Friday 4/17/09 service plays chatter /comps/ requests & gm strategy...

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Friday 4/17/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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Today's MLB Picks
Detroit at Seattle
The Tigers come in 1-6 in Justin Verlander's last 7 starts as an underdog and face a Seattle team that is 8-3 in Felix Hernandez' last 11 starts against the AL Central. The Mariners are the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has Seattle favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-125). Here are all of today's games

FRIDAY, APRIL 17
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Walters) 15.082; Cubs (Zambrano) 16.213
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-185); No Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-185); N/A
Game 953-954: Florida at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 15.333; Washington (Lannan) 15.472
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Florida (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+125); Over
Game 955-956: Atlanta at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 13.745; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 15.110
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+125); Under
Game 957-958: San Diego at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Young) 15.123; Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.243
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-180); Under
Game 959-960: Milwaukee at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Bush) 14.278; NY Mets (Hernandez) 15.507
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-145); Over
Game 961-962: Cincinnati at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.128; Houston (Oswalt) 14.937
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-160); Over
Game 963-964: Colorado at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 16.558; LA Dodgers (Wolf) 15.412
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+155); Under
Game 965-966: Arizona at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Haren) 12.597; San Francisco (Sanchez) 14.147
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+145); Under
Game 967-968: Cleveland at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Reyes) 16.973; NY Yankees (Chamberlain) 15.902
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-230); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+200); Under
Game 969-970: Oakland at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Outman) 15.417; Toronto (Purcey) 15.153
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+130); Under
Game 971-972: Baltimore at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 15.626; Boston (Penny) 14.070
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+140); Over
Game 973-974: Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Colon) 15.001; Tampa Bay (Shields) 16.674
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-180); Under
Game 975-976: Kansas City at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Meche) 16.916; Texas (Harrison) 15.705
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-120); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-120); Over
Game 977-978: LA Angels at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Moseley) 14.451; Minnesota (Blackburn) 14.981
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-125); Over
Game 979-980: Detroit at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 14.931; Seattle (Hernandez) 15.473
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Seattle (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-125); Over
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Today's NHL Picks
Carolina at New Jersey
The Devils look to follow up their Game One win (4-1) and take advantage of a Carolina team that is 2-9 in its last 11 games following a loss by 3 or more goals. New Jersey is the pick (-150) according to Dunkel, which has the Devils favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-150). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, APRIL 17
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 67-68: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 12.387; Pittsburgh 11.828
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+150); Over
Game 69-70: Carolina at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 10.903; New Jersey 11.908
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-150); Over
Game 71-72: St. Louis at Vancouver
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.512; Vancouver 12.526
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-185); 5
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-185); Under
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Craig Trapp

Cincinnati Reds vs. Houston Astros
Play: Houston Astros

Hope everyone enjoyed Craig's Free MLB plays this week. Craig had another winner yesterday with the White Sox pulling off a close one in Tampa. Today our Bonus Play is going to be in the National League between Cincinnati and Houston. These divisional rivals are both in desperate need of wins to keep up with the tops teams in there division. Lets take a look at these two teams records and trends!!

Records

Cincinnati 4-4 Cueto 0-1 (6.00 ERA)

Houston 3-6 Oswalt 0-2 (6.23 ERA)

Betting Trends

-Reds are 4-9 in their last 13 games on grass.

-Reds are 3-8 in Cuetos last 11 starts.

-Astros are 13-3 in their last 16 games as a home favorite.

-Astros are 8-2 in Oswalts last 10 starts vs. National League Central.

Pretty one sided trends in this match up. If that has not convinced you yet don't worry we have even more. Roy Oswalt is 24-1 in his career against the Cincinnati Reds. Yes that is not a misprint he has absolutely dominated the Reds. Houston will hit with confidence today now they are back in there home park. Oswalt will shut down the very poor hitting Reds lineup. Cueto will keep this game close early but even this young pitcher can't shut out the Astros. SCORE HOU 4 - CIN 1
 
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James Patrick

O's vs. Red Sox

These American League Eastern Division rivals square off in Boston where the Red Sox have won 21 of 27 match ups and the Bosox will need a win out of Brad Penny with Dice-K going on the DL. Big Game James Patrick's Friday complimentary selection in Major League Baseball is Boston Red Sox.
 
