

RECOMMENDATION: Mexico to win 1-0
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Euro Championships Sa 13Jun 19:45
N IrelandvRomania
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS521/1021/107/5More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN N IRELANDRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Romania have conceded only one goal in five qualifiers

EXPERT VERDICT: Despite claiming four wins from five Group F outings, Northern Ireland still have a long way to go if they’re to achieve their goals of reaching the Euro finals. Northern Ireland's sole defeat came against Romania last November and Anghel Iordanescu’s visitors have yet to lose during their qualifying campaign.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
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Euro Championships Sa 13Jun 17:00
IrelandvScotland
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS113/1013/523/10More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN IRELANDRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Only one goal has been scored in four of the last six meetings between the pair

EXPERT VERDICT: Ireland warmed up for this crucial Group D clash with a dismally dull 0-0 friendly against England and will have to show more of a goal threat if they’re to worry Scotland. Defeat for the hosts would all but end their chances of qualifying for Euro 2016, but the Scots are in cracking form and the draw looks the value.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
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Copa America Sa 13Jun 20:00
UruguayvJamaica
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUESRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Jamaica are 65th in the Fifa world rankings

EXPERT VERDICT: This could be a mismatch and Uruguay can boost their goal difference before the more difficult matches to come in Group B. The emphasis will be on Edinson Cavani with Luis Suarez suspended and he finished the season for Paris Saint-Germain with ten goals in his last seven league games.

RECOMMENDATION: E Cavani first goalscorer
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Copa America Sa 13Jun 22:30
ArgentinavParaguay
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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUESRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Argentina have scored 12 goals in their last three matches against Paraguay

EXPERT VERDICT: Paraguay finished World Cup qualifying rock bottom and this is a daunting task against the tournament favourites, who won 5-2 in Asuncion during the Conmebol campaign. No country can match Argentina’s array of attacking stars and in the unlikely event Lionel Messi fails to fire there is always Aguero, Higuain, Tevez or Lavezzi.

RECOMMENDATION: Argentina-Argentina double result
2


 
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MLB MONEYLINE

MLB > (973) MINNESOTA@ (974) TEXAS | 06/12/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play ON TEXAS using the money line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 14 Wins and 5 Losses for the this season (+15.32 units)

MLB > (969) TORONTO@ (970) BOSTON | 06/12/2015 - 07:10 PM
Play AGAINST BOSTON using the money line in Home games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 20 Wins and 39 Losses for the last two seasons (-26.9 units)

MLB > (975) SEATTLE@ (976) HOUSTON | 06/12/2015 - 08:10 PM
Play ON SEATTLE using the money line in Road games in June games
The record is 12 Wins and 3 Losses for the last two seasons (+13.04 units)

MLB > (979) KANSAS CITY@ (980) ST LOUIS | 06/12/2015 - 08:15 PM
Play ON KANSAS CITY using the money line in Road games in June games
The record is 12 Wins and 2 Losses for the last two seasons (+11.45 units)

MLB > (961) LA DODGERS@ (962) SAN DIEGO | 06/12/2015 - 10:10 PM
Play AGAINST LA DODGERS using the money line in Road games after 3 or more consecutive wins
The record is 0 Wins and 9 Losses for the last two seasons (-10.45 units)

MLB > (963) ARIZONA@ (964) SAN FRANCISCO | 06/12/2015 - 10:15 PM
Play AGAINST SAN FRANCISCO using the money line in Home games in June games
The record is 5 Wins and 15 Losses for the last two seasons (-13.8 units)

MLB > (977) OAKLAND@ (978) LA ANGELS | 06/12/2015 - 10:05 PM
Play AGAINST OAKLAND using the money line in All games in games played on a grass field
The record is 22 Wins and 35 Losses for the this season (-20.05 units)
 
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MLB RUNLINE

MLB > (973) MINNESOTA@ (974) TEXAS | 06/12/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play ON MINNESOTA using the in All games on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5
The record is 16 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+14.3 units)

MLB > (979) KANSAS CITY@ (980) ST LOUIS | 06/12/2015 - 08:15 PM
Play ON KANSAS CITY using the in Road games in June games
The record is 13 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+12.7 units)
 
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MLB TOTALS

MLB > (977) OAKLAND@ (978) LA ANGELS | 06/12/2015 - 10:05 PM
Play OVER OAKLAND on the total in All games against division opponents
The record is 21 Overs and 8 Unders for the this season (+13.1 units)

MLB > (961) LA DODGERS@ (962) SAN DIEGO | 06/12/2015 - 10:10 PM
Play OVER SAN DIEGO on the total in All games in games played on a grass field
The record is 38 Overs and 22 Unders for the this season (+15.5 units)

