Friday 11/27/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[superbeets]

Spanish La Liga TODAY 19:30

Levante

v

Real Betis

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT LEVANTE	RECENT FORM
HWALHLALHDAW​ Most recent​	1 - 3 1 - 1 3 - 1 1 - 0	AWHLADHLAWHL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Real Betis have lost just one of their six away games

EXPERT VERDICT: Levante have been steadily improving since manager Rubi took charge, culminating in a comfortable 3-0 win at Sporting Gijon last time out. Bookmakers are showing them plenty of respect but they may have their progress checked by a tough Real Betis team who have decent away form.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1

 

[superbeets]

German Bundesliga TODAY 19:30

SV Darmstadt

v

Cologne

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT SV DARMSTADT	RECENT FORM
AWHLHWALHDAL​ Most recent​	2 - 4 0 - 1	HLALALHDAWHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Darmstadt have not kept a clean sheet in their last six home fixtures

EXPERT VERDICT: Cologne have posted impressive away wins at Schalke (3-0) and Leverkusen (2-1) this season and should fancy their chances of beating struggling Darmstadt. Peter Stoger's side have conceded just one goal in their last three games and solid defence can underpin a victory over Darmstadt, who have lost two their last three home fixtures.

RECOMMENDATION: Cologne
1

 

[superbeets]

French Ligue 1 TODAY 19:30

Lyon

v

Montpellier

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT LYON	RECENT FORM
HWAWHLHWALHL​ Most recent​	5 - 1 0 - 0 1 - 0 2 - 1	ADHWALADHWHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Lyon have kept six clean sheets in seven league home games

EXPERT VERDICT: Lyon’s home form has been poor in the Champions League - they lost to Gent on Tuesday - but reads much better on the domestic front and they should beat Montpellier. OL have a solid domestic defensive record at Stade Gerland so a home win without conceding looks the best option.

RECOMMENDATION: Lyon to win 2-0
1

 

[superbeets]

Scottish Premiership TODAY 19:45

St Johnstone

v

Dundee

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ST JOHNSTONE	RECENT FORM
HLAWAWAWHWAW​ Most recent​	1 - 0 0 - 1 1 - 0 0 - 0	HWADHLADHDAD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Saints have won eight of their last nine games but have kept just one clean sheet

EXPERT VERDICT: St Johnstone matches have been full of entertainment this term, with 17 domestic games providing 62 goals, and they’ve been in top-three-chasing form, too. Dundee haven’t been quite as much fun for the neutral but both sides have scored in the Dark Blues’ last seven outings.

RECOMMENDATION: St Johnstone to win 2-1
1


REFEREE: Alan Muir STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Championship TODAY 19:45

Hull

v

Derby

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT HULL	RECENT FORM
HWHD*AWAWHWAD​ Most recent​	2 - 1 0 - 1 2 - 0 1 - 2	ADAWHWHWALHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Hull are unbeaten at home this season

EXPERT VERDICT: Two of the Championship’s most highly-rated teams clash in what should be a fiercely contested affair. However, Derby sometimes struggle to set an attacking tempo on the road – as a recent defeat to derby rivals Nottingham Forest showed – and Hull have a fine record at the KC Stadium.

RECOMMENDATION: Hull
1

 

[superbeets]

Scottish League C Cup Sa 28Nov 12:15

Rangers

v

St Mirren

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT RANGERS	RECENT FORM
HWHWAWALHWAD​ Most recent​	3 - 1 3 - 1 1 - 1 2 - 1	AWHLALHLHDAD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Rangers have scored in every game this season

EXPERT VERDICT: Rangers ran out comfortable 3-1 winners when St Mirren visited Ibrox in August and a similar outcome looks likely with a Challenge Cup final berth at stake. Mark Warburton’s side have score goals for fun and should have enough firepower to win by a distance.

