Friday 4/24/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[superbeets]

German Bundesliga 1 TODAY 19:30

Mainz

v

Schalke

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		7/5	23/10	2	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT MAINZ	RECENT FORM
HDAWHDADHLAW​ Most recent​	0 - 1 2 - 2 2 - 4 0 - 1	AWADHLADHDAD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Schalke have drawn four of their last five matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Qualifying for the Europa League is a fairly big deal in the Bundesliga so expect Schalke to be going all-out to make sure they finish in the top six, although this trip to Mainz won’t be easy. Mainz have lost only one of their last six fixtures, but powder-puff Paderborn are the only team of the last 11 visitors not to notch at the Coface Arena.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
1

 

[superbeets]

Scottish Premiership TODAY 19:45

Hamilton

v

Motherwell

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT1		6/5	12/5	11/5	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT HAMILTON	RECENT FORM
ALALHDALHDAL​ Most recent​	5 - 0 0 - 0 0 - 0 0 - 0	HDALHWAWHWAL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Hamilton have not won any of their last 13 league matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Life after manager Alex Neil has proved tough for Hamilton and they could have been in relegation trouble had they not had a fine start. Motherwell have also had a campaign to forget but they can still climb their way out of the relegation playoff spot after winning three of their last four matches.

RECOMMENDATION: Motherwell
2


REFEREE: John Beaton STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

English Championship Sa 25Apr 12:15

Brighton

v

Watford

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS1		7/2	11/4	17/20	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT BRIGHTON	RECENT FORM
AWHLALHLHDAL​ Most recent​	1 - 1 1 - 3 2 - 2 0 - 1	HLADHWAWAWHW​ Most recent​

EXPERT VERDICT: Brighton have conceded more goals than they’ve scored at the Falmer Stadium and have lost four of their last five in the Championship so this should be a great chance for promotion-chasing Watford to take three vital points. The Hornets have won four on the spin and kept three clean sheets in the process.

RECOMMENDATION: Watford
4


REFEREE: Keith Stroud STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

English Premier Sa 25Apr 12:45

Southampton

v

Tottenham

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT1		11/10	5/2	14/5	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT SOUTHAMPTON	RECENT FORM
HWADHWALHWAL​ Most recent​	2 - 3 1 - 2 1 - 0 1 - 0	AWALHWADHLAW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Southampton have won ten of their last 16 home matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Tottenham’s top-four hopes have taken some heavy knocks in recent weeks and they could be buried by a defeat at St Mary’s. Spurs have taken just one point from five games away at top-seven teams and may struggle against a slick Saints side searching for a fourth successive home victory.

RECOMMENDATION: Southampton
1


REFEREE: Jonathan Moss STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

English Premier Sa 25Apr 15:00

West Brom

v

Liverpool

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		3	13/5	Evs	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT WEST BROM	RECENT FORM
ALHWALHLHLAW​ Most recent​	1 - 1 1 - 2 3 - 0 0 - 2	AWHLALAWHWNL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Liverpool have won just three of the last seven meetings

EXPERT VERDICT: Liverpool suffered FA Cup heartbreak against Aston Villa at Wembley and another Midlands club can end their Champions League dreams this week. West Brom still need a win to be sure of safety and Tony Pulis is sure to have his side well drilled against the Reds, who are vulnerable from set plays.

RECOMMENDATION: West Brom
1


REFEREE: Roger East STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

English Premier Sa 25Apr 15:00

Burnley

v

Leicester

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		13/8	23/10	19/10	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT BURNLEY	RECENT FORM
ALHWALHDHLAL​ Most recent​	0 - 2 0 - 1 1 - 3 3 - 0	ALHDALHWAWHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Burnley have scored one goal in their last four homes

EXPERT VERDICT: Leicester can edge closer to safety with a victory at Turf Moor. Burnley are hoping to build on some positive recent home performances, but Sean Dyche’s side remain short of firepower and they could be punished by a Foxes side who have found their shooting boots in recent weeks.