MLB > (955) ATLANTA@ (956) NY METS | 06/12/2015 - 07:10 PM
Play OVER ATLANTA on the total in All games in all games
The record is 36 Overs and 20 Unders for the this season (+14.95 units)
 
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MLB TOP POWERLINE

MLB > (951) CINCINNATI @ (952) CHICAGO CUBS | 06/12/2015 - 04:05 PM
Line: CHICAGO CUBS -125 BTB PowerLine: CHICAGO CUBS 112
Edge On: CHICAGO CUBS (17)

MLB > (967) NY YANKEES @ (968) BALTIMORE | 06/12/2015 - 07:05 PM
Line: BALTIMORE +104 BTB PowerLine: BALTIMORE 140
Edge On: BALTIMORE (16)

MLB > (953) PHILADELPHIA @ (954) PITTSBURGH | 06/12/2015 - 07:05 PM
Line: PITTSBURGH -170 BTB PowerLine: PITTSBURGH -178
Edge On: PITTSBURGH (8)

MLB > (957) COLORADO @ (958) MIAMI | 06/12/2015 - 07:10 PM
Line: MIAMI -130 BTB PowerLine: MIAMI -115
Edge On: MIAMI (15)

MLB > (973) MINNESOTA @ (974) TEXAS | 06/12/2015 - 08:05 PM
Line: TEXAS -145 BTB PowerLine: TEXAS -127
Edge On: TEXAS (18)

MLB > (975) SEATTLE @ (976) HOUSTON | 06/12/2015 - 08:10 PM
Line: HOUSTON +145 BTB PowerLine: HOUSTON -104
Edge On: HOUSTON (49)

MLB > (959) WASHINGTON @ (960) MILWAUKEE | 06/12/2015 - 08:10 PM
Line: MILWAUKEE -111 BTB PowerLine: MILWAUKEE -102
Edge On: MILWAUKEE (9)

MLB > (979) KANSAS CITY @ (980) ST LOUIS | 06/12/2015 - 08:15 PM
Line: ST LOUIS -125 BTB PowerLine: ST LOUIS -107
Edge On: ST LOUIS (18)

MLB > (977) OAKLAND @ (978) LA ANGELS | 06/12/2015 - 10:05 PM
Line: LA ANGELS -125 BTB PowerLine: LA ANGELS 103
Edge On: LA ANGELS (8)

MLB > (961) LA DODGERS @ (962) SAN DIEGO | 06/12/2015 - 10:10 PM
Line: SAN DIEGO +180 BTB PowerLine: SAN DIEGO 201
Edge On: SAN DIEGO (21)

MLB > (963) ARIZONA @ (964) SAN FRANCISCO | 06/12/2015 - 10:15 PM
Line: SAN FRANCISCO -180 BTB PowerLine: SAN FRANCISCO -147
Edge On: SAN FRANCISCO (8)
 
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MLB

National League
Reds @ Cubs
Cueto is 1-1, 2.33 in his last four stats; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight.

Hammel is 3-1, 2.47 in his last six starts; seven of his last nine stayed under.

Cincinnati lost eight of last nine games with the Cubs. Reds won four of last five games overall; nine of their last 11 games went over. Cubs won four of their last five games.

Phillies @ Pirates
Correia is making first '15 start; he's made 216 MLB starts, was 5-13, 4.94 in 23 starts for the Twins last season.

Locke is 1-1, 6.66 in his last five starts.

Phillies lost seven of last ten games with Pittsburgh, but won last two; Phils lost six of last seven games overall- eight of their last nine went over the total. Pirates won six of last nine games; last four stayed under.

Braves @ Mets
Wood is 3-1, 2.33 in his last four starts; under is 2-0-1 in his last three.

Colon is 2-1, 3.60 in his last three starts; over is 5-3-1 in his last nine.

Atlanta lost its last four games with the Mets; six of last seven series games went over. Braves lost six of last nine games- seven of the nine went over the total. Mets lost six of last nine; three of last four went over.

Rockies @ Marlins
Kendrick is 1-2, 5.54 in his last four starts, three of which went over.

Urena is 0-2, 4.86 in his three starts, all of which stayed under; Marlins scored total of five runs in those three games.

Colorado lost four of last five games in Miami; three of last four series games stayed under. Rockies lost last two games, scoring two runs; four of last five games stayed under. Marlins lost four of last six; under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games.

Nationals @ Brewers
Zimmerman is 3-1, 1.91 in his last five starts; three of his last four went under.

Fiers is 1-2, 2.78 in his last six starts, all of which stayed under, but he lasted total of only 32.1 innings in those six games.

Washington won seven of last 11 games with Milwaukee; four of last five went over total. Nationals lost seven of their last nine games. Brewers won five of last seven games; five of their last six games stayed under.

Dodgers @ Padres
Kershaw is 3-0, 0.82 in his last three starts; four of his last six went over.

