FRIDAY * 1 5 1 *

[one51rum]

well tomorrow i am liking Tex AM CC +3 -105 these 2 just [played and Pan AM won 76-74 looking at that game, Pan am shot 50 % 25/50 and were 6/19 from 3 and 20/29 from the ft line while Tex am cc shot 37% as they were 23/62, and only 4/20 from 3 but were 24/31 at the line, there were 60 ft attempts in that game, and notice Tex CC got 12 more shots, and that was because they had 46 rebounds to just 26 for Pan Am , so they should get more rebounds again, and i think they will shoot better, Pan AM i do not think will shoot 50% again, and one of their scorers was only 2/11 and 1/6 from 3 i think they again get more shots but this time they make a few more and maybe get the win here, the total here of 150 is close, but if they get 60 fts and make 50 this could go over, ..the 2 games these 2 played last year were pan am 89-82 and TexCC won at home 97-75, they rebound so much better that they should get 6-9 more shots here, i think they bounce back with the win

Tex AM CC +3 -105 1 unit

4-2 yesterday all wins were easy

241-193

 

[one51rum]

going to take a shot with the OVER 150 in the U Conn Gonzaga game, this line opened aat 152 dropped to 149.5 now back to 150, last year U Conn won this game BIG like 82-54 , i think the winner will get to 80-82 and this one stays closer , i am thinking 154+ in this game , both are averaging over 80 a game but both are giving up like 63-66 points, i think the loser gets over 71 in this 81-75 or 83-79

Over 150 U conn/Gonz

how about those Raiders i need 1 more win for my 4 unit play on over 6.5 wins this year will they get me one more ????

 

[toons]

well tomorrow i am liking Tex AM CC +3 -105 these 2 just [played and Pan AM won 76-74 looking at that game, Pan am shot 50 % 25/50 and were 6/19 from 3 and 20/29 from the ft line while Tex am cc shot 37% as they were 23/62, and only 4/20 from 3 but were 24/31 at the line, there were 60 ft attempts in that game, and notice Tex CC got 12 more shots, and that was because they had 46 rebounds to just 26 for Pan Am , so they should get more rebounds again, and i think they will shoot better, Pan AM i do not think will shoot 50% again, and one of their scorers was only 2/11 and 1/6 from 3 i think they again get more shots but this time they make a few more and maybe get the win here, the total here of 150 is close, but if they get 60 fts and make 50 this could go over, ..the 2 games these 2 played last year were pan am 89-82 and TexCC won at home 97-75, they rebound so much better that they should get 6-9 more shots here, i think they bounce back with the win

Tex AM CC +3 -105 1 unit

4-2 yesterday all wins were easy

241-193

Thanks for your write ups and picks - been following along and appreciate the insights.

 

[one51rum]

well also late last night or early this morning i went through and did get a play in , now this line had went from u conn-4 amd it went to -5.5 and i grabbed Gonzaga at +6 buying a half point, and now i see it has again went back down, so we have had 2 waves of action on this game, i just think Gonzaga will have revenge on their mind for the big blowout loss they took last year vs U Conn, this is a Neutral site game in Seattle , but i just felt like Gonzaga would be a play here, and go against the money, but now money is going the other way and to be honest like i have said i like it more when money moves both ways on a game instead of just going 1 way, these 2 match up well against each other, just felt like getting 6 was worth the play

Confirmation: 2567951​

Date Placed: 12/15/23 02:43:22
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 120.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 894 Gonzaga +6 Buy ½ (-120) risk 120.00 win 100.00 (NCAA Men)

 

[one51rum]

