Friday 10/3/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Welcome to the new sponsor of the Rx Service Thread: Cappers File - The Largest Online Database For Rating Handicappers


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Handicapper Grading:
Grades for each Cappersfile are derived from an established criteria set including: 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] party monitoring for record validity, guarantee offerings, domain longevity, active posting of results and archiving picks history.


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A and B level cappers meet most, if not all, milestones that Cappersfile has identified to be considered a trustworthy handicapper.

C level cappers are not considered to be untrustworthy because they so contain some of the milestones that Cappersfile identifies as a trustworthy handicapper.

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NCAAF

LOUISVILLE (4 - 1) at SYRACUSE (2 - 2) - 10/3/2014, 7:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO ST (2 - 2) at FRESNO ST (2 - 3) - 10/3/2014, 10:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 2-0 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH ST (2 - 2) at BYU (4 - 0) - 10/3/2014, 10:15 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 2-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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NCAAF

Trends

LOUISVILLE vs. SYRACUSE
Louisville is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Syracuse
Louisville is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Syracuse
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Syracuse's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games

SAN DIEGO STATE vs. FRESNO STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego State's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State's last 5 games
Fresno State is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
Fresno State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

UTAH STATE vs. BYU
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah State's last 5 games on the road
Utah State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
BYU is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah State
BYU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah State
 
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NCAAF

Louisville at Syracuse
Louisville: 15-5 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive unders
Syracuse: 9-1 ATS in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better

San Diego State at Fresno State
San Diego St: 6-1 OVER after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game
Fresno St: 21-38 ATS in home games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers

Utah State at BYU
Utah St: 6-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses
BYU: 1-10 ATS off a home win
 
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Cardinals announce Division Series roster

TEAM WILL UTILIZE 12-MAN PITCHING STAFF
The St. Louis Cardinals announced their 25-man roster for the best-of-five Division Series against the Los Angeles Dodgers that begins tomorrow at Dodger Stadium.

The Cardinals 25-man Division Series roster is as follows:

PITCHERS (12): Randy Choate-LHP, Sam Freeman-LHP, Marco Gonzales-LHP, John Lackey-RHP, Lance Lynn-RHP, Seth Maness-RHP, Carlos Martinez-RHP, Shelby Miller-RHP, Pat Neshek-RHP, Trevor Rosenthal-RHP, Michael Wacha-RHP, Adam Wainwright-RHP;
CATCHERS (2): Tony Cruz, Yadier Molina;
INFIELDERS (6): Matt Adams, Matt Carpenter, Daniel Descalso, Pete Kozma, Jhonny Peralta, Kolten Wong;
OUTFIELDERS (5): Peter Bourjos, Randal Grichuk, Matt Holliday, Jon Jay, Oscar Taveras
 

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German Bundesliga 1 TODAY 19:30
Hertha BerlinvStuttgart
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
5/4

5/2

2

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT HERTHA BERLINRECENT FORM
HDALHLADHWAL
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KEY STAT: Hertha have conceded two goals or more in seven of their last nine fixtures

EXPERT VERDICT: Stuttgart took six games to register their first win of the Bundesliga season but are probably a better side than their league position suggests and they can triumph at Hertha Berlin. Armin Veh’s side drew 2-2 at Borussia Dortmund on their last road trip, having led 2-0, while Hertha have the second-worst defensive record in Germany.

RECOMMENDATION: Stuttgart
1


 

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Scottish Premiership TODAY 19:45
KilmarnockvDundee Utd
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
BT112/5

5/2

11/10

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT KILMARNOCKRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Dundee Utd have won their last five matches against Kilmarnock

EXPERT VERDICT: Kilmarnock have made a solid enough start to the season but Dundee United are unbeaten in six and could be too strong. The Tangerines have chalked up 11 goals in their first four away matches and can land the spoils against a side that have already lost to Aberdeen and St Johnstone at Rugby Park.

RECOMMENDATION: Dundee Utd
2


REFEREE: Kevin Clancy STADIUM: Rugby Park

 

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English Championship TODAY 19:45
BlackpoolvCardiff
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS15/2

12/5

5/4

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT BLACKPOOLRECENT FORM
ALHDHLADHLAD
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KEY STAT: Cardiff have won just one of their last 22 away league games

EXPERT VERDICT: Blackpool are rooted to the foot of the Championship table after taking just three points from their opening ten games but they dug out a creditable 1-1 draw at Middlesbrough on Tuesday and can achieve something similar at home to poor travellers Cardiff.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


REFEREE: STADIUM: Bloomfield Road

 

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Spanish Primera Liga TODAY 20:00
GetafevCordoba
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS5Evs

11/5

11/4

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT GETAFERECENT FORM
ALHWALHLALHW
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KEY STAT: Each side has scored three goals in six games