Despaigne is 1-2, 2.42 in his last four starts, three of which stayed under.

Dodgers won seven of last ten games with San Diego; three of last four series games stayed under. LA won four of its last five games; four of its last six went under total. Padres won six of last nine; over is 8-2 in their last ten.

Diamondbacks @ Giants
Anderson is 1-0, 2.51 in his last seven starts; four of his last five went under.

Bumgarner is 4-0 3.74 in his last five starts; five of his last six went over.

Arizona won three of last four games with Giants; they lost last four games overall, allowing 25 runs- three of rhose four went over. SF won four of their last six games; over is 6-1-1 in their last eight. Giants lost their last five home games- this is their first home game in nine days.

American League
Indians @ Tigers
Salazar is 2-0, 2.63 in his last four starts, three of which stayed under.

Price is 2-1, 1.90 in his last three starts (under 2-1).

Detroit won nine of last ten games with Cleveland; nine of those ten got over the total. Indians lost three of last four games; under is 6-2-1 in their last nine. Tigers won three of last four- three of those four went over.

Bronx @ Orioles
Pineda is 2-0, 2.13 in his last two starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six.

Jimenez is 1-1, 3.50 in his last six starts; five of his last seven stayed under.

Bronx won three of last four games with Baltimore; over is 6-2-2 in last ten series games. Bronx won seven of last eight games overall. Orioles won last four games, allowing ten runs; six of their last eight stayed under.

Blue Jays @ Red Sox
Hutchison is 2-0, 2.18 in his last three starts; over is 7-3 in his last ten.

Kelly is 1-2, 4.50 in his last five starts; five of his last six stayed under.

Blue Jays won last their eight games, scoring 57 runs; over is 3-1-1 in their last five. Toronto-Boston split last ten meetings; under is 3-0-1 in last four. Red Sox lost last three games, scoring seven runs; under is 4-2 in last six.

White Sox @ Rays
Danks is 1-2, 6.00 in his last four starts; four of his last six stayed under.

Andriese is 0-1, 6.75 in his three starts (over 2-1).

Chicago won four of last five games with Tampa Bay; over is 3-1-1 in the five games. White Sox won last three games, allowing four runs; five of their last seven games stayed under. Rays won six of last nine games; five of their last seven stayed under the total.

Twins @ Rangers
Milone is 0-2, 7.98 in his last three starts; his last four went over.

Rodriguez is 2-0, 2.92 in his last four starts; eight of his last nine went under.

Minnesota lost four of last five games with Texas; under is 8-1-1 in last ten series games. Twins lost five of last six games; four of last five stayed under total. Rangers lost three of last four; six of last seven stayed under total.

Mariners @ Astros
Hernandez is 3-1, 2.93 in his last four starts; under is 8-1-1 in his last ten.

Oberholtzer is 0-4, 5.40 in his last six starts; four of his last five went under.

Seattle lost eight of last nine games with Houston; seven of last ten got over total. Mariners are 3-2 in last five games; seven of their last eight went under total. Houston lost its last seven games; six of last eight stayed under.

A's @ Angels
Chavez is 1-3, 2.67 in his last four starts; under is 6-0-1 in his last seven.

Santiago is 2-1, 2.36 in his last seven outings; five of his last six starts stayed under the total.

Oakland lost six of last nine games with the Angels; seven of last eight series games went over. A's are 8-5 in last 13 games; four of last six stayed under. Angels lost six of last eight games; five of last seven went over.

Interleague
Royals @ Cardinals
Ventura is 0-2, 4.76 in his last three starts; under is 4-0-1 in his last five.

Garcia is 1-4, 3.66 in his last five starts; six of his last seven stayed under- he has a 1.93 RA in his last two starts.

Royals won six of last eight games with St Louis; under is 3-0-1 in last four in series. KC won its last four games, allowing six runs; under is 8-1-1 in last 10 games. Redbirds won six of last nine games; five of last six stayed under.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Cin-Chi-- Cueto 6-5; Hammel 6-5
Phil-Pitt-- Correia 0-0; Locke 5-6
Atl-NY-- Wood 4-8; Colon 8-4
Col-Mia-- Kendrick 3-9; Urena 1-2
Wsh-Mil-- Zimmerman 7-5; Fiers 5-7
LA-SD-- Kershaw 7-5; Despaigne 4-4
Az-SF-- Anderson 3-8; Bumgarner 8-4

Clev-Det-- Salazar 8-2; Price 10-2
NY-Balt-- Pineda 8-3; Jimenez 5-6
Tor-Bos-- Hutchison 7-5; Kelly 5-6
Chi-TB-- Danks 5-6; Andriese 2-1
Min-Tex-- Milone 3-2; Rodriguez 6-3
Sea-Hst-- Hernandez 10-2; Oberholtzer 2-1
A's-LA-- Chavez 2-7; Santiago 5-6