Texas st @ SH SH-4 SH won this game last year at Texas st as a 2 point favorite 69-62, in that game SH shot 24/53 45.3% and were 8/22 from 3 and 13/21 at the ft line, Tex st shot 16/46 34.8% 5/20 from 3 and were 25/28 t the ft line so they took 7 fewer shots and made 8 fewer, but they took 7 more ft's and made 12 more , rebounds were pretty close, but Tex st had 15 to's to just 9 for SH...SH ius avg 72 pts and giving up 72, while Tex st is avg 64 pts a game and gives up 71, they both shoot about the same, but SH does shoot the 3 a little better 34% to 29%
One other point is that Texas st on the road is averaging 65 pts a game and giving up 74, while at home SH is averaging 75 pts and giving up 70 ..if you like trends texas st is 7-2 last 9 road games but alot of the trends point to the OVER...but SH at home is 8-3 under last 11...I am going to take SH-4 small

SH-4 half unit

Recent Trends

Texas State:	TXST are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games. Over is 8-3 in TXST last 11 non-conference games. Over is 14-6 in TXST last 20 overall.
Sam Houston St.:	Over is 7-2 in SHSU last 9 non-conference games. Over is 7-2 in SHSU last 9 overall. Under is 8-3 in SHSU last 11 home games.

 

[one51rum]

I was going to try an UNDER in the mnt st marys/st francis game at 137 but instead i am going to go UNDER 65.5 TT for st francis , bet in at Hard Rock Book , i do not see this really getting to 137, these 2 played last year to a 54-52 game, i think this could be a 64-57 type of game, as these 2 play a lot of unders, i really do not see st francis getting 61 St francis is avg 37% shooting, and averaging 55 shots a game making 20, and making 11 ft's a game, and 5 3's thats how you get a team total, it's very simple its just averages, they make 20 shots, 5 are 3's thats 45 pts, 11 ft's 56 pts their shooting efficiency is only .912 thats 354th i would favor st mary here too, but its right at the line so going with this

UNDER 65.5 TT st Francis 1 unit -110

Recent Trends

Mount St. Mary's:	Under is 25-10-1 in MSM last 36 vs. Northeast. MSM are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 vs. Northeast.
St. Francis (PA):	Under is 10-1 in SFPA last 11 games as an underdog. Under is 8-1 in SFPA last 9 overall. Under is 7-1 in SFPA last 8 non-conference games.
Head to Head:	Favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

 

[one51rum]

in the clev st/Bradley game the line is 10 and 139 i do kind of favor Cleveland st in this spot, this line opened last night at Bradley -8 and it shot up to 10.5, and now has went back down to 9.5 i would buy to 10 if i do play, but i am liking the OVER in this game, Bradley is averaging 78 points at home and Clev st is averaging 68 on the road, Clev st coming in off a close game where they lost by 6 to Kent st 77-83, i do think Clev st should be able to get close to their avg og 68 here, if so this goes over the totsl, Bradley coming in off of 3 str losses vs 3 decent teams, they lost at Akron, at home to Ind st, and lost at Murray st, i think Cleveland st stays in this, i am seeing a 76-70 type of game, but i do like the over i got at 139 , and then i looked at some trends just to see, and found that Bradley is 8-1 over in their last 9 as a favorite, and are 7-2 over in their last 9 non conf games, and clev st is 9-2 OVER in their last 11 road games and this year clev st is 4-1 over on the road and bradley is 4-0 over at home

so i like it even more

OVER 139 Clev st @ Bradley 1 unit

 

[one51rum]

Ticket Number: 747169970-1
Accepted Date: 12/15/23 11:23 GMT-5
Amount:$110.00
Status:
Pending
To win:$100.00
Type:Total
Description:
Basketball - NCAA - Cleveland State vs Bradley - Total | 885 Cleveland State/Bradley over 139 -110 For Game | 12/15/2023 | 08:00:00 PM (EST) | Pending

 

[one51rum]

PLAYS TODAY

Tex am cc+3
Over 150 U Conn/Gonz
Gonzaga +6
Over 139 Clev st/Bradley
under 65.5 TT st francis