RECOMMENDATION: Leicester
1

REFEREE:Anthony TaylorSTADIUM:.​

 

[Scott602]

Spartan TIA

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

National League
Braves @ Phillies
Wood is 1-0, 3.93 in three starts, all of which went over total.

Harang is 2-1, 1.96 in three starts this year; five of his last six stayed under.

Phillies lost nine of last 11 games; over is 6-1-2 in their last nine- they're 1-3 in last four games with Atlanta; three of last four played here stayed under the total. Braves lost six of last eight games; seven of last ten went over.

Nationals @ Marlins
Zimmerman is 1-2, 7.98 in three starts this year; five of his last seven starts stayed under the total.

Latos is 0-3, 11.17 in three starts this year; over is 4-1-1 in his last six.

Washington won eight of last nine games with Miami; eight of last ten series games stayed under total. Nationals won five of last seven games; seven of their last nine went over. Miami lost five of its last six; over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games.

Cubs @ Reds
Lester is 0-2, 6.89 in three starts for Cubs; over is 3-1-1 in his last five.

Leake is 0-1, 3.92 in three starts this year; six of his last eight went over.

Cubs won five of last six games with Cincinnati; three of last four went under the total. Chicago lost last two games by a run each; over is 4-0-2 in their last six on road. Reds won three of its last four games; five of last six went under.

Cardinals @ Brewers
Martinez is 1-0, 2.25 in his two starts this season.

Garza is 1-2, 5.94 in three starts this year; three of his last four home starts went over the total.

Milwaukee lost eight of last nine games, outscored 50-23; they lost six of last eight games with St Louis-- five of last six series games stayed under total. Cardinals won six of last seven games- five of the seven stayed under.

Giants @ Rockies
Heston is 2-1, 2.18 in three starts this year; all three games stayed under.

Butler is 1-1, 2.25 in three starts this year; four of his six career starts stayed under the total.

Colorado won five of last six games with Giants; under is 7-2-1 in last ten in series. Rockies lost five of its last six games, outscored 45-19- four of the six went over. Giants won three of last four; six of their last nine stayed under. .

Pirates @ Diamondbacks
Cole is 2-0, 3.18 in three starts this year; over is 5-3-1 in his last nine.

Collmenter is 1-2, 3.86 in three starts, all of which went over total.

Pittsburgh-Arizona split their last ten meetings, with four of last five going over the total; Pirates won four of last six games (over 3-1-2). Arizona also is 4-2 in last six games; three of its last four stayed under.

Dodgers @ Padres
Greinke is 2-0, 1.83 in three starts this year; seven of his last nine went over the total.

Cashner is 2-2, 2.75 in his last five home starts; over is 3-0-1 in his last four starts overall.

Dodgers won five of last seven games with San Diego; six of the seven went over the total. LA lost last two games after winning previous seven; six of its last nine games went over. Padres won six of their last eight games; in their last six games, over is 4-1-1.

American League
Red Sox @ Orioles
Porcello is 1-2, 7.11 in three starts this year; three of his last four went over.

Gonzalez is 2-1, 2.55in three starts this year; eight of his last stayed under.

Baltimore lost last four games, outscored 31-15; they're 6-4 in last ten games with Boston, with four of last five staying under total. Red Sox lost four of last six games; five of their last seven stayed under total.

Indians @ Tigers
Salazar is 1-1, 4.18 in his last four starts; six of his last nine stayed under.

Greene is 3-0, 0.78 in three starts this year; five of his last seven went under.

Detroit lost its last three games after an 11-2 start; they've won last seven vs Cleveland, scoring 54 runs (over 7-0). Indians lost seven of last ten games, with seven of last eight staying under the total.

Blue Jays @ Rays
Dickey is 0-1, 3.26 in three starts this year; six of his last ten went over.

Smyly is making first '15 start; he was 3-0, 1.28 in his last six starts LY, with his last seven starts staying under.

Rays lost four of last five games, with four of five going over total; they've won four of last five games with Toronto (under 3-1 last four). Blue Jays are won three of their last four games.

Royals @ White Sox
Duffy is 1-0, 5.51 in three starts this year; Royals scored 23 runs in winning all three. Four of his last five starts went over total.