KC-StL-- Ventura 4-7; Garcia 1-3

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Cin-Chi-- Cueto 4-11; Hammel 2-11
Phil-Pitt-- Correia 0-0; Locke 3-11
Atl-NY-- Wood 4-12; Colon 3-12
Col-Mia-- Kendrick 7-12; Urena 2-3
Wsh-Mil-- Zimmerman 5-12; Fiers 1-12
LA-SD-- Kershaw 3-12; Despaigne 3-8
Az-SF-- Anderson 4-11; Bumgarner 2-12

Clev-Det-- Salazar 4-10; Price 3-12
NY-Balt-- Pineda 3-11; Jimenez 1-11
Tor-Bos-- Hutchison 3-12; Kelly 6-11
Chi-TB-- Danks 4-11; Andriese 1-3
Min-Tex-- Milone 2-5; Rodriguez 4-9
Sea-Hst-- Hernandez 2-12; Oberholtzer 2-3
A's-LA-- Chavez 2-9; Santiago 2-11

KC-StL-- Ventura 4-11; Garcia 2-4
 
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Pitchers to Watch - NL

June 11, 2015


NL Starting Pitcher Rankings – through 6.10.15

Starting pitching is critical to the result of any baseball game and there are many ways to evaluate the numbers. Here are my current top 15 pitchers in the National League through June 10. This is an objective list based on a combination of 2015 statistics and does not factor in any of the strengths and weaknesses of the respective teams these players pitch for, nor any previous season results.

1) Clayton Kershaw – Los Angeles Dodgers: While April was a forgettable month for the Dodgers ace and 2014 MVP winner the prized left-hander has re-gained his form with three excellent outings in a row including his best start of the season last week. Kershaw owns the lowest xFIP in the NL and the highest strikeout rate in the NL and his conventional numbers should only continue to improve. While his average Game Score is only the ninth best in the NL at this point in the season he ranks tied for second in the league over his last five starts. Kershaw will face plenty of lines priced above -200 moving forward but he remains on a historically great run.

2) Jacob deGrom – New York Mets: Over his last five starts Jacob deGrom owns an average Game Score of 74.2 for an incredibly dominant run of starts. His xFIP is the fifth best in the NL and while he doesn’t have quite the strikeout rate of some of the other top starters he has one of the lowest home run rates in the league and opponents are batting just .219 against him as he has picked up wins in six of his last seven starts. Just like his team, deGrom has not pitched nearly as well on the road this season however where his ERA is 4.06 compared to a 1.34 ERA at Citi Field.

3) Max Scherzer – Washington Nationals: Even with back-to-back shaky outings for tough start to June Scherzer’s arsenal has translated well back in the NL this season. He owns the highest average Game Score in the NL and the highest median Game Score in the league as well by a wide margin. He has a top 5 strikeout rate and a top 5 ERA in the league though he has a significantly lesser groundball percentage than most of his peers on this list. The Nationals have lost his last two starts but Scherzer will remain a hefty favorite most nights and rightfully so.

4) Gerrit Cole – Pittsburgh Pirates: It has been a breakout season for the former #1 pick leading an outstanding Pirates rotation. Cole leads the NL with a 1.73 ERA and while that mark is nearly a full run lower than his xFIP at this point he has been a bit unlucky with a .317 BABIP. Cole has done a great job at stranding base runners this season which will be worth keeping an eye on as the season goes on. Cole has been very consistent with a Game Score of 57 or higher in all but two of his 12 starts this season.

5) Jason Hammel – Chicago Cubs: Perhaps the biggest surprise on this list and a pitcher that potentially could regress the rest of the season, Hammel has posted great numbers to help the Cubs stay in contention in the NL. He is in the league’s top 9 in ERA and xFIP while currently holding the lowest WHIP in the league at 0.89. Hammel has walked just nine batters in 75 innings and opponents are batting just .211 against him. A .255 BABIP is a concern moving forward as Hammel has had some favorable bounces but it is hard to argue with his results with a Game Score of 64 or higher in six of his last eight outings.

6) Johnny Cueto – Cincinnati Reds: On a struggling Reds team with a terrible bullpen Cueto continues to do fine work on the mound. He has had just one start with a Game Score below 50 this season and he owns the second lowest WHIP in the NL at 0.94. His 4-4 record is disappointing but he has done his job as the Reds have scored a combined total of two runs in his four defeats. His 3.21 xFIP is significantly higher than his 2.64 ERA and he doesn’t have the elite strikeout rate of some of his peers but Cueto remains a very reliable option, particularly at home.