RECOMMENDATION: Rangers to win 3-0
1


REFEREE: Bobby Madden STADIUM:

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Doc’s Sports

#116 Take Over in Marshall Thunder @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Friday 12 pm FS1)

First place in the Eastern Division of Conference USA is on the line when 7-0 WKU takes on 6-1 in Marshall. Both teams can light up the scoreboard and thus we will not worry if WKU can cover the double digit spread and instead just focus on the over. When these two teams met last year 133 total points were scored. WKU is averaging 43 points per game and they should have no problem reaching that total again on Friday. WKU has gone over the posted total in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ben Burns

CFB *1 Free Pick on MARSHALL (vs Western Kentucky) @ Noon ET Friday

Marshall is off of their bye week and they have gone 5-1 ATS the last three seasons combined when they are off of a bye week. Western Kentucky is having a great season but the Thundering Herd have been at their best against good teams. Marshall has gone 7-3 ATS the last three seasons in their games against teams with a winning record. Western Kentucky is playing on short rest here after their big win over Florida International Saturday. The Hilltoppers are 4-8 ATS the last three seasons when they are off of a win in conference action. Western Kentucky has padded their record this season by facing weaker foes at the right time. The Hilltoppers now must step up in class on Friday and face a rested Marshall team that is 9-2 on the season. Western Kentucky is 2-7 ATS the last three seasons combined in games against teams with a winning record. The Thundering Herd will definitely be fully focused here as they lost a home game by a single point to the Hilltoppers in their match-up last season. That defeat ended Marshall's perfect season and they certainly haven't forgotten that. It's time for revenge. Consider a small play on MARSHALL

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SAM MARTIN

5* Bonus Play on Iowa

Hawkeyes are one win away from completing a perfect regular season, but you wouldn't know that based on this line. Iowa is a very small favorite on the road at a 5-6 Nebraska team and we'll gladly lay that unbelievably small price with the far better team. Iowa doesn't rack up many style points, but their old school style of running the ball, not committing turnovers, and playing great defense has earned them a spot in the Top 4.
Nebraska has had a number of tough losses this year and are better than their record indicates, however, they are not good enough to hang with a legit Top 4 team. While these teams have nearly identical stats in terms of scoring offense (Iowa averages 34.2 ppg this season, 32.1 ppg in Big Ten while Nebraska averages 336 ppg this season and 32.1 ppg in Big Ten) the Hawkeyes have a massive advantage in defense (Iowa allowing 9 ppg fewer both overall and in conference). Hawkeyes lost this game at home by three points in the last meeting, but committed four turnovers in that defeat. Hawkeyes with all the motivation in the world to win this game and finish the regular season with a perfect record and adding to their already profitable 12-2 ATS record in road games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jason Sharpe

Oregon -34.5

There might not be a more improved CFB team the 2nd half of the season than the Oregon Ducks. The main reason behind that is quarterback Vernon Adams is finally fully healthy, and he's playing at elite levels right now. With Adams running the show, the Ducks have not only won five straight games but they've also covered the point spread in each one of those contests. They face a worn-down Oregon State team in this one as the Beavers are playing for the 8th straight week in a row. OSU has allowed an average of over 80 plays on defense the last three weeks, with over 50 of them being rushing plays. That kind of pounding starts to take it's toll on an undermanned team like the Beavers this late in the season as they've allowed nearly 300 yards per game on the ground during that time and now face one of the most prolific rushing offenses in CFB here in this game. They've dropped those last three contests by an average of 39 points per game as well and look to be a team counting the days until the season ends. Oregon should be extra motivated here in this one as it's Senior Day here for the Ducks in this one. Take Oregon minus the points.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Robert Ferringo

UAB -4

Here is another strong spot in a game that should be a blowout. Illinois is fielding about half a team at the moment. And it is half of a bad team. Injuries and other issues have really wiped out this team, and they are off to a terrible start to what many believe is a make-or-break season for John Groce. The Illini barely escaped Monday with a win over a really bad Chicago State team, needing a comeback to win 82-79. That game came after a loss to Chattanooga over the weekend. Now Illinois has to travel to Florida for a holiday tournament and face a UAB team that has everyone back from a team that not only played in but also won a game in the NCAA Tournament. UAB hasn't looked good to start this season, losing its opener at Auburn and then looking shaky against some other bad in-state competition. But the Blazers should be up for this game against a Big Ten opponent. Illinois is just in a fog right now. I think that any mediocre team could beat them right now, and UAB fits the bill.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ALAN HARRIS