SH-4 half unit

Confirmation: 2573795​

Date Placed: 12/15/23 12:40:49
Header:
INTERNET: 2 Team 2T 5½ Points Teaser(ties no action) risk 120.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 889 CS Bakersfield/Fresno State over 127½ (NCAA Men) (5.5 pts)
2. 892 San Diego +7½ (NCAA Men) (5.5 pts)

Ticket Number: 747101084-1
Accepted Date: 12/14/23 11:19 GMT-5
Amount:$105.00
Status:
Pending
To win:$100.00
Type:Spread
Description:
Basketball - NCAA - Texas A&M Corpus vs UT Rio Grande Valley - Spread | 306607 Texas A&M Corpus +3 -105 For Game | 12/15/2023 | 07:30:00 PM (EST) | Pending

about 6 plays have been working well so we will leave it at that for today wishing everyone the best tonight and this weekend

 

[one51rum]

got a play on Albany+21 tonight vs SD st Albany has a pretty good defense, have not allowed more than 22 pts and have 50 sacks and 17 int's this year, got a couple of really good pass rushers, and are allowing just 78 yds rushing this year per game, i do not think SD st has seen a pass rush like this at all this year, and on offense they have a really good wr Easton who had 228 yds rec last week and 3 td's vs Idaho , they did just beat #4 Idaho

ill grab the points here
ALBANY DANES +21

 

[sidthekid]

got a play on Albany+21 tonight vs SD st Albany has a pretty good defense, have not allowed more than 22 pts and have 50 sacks and 17 int's this year, got a couple of really good pass rushers, and are allowing just 78 yds rushing this year per game, i do not think SD st has seen a pass rush like this at all this year, and on offense they have a really good wr Easton who had 228 yds rec last week and 3 td's vs Idaho , they did just beat #4 Idaho

ill grab the points here
ALBANY DANES +21

Love me some FCS football tonight & tomorrow rummer

 

[one51rum]

This total in the fresno st/baker game is 134 ir was like 132.5 i do not even see why it was so low to begin with, i do not run numbers, i do not have a computer program that runs things to see what ever, i go by averages, stats, i go by the same things we use to make a betting line, i mean when you look at the games these 2 have played, and you look at their stats, i thought maybe had really good defenses holding teams to like 64 points a game or something, now cal baker does only average 64.5 pts a game, but they give up 76 pts a game, and Fresno st averages 74 pts a game but they also give up 74 points a game , their defenses give up 150, their offenses score 139.5, if anything i would have figured this total to be 141 as an opener, Fresno is coming off 2 wins where they scored 79 and 89, now Bakersfield on the road this year has not scored a lot of points, but they have given up a lot of points, they lost 59-85 at USC, they lost 63-83 at Cal, at Gonzaga 65-81, and just lost at S.Dakota 73-78 where they had their best offensive out put, all of those go over 134, fresno also beat Morgan st at home 87-68, only lower scoring home game they had was a 65-69 loss to UCSB
Both teams averaging 56-57 shots a game, Baker making 24 and fresno making 27 , Baker makes just 4 3's a game and Fresno 7.6, and both average about 15 ft's a game making 11...but here is why it opened at 132, baker makes 24 shots=48 4 3's +4 52 and 11 ft's 63 fresno 27 shots 54 pts +7 for the 3's 61 and 11 ft's 72 63 and 72 135 that is what both teams score on average just seems like it should have been higher i have the scoring at least 140-141 i have them on a teaser, i will be interested on the final score after 40 mins not with OT ..lol i'd favor the over 134

 

[one51rum]

PARLAY
San Diego+2/Clev st+10 50 to win 118.09

 

[one51rum]

damnit i said cleveland st and San Diego and both win outright and hit the parlay hope ya played it for more, not going to say anything about a send out and st francis lands right on the spread at +7 and the total at 137 but i win a half pt winner lol yeaaa!!!!!! as they score 65

tex am cc winner
over 139 clev st winner
clev st+10 winner
San diego +2 winner
under 65.5 TT st francis

gonzaga loser
over Gonx=zaga loser
SH i guess fell apart