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Jimmy The Moose

Oakland Athletics at Toronto Blue Jays
Prediction: Over

The Oakland A's have played over the total in their last 3 games. The over is a profiatble 7-2 in the 9 games they've played so far this season. Toronto has played over the total in 6 of theor last 7 games. Prior to last night's game in which the Jays pounded out 14 more hits the team's batting average was an impressive 3.13. The A's send Outman to the mound and you can expect the Jays bats to beat him up tonight. Play the over.
 
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Big Al Mcmordie

Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners
Prediction: Over

At 10:10pm our member selection is on the Detroit Tigers and Seattle Mariners 'over' the total. The good news for the Tigers and their ace righthander Justin Verlander is that they needed him to do better in his second start than in his first (eight ER in less than four innings), and he did, as Verlander went five innings and only gave up one earned run while recording eight strikeouts and four walks. The bad news is that Verlander threw a lot of pitches (95) in those five innings and he will have to be more efficient than that if he is to regain the form that made him such a success in his first two full seasons in 2006 and 2007. Seattle will send its ace, "King" Felix Hernandez to the mound to face Verlander, and it would seem the jury is still out on Hernandez this season as his first start was outstanding and gave fans the hope that the Felix Hernandez of 2005 was perhaps finally back. But Hernandez suffered a setback in his second start of the season against the Oakland A's, when he lasted only five innings, while giving up five ER in the process. The Detroit offense is finally starting to wake up and put up the kind of numbers that people thought it would when Detroit acquired players like Miguel Cabrera and Magglio Ordonez. The Tigers are currently third in the league in runs scored and fourth in batting average and although their pitching is still far from ideal, their bats are finally starting to put them into a position to win games. Take the 'over'.
 
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Scott Delaney

Today's Complimentary Selection

Your complimentary winner for Friday will be the New York Yankees, on the Run Line, as they'll exact revenge on the Indians after yesterday's shellacking at the new Yankee Stadium.

Tonight marks Joba Chamberlain’s first start against the Indians, and he rolls in with a 1.50 ERA on the young season. Chamberlain went 3-1 with a 2.18 ERA in seven starts and 23 relief appearances at the old Yankee Stadium, and now has the chance to play hero by shutting down the Tribe in the new Yankees Stadium after yesterday’s debacle.

It’s not as if the offense wasn’t there though, while the Yankees were putting up a season-low two runs; they stranded 15 runners and went 1-for-11 with runners in scoring position.

Maybe it was Opening Day jitters, the same blame the Mets might have used when losing their new-home opener against the Padres.

Today the loss is avenged, as the Bombers roll to an easy win.

YANKEES RUN LINE
 
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Chris Jordan

Florida at WASHINGTON +125

The Nationals broke out of their slump last night with a no-brainer victory over the Phils, as a home dog in baseball is always value the night after a rainout, and now it’s a pitching-system play on Washington. We have to list both pitchers (Nolasco and Lannan) in this one, as it’s key to our first method-play of the year with this pitching system.

Nolasco has a rather nasty 7.36 ERA and comes into this one after giving up four runs on seven hits through five frames against the Metropolitans. He’s now given up nine runs in 11 innings on the young season, and faces a lineup of bats that caught fire last night.

Lannan will be out for revenge after losing his season debut to the Fish, and given this is his home debut for 2009, I’m betting he’ll put forth his best stuff thus far in three starts.

Take the home pup in this one tonight.

1♦ WASHINGTON
 
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Matt Rivers

For Friday let's back the Indians for a second straight day right here.

Joba Chamberlain certainly has the potential to be nasty but the price is once again right to take a shot on this live dog.

Cleveland is a lot better than their current record indicates and they most definitely can win this game making me believe that they just cannot be such a big dog in this spot. Sure Anthony Reyes has been underachieving and awful at times in his big league career but the former Cardinal has always had electric stuff, it was just a matter of figuring it out and putting it altogether. The first start this season was successful. Don't be fooled by the ERA of 6 as the guy went six innings and was effective. The four earned runs is not always an indication of how a guy pitches and that is the case in that start against the Blue Jays. Plus the way this season has started the Blue Jays have a better offense than the Arod-less Yankees who are just not that good at all. Mark Teixeira is borderline great but the Jeter's and Damon's of the world are somewhat living on reputation and others like Cody Ransom, Jose Molina, Brett Gardner and on and on are not your typical dangerous Yankees from the past.

When push comes to shove Reyes is certainly no Chamberlain but the Yankee righty still is not really more of a five or six inning starter and is hittable. I do think this kid has a very bright future and will be extremely solid for years to come but Cy Young he is not and to get Sizemore, Hafner, Martinez, DeRosa and the potential of this Cleveland offense plus this number is too good to pass up.
 