7) Carlos Martinez – St. Louis Cardinals: The Cardinals are 10-2 behind Martinez this season and he would be even higher on this list if not for two rough consecutive outings in early May with seven runs allowed in each outing. Martinez has allowed just three runs and 21 hits over his last five outings spanning nearly 34 innings including beating the Dodgers in back-to-back outings. He is striking out nearly 10 batters per nine innings and is in the NL’s top 12 in both ERA and xFIP. A high walk rate is a bit concerning but Martinez has the stuff to continue to dominate.

8) Francisco Liriano – Pittsburgh Pirates: Liriano has been somewhat erratic throughout his career and this season has been no exception. Liriano owns a misleading 3-5 record which hides his potential with the third best strikeout rate in the NL and the fourth lowest xFIP. Liriano owns a .242 BABIP which could climb upward as opponents are batting just .184 against him but his command has been sharp this season with a 1.02 WHIP. Liriano has eight starts this season with a Game Score of 65 or higher as he remains capable of high end outings and he is certainly one of the NL’s most feared left-handers.

9) Zack Greinke – Los Angeles Dodgers: With a glowing 1.92 ERA Greinke is a quality start machine. His strikeout rate has not reached his past success averaging fewer than 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings however and his xFIP is nearly a run and a half higher than his ERA. No team would complain about the numbers Greinke is putting up but he has pitched more than seven innings just twice in 12 starts which hurts his standing on this list and he has benefitted from a .248 BABIP. Greinke will remain one of the highest priced pitchers in the game with the first place Dodgers behind him though he has not been quite as dominant as it looks.

10) Cole Hamels – Philadelphia Phillies: Lowly Philadelphia is 7-6 with Hamels starting this season he will remain the top pitching trade target for contenders looking to add a quality arm to the rotation. Hamels has been around for a while but at just 31 years old he is having another strong season with numbers in line with his past track record even pitching for another losing Phillies team. Hamels has had three marginal starts this season but his median Game Score is the fifth best in the NL at 64.5 and he is on pace to have his highest strikeout rate since his rookie season in 2006.

11) A. J. Burnett – Pittsburgh Pirates: Everyone has always felt that Burnett has had the stuff to be one of the top starters in baseball. After several good but rarely great seasons Burnett has put it all together in the first half in 2015 even at age 38. He owns the fourth lowest ERA in the NL and he has allowed just three home runs in 12 starts, spanning nearly 77 innings. Burnett’s career track record often features the occasional awful outing sprinkled in every handful of starts and he has avoided that fate this season so far.

12. Shelby Miller – Atlanta Braves: Miller nearly had a no-hitter earlier this season but in his four starts since that game he has been much less effective. His season ERA is just 1.84, second best in the NL but his xFIP is more than two runs higher at 3.94, certainly a concern moving forward as his current .218 BABIP is likely unsustainable. With a struggling bullpen backing him up Miller has just five wins but with a 0.98 WHIP and opponents batting just .188 against him it has been an incredible first two months of the season for the still just 24-year old.

13) Matt Harvey – New York Mets: One rough mid-May outing in Pittsburgh spoiled his numbers a bit but in his return from surgery Harvey has not disappointed for the surprising Mets. After starting the season 5-0 he is just 1-4 since but a 3.06 xFIP is among the better marks in the league and his strikeout and walk rates are outstanding. Seven of his 12 starts have featured a Game Score of 64 or higher and he is starting to go deeper into games with two eight-inning outings in his last five starts and nine or more strikeouts in four of his last six starts.

14) Jake Arrieta – Chicago Cubs: Arrieta has made 12 starts for the Cubs this season but few of them have been bad outings and Arrieta owns the second lowest xFIP in the NL behind only Kershaw. He has a better than 5:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio and he has been a bit unlucky with a .320 BABIP. He is a big reason why the Cubs could hang around the playoff chase all season long.

15) Michael Wacha – St. Louis Cardinals: Wacha has not pitched quite as well as his record and reputation as the Cardinals opened the season with wins in his first nine starts of 2015. A 3.79 xFIP is much higher than his ERA and he is producing fewer than seven strikeouts per nine innings. Wacha has not had many dominant starts with his highest Game Score this season being just 67 but he has been consistently good to very good though he is starting to be a bit overpriced.

Next Five: James Shields – San Diego Padres, Dan Haren – Miami Marlins, Madison Bumgarner – San Francisco Giants, Lance Lynn – St. Louis Cardinals, Chris Heston – San Francisco Giants.

Newcomers to Watch: Mike Bolsinger – Los Angeles Dodgers, Chad Bettis – Colorado Rockies, Williams Perez – Atlanta Braves.

Stock Sliding: Chase Anderson – Arizona Diamondbacks, Aaron Harang – Philadelphia Phillies, Tim Lincecum – San Francisco Giants.
 
