Friday 09/18/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Friday 09/18/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays (-170, 9)

Things are starting to boil over for the once-contending Rays. Tempers fared Wednesday afternoon in the team clubhouse when left fielder Carl Crawford started yelling at teammate Pat Burrell.

James Shields got in between the two players and manager Joe Maddon met with both players.

“It was nothing,” Joe Maddon said told the Tampa Tribune. “Honestly – I talked to both parties everything’s good.”

Sorry Joe, but we’re going to have to call BS on that one.

The Ray have dropped 13 of their last 14 and crushed any hope of the postseason in the process.

Pick: Jays


Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks (+130, 10)

The Rockies got a much-needed win Wednesday night and the club got some good news in the afternoon about the health of closer Houston Street.

The righty reliever, who hasn’t pitched since Sept. 1 because of a biceps tendon strain, was impressive in a bullpen session and could be back for game action as soon as Sunday.

“It was a very good day for me,” Street told MLB.com following his workout. “I’m feeling so good that maybe after I throw on Friday they can try to find an inning for me Sunday, and if not Sunday then maybe sometime shortly after that.”

Street has been money in back for Colorado backers this season. The former Oakland Athletic is 33 for 34 in save opportunities this season.

Look for the feel-good wave to continue for the Rockies Friday night against Arizona.

Pick: Rockies
 
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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Clay Buchholz, Boston Red Sox

The young righty is a big part of the BoSox postseason push. In his last four trips to the mound, Buchholz has allowed just five earned runs in over 28 innings of work.

In his most recent start, Buchholz shut down the Tampa Bay Rays for just one run on five hits. He also struck out five batters, bringing his K count to 22 during this current streak.

Buchholz is likely to earn himself a spot in the playoff rotation after watching the postseason from the sidelines last year. The team hasn’t set any pitch count for its budding ace like it did in 2008.

“I don’t think there’s any caution flags that have been thrown out right now,” Buchholz told the Boston Globe. “They haven’t mentioned anything to me about it. I think if that’s the case, if I was getting close, I think they would take me out in the fifth or sixth inning. I feel strong. I think we’re going more on how my body feels than anything.”

Scott Kazmir, Los Angeles Angels

Life on the West Coast has been good to Scott Kazmir.

Since moving from Florida to Los Angeles, the left-hander has posted a 1.86 ERA in his first three starts for the Angels. However, those performances have earned Kazmir an unimpressive 0-1 record in that span.

The Halos power outage at the plate has prevented Kazmir from getting the win, averaging just over one run per game in those starts. In his most recent trip to the bump, Kazmir gave up just two runs in six innings while the offense scored just enough to get the 3-2 victory.

Tim Stauffer, San Diego Padres

San Diego is showing some fight in September and Stauffer is the team’s hardest punch.

The righty is 3-0 in his last four starts, allowing just six runs in that span. He has given up only one earned run in his last three, posting a 1.40 ERA in just over 19 innings pitched.

In his most recent appearance, Stauffer went six innings, striking out three batters but walked four. Known more for his breaking balls, he relied on his fastball and changeup versus the Rockies. That wide array of pitches has kept batters guessing in the second half of the season.

"It was a solid outing. What I like was that he made pitches when he needed to," manager Bud Black told MLB.com. "The four walks were unlike him. I really like the use of the changeup. I thought that was his best pitch."


Slumping

Scott Richmond, Toronto Blue Jays

The Jays young right-hander is caught in pitching hell right now.

In his last four outings, Richmond has been pounded for a total of 23 runs in just over 20 innings of so-called work. His latest nightmare was a six-run, three-home run waxing in 4 1-3 innings versus the Detroit Tigers. Somehow, Toronto overcame that and scored eight runs to give Richmond the no-decision. He hasn’t posted a win since June 24 and has an ERA north of 8.00 since the break.

When asked to sum up his troubles, which were manifested in four walks, Richmond simply stated, “Plain and simple, it's lack of fastball command".

Luke Hochevar, Kansas City Royals

Hochevar’s recent troubles could be due to the fact the Royals righty is tipping his pitches.