Quintana is 1-1, 9.00 in three starts this year; three of his last four went over.

Kansas City won eight of last nine games with Chicago; seven of last ten series games went over. Royals won four of last five games overall; under is 4-1-1 in their last six. White Sox won four of last six home games.

Rangers @ Angels
WRodriguez is making first Texas start; he was 0-4, 7.41 in his last eight starts for Pittsburgh, with four of last five going over the total.

Richards allowed four runs (three earned) in five IP in his first '15 start, after he blew out his knee LY. Seven of his last ten starts stayed under the total.

Rangers lost six of last nine games (over 5-3-1). Angels won six of last nine games with Texas; over is 5-1-1 in last seven. Halos lost four of their last six games, with three of last four going over total.

Astros @ A's
Houston won last eight Keuchel starts (2-0, 0.90 in three starts this year); 8 of his last 10 starts stayed under the total.

Kazmir is 2-0, 1.33 in three starts this year; over is 4-1-1 in his last six.

Houston-Oakland split their last ten games, with five of last six staying under the total. Astros won four of last five games; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight. A's are 6-2 this season in game following a loss.

Twins @ Mariners
Hughes is 0-3, 5.30 in three starts this year; three of his last four went under.

Hernandez is 2-0, 2.37 in three starts this year; seven of last nine went under.

Seattle lost seven of last ten games with Minnesota; three of last four series games stayed under. Twins lost seven of nine road games. Mariners lost six of their last nine games- three of their last four went over the total.

Interleague
Mets @ Bronx
deGrom is 2-1, 0.93 in three starts this season.

Pineda is 2-0, 5.00 in three starts this year; six of his last seven went over.

Mets won their last 11 games; over is 5-2-1 in last eight- they've won six of last eight games with Bronx- three of last four played here went over. Bronx won won five of its last six games; seven of its last ten went over total.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Atl-Phil-- Wood 1-2; Harang 2-1
Wsh-Mia-- Zimmerman 1-2; Latos 0-3
Chi-Cin-- Lester 2-1; Leake 1-2
StL-Mil-- Martinez 2-0; Garza 1-2
SF-Col-- Heston 2-1; Butler 2-1
Pitt-Az-- Cole 2-1; Collmenter 1-2
LA-SD-- Greinke 2-1; Cashner 1-2

Bos-Balt-- Porcello 1-2; Gonzalez 2-1
Clev-Det-- Salazar 1-0; Greene 3-0
Tor-TB-- Dickey 1-2; Smyly 0-0
KC-Chi-- Duffy 3-0; Quintana 1-2
Tex-LA-- WRodriguez 0-0; Richards 0-1
Hst-A's-- Keuchel 3-0; Kazmir 2-1
Minn-Sea-- Hughes 0-3; Hernandez 2-1

NYM-NYY-- deGrom 2-1; Pineda 3-0

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Atl-Phil-- Wood 1-3; Harang 1-3
Wsh-Mia-- Zimmerman 1-3; Latos 1-3
Chi-Cin-- Lester 1-3; Leake 1-3
StL-Mil-- Martinez 0-2; Garza 1-3
SF-Col-- Heston 1-3; Butler 0-3
Pitt-Az-- Cole 1-3; Collmenter 0-3
LA-SD-- Greinke 2-3; Cashner 2-3

Bos-Balt-- Porcello 1-3; Gonzalez 1-3
Clev-Det-- Salazar 0-1; Greene 0-3
Tor-TB-- Dickey 1-3; Smyly 0-0
KC-Chi-- Duffy 1-3; Quintana 2-3
Tex-LA-- WRodriguez 0-0; Richards 0-1
Hst-A's-- Keuchel 0-3; Kazmir 0-3
Minn-Sea-- Hughes 1-3; Hernandez 1-3

NYM-NYY-- deGrom 1-3; Pineda 1-3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

ARENA | TAMPA BAY at CLEVELAND
Play On - Underdogs or pick (TAMPA BAY) a poor offensive team (41.5-46 PPG) against an average defensive team (46-52 PPG)
87-45 since 1997. ( 65.9% | 37.5 units )
0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -2.2 units )