Oregon St. / Oregon Over 68.5

Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet in the Civil War on Friday afternoon when the Oregon St. Beavers travel to take on the Oregon Ducks at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, OR. The Ducks have posted a 5-1 record to the over in their last six games following an ATS win, and they have gone over the total in four of their last five games where they faced a team with a losing record. They have also been a very good over team in the month of November, going 20-8 to the over dating back to the 2009 season. The Beavers have been an over team as well of late, mainly because they can't stop anyone when they are on defense as they have gone 4-1 to the over when they allowed more than 200 yards on the ground in their previous contest. Throw in the fact that Oregon has posted a lights out 40-16-1 record to the over in their last 57 home games, and that's where we'll have our Newsletter Bonus Play. We know the Ducks are going to show up but we're expecting an all out effort on offense from the Beavers as this is essentially their bowl game in what has been an awful season in Corvallis.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JIMMY BOYD

Free Pick on Iowa -

While there’s no denying that the Cornhuskers are a much better team than their 5-6 record would indicate and they will certainly be motivated to not only make a bowl but to ruin Iowa’s perfect season, I like the value we are getting with the Hawkeyes laying less than a field goal.
No one seems to want to give Iowa any credit for their 11-0 start (outside of the playoff committee), as all people want to do is pick apart their schedule. It’s a big reason why the Hawkeyes aren’t a bigger favorite in this matchup. I look for the Hawkeyes to come out looking to make a statement against the Cornhuskers and get their revenge from last year’s heartbreaking overtime loss at home.
One thing that a lot of people are overlooking with Iowa is their offense has been consistently putting up big time numbers. The Hawkeyes have scored at least 31 points in 5 straight games. Nebraska held Rutgers to just 14 points in their last contest, but prior to that they gave up 38 to Michigan State, 55 to Purdue and 30 to Northwestern.
One of the reason that some might be drawn to Cornhuskers in this matchup, is they come in with the 9th ranked run defense, allowing just 109.8 yards/game. However, a big reason for that is opposing teams are having their way throwing the ball. Nebraska is 121st in the country against the pass, giving up a ridiculous 305.5 ypg. Iowa’s C.J. Boatyard has completed 61% of his attempts for 2,257 yards with 13 touchdowns to just 3 interceptions. He’s more than capable of shouldering the load with his arm if needed, but I think Iowa’s going to have some success here on the ground.
On the flip side of this, Nebraska quarterback Tommy Armstrong is prone to mistakes, as he comes into this game with 12 interceptions and 5 of those have come in their last 2 games. The Cornhuskers as a team have committed 10 total turnovers in their last 3. Iowa has has 3 turnovers in their last 6 games combined and Nebraska's defense has only forced 3 in their last 4.
Home teams with a line of +3 to -3 at least 8 games into the season in a contest involving 2 strong rushing teams (4.3 to 4.8 yards/carry) are just 12-39 (23%) ATS in conference games since 1992.
Defensively this is also a good matchup for the Hawkeyes, as Nebraska’s offense is built around the running game. The Cornhuskers are averaging a respectable 4.7 ypg on the ground, while only completing 55.6% of their pass attempts. Iowa is allowing just 3.4 yards/carry against the run and opposing quarterbacks are only completing 53.8% of their attempts against them.
Another factor here is turnovers and Iowa does a much better job of taking care of creating takeaways and taking care of the ball. Iowa has only committed 10 turnovers all season. Nebraska has 10 in their last 3 games. The Cornhuskers have forced 12 turnovers, where the Hawkeyes have forced 22. Teams that win the turnover battle typically win the game and with this low spread that’s all we need.
Iowa is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games after failing to cover the spread in their last game. Nebraska is 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games played on a Friday and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record. We also see that home teams with a line of +3 to -3 at least 8 games into the season in a contest involving 2 strong rushing teams (4.3 to 4.8 yards/carry) are just 12-39 (23%) ATS in conference games since 1992. take Iowa!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JIM FEIST

Take: (707) WASHINGTON WIZARDS

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Friday, November 27, 2015 is in the NBA as the Wizards head to Boston to take on the Celtics. The Wizards are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Boston is favored but just 8-7 overall and the Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Washington has won 3 of its last 5 and matches up well. Play Washington.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the Day: Baylor at TCU


The Baylor Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last eight meetings with the TCU Horned Frogs.