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LEADING OFF: Price vs Salazar; Pence plan; Pineda's turn

June 11, 2015


TOP OF THEIR GAME

Tigers left-hander David Price is coming off a complete game victory over the White Sox. He matches up against Cleveland righty Danny Salazar, who had 10 strikeouts in seven-plus innings of a 2-1 win over Baltimore in his last start.

PENCE PLAN

The San Francisco Giants should finally make a decision on whether to put outfielder Hunter Pence on the disabled list. A minor leaguer was ready to fly to New York on Thursday but manager Bruce Bochy said the team decided to hold off for one more day. Pence was injured making a diving catch on June 2.

BIG BREAK

Michael Pineda makes his first start after 11 days of rest, when the Yankees open a series in Baltimore. New York skipped the right-hander's last outing in order to manage his innings this year. The Orioles' Ubaldo Jimenez tries for his first win since May 11.

ON THE MEND

Oakland's Ike Davis is going to begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Nashville. He's been out with a strained left quadriceps since May 14. The first baseman is hitting .282 with two homers and 11 RBIs in 103 at_bats.

BACK IN THE SHOW

Signed on Monday by the Philadelphia Phillies, Kevin Correia is set to make his first major league start of the season, against Pittsburgh. Correia pitched for San Francisco's Triple-A team in Sacramento this season, going 0-1 with a 3.58 ERA. He was released on May 29 after exercising an opt-out provision in his contract.

HALL'S OPEN

The Baseball Hall of Fame was dedicated at Cooperstown, N.Y., in 1939, and the first induction ceremony was held that day. All 11 living electees were on hand.
 
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Blue Jays putting up ridiculous numbers during streak

The Toronto Blue Jays have won eight consecutive games and the offensive numbers have been otherworldly. The Jays have outscored their opponents 57-21 during their tear, which equals an average scoring margin of +4.5 runs per game.

Though the 7.1 runs per game is impressive, the Jays ability to stop opposing offenses has been great. Toronto has allowed 1.6 less runs per game during their winning streak compared to their season average.

The Blue Jays start a weekend series with the Boston Red Sox Friday.
 
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Though rare, Locke has dominated the Phillies

Jeff Locke has owned the Philadelphia Phillies in his infrequent starts against the team, with the Pittsburgh Pirates winning each of the lefties' past four starts against the Phils.

Locke has pitched 26.2 innings while only allowing four runs through those four games, spread across the past two seasons. The left-hander has struggled this season though, as he has posted a 5.37 ERA with a 1.53 WHIP.
 
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MLB Betting Cheat Sheet


Into the Gray

After 13 starts only one team has scored more than three runs off Oakland Athletics’ right-hander Sonny Gray (7-3, 1.74 ERA). Just two have crossed the plate more than twice. Gray has been especially dominant in day games, with a 0.69 ERA in four outings. His next start will come on Sunday afternoon at the Los Angeles Angels, against whom Gray is already 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA this season.

Cameron going crazy

Atlanta Braves’ center fielder Cameron Maybin is on a seven-game hitting streak and he is hitting .483 in June. The first-year Brave has a ridiculous nine multi-hit performances in his last 12 contests. Atlanta is 8-2-1 O/U in its last 11 overall.

Houston, we have a problem

The Houston Astros get a much-needed day off on Thursday in advance of a three-game home series against the Seattle Mariners. Houston’s 4-1 loss to the Chicago White Sox on Wednesday completed a stretch of seven losses in seven days. In this current seven-game skid, the Astros have scored two runs or fewer on six occasions.

Pitching Notes

Justin Verlander of the Detroit Tigers is coming off the disabled list and will make his first start of the season on Saturday against the visiting Cleveland Indians. Since being sidelined by a triceps injury, Verlander has made two rehab starts for Triple-A Toledo. He surrendered just one run on four hits and no walks in 5.2 innings in a 93-pitch appearance last weekend.

Pittsburgh Pirates’ ace Gerrit Cole is positively on fire, to the tune of three scoreless efforts in his last four starts (all featuring at least seven innings of work). Cole’s steadily-improving season statistics currently stand at 9-2, a 1.37 ERA, and 86 strikeouts in 78 innings. The 24-year-old righty will take the mound at home against the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday.

Hitting Notes

The Toronto Blue Jays are on an eight-game winning streak (4-2-2 O/U) thanks in part to some outstanding work at the plate. They have scored at least four runs in all eight contests and at least six runs in six of the eight. Designated hitter Jose Bautista (.254, 11 HR, 37 RBI) has hit safely in 12 of his last 14 games and he has four homers in his last seven outings.

One man cannot be the reason for a team to be so inept as the Phillies, but second baseman Chase Utley certainly is not helping right now. The 36-year-old does not have a single hit in his last six games and he is zero for his last 21 at-bats. Philadelphia, not coincidentally, is 1-6 in its last seven overall.