ARENA | TAMPA BAY at CLEVELAND
Play On - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (CLEVELAND) good passing team - with a completion pct of 60% or better, after game allowing 73% or higher completion pct (20 att)
37-13 since 1997. ( 74.0% | 22.7 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

UFC 186 Betting Notes

Event: UFC 186
Date: Sat. April, 25, 2015
TV/Time: (PPV, 10:00 p.m. ET)
Venue: Bell Centre
City: Montreal, Quebec

Flyweight Championship: Demetrious Johnson (21-2-1) vs. Kyoji Horiguchi (15-1-0)
Line: Johnson -155 Horiguchi +125

Demetrious “Mighty Mouse” Johnson will look to defend his title for the sixth time when he takes on Kyoji Horiguchi at UFC 186.

The flyweight title has been held by just one man, Demetrious Johnson, who grabbed it back at UFC 152 in late 2012 and since has defended his belt five times. He has used a multitude of different ways to get these wins, twice winning by unanimous decision in five rounds, twice by submission and once by a first round knockout. The 5’3”, 125-pound fighter has just two losses to his name, both coming by decision with the last one coming in October of 2011. Johnson is widely considered one of the best pound-for-pound fighters in the history of the sport and will look to continue that dominance at this event.

His opponent, Kyoji Horiguchi, was the bantamweight champion in the Shooto circuit in Japan and made his way over to UFC in late 2013. He has fought four times in the states, with three of the fights being in the flyweight division, and came away the victor each time. Twice he won by decision while getting the other two via knockout (punches) in the first seven minutes of the match. That is typically the way that he goes with nine of his career 15 wins coming by TKO mainly with punches. He is a second degree black belt and should be able to give Johnson quite a fit in this fight.

“Mighty Mouse” has been absolutely dominant in his recent fights as he defends his title, landing 361 significant strikes compared to just 135 from his opponent. Overall he averages 3.54 significant strikes per minute and lands them with 52% accuracy. This is not what typically puts him above his opposition by so much, but rather it is his ability to get the takedown and wear them down. He gets 3.24 takedowns per 15 minutes in the octagon and has 18 total takedowns in his five defenses of this title.

His most recent defense was one of his more impressive as he won in the second round with a Kimura submission. He landed 27-of-43 significant strikes (62%) against Chris Cariaso back at UFC 178 and let him only get in six strikes. His defense has been great as well, as he deflects 66% of strike attempts against him and 64% of takedown attempts. Johnson has been one of the more dominant fighters in the history of the UFC and it is hard to imagine him losing to anybody.

If anybody can give Johnson a run for his money for the title, it is Horiguchi as he brings a flurry of punches to the octagon. He gets in 3.99 significant strikes per minute and pummeled Louis Gaudinot 44 times, including landing 68% of his attempts at his head.

He doesn’t have the best accuracy with a mere 48% of his strikes hitting the mark, but his eight career wins by punches shows how solid those landed punches are. While he is throwing a ton of hits, he is also doing a fantastic job at avoiding his opponent and takes a mere 1.66 strikes per minute, deflecting 69% of his opposition’s attempts.

His weakness could be the takedown and he only has been able to defend against them 50% of them time, hitting the mat twice in his four matches in UFC. Johnson also won’t have to worry about submissions as Horiguchi has yet to earn a win with this tactic and has yet to even attempt one in his four UFC battles. He will need to land a timely punch in order to take down the champion in this one.

Other UFC 186 Bouts

Middleweight Matchup
Michael Bisping -150
C.B. Dollaway +130

Light Heavyweight Matchup
Quinton Jackson -315
Fabio Maldonado +235

Catchweight Matchup (160 lbs)
John Makdessi -180
Shane Campbell +155

Bantamweight Matchup
Yves Jabouin +340
Thomas Almeida -420

Welterweight Matchup
Patrick Côté -180
Joe Riggs +155

Women's Bantamweight Matchup
Alexis Davis +160
Sarah Kaufman -190

Lightweight Matchup
Chad Laprise -290
Bryan Barberena +240

Lightweight Matchup
Olivier Aubin-Mercier -350
David Michaud +290

Welterweight Matchup
Nordine Taleb -260
Chris Clements +215

Women's Strawweight Matchup
Jessica Rakoczy +155
Valérie Létourneau -180

Women's Strawweight Matchup
Aisling Daly +210
Randa Markos -250

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL Preview: Penguins (43-27) at Rangers (53-22)

Date: April 24, 2015 7:00 PM EDT

If league history is any indication, the Pittsburgh Penguins have a 9.8 percent chance of overcoming their 3-1 series deficit to the New York Rangers.