Baylor Bears at TCU Horned Frogs (-1, 78.5)

Baylor will be using its third-string quarterback and TCU will likely be using its backup when the No. 7 Bears visit the No. 19 Horned Frogs in Friday's Big 12 contest. Baylor sophomore Chris Johnson will make his first career start after replacing freshman Jarrett Stidham (broken ankle) in last Saturday's victory over Oklahoma State, while TCU senior Trevone Boykin (ankle) could miss his second straight game.

The Bears lead the nation in scoring (53.8) and total offense (644.1 yards) and have continued to click despite losing junior Seth Russell to a season-ending neck injury and now Stidham. "The playbook was open, and we were dialing up the same things we were with Seth and Jarrett, because he’s good and he can deliver," coach Art Briles said at a press conference of Johnson, who passed for 138 yards and two touchdowns against Oklahoma State. "He can do it. That part of it was not surprising at all." Johnson was playing receiver until Russell's injury on Oct. 24 and the Bears could use a big performance from him to keep their College Football Playoff aspirations alive. The Horned Frogs average 42.9 points and 588.2 yards per game but have lost senior standout receiver Josh Doctson (wrist) for the season and senior Bram Kohlhausen will start at quarterback if Boykin can't play.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened TCU as a 2-point fave. The total opened at 78.5.

INJURY REPORT:

Baylor - S Terrell Burt (Probable, undisclosed), TE Gus Penning (Questionable, shoulder), DT Byron Bonds (Questionable, knee), S Orion Stewart (Questionable, undisclosed), DL Beau Blackshear (Questionable, undisclosed), QB Jarrett Stidham (Out indefinitely, ankle), QB Seth Russell (Out for season, neck).

TCU - G Jamelle Naff (Questionable, undisclosed), QB Trevone Boykin (Questionable, ankle), C Joey Hunt (Questionable, undisclosed), WR Josh Doctson (Out for season, wrist), WR Ja'Juan Story (Out for season, undisclosed), S Kenny Iloka (Out for season, knee), CB Ranthony Texada (Out for season, knee), LB Sammy Douglas (Out for season, undisclosed).

WEATHER: Temperatures in the low-40s with a 100 percent chance of rain and wind blowing across the field at around 15 miles per hour.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Bears missed quarterback Seth Russell in a home loss to Oklahoma on Saturday, as backup Jarrett Stidham threw a pair of INTs while throwing for 257 yards on 16-of-27 passing. It doesn't get any easier on the road at Oklahoma State this week. The Horned Frogs appear to be falling apart, with injuries to their two best players (Trevone Boykin and Josh Doctson). They have a tough game this week at Oklahoma."

ABOUT BAYLOR (9-1 SU, 5-4 ATS, 7-3 O/U): Junior receiver Corey Coleman has been superb and leads the nation with 20 touchdown receptions while catching 66 passes for 1,306 yards. Sophomore wideout KD Cannon (39 catches for 774 yards and six touchdowns) and senior receiver Jay Lee (34 for 714 with eight scores) are also dependable targets but Briles said the Bears could be without junior running back Shock Linwood (1,240 yards, 10 touchdowns) due to knee and ankle injuries. Defensively, senior defensive end Shawn Oakman has a team-best 13 tackles for losses and junior cornerback Xavien Howard has a team-leading four interceptions.

ABOUT TCU (9-2 SU 5-6 ATS, 5-6 O/U): Kohlhausen was 5-of-11 for 122 yards and two touchdowns in relief against Oklahoma and is a better option than redshirt freshman Foster Sawyer, who was 8-of-18 for 107 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions before being pulled from his first career start. Senior running back Aaron Green has posted back-to-back 100-yard outings and has 1,099 yards to become the first Horned Frogs' back to top 1,000 rushing yards since Ed Wesley (1,078) in 2010. Junior defensive end Josh Carraway has a team-best seven sacks and senior strong safety Derrick Kindred leads TCU in both tackles (74) and interceptions (two).

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.