“You feel like you’re pitching your game, making pitches, and getting killed,” he told the Kansas City Star. “It’s nice, because I felt like we went through every scenario, like, ‘I’m not mixing enough, maybe I need to pitch backward more. Maybe my location’s not good enough.’

“It’s human nature, you start questioning your stuff, ‘Is my stuff good enough?’ I even thought about canning my curveball.”

Hochevar has been bashed for 18 runs in his last three games, spawning a grotesque 11.57 ERA in just 14 innings. Against the Cleveland Indians last weekend, he allowed five runs on seven hits but struck out six batters.

The trouble is coming in bunches for the youngster. He is susceptible to big innings in recent starts, posting some three, four and five runs innings during this current funk.
 
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Marc Lawrence MLB - Friday 9/18
Play On: Philadelphia w/Happ vs Hudson

Note: The Phillies meet the Braves when J. A. Happ opposes Tim Hudson at Turner Field in Atlanta Friday evening. Happ enters tonight's contest with wins in 3 of his last 4 away team starts with a 2.21 ERA to show in those efforts. He's also 3-1 with a 1.63 ERA in his career teams starts against the Braves. Meanwhile, Hudson checks in at just 2-3 in his last five home team starts against Philadelphia with a 7.68 ERA . Back the best road tam in the big leagues here tonight. Back the Phillies with Happ over Hudson.
 
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Stephen Nover

Unless Tim Lincecum is pitching, I feel confident fading the Giants on the road where they are 10 games under .500.

The Dodgers may have overpaid to get Manny Ramirez, but they were astute in signing Rangers castoff Vicente Padilla for minimum wage. Padilla has rewarded the Dodgers' trust by going 3-0 with a 2.01 ERA.

Padilla just faced the Giants and Jonathan Sanchez on Saturday and beat them 9-1, yielding only one run and three hits in six innings. That was at AT&T Park.

Now Padilla draws Sanchez again, but this time at Dodger Stadium. The Giants are 4-17 in Sanchez's past 21 road starts. Sanchez is much worse on the road than he is at home. The erratic left-hander has had no success when facing Los Angeles.

Sanchez is 0-4 with a 5.86 ERA in seven career starts versus the Dodgers. He is 0-2 at Dodger Stadium with a 9.00 ERA. The Giants are 0-6 against the Dodgers the past six times Sanchez has started against them. Catcher Russell Martin particularly likes to hit Sanchez going six-for-13 against him in his career.

The Dodgers are 25-12 in their last 37 games against southpaw starters. The Dodgers have been dominant against NL West Division competion winning 40 of the past 59 times.
3♦ DODGERS
 
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Karl Garrett

G-Man gave you another comp play winner on Thursday, as the Angels nipped the Red Sox.

Now 6-1 the last 7 days with my Bonus Plays!

Central Division rivals have at it on Friday, as the Cubbies take on the Cardinals.

Despite their loss last night, Chicago does bring wins in 7 of their last 10 into this weekend's set, while St. Louis has been going through a bit of a lull down the stretch, losing their last pair, and 5 of their last 6.

The Cards will go with John Smoltz, and while Smotlz has been OK since coming back to the senior circut, he has allowed 7 runs over his last 11 innings of work.

Ted Lilly has been rolling, allowing 2 earned runs or fewer in each of his last 6 starts, and he has won his last 3 starts, allowing just 2 runs over his last 20 innings of work.

G-Man opening with the Cubbies in this weekend set to continue the Cardinals slide.
2? CUBS
 
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Jeff Benton

For Friday, take the Red Sox on the run line (-1½ runs) over the Orioles.

Boston had a seven-game winning streak snapped with Thursday’s tough 4-3 loss to the Angels, but there’s no reason to believe the Sox won’t get back on a track tonight and do so in dominating fashion. Why? Because this hasn’t been any kind of a rivalry at all in recent years. The Red Sox are 57-17 – that’s not a misprint: 57-17 – their last 74 meetings against the Orioles. Beyond that, they’re 64-27 – 64-27! – in their last 91 games at Camden Yards!

More recently, Boston has taken 16 of 18 against Baltimore since last Sept. 1. Of those 16 wins, 13 have been by multiple runs, including four straight wins since Aug. 1 of this season by scores of 4-0, 18-10, 10-0 and 7-5. Clay Buchholz got the start in two of those four recent wins (the 18-10 and 10-0 blowouts), and the young Boston right-hander has been absolutely dealing lately. Including the 10-0 home win over Baltimore, Buccholz has allowed just five runs in his last four starts covering 28 1/3 innings (1.27 ERA). Also, Boston has won six straight games behind Buchholz, with five of those being by two runs or more.

On the other hand, the Orioles are going with Jeremy Guthrie on the mound, and they’re 3-7 in Guthrie’s last 10 starts overall, 1-4 in his last five starts at home and, most importantly, 0-5 in his last five starts against Boston (four of those five decided by multiple runs). Finally, while the Orioles have been playing out the string since June, the Red Sox have the A.L. wild-card berth in their sites, so when it comes to the motivational angle, that belongs to Boston, too. Throw in the fact that Red Sox closer Jonathan Papelbon is fresh and available, and this almost seems too easy. Take the visitor and lay the 1½ runs.
5♦ BOSTON (-1 1/2 RUNS) ... (BASED ON A 1♦ TO 10♦ SCALE)
 
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Bobby Maxwell

The Angels brought home a FREE winner Thursday with a victory over the Red Sox in Boston. Tonight I've got the Angels involved again, only this time they'll be falling to the Rangers.

The Rangers are in must-win mode. They have looked like crap lately and the scheduling gods have handed them this three-game set - in Texas - to get back into the A.L. West race. Play Texas tonight behind the pitching of Tommy Hunter (8-3, 3.33 ERA).

Texas trailing in the division by 6.5 games, gets to face an Angels' team that had to fly cross country on Sunday night, play the Yankees on Monday and then a three-game set in Boston through Thursday. Now they hop on a plane and fly half way back across the country to Texas to face a Rangers' team that knows it has to win at least two of three to stay in this race.

I know the Rangers have dropped four in a row and only scored one run in those four games, but this one is different. This series means everything to them and they know they can beat the Angels, winning nine of the 12 played this season, including five of six in Texas.

Hunter is 6-2 at home and just threw a complete-game against Seattle on Sunday, allowing two runs on six hits. Texas has won six of his last eight outings and three straight in Arlington. They are 7-1 when he starts as a favorite and they will get him some runs in this one.

Scott Kazmir (8-8, 5.32) goes for the Angels for the fourth time since coming over from Tampa. Kazmir had never lost to the Rangers in his career until this year, so Texas knows it can get to the southpaw. Los Angeles has struggled on the road lately, going 1-4 on the highway and 1-5 on the road against winning teams.

Play Texas tonight in this must-win for the Rangers.
2♦ TEXAS
 
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Dominic Fazzini

A.J. Burnett (11-9, 4.33 ERA) is not pitching like someone worth $82.5 million.

In fact, the Yankees right-hander has not been pitching like someone worth a damn. Over his last nine starts, Burnett is 1-5 with a 6.14 ERA. He allowed six runs and seven hits in seven innings Saturday in a 7-3 loss to Baltimore.

Burnett is 6-6 with a 5.12 ERA in 14 road starts this year.

Mariners ace Felix Hernandez, on the other hand, is a candidate for the AL's Cy Young Award. The 23-year-old right-hander is 2-0 with a 0.41 ERA in three starts this month, and gave up four hits in seven scoreless innings Sunday against Texas.

Hernandez is just 1-3 with a 5.92 ERA in four career starts vs. New York, but hasn't faced the Bronx Bombers since May 3, 2008.

Seattle is coming off of a 4-3 win over the White Sox in 14 innings Thursday, when it rallied from a 3-1 deficit in the ninth inning with two homers off Chicago closer Bobby Jenks. With the momentum of that victory and Hernandez wanting to give a good showing against the Yankees, I love the Mariners to take the first game of this series tonight.
4♦ SEATTLE
 
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Michael Cannon

Take the Yankees for the road win over the Mariners.

This is the rare opportunity to grab the Yankees as a small dog and I’m taking advantage of it.

I know Seattle’s Felix Hernandez is a stud and he’s been nearly untouchable lately, but the Yankees do have that formidable lineup that can go off on anyone at anytime.

Plus we have A. J. Burnett going for New York, and when he’s feeling it he can match anybody in the league pitch-for-pitch. The right-hander has electric stuff but has had problems putting it all together consistently over the course of an entire season. But when he’s on, look out.

Despite his success this year, Hernandez hasn’t had much luck against the Yankees. The right-hander is just 1-3 with a 5.92 ERA in four lifetime appearances against New York.

Burnett is 2-1 with a 3.46 ERA in four career games against Seattle, with 28 strikeouts in 26 innings.

Take the Yankees as they grab the road win.
3♦ NY YANKEES
 
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Sports Gambling Hotline
Our Bonus Play run stands at 34-20-3 the last 57 days.

For Friday night, we will take the Yankees as they pay their last visit of the season on the Mariners.

New York has been able to win 15 of their last 20 road games, and while starter AJ Burnett has not been the "ace" the Yankees thought they were getting when they inked him to that huge off-season contract, you know that he is more than capable of going out there and mowing the Mariners down this Friday night.

Seattle just played a lengthy game yesterday against the White Sox, and could find their bats a little sluggish this evening.

Felix Hernandez has been on-fire over his last 3 starts, allowing just 1 earned run over his last 22 innings of work, but the fact remains the M's are just 4-14 the last 18 times they have faced the Yankees, including 2-5 this season.

The last time Hernandez faced the Yankees, New York scored 6 times in 6 innings, as Felix absorbed the loss.

Play on the Yans to grab the weekend opener.
4? NY YANKEES
 
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MLB WRITE-UP

Friday, September 18

Hot Pitchers
-- Padres won last four Stauffer starts (3-0, 2.96).
-- Bailey is 3-1, 2.20 in his last five starts.
-- Nationals won six of last eight Martin starts.
-- Hudson is 1-0, 3.64 in three starts for the Braves.
-- Norris is 2-0, 2.25 in his last couple starts.
-- Lilly is 3-1, 1.37 in his last six starts. Cardinals won three of Smoltz' four starts (1-1, 3.27).
-- Padilla is 3-0, 2.42 in four starts for the Dodgers.

-- Guthrie is 3-2, 2.48 in his last five starts. Buchholz is 3-0, 1.59 in his last four starts.
-- Kazmir has a 2.33 RA in his first three starts for the Angels. Rangers are 8-3 in Hunter's last eleven starts (3-0, 4.43 last three).
-- Porcello is 3-0, 3.28 in his last four starts. Duensing is 3-0, 2.00 in six starts for the Twins.
-- Buehrle has a 2.77 RA in his last four starts.
-- Huff is 3-0, 2.84 in his last three starts.
-- FHernandez is 3-0, 1.55 in his last four starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Morton is 0-2, 5.82 in his last three starts.
-- Vanden Hurk is 1-2, 6.46 in his last five starts.
-- Pelfrey is 1-2, 7.99 in his last four starts.
-- Happ is 0-2, 4.50 in his last couple starts.
-- Narveson allowed two runs in three IP (68 PT) in his first '09 start.
-- Marquis is 1-3, 6.08 in his last four starts. Mulvey allowed six runs in four IP in his first '09 start.
-- Dodgers are 3-0 vs JSanchez (0-2, 6.60) this season.

-- Shields has a 6.00 RA in his last seven starts. Richmond is 0-4, 7.48 in his last seven starts.
-- Royals lost last nine Hochevar starts (0-7, 8.57).
-- Anderson has a 6.88 RA in his last three starts.
-- Burnett is 1-3, 7.67 in his last five starts.

Hot Teams
-- Padres won last four road series (8-4 last 12 road games).
-- Cubs won seven of their last ten games.
-- Reds won their last four games, allowing 12 runs. Florida won seven of its last ten road games.
-- Phillies won eight of their last ten games.
-- Braves won their last seven games, outscoring foes 45-23.
-- Brewers are 6-4 in their last ten games.
-- Dodgers won five of their last six games. Giants won three of four.

-- Royals won eight of their last ten games.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last eight games.
-- Twins won their last four games, scoring 26 runs.
-- A's won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Bronx Bombers won seven of last ten games. Mariners won three of their last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost 17 of their last 19 games.
-- Nationals lost 10 of their last 12 road games. Mets lost nine of their last ten games.
-- Astros lost their last four games, scoring total of 11 runs. Cardinals lost five of their last six games.
-- Arizona lost 10 of its last 13 games. Rockies lost four of last five.

-- Orioles lost 16 of their last 24 home games.
-- Tigers lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Rays lost 13 of their last 15 games. Toronto is 5-13 in last 18 games.
-- Rangers lost their last four games, scoring one run. Angels lost four of their last six games.
-- White Sox lost three of their last four games.
-- Indians lost nine of their last ten games.

Totals
-- Over is 15-4 in San Diego's last nineteen road games.
-- Under is 11-4 in Cincinnati's last fifteen games.
-- Under is 6-2-3 in Mets' last eleven home games.
-- Six of Phillies' last seven games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Cub games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in Arizona's last eight games.
-- Seven of last nine Giant games went over the total.

-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Baltimore games.
-- Under is 8-4 in last dozen Tampa Bay games.
-- Eight of Angels' last nine road games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Detroit road games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of White Sox' last eleven home games stayed under total.
-- Last six Oakland games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Bronx road games went over the total.
 
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MLB ADDITIONAL

Friday, September 18

Trend Report

7:05 PM
BOSTON vs. BALTIMORE
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Boston

7:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. PITTSBURGH
San Diego is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing Pittsburgh
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 2-17 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games

7:10 PM
FLORIDA vs. CINCINNATI
Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Florida is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NY METS
Washington is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets are 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Washington

7:35 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. ATLANTA
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

7:38 PM
TORONTO vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto

8:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. MILWAUKEE
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Houston's last 22 games
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home

8:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. TEXAS
LA Angels are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
LA Angels are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Texas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games

8:10 PM
DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Minnesota's last 20 games

8:11 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Kansas City is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Kansas City is 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing Kansas City
Chi White Sox are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games when playing at home against Kansas City

8:15 PM
CHI CUBS vs. ST. LOUIS
Chi Cubs are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
St. Louis is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games

9:40 PM
COLORADO vs. ARIZONA
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Arizona is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Arizona's last 15 games when playing at home against Colorado

10:05 PM
CLEVELAND vs. OAKLAND
Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Oakland
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
Oakland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

10:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. SEATTLE
NY Yankees are 14-4 SU in their last 18 games when playing Seattle
NY Yankees are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games on the road
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. LA DODGERS
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games at home
 
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JIM FEIST

(909) HOUSTON ASTROS
(910) MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Take "Over"

There will be some well pitched games on the diamond today, but this won't be one of them. Neither bullpen is strong and both starters are struggling. That's a bad mix as Milwaukee is an offensive park. Houston starter Bud Norris (5-3) has a winning record, but an ERA of 5.44. Brewers starter Manny Parra has been even worse, a 10-game winner but with a 6.42 ERA. His walk ratio is awful, with 71 free passes in 130 innings! Look for an offensive show, play the Astros/Brewers Over the total.
 
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MLB LONG SHEET


Friday, Septemer 18

SAN DIEGO (66 - 81) at PITTSBURGH (55 - 89) - 7:05 PM
TIM STAUFFER (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 129-179 (-37.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 129-179 (-37.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 32-64 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 28-22 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 29-21 (+18.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN DIEGO is 49-56 (+3.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 54-87 (-23.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 39-66 (-20.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PITTSBURGH is 31-57 (-19.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PITTSBURGH is 25-44 (-17.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 55-89 (-24.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 (+2.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

TIM STAUFFER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

CHARLIE MORTON vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
MORTON is 1-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.69 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (78 - 69) at CINCINNATI (68 - 79) - 7:10 PM
RICK VANDENHURK (R) vs. HOMER BAILEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 10-6 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
CINCINNATI is 67-77 (+0.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 52-55 (+7.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
FLORIDA is 81-65 (+23.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 78-69 (+5.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 89-70 (+23.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 38-34 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
FLORIDA is 43-28 (+24.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 15-9 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 75-66 (+4.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 115-107 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 113-105 (+11.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 232-268 (-67.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 256-274 (-60.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against FLORIDA this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

RICK VANDENHURK vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

HOMER BAILEY vs. FLORIDA since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (50 - 96) at NY METS (63 - 84) - 7:10 PM
J.D. MARTIN (R) vs. MIKE PELFREY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 50-93 (-30.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 31-74 (-34.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 40-73 (-21.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 28-67 (-33.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
WASHINGTON is 32-59 (-21.6 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 50-96 (-33.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 21-53 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 5-18 (-11.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
WASHINGTON is 17-42 (-19.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 93-98 (+17.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 121-128 (+28.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 63-84 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 55-76 (-32.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 28-36 (-20.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 15-22 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 99-105 (-36.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 63-84 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 38-59 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PELFREY is 12-22 (-15.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
PELFREY is 6-13 (-13.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 8-4 (+3.4 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
10 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+8.8 Units)

J.D. MARTIN vs. NY METS since 1997
MARTIN is 0-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 11.25 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MIKE PELFREY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
PELFREY is 3-4 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.492.
His team's record is 5-5 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (85 - 60) at ATLANTA (78 - 68) - 7:35 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. TIM HUDSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 46-33 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HUDSON is 111-46 (+34.7 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 187-105 (+41.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 136-93 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-17 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-13 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 52-31 (+14.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 188-133 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-5 (+8.0 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 43-28 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 89-74 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 43-23 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 40-25 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 113-120 (-23.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 78-68 (-5.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 40-41 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 38-33 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ATLANTA is 23-24 (-12.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 14-22 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 78-68 (-5.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 105-110 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 9-6 (+3.6 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.3 Units)

J.A. HAPP vs. ATLANTA since 1997
HAPP is 2-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.65 and a WHIP of 1.061.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.4 units)

TIM HUDSON vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
HUDSON is 4-5 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.435.
His team's record is 7-7 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (70 - 76) at MILWAUKEE (71 - 75) - 8:05 PM
BUD NORRIS (R) vs. CHRIS NARVESON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 9-16 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 152-149 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 156-151 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 72-66 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 51-59 (-12.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 34-43 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 257-293 (-64.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 71-75 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 34-37 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-20 (-12.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 34-37 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 7-5 (+2.1 Units) against HOUSTON this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

BUD NORRIS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
NORRIS is 1-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

CHRIS NARVESON vs. HOUSTON since 1997
NARVESON is 0-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (75 - 70) at ST LOUIS (85 - 62) - 8:15 PM
TED LILLY (L) vs. JOHN SMOLTZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 33-41 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 60-56 (-12.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 33-35 (-7.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 26-34 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 42-52 (-19.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 75-70 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 3-12 (-8.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 31-40 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 6-17 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 75-70 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 171-138 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 171-138 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 58-35 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LILLY is 71-47 (+22.1 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
SMOLTZ is 2-9 (-9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 8-5 (+3.1 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

TED LILLY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LILLY is 7-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.018.
His team's record is 9-4 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-4. (+4.1 units)

JOHN SMOLTZ vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
SMOLTZ is 2-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 6.05 and a WHIP of 1.584.
His team's record is 6-2 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-0. (+7.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (83 - 64) at ARIZONA (64 - 83) - 9:40 PM
JASON MARQUIS (R) vs. KEVIN MULVEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 29-34 (-10.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MARQUIS is 58-75 (-38.2 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 62-67 (-32.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 30-42 (-30.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 83-64 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 180-157 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 59-40 (+16.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 49-32 (+11.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
COLORADO is 83-64 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 64-83 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 22-27 (-8.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 104-117 (-26.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 23-40 (-15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARIZONA is 64-83 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 32-40 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 76-80 (-35.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 9-6 (+2.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-1.2 Units)

JASON MARQUIS vs. ARIZONA since 1997
MARQUIS is 2-6 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.279.
His team's record is 3-7 (-5.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.6 units)

KEVIN MULVEY vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (79 - 67) at LA DODGERS (88 - 59) - 10:10 PM
JONATHAN SANCHEZ (L) vs. VICENTE PADILLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 42-22 (+11.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA DODGERS are 88-59 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 88-59 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PADILLA is 15-7 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 11-1 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 17-5 (+14.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 15-7 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 22-14 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 19-5 (+16.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 18-8 (+13.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 34-21 (+15.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 79-67 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 51-46 (+5.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 58-50 (+7.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 40-27 (+13.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 79-67 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 29-29 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 9-6 (+1.4 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.6 Units)

JONATHAN SANCHEZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
SANCHEZ is 0-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.86 and a WHIP of 1.613.
His team's record is 1-6 (-5.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

VICENTE PADILLA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
PADILLA is 4-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.39 and a WHIP of 1.081.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-2. (+2.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (86 - 59) at BALTIMORE (60 - 86) - 7:05 PM
CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) vs. JEREMY GUTHRIE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 8-1 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in home games after getting shut out over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 41-33 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 87-45 (+29.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 42-21 (+19.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 169-101 (+36.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 136-89 (+23.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 502-549 (-115.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 240-299 (-88.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 91-161 (-43.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 14-31 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 502-549 (-115.0 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 42-89 (-31.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GUTHRIE is 17-27 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 17-27 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 2-9 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 13-2 (+10.1 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.7 Units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 2-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.27 and a WHIP of 1.317.
His team's record is 3-2 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. BOSTON since 1997
GUTHRIE is 1-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.75 and a WHIP of 1.665.
His team's record is 2-8 (-5.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-1. (+4.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (66 - 80) at TAMPA BAY (74 - 73) - 7:38 PM
SCOTT RICHMOND (R) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 66-80 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 25-39 (-16.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 9-22 (-11.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 20-40 (-23.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 37-52 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 33-15 (+17.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 79-62 (+18.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 106-56 (+29.4 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 116-64 (+32.0 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 39-9 (+24.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 105-53 (+32.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SHIELDS is 16-2 (+12.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 3-14 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 52-50 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 48-46 (-7.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 74-73 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SHIELDS is 13-17 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SHIELDS is 7-10 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season. (Team's Record)
SHIELDS is 8-11 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season. (Team's Record)
SHIELDS is 4-10 (-11.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 11-4 (+7.2 Units) against TORONTO this season
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.4 Units)

SCOTT RICHMOND vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
RICHMOND is 0-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.38 and a WHIP of 1.460.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. TORONTO since 1997
SHIELDS is 5-4 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.40 and a WHIP of 1.051.
His team's record is 7-5 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-6. (-1.0 units)
 

New member
Joined
Dec 3, 2008
Messages
83
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Jim Kruger

Can anyone give me a heads up about Jim Kruger? Does he ban his clients that post to the forum? I dont see him posted much here and he looks like a solid capper to follow. Is he better at NFL or NCAAF?
 

New member
Joined
Aug 31, 2009
Messages
62
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You all must not know how good Boise State really is.
Play of the day is
BOISE STATE by at least 20
 

Money Manager Extraordinaire
Joined
Aug 4, 2009
Messages
326
Tokens
VSI 6 unit and Dave Busk 8 unit from Doc's have game of the months and GOY.......interested............split.............I get one you get the other? LMK

Doc has a 5 unit GOW as well........I will post it shortly.
 

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