Considering their offensive play against Henrik Lundqvist, those odds seem generous.

New York will look to close out its first-round series in Game 5 and hand the Penguins yet another disappointing postseason exit Friday night at Madison Square Garden.

The Penguins have been the Eastern Conference's best regular-season team since 2009-10, but have seldom carried that success into the postseason, where they've advanced to the conference finals only once in the past five years - a 4-0 sweep by Boston in 2013.

They're facing another early elimination this time around after losing games 3 and 4 at home, dropping them into a 3-1 series deficit.

The defeats were strikingly similar. Pittsburgh tallied only 24 shots in a 2-1 loss on Monday and 23 shots in another 2-1 defeat Wednesday in overtime. Patric Hornqvist scored the Penguins' lone goal in each game.

"Whether it's 2-1, 5-1, we've done a lot of good things," Sidney Crosby said. "Regardless of the score, it doesn't make it easy when you don't find a way to win. But I think it's encouraging that some of the things we've been doing have put us in pretty good positions to win a hockey game. We just have to get that last one."

Crosby scored twice in Pittsburgh's 4-3 win in Game 2, but has managed only one assist otherwise. Evgeni Malkin has done far less, tallying zero points in his last nine games and failing to score in his past 14 dating to March 7.

Despite the two-game advantage, New York knows better than to fall victim to complacency. Of the 275 teams in league history facing a 3-1 deficit, the Rangers were the 27th and most recent to rally, knocking off the Penguins in seven games in last season's second round.

"Several of the players have been through the reversal last year," Pittsburgh coach Mike Johnston said. "That's the easiest message. We were leading on New York 3-1 and the whole series changed.

"This game, going into New York - we win, the series changes completely and it heads in our favor for sure."

Lundqvist posted a .957 save percentage over the Rangers' last two victories. His 96 all-time postseason appearances rank second among active goaltenders, behind only Pittsburgh's Marc-Andre Fleury (97).

Lundqvist, who has won six of his last seven postseason starts against the Penguins with a 1.42 goals-against average, expects an far-improved performance from Pittsburgh on Friday.

"It's a desperation moment for them, and the key is to match that," Lundqvist told the NHL's official website. "You have to grab every opportunity you get to finish a series. You can't just think you have more chances. You've gotta go for it and match their desperation."

Kevin Hayes netted the overtime winner in Game 4 for the first postseason goal of his career. Derick Brassard scored earlier in the contest for his third goal of the series, moving into a tie with Dan Girardi and Ryan McDonagh for second on the team with three points apiece.

Rick Nash leads the way for New York with one goal and three assists.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL

Ottawa scored Game 4's only goal at 9:05 of third period after Montreal won previous two games in OT- Game 4 was only game Senators haven't led after first period. Six of nine Montreal goals have come in second period, as Canadiens outshot Ottawa 62-37 in 2nd period in series. Montreal won five of its last six games overall, allowing 14 goals; over is 5-2-3 in their last ten games. Ottawa is lost four of last five visits to Montreal. Over is 7-3-2 in last eleven series games. Canadiens are 1-16 on power play in series, Ottawa is 3-12.

Rangers won nine of last 11 games with Pittsburgh, winning four of last five played here. Penguins lost eight of last ten games overall, nine of their last twelve stayed under. Rangers won nine of last 11 games overall, with three of four in this series ending 2-1. Last three games, there were total of only 28 shots on goal (16-12 Pitt) in first period. Penguins were held without shot in OT of Game 4, as Rangers scored on third shot at 3:14 of OT to win and set up elimination game here. Rangers are just 2-17 on power play in series, Pens are 2-10.