CONSENSUS: Sixty-one percent of users are backing the Baylor Bears.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 13


Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan

Game 129-130
November 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Michigan
57.472
Central Michigan
78.738
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Michigan
by 21 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Michigan
by 24 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Eastern Michigan
(+24 1/2); Over

Missouri @ Arkansas

Game 131-132
November 27, 2015 @ 2:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Missouri
88.145
Arkansas
105.483
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas
by 17 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas
by 13 1/2
45
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas
(-13 1/2); Under

Navy @ Houston

Game 133-134
November 27, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Navy
101.252
Houston
95.554
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Navy
by 5 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Navy
by 3
61
Dunkel Pick:
Navy
(-3); Under

Tulsa @ Tulane

Game 135-136
November 27, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
78.549
Tulane
75.525
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulsa
by 3
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulsa
by 7
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tulane
(+7); Over

Marshall @ Western Kentucky

Game 115-116
November 27, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Marshall
83.122
Western Kentucky
97.002
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Kentucky
by 14
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Kentucky
by 10 1/2
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Western Kentucky
(-10 1/2); Over

Washington St @ Washington

Game 137-138
November 27, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington St
101.326
Washington
103.082
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 6 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington St
(+6 1/2); Over

Iowa @ Nebraska

Game 117-118
November 27, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iowa
98.514
Nebraska
94.378
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa
by 4
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa
by 1
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa
(-1); Over

Oregon State @ Oregon

Game 139-140
November 27, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oregon State
67.846
Oregon
99.764
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
by 32
76
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon
by 36
69 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oregon State
(+36); Over

Miami-FL @ Pittsburgh

Game 119-120
November 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami-FL
89.327
Pittsburgh
93.350
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 4
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 6 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
Miami-FL
(+6 1/2); Under

Boise State @ San Jose St

Game 141-142
November 27, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boise State
84.206
San Jose St
80.370
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 4
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 7 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose St
(+7 1/2); Over

Massachusetts @ Buffalo

Game 121-122
November 27, 2015 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Massachusetts
70.452
Buffalo
73.849
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 3 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 7
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Massachusetts
(+7); Under

Baylor @ TCU

Game 143-144
November 27, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baylor
110.675
TCU
106.090
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
by 4 1/2
72
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baylor
No Line
N/a
Dunkel Pick:
Baylor
N/A

Kent State @ Akron

Game 123-124
November 27, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kent State
57.472
Akron
80.889
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Akron
by 16
34
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Akron
by 10 1/2
39 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Akron
(-10 1/2); Under

Troy @ Georgia State

Game 125-126
November 27, 2015 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Troy
73.378
Georgia State
76.639
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia State
by 3 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia State
by 1
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia State
(-1); Under

Western Michigan @ Toledo

Game 127-128
November 27, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Michigan
88.514
Toledo
92.618
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 4
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 8 1/2
60
Dunkel Pick:
Western Michigan
(+8 1/2); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF

Week 13

Best 13 games of the weekend........

Iowa is 10-0 but covered only one of last four games; Hawkeyes lost five of last six with Nebraska, winning 38-17 (+2.5) in last visit here in 2013- underdogs covered four of last five series games. Iowa won/covered last five games, scoring 37.2 ppg; Nebraska scored 38.3 ppg in its last three games; they need win here to be bowl eligible. Seven of last nine Iowa games, four of last five Nebraska games went over the total.

Michigan State beat Michigan/Ohio State without leading in either game until the last play; Spartans are 10-1; their last three road tilts were won by total of 8 points. Favorites are 10-4 vs spread in last 14 series games; home side lost last three. Penn State is 2-3 in last five games, losing last two 23-21/28-16; three of last four Lion games went over total. Unsure if Michigan State QB Cook will play here; he sat out last week (shoulder).

Washington State QB Falk got knocked goofy LW, is a ? here; Coogs are 8-0 vs spread in last eight games, winning six of last seven SU- they lost four of last five Apple Cups, losing 27-17 in last visit here. Wazzu is 5-0 as road underdogs this year. Washington lost four of last six games; they are 2-2 as home favorites; they ost three of last four home games. Last four Wazzu tilts, six of last eight Washington games stayed under total.

Baylor has two QBs out for year; 3rd-string soph Johnson (5-10/138 in relief LW) gets first college start here. Bears won last two games vs TCU 61-58/41-38- average total in last four series games, 91.5. Baylor is 4-0 on road, but Okla State is only good team they've visited. TCU lost two of last three games, is expected to get QB Boykin back here; they lost at Oklahoma 30-29 LW with backup QB. Big X home teams are 19-15.

Rest of the card........
-- Western Kentucky lost 67-66 at Marshall LY; they led 49-42 at half. WKU won last three games, scoring 53 ppg. Marshall is 3-2 on the road; two of the five went OT. C-USA home favorites are 16-10 vs spread.

-- Pitt beat Miami 35-23 LY, first series win in last nine tries; Panthers are 8-3 despite being favored only five times- they ran for 512 yards last two games. Miami covered five of last seven games- they lost other two games 58-0/59-21, to Clemson/UNC.

-- Buffalo lost last two games, allowing 83 points; they need win to get bowl eligible. Bulls won last three games with UMass by average score of 34-14. Five of last six Buffalo games went over total.

-- Dogs are 9-3 vs spread in last 12 Akron-Kent State tilts; Zips scored 32 ppg in winning last three games- they're 3-0 when favored this year. Kent lost last four games, scoring 7.8 ppg (2-5 vs spread in last seven).

-- Troy beat Georgia State 45-21/35-28 last two years; Trojans are 0-7 when scoring less than 44 points- they lost five of last seven games. Five of last six Georgia State games stayed under the total.

-- Toledo covered seven of last eight games; they're 3-2 as home faves. Rockets won last five games with Western Michigan, winning last two here 47-20/66-63. Broncos are 3-2 as an underdog this season.

-- Central Michigan won five of last six games with Eastern Michigan, winning last three by 3-32-31 points. EMU lost last nine games, is 0-5-1 vs spread in last six. MAC home favorites are 15-9 vs spread.

-- Arkansas won four of last five games; losing side scored 46+ points in three of them. Hogs lost 21-14 (-3) at Missouri LY, in first SEC meeting Tigers lost five of last six games, scoring 13 or less in all five losses.

-- Houston lost for first time LW; they're 2-3 as home favorites, last two wins were by total of four points. Navy won last five games, scoring an average of 47.7 in last three- their only loss was 41-24 at Notre Dame.

-- Tulsa lost last two games, allowing 93 points; they won nine of last 10 games with Tulane, but lost 14-7 (-3) in last visit here. Green Wave lost six of last seven games, but covered four of last five (2-2 as home dog).

-- Oregon State is horrible, losing last eight games (1-7 vs spread); when you play a frosh QB, then he gets hurt, its not good. Beavers lost five in row with Oregon, losing 36-35/49-21 in last two visits to Eugene.

-- Boise State lost last two games, both at home; they're 3-2 as favorites on road, but allowed 31+ points in three of last five games. San Jose St, covered six of last eight games. Mountain West home dogs are 6-11.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Rain, thunderstorms forecast for Mizzou-Arkansas

According to weather forecasts, there is a 99 percent possibility of rain and thunderstorms in Fayetteville when the Arkansas Razorbacks host the Missouri Tigers Friday afternoon.

Temperatures in Fayetteville are expected to be in the high-30s with wind blowing toward the south end zone at around seven miles per hour.

Books opened the Razorbacks as 13.5-point home favorites, but that has since moved to -14. The total for Friday's contest is down to 45.5 from the opening 46.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Best ATS wager in college football in action Friday

The Toledo Rockets boast a couple of incredible records so far this season: 9-1 straight up and a college football-best 8-1-1 against the spread. The Rockets and their backers will look for another notch in the win column when they host the Western Michigan Broncos Friday afternoon.

The Rockets began the campaign on a 6-0-1 ATS run before suffering their first loss versus Northern Illinois in Week 10. The Rockets lost 32-27 as 7-point home favorites, but head into Friday's contest with back-to-back SU and ATS wins (at Central Michigan, at Bowling Green).

Books opened the Rockets as 9-point home favorites, but that has since come down to -8. The dog has had the edge in recent meetings, however, posting a record of 8-1 ATS in the last nine.