Umpire Notes

The Baltimore Orioles are 6-0 in their last six ball games when Lazaro Diaz is umpiring behind home plate. He'll be working the dish Thursday evening when the Boston Red Sox visit Camden Yards.

Weather Notes

There is a 53 percent chance of thunderstorms in Chicago as the Cubs host the Reds Thursday evening.

Forecasts are calling for wind blowing in directly from centerfield at Globe Life Park in Arlington when the Texas Rangers host the Minnesota Twins Friday.

Totals Streak

Baltimore Orioles (23-32-3 O/U): Two games in a row have gone under the total for the Orioles, which means they are now 1-6 O/U in their last seven overall. They have not allowed more than three runs in any of their last seven games.

Injury Notes

Cincinnati Reds' shortstop Zack Cozart (.258, 9 HR, 28 RBI) sustained a knee injury while trying to beat out a throw at first base during Wednesday’s contest against the Phillies. Cozart had to be helped from the field without putting any weight on his right leg. The Reds assured that a DL stint is likely, and it could be extensive.

New York Yankees' closer Andrew Miller is going on the 15-day disabled list due to a forearm strain and he is expected to miss at least three weeks. Miller is tied for second in the American League with 17 saves and his ERA is 1.03. The Yankees used a less experienced bullpen on Wednesday and blew a lead in the eighth inning before giving up a winning run to the Washington Nationals in the 11th. That ended a seven-game winning steak.
 
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Game of the day: Royals at Cardinals


Kansas City Royals at St. Louis Cardinals (-114, 7)

After raising significant questions by dropping nine of 11, the Kansas City Royals provided a swift answer with four straight wins to reclaim first place in the American League Central. The Royals look to continue their good fortune when they play the first of three games this weekend in the I-70 Series against the host St. Louis Cardinals on Friday.

"You're going to have slumps throughout the season. It's how you respond to it," Alex Gordon said after belting a three-run homer in Wednesday's 7-2 triumph over Minnesota. The win allowed Kansas City to cap a series sweep and move two full games ahead of the second-place Twins. The 31-year-old Gordon has struggled mightily in June (4-for-25), but helped the Royals take two of three from their Show Me State rival last month by launching a two-run shot in a 3-2 victory over St. Louis on May 23. The major league-best Cardinals rebounded from that rain-shortened, six-inning setback to win 10 of 12 before losing three of their last five contests - including two of three versus Colorado to end a seven-game road trip.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Cardinals at -114 and -125. The total opened at 7.

INJURY REPORT: Royals - N/A Cardinals - LF Matt Holliday (DL-Quad), 1B Matt Adams (DL-Quad)

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "A potential in-state World Series preview between two of the best teams in the league from both a straight-up win perspective and a moneyline perspective. Combined these two teams are 73-44 this season and more than +25 net units of profit on the betting moneyline. Both teams have solid pitching and hitting, but the main thing in common are great bullpens as the Royals have a 1.77 ERA, while the Cardinals have a 2.03 ERA this season, and the two teams have combined to convert 43 of their 53 save opportunities." - Covers Expert Steve Merril

PITCHING MATCHUP: Royals RH Yordano Ventura (3-5, 4.62 ERA) vs. Cardinals LH Jaime Garcia (1-3, 2.67)

Ventura was blitzed for four runs on six hits in three innings to suffer the loss in a 4-2 setback to Texas on Saturday. The 24-year-old Dominican also yielded four runs on five hits in seven frames against St. Louis en route to a 6-1 loss on May 24. Ventura pitched significantly better in his first meeting with the Cardinals, picking up the win after permitting just two runs in six innings.

Garcia has deserved a better fate in all three of his losses this season, yielding a total of five runs on 14 hits in 21 innings. The 28-year-old's latest heartbreak came against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday, as he allowed just two runs on six hits in seven frames. Garcia is 0-1 with an 8.31 ERA in his career versus Kansas City, with Gordon a blistering 4-for-9 against him with a homer and five RBIs.

TRENDS:

*Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
*Cardinals are 41-12 in their last 53 home games.
*Under is 4-0-1 in Venturas last 5 starts overall.
*Under is 12-3-1 in Cardinals last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.

CONSENSUS: 60.5 percent of the Covers public are backing the Cardinals
 
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MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes


Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox

A.L East rivals square off at Fenway Park this weekend when Boston hosts Toronto. Joe Kelly gets the call in the opener for Red Sox. The Boston hurler tossing six innings of one-run ball in a win his last effort carries a 2-4 mark, 5.40 ERA and 5-6 Team Start Record into the contest. Boston has split a pair this season vs Toronto with Kelly on the mound winning here back in April then losing north of the border in May. Toronto heads into Boston with a boat load of confidence. Blue Jays finding their offensive rhythm lately platting 7.1 runs/game have reeled off eight straight victories. Drew Hutchison toes the rubber for John Gibbons' crew. The right-hander has a 5-1 record, 4.91 ERA over 12 starts (7-5 TSR). But, just one win in a road stadium in six attempts this season with Jays 3-3 in those starts. Jays recent troubles on the road facing a division rival parallel Hutchison's woes away from Toronto. The club is just 2-7 last nine on the road vs a division opponent. Another obstacle facing Blue Jays, these Red Sox have made a habit of winning home openers compiling a 6-3 record so far. Even more eye-opening, the Red Sox are a perfect 4-0 in GM-1 of a series at Fenway following a road swing.

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets

The New York Mets thrive in situations that fit Friday's framework. For example, they will host Atlanta Braves and left-hander Alex Wood. The Mets are 4-0 as home favorites facing a southpaw starter. The Mets are 7-1 in starter Bartolo Colon's last eight as a home favorite including 5-1 this campaign. Mets have won both Colon starts vs Braves this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants

Snakes try to end a four game slide when they head to San Francisco to take on Giants and Madison Bumgarner. Not the best of news for Arizona as D-Backs are on a 1-6 skid vs Giants w/Bumgarner. D-Backs are also on a 0-10 road slide vs a team with a .500 or greater winning record. In addition, Diamondbacks are 1-9 in Chase Anderson's last ten road starts.
 
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Three share St. Jude Classic lead
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

MEMPHIS, Tenn. -- Greg Owen, Brooks Koepka and Ryan Palmer each shot 6-under 64 Thursday to share the first-round lead in the FedEx St. Jude Classic at TPC Southwind.

Owen, a 43-year-old Englishman who does not own a PGA Tour victory, and Koepka, a 25-year-old ex-Florida State golfer who has one Tour win, played their rounds in the morning when the conditions were ideal for scoring. Palmer, a 38-year-old Texan with three Tour wins, recorded his 64 in the afternoon.

One shot back was the foursome of Scott Brown, Steven Alker, Brian Davis and Richard Sterne.

Sterne, a 33-year-old South African, entered the tournament having made one cut in 12 events this season.

Five players were at 4-under 66, including defending champion Ben Crane.

Five-time major champ Phil Mickelson, prepping for next week's U.S. Open, shot 2-under 68, as did 2009 British Open winner Stewart Cink.

Dustin Johnson, the 2010 Memphis champion, withdrew from the tournament after his first nine holes due to an undisclosed illness.

Owen, who began play on the back nine, opened with five birdies on his first 10 holes, including four in a row at No. 16-18 and No. 1. Owen, whose best PGA Tour finish was at Bay Hill in 2006, finished his round with six consecutive pars.

"I played great," Owen said. "I hit the ball how I was expecting to hit it. When you pick a shot and you commit to it, and most of the time the ball went where I wanted it to go. I putted well. Greens are fantastic out here, quick. All in all, it was pretty comfortable."

Koepka wasn't planning to play in the tournament, originally wanting to take a week off before next week's U.S. Open. However, he wanted to work on a new approach to his game, a less-aggressive style, and the early results were favorable. Keopka's eight birdies overcame two bogeys.

"I've been having a lot of high numbers, lot of double bogies," Koepka said. "You can't really attack. On this golf course, you put yourself in the wrong position, you're going to be in trouble scrambling to make bogies. I put myself in good positions all day."

Palmer had an unblemished scorecard. Starting on the back nine, he had birdies on Nos. 11, 13, 15 and 18 and additional birdies on Nos. 1 and 2. He did not have a bogey. Palmer is attempting to win on Tour for the first time since 2010.

"The last seven holes got a little loose, some shots I hit," Palmer said. "I was able to buckle down and get up and down on a few spots that was ground-saving, and I made some good putts and up and down on 8, 9 was good to keep a low round going. The work I put in before the round this morning paid off today."

Mickelson, who has yet to win a U.S. Open, is playing in Memphis for the third straight year. He finished second at the two years ago, and Thursday he started making a run up the leaderboard. He birdied four of his first seven, but went his next 11 holes recording nine pars and two bogeys.

"I hit a lot of good shots today," Mickelson said "If I can do that again tomorrow, I believe I'll make some more birdies, and that's kind of the goal. I know what I'm trying to do. I have direction now, and as I practice harder as the week goes on, hitting more and more good shots, that's what I'm trying to do."

NOTES: Stanford's Patrick Rodgers, who last week gained special temporary PGA Tour membership based on his performance in tour events this season, shot a first-round 70 and is tied for 57th. ... The field includes 24 players who are in the field for the U.S. Open next week at Chambers Bay near Seattle. No player has won in Memphis and also won the U.S. Open in the same year. ... Greg Owen, Ryan Palmer, Scott Brown, Brian Davis, Alex Prugh (66) and Jerry Kelly (69) did not card a bogey Thursday.
 

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