St Louis scored couple goals 1:25 apart to open scoring in decisive 6-1 Game 4 win that evened series and gave Blues home ice edge back. Blues had 10 first period shots, only third time in series they had 10+ shots in a period- they're still just 1-7 on power play in series. Minnesota split its last four in St Louis- they won the two games in this series when St Louis didn't score in first period. Wild is 1-5 on power play last three games, after scoring half their goals (2-4) with man edge in Game 1. Over is 4-1-1 in last six series games.

Home teams are 22-13 in this round; over is 16-14-5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Mohawk Racetrack

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 9 - Post: 10:05 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 79 - Purse:$10000 - CLAIMING HANDICAP $12,000 TO $15,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE & SEX. ENTER IN MULTIPLES OF $1,000.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 BULLET 5/1


# 6 BLUSH AND CRUSH 4/1


# 9 TYMAL COLOSSUS 9/2


We've got a vibe BULLET is going to get the ultimate prize. A respectable win statistic has been recorded by entrants starting from the 5 post. BLUSH AND CRUSH - Top driver/trainer combination, with one of the most solid return on investment clips in this bunch. Chances are greatly increased for interesting entrants beginning from the 6 post at Mohawk Racetrack. TYMAL COLOSSUS - This gelding getting the victory wouldn't be impossible, a chance. Worth considering today if only for the competitive TrackMaster Speed Rating recorded in the most recent competition.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Post: 7:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 84 - Purse:$11000 - CLAIMING ALLOWANCE $12,500 3 YO 50%, 4 YO 25%, F& M 20%


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 4 LEGAL LITIGATOR 3/2


# 3 JETTY 3/1


# 2 IDEAL DANNY 15/1


LEGAL LITIGATOR is the finest wager in this race. This gelding getting the victory wouldn't be impossible, a chance. This entrant looks tough. Take a good look at the 88 avg TrackMaster Speed Rating. This gelding has been squaring off versus some of the most competitive horses in this group of animals recently. JETTY - He has been competing quite well and the speed figures are among the best in the group of animals. This race horse looks dangerous considering the high class figures. Don't throw out of any exotics. IDEAL DANNY - The wagering panel will always toss in a race horse from the 2 hole here at Yonkers Raceway, definite exotic possibilities.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Ellis Starr at Keeneland

Race #5 - Rating = 2

#10 Congrats to Ken - Fair odds 7/2
#7 Grey Wizard - Fair odds 7/2
#1 Jewish Holiday - Fair odds 4/1
#5 Belomor - Fair odds 4/1

No exactas are specifically recommended but if you make the bet, include #2 Tiz Town in the 2nd position, 3rd if you play the trifecta.

Congrats to Ken rallied big time from 9th to miss by a neck in his career debut in a tough field at Saratoga going long on the grass last summer, then ran poorly and more poorly. He rested since last October and returns as a new gelding, proven to fire fresh and likely more mature physically as a 3 year old so has potential to run well at high odds.

Grey Wizard shows about the same form as the top pick as he ran big for 2nd in his debut last September, to a highly regarded runner in Dubai Sky (a Derby contender until sidelined by injury). Grey Wizard was the favorite in his only other start, on 1/17 but had traffic trouble. Back after 3 months off and with Lezcano riding for the hot Brown barn, if he runs as he did last Summer he has a big shot.

Jewish Holiday didn't run a lick in his debut last November and at high 81/1 odds. He was in the hands of a low percentage, low profile trainer then but now is in the much better Toner barn. The trainer is 1 for 2 at the meeting, that win coming with John Velazquez in the saddle as today. The horse is a new gelding and gets the rail as well as is exceptionally well bred for this trip on turf. As such, he's another to consider particularly if the public ignores him and he goes to post at high odds.