EXPERT VERDICT: A pair of 1-0 home wins has bookended three blanks for Getafe, who are set for a season of struggle. It’s going to be tough for bottom side Cordoba as well though the Caliphs have had a hard baptism predictably losing to Real Madrid, Seville and Valencia. But they’ve drawn their other three and are competitive enough to nick a point.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


 

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English Championship Sa 4Oct 12:15
LeedsvSheff Wed
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS12

23/10

8/5

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT LEEDSRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Sheffield Wednesday have conceded only seven Championship goals this season

EXPERT VERDICT: Leeds have not won either of their matches under Darko Milanic and that run could be extended to three after Sheffield Wednesday have left Elland Road. United have not scored in their last two and a tight match looks on the cards against a defensively solid Wednesday outfit.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


 

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English Premier Sa 4Oct 15:00
LeicestervBurnley
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
4/5

11/4

4

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT LEICESTERRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Burnley have scored just one goal in six league outings

EXPERT VERDICT: After their sensational 5-3 victory over Manchester United, Leicester were brought back down to earth by Crystal Palace last week but they can return to winning ways against toothless Burnley. A chronic lack of goals has been the Clarets’ downfall and that weakness could be exposed once again by the Foxes.

RECOMMENDATION: Leicester
3


REFEREE: Phil Dowd STADIUM:

 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Freehold Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Post: 12:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$3300 - FILLIES & MARES NON-WINNERS $1,500 IN LAST 5 STARTS NON-WINNERS LAST 3 ALLOWED $700 HORSES THAT RACED FOR A PURSE OF $6,500 OR HIGHER IN LAST START INEL. AE: NON-WINNERS 3 EXTENDED PARI-MUTUEL RACES LIFE OPT CLAIM $6,000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 1 MCNICKELS MCDIMES 2/1


# 4 ARIANE HANOVER 5/1


# 2 CAROLSTERN 6/1


The consensus this time is that MCNICKELS MCDIMES is the one to beat. Her 79 avg has this mare among the most competitive speed ratings in here. With a 81 avg class statistic, this fine animal has one of the finest class edges in the bunch. ARIANE HANOVER - With a 81 average class stat, this contender has one of the most competitive class advantages in the group. Recently Smith has been winning a lot, which may give the edge to this mare today. CAROLSTERN - Had one of the most solid speed ratings of the group in her last contest. A good idea to use in your wagers.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The Red Mile

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Post: 3:06 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 82 - Purse:$77120 - INTERNATIONAL STALLION STAKE #112 TWO YEAR OLD COLTS & GELDINGS SPONSORED BY: HORSE GOLD & GASTROMAX PRESENTED BY: CEO, SCOTT ROBINSON


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 7 WHATAWORKOUT 8/1


# 4 PINKMAN 9/2


# 3 CRAZY WOW 6/1


We've got a gut feel WHATAWORKOUT is going to get the win especially at a such a nice price. Can't gloss over based on speed ratings which have been exemplary (82 avg) lately. Has a sharp shot here, if he can race to his back class. This nice horse achieved a competitive speed rating last time out. Looks sharp to come right back. PINKMAN - Driver-trainer are no strangers to the winners circle and should have this colt breaking away from the field of horses. With this driver-conditioner hooking up, risk takers often make some green stuff. ROI is excellent with this partnership. CRAZY WOW - Positive instinct - doing work well enough to contend in this race.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $4950 Class Rating: 78

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JANUARY 3, 2014 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 18 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 3 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SINCE AUGUST 3 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 2 SHADOW WARRIOR 2/1


# 5 DANCING CALLING 7/2


# 1 TRUST ME 8/5


SHADOW WARRIOR has a competitive shot to take this race. He ought to be given a shot given the competitive speed numbers. This animal has a excellent win percentage in dirt routes. With a nice Equibase class rating average of 87, has one of the best class advantages in this group of animals. DANCING CALLING - Shows formidable speed figs on average overall when put alongside the rest of this field. Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. TRUST ME - Will most likely go to the lead and might never look back. Should be given consideration - I like the figures from the last affair.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fresno

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 70

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2014. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 3 YUMA THURMAN 8/5


# 1 REIGNING RUBIES 6/1


# 7 CARA HAS IT 3/1


YUMA THURMAN looks very strong to best this field. She ought to be given a chance given the quite good speed numbers. This mare has a good win percent in dirt sprint races. Baze will most likely be able to get this mare to break out quickly in this event. REIGNING RUBIES - She has been racing quite well lately while recording strong speed figs. Should definitely be given a shot here if only for the decent speed rating posted in the last outing. CARA HAS IT - Could beat this field given the 64 Equibase Speed Figure garnered in her last outing. She has been running very well and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the top in this field.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Meadowlands - Race #3 - Post: 8:00pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 84

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 OROLUCE (ML=4/1)
#8 SUNSET TIME (ML=5/2)
#3 BRIGHTLINGSEA (ML=6/1)


OROLUCE - I'm focusing on the class of this race horse, and this one is the 'classiest' of the bunch. Strong return on investment for this jockey and trainer tandem. Finished sixth at Penn National last out. Was close at the end and at odds of 4/1 today, she looks like a possible contender. SUNSET TIME - I like to bet on this handicapping angle, a racer coming back off a solid effort within the last month. Cruised home victorious as she wired the field just recently at Meadowlands. Quickly turning around to potentially do it again in this event. Won her last after shipping in. I like her again. This filly notched a good speed fig of 88 in her last contest. That figure should be lofty enough to win today. BRIGHTLINGSEA - Equibase speed figures on the grass point to this horse as a legit contender. Has the best in the field for this dist/surf.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SKORT (ML=7/2), #6 BELONGS TO DIXIE (ML=6/1), #5 B. A. LOVE (ML=8/1),

SKORT - If she hasn't found the winning make-up by now, it will be tough for her to get it today. BELONGS TO DIXIE - This mare garnered a speed rating in her last race which likely isn't good enough in today's event. B. A. LOVE - This horse ran a pedestrian speed rating last time out. She shouldn't improve and will likely get beat in today's race running that figure.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - SUNSET TIME - With the greatest TrackMaster turf figure last race. This filly is the campaigner to beat today.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#7 OROLUCE is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,7,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[3,7,8] with [3,7,8] with [1,3,7,8,9] with [1,3,7,8,9] Total Cost: $36
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Thistledown - Race #7 - Post: 3:55pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 82

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#10 LIVIN N' PARADISE (ML=6/1)
#5 SLEWS DIXIE BLUE (ML=5/1)
#6 BOOMER TIME (ML=4/1)


LIVIN N' PARADISE - I think this gelding could run back to his winning race from June 8th, when he won a $7,500 Claiming race, a higher class than today's race. This rider/conditioner duo has been producing a very positive ROI, right at +32. Was in a $7,500 Claiming race at Presque Isle Downs last time around the track. That affair had a class number of 88 and he is moving down right here in this race. A certain win candidate. The improved speed figs over the last three races is strong. Puhl drops him in this event ready to win. SLEWS DIXIE BLUE - Have to give this gelding a shot. Ran a good effort last time around the track within the last month or so. The return on investment when Mejias and Vernino get together is out of sight. BOOMER TIME - Just missed hitting the board on Sep 12th at Thistledown. With respectable odds in this race, he has my interest. Look for this gelding to show much better in this field. Last race at Thistledown finishing fourth on a track listed as good is no sign of his true ability.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 THIRTY ONE ALWAYS (ML=9/2), #7 GOTTCHA MY DEAR (ML=6/1), #2 ST ANDREWS (ML=8/1),

THIRTY ONE ALWAYS - In the last race it was a nice victory, but this time the stretch drive is going to be a true test of courage. This animal doesn't have a winning temperament. Quite often finishes close, but no cigar. GOTTCHA MY DEAR - Hard to keep chasing this kind of 'bridesmaid' horse. ST ANDREWS - This gelding is always close, but just doesn't finish first. Difficult to play him on the front end.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - LIVIN N' PARADISE - This gelding looks to be tough against these horses. His last two speed ratings of 83 and 89 are better than today's class rating.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #10 LIVIN N' PARADISE to win if you can get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
10 with [5,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [5,6,10] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
 
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Handicapped by Ellis Starr at Keeneland

Race #4 - Rating = 1
#9 Nun the Less - Fair odds 2/1
#6 Tony Stark - Fair odds 3/1


Nun the Less showed his ability first time out on August 9 when second with a nice rally then improved both physically and mentally when winning by six lengths in his second career start. Although both were sprints he is bred to like the added distance and turf, and even if the race moves to the main track that should not pose a problem to his continued improvement and success in this situation as he earned the best last Equibase Figure (88) by far in the field.

Tony Stark was entered for a race like this at a mile on turf in his career debut on 8/31 but the race was moved to the main track. He stayed in the race and led every step, no easy task for a first time starter. With potential to improve both physically and mentally off the 80 figure effort put forth, Tony Stark is the other main contender to earn his 2nd career win.
 
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Santa Anita Park

RACE #2 - SANTA ANITA PARK - 1:32 PM PACIFIC POST

6.0 FURLONGS DIRT MAIDEN TWO YEAR OLDS $75,000.00 CLAIMING $35,000.00 PURSE

#7 LIFE ON RIVIERA
#1 SKY HEART
#2 SILENT SECRET
#3 SEBASTIAN'S HEART

#7 LIFE ON RIVIERA is both the overall speed and pace profile leader in this maiden field tonight sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, and comes off a "POWER RUN SHOW" finish in his "first asking." #1 SKY HEART, a grandson of Deputy Minister , out of the Sky Mesa lineage, whose progeny have hit the board in 44% of more than 5,375 combined lifetime starts to date. For your information folks, Sky Mesa also qualifies for my Three Star Sire list ... if you would like a description of the rigid rules that I "employ" to make this list, kindly send me an email ... and yes ... this list, and the "rules" are indeed free!
 
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