Wednesday: 1-8, - 8.80 units. Had peaked at 30 units, and I really believe I'll be back there again. Wagering in any sport is difficult, and baseball is no different. Being up 10 units is better than being down 10, and let's hope a hot streak begins Friday. Like the card.
Tampa ML (-128) 2 units
Tampa -1 (-101) 2 units. I may add one more unit tomorrow. We all know the Rockies can hit in Coors, and they have hit well this year, especially vs. RHP. But right now the Rays have a better slugging pct. and hitting about the same average wise in the past 2 weeks. The Rockies don't have the DH, but the Rays face better pitching in the AL, and don't get their stats padded playing in Coors. Tampa's home field is a pitcher's park. Tampa hasn't been winning all that much because some of their starting pitching has faltered, but one guy has not- Matt Moore. His pitch movement is remarkable on all his pitches, and since his 3rd start he has harnessed it better. With that, he has been able to go deeper in games. Colorado has battered RHP, but has struggled at times vs. LHP, and they haven't seen anyone like Moore. In fact, not one Rockies' hitter has ever faced Moore. I also think that his stuff is so good that it almost negates the Coors effect. Jeff Francis had a good start, but that might be his one good start per month. His fastball is in the low to mid 80s, and his change is only 5mph slower. Not good for a change of pace. Batters are hitting .348 vs. him this year and .316 last year(a large sample size). Tampa hits lefties better than righties, and have been hitting the long ball well. They are hitting .388 vs. Francis, minus Loney's stats(but he's hot now and will likely start). I also like the AL is better than the NL angle, especially lately. Look what the Indians and Tigers to their NL opponents, crushing some very good NL pitching. Both bullpens are average, but the Rockies will need theirs more.
Tampa ML (-128) 2 units
Tampa -1 (-101) 2 units. I may add one more unit tomorrow. We all know the Rockies can hit in Coors, and they have hit well this year, especially vs. RHP. But right now the Rays have a better slugging pct. and hitting about the same average wise in the past 2 weeks. The Rockies don't have the DH, but the Rays face better pitching in the AL, and don't get their stats padded playing in Coors. Tampa's home field is a pitcher's park. Tampa hasn't been winning all that much because some of their starting pitching has faltered, but one guy has not- Matt Moore. His pitch movement is remarkable on all his pitches, and since his 3rd start he has harnessed it better. With that, he has been able to go deeper in games. Colorado has battered RHP, but has struggled at times vs. LHP, and they haven't seen anyone like Moore. In fact, not one Rockies' hitter has ever faced Moore. I also think that his stuff is so good that it almost negates the Coors effect. Jeff Francis had a good start, but that might be his one good start per month. His fastball is in the low to mid 80s, and his change is only 5mph slower. Not good for a change of pace. Batters are hitting .348 vs. him this year and .316 last year(a large sample size). Tampa hits lefties better than righties, and have been hitting the long ball well. They are hitting .388 vs. Francis, minus Loney's stats(but he's hot now and will likely start). I also like the AL is better than the NL angle, especially lately. Look what the Indians and Tigers to their NL opponents, crushing some very good NL pitching. Both bullpens are average, but the Rockies will need theirs more.