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Scott Spreitzer

San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies
Prediction: San Diego Padres

San Diego is shocking everyone right now, playing strong fundamental baseball that has them tied atop the NL West and owners of the fourth best record in the entire league. The Friars own the league's seventh best ERA (3.44) including the second best bullpen. Chris Young looks to keep it going and there's no reason to think he won't. He's dominated the Phillies in three lifetime starts against them, and he's off to a great start in 2009, allowing just two earned runs and nine base runners in 13 IP, including 12 K's and just two walks. Cole Hamels, off a disastrous first outing of the season, is laying a huge price in this one. I'm not so sure he's completely ready to go. His elbow trouble doesn't look like something that's going to get better just because he had a few days of extra rest this week. I believe he's in for another tough outing on Friday night. The Pads have scored six or more runs in five of their last six outings and aren't getting the respect they deserve from the public, and subsequently, the linesmaker. I'll take advantage with a play on the Padres.
 
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EZWINNER'S FREE SELECTION


Date: Friday, April 17, 2009

Game: Cincinnati Reds @ Houston Astros

Sport: MLB

Time: 7:05PM CST


(962) Houston Astros -$142


(Listing Oswalt and Cueto)


The Astros are on a mini two game winning streak and Roy Oswalt owns
the Reds. Look for the Astros to run their winning streak to three games as they pick up the win against the light hitting Reds.


2009 Free Selections Record 58-47 (55.2%)
 
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PremierCappers

Florida Marlins -130 for 2 units

Marlins are on fire to start off the season now they are playing the same team they beat 3 times to start the year off in the Nationals. Florida should be able to out hit the Nationals today in which their bullpen is alot better than theirs.
 
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Bobby Maxwell

San Diego +155 at PHILADELPHIA

Got the FREE winner for you tonight coming from the National League as we go with the Padres on the road in Philadelphia.

We're not going to go against the red-hot Padres in this one as they have Chris Young (2-0, 1.38 ERA) on the hill and he has looked fantastic in his first two outings. With all this plus-money, we've got to take San Diego in this one.

Young has given up just three runs this season (two earned) and on Sunday he gave up just one unearned run on four hits in seven innings of a home win over the Giants. Last season, the big rightie went to Philly and got a 4-2 win, allowing two runs on five hits in six innings.

The Padres are 6-0 in Young's last six Friday starts and if he gets some early offense, he will look dominant against Philadelphia. San Diego's offense has been better than expected lately, scoring six runs or more in five of their last six games and they just took two of three in New York as the Mets opened their new ballpark.

Meanwhile the Phillies were losing Thursday in Washington 8-2, allowing the Nationals to get their first victory. Brett Myers (1-1, 5.54) is on the mound for Philadelphia and he's allowed four runs in each of his first two starts. The Phillies are just 7-21 when Myers pitches as a favorite and 4-9 when he pitches a series-opener.

Get the plus-money with the better pitcher and play the Padres in this one.

2♦ SAN DIEGO
 

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Raging Bull

Soccer:

VVV Venlo/FC Emmen over 3 (Dutch Eerste Divisie)

Metz/Clermont Foot over 2 (France Ligue 2)

MLB:

Marlins/Nationals over 9 even

Pirates +107

Hey McQueen whats up man.
I was away for about a week until yesterday. I was wondering if you were still posting your plays? I always like to know what your on, especially if your on something large. Since everybodys betting baseball now I'm wondering whats going on with getting some good NBA picks!
Hope you reply.
Always appreciate your help!
 

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Of course the Dr. Guru guys go 6-1 on a day they don't update their site and nobody knows of their picks..After a day when they go 0-4...These guys are seriously the biggest scammers and its starting to be more and more known...
 

Bullitt
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Hey McQueen whats up man.
I was away for about a week until yesterday. I was wondering if you were still posting your plays? I always like to know what your on, especially if your on something large. Since everybodys betting baseball now I'm wondering whats going on with getting some good NBA picks!
Hope you reply.
Always appreciate your help!

Sorry buddy, I'm not posting right now. I'm at home with my sister who is very ill. Not much time to post stuff. Once things settle down here, I may post again. :toast:
 

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Of course the Dr. Guru guys go 6-1 on a day they don't update their site and nobody knows of their picks..After a day when they go 0-4...These guys are seriously the biggest scammers and its starting to be more and more known...

Maybe it's just 1 guy running the whole thing...
 

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