Belomar shows the best recent form of any in here, having improve nicely in start #3 last out to miss by a half-length on the wire. He comes from a low profile trainer with a low profile jockey and will likely go to post at high odds as well so is another we should not hesitate betting on because he's got a legitimate shot to win.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Maiden - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $19100 Class Rating: 75

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDEN, TWO YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 3 FDD TAKE THE CASH 6/1


# 9 DOCS NEXT CARD 15/1


# 6 EC PRAIRIE MIST 8/1


FDD TAKE THE CASH is the best bet in this race. Willis has been nails with two year olds, winning at a 23 percent clip. This racer enters today's affair on Lasix. Willis has one of the strongest winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface. DOCS NEXT CARD - He is worth a look given that the handler wins 23 percent of his races with two-year olds, which is clearly among the best in the outing. Corona Cartel is a solid sire when it comes to two-year olds. Willis and Gomez have won 24 percent of their races giving this horse a decent chance. EC PRAIRIE MIST - Sire is so important in baby races and this one's babies have fared admirably while winning at a 19 percent clip.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 80

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 6 TEASING MOMENT 10/1


# 4 I HEART YOU 7/5


# 5 PRIVATE MARINA 2/1


I give the nod to TEASING MOMENT for this event and the potential return justifies the unsafe nature of the long odds. Should be considered in here if only for the decent Equibase speed fig garnered in the last contest. The average class figure alone makes this entrant a contender. Is worth a look and may be a wager - strong speed figs (66 average) at today's distance and surface as of late. I HEART YOU - Has very strong Equibase Speed Figs and has to be considered for a bet for this race. With a strong 73 average speed rating at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. PRIVATE MARINA - With Nicolas getting the mount, watch out for this horse. Ought to be used in the exotic wagers.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream - Race #7 - Post: 4:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 GEORGE JET (ML=8/1)
#7 FELOYA (ML=4/1)


GEORGE JET - Pointer drops him down to this level. You don't need too much more handicapping info to think this thoroughbred has a shot at this level. When a horse drops at least five pounds (like this one is), you must take notice. It may not seem like much, but should help. FELOYA - Filly is a few starts into a return to racing here. Should give a big performance today. Carrying 10 pounds less this race. Trainer has her in a good spot.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 HAND PICKED (ML=2/1), #1 MIGHTY WARRIOR (ML=5/1), #3 NEVER NEVER (ML=6/1),

HAND PICKED - Tough to like the downward flow (65/62/52) of Equibase speed figs. Not likely that the rating he garnered on Apr 5th will be good enough in this contest. Shouldn't play this one as the chalk with little to offer for the risk involved. MIGHTY WARRIOR - In any contest of 5 furlongs, I like to wager on a contender that has been looking good in sprint events recently. NEVER NEVER - The sixth place result in the last race was not the greatest.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#8 GEORGE JET is going to be the play if we are getting 9/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [7,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Tampa Bay - Race #4 - Post: 2:13pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 83

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 HOLIDAY BOY (ML=5/2)
#4 HOUSE OF USHER (ML=10/1)


HOLIDAY BOY - A wise man taught me to play the lone speed horse. Take a look at this horse. I have to like this gelding's chances of winning at the shorter distance. This mount could be tough in today's contest, especially since Cotto rode last time out and now should be familiar with this one. This one has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 70 to 79 to 81 right in a row. Have to like this gelding today. If you take a look at his PP lines you see a definite pattern, getting closer with each and every race. HOUSE OF USHER - A repeat of that latest effort on October 11th where he notched a speed rating of 85 looks strong enough to prove victorious in this race. This gelding runs very well off of a vacation. 71-78-85 are last 3 Equibase speed figs. Improving each time out is something he should do again in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 GEORGE RAY (ML=3/1), #5 SIGNOR MARTINI (ML=7/2), #8 P J'S MAGICAL WINK (ML=4/1),

GEORGE RAY - Speed ratings of 81/75/67 are going downward. SIGNOR MARTINI - 7/2 odds isn't enough for this entrant when examining the most recent efforts. P J'S MAGICAL WINK - This gelding hasn't had any recent accomplishments in sprint races. I find it hard to play him in this event. This gelding probably needs a more preferred pace scenario to make his furious rally.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #3 HOLIDAY BOY on top if we're getting at least 7/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip