Friday 09/11/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Wunderdog

Wunderdog

Pick: 3 units on Toledo +4 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Toledo is never an easy out when you get them at home. They have also proven to be best when they aren't expected to win as they have turned in an 8-3 ATS mark as a home dog this decade. The Buffalos, who once played even with Nebraska and Oklahoma in the Big-12, have not been seen since the 1990s. The proof came last week when they were a big favorite at home vs. a weak Colorado State team with a brand new quarterback, and before you knew it they were down 20-3. The offense is simply a mess and the coaching is suspect. Dan Hawkins, while he killed it at Boise, is just 13-23 ATS at Colorado. He claims the Buffs are capable of winning ten games this season, but now there are just 11 left and he has to go to Oklahoma State and Texas yet, so I don't see it. The play calling and defensive line are issues and the secondary is very suspect. This is a team that has won a total of two road games in the last three years and have no right being favored in this spot. Very telling is the fact the Buffalo's are 0-6 ATS following a game where the offense generated 275 yards or less. Toledo is a tough out at home where they are 27-13 ATS in their last 40 played. They are also 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games at home coming off a road loss.
 

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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians (+138, 7.5)

The Royals haven’t been able to beat many teams this season. But when it comes to the Indians, they have held their own.

Kansas City is 7-8 againt the Tribe and has won four straight overall, including a sweep of the AL Central-leading Tigers. And don’t look for the Indians to turn things around anytime soon. Cleveland has lost eight of its past 10 and is doing it in poor fashion, allowing an average of more than six runs per game in those loses.

Not that the Royals should need that many to win.

With ace Zach Greinke, who has allowed three earned runs or less in four starts against Cleveland, Kansas City should need minimal run support to pick up a win in Ohio.

Pick: Royals -130


Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs (-209)

If there’s one thing the Reds don’t want to see on the mound, it’s a right-handed pitcher. Good luck against Rich Harden, guys.

Cincinnati is batting an MLB-low .239 against righties and averaging a pathetic 3.05 runs per game. Even worse, the squad has only 168 doubles. In its past 10 games overall, the team is averaging only 4.3 runs per game.

And it’s not like the Reds have done well against Chicago. Cincinnati is just 4-8 against the Cubs this season and are just 2-4 in the Windy City. Meantime, the Cubs are starting to heat up. Chicago has won four of five, including a three-game sweep of the Pirates in Pittsburgh.

The Reds need a miracle to survive a losing season, and don’t expect them to get any hope at Wrigley Field.

Pick: Cubs -209
 

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Wizzard's Picks for 9/11/09
MLB: Friday 9/11/09
30* KC Royals (-140)
50* Boston Red Sox (-200)
 

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Wunderdog

Pick: 3 units on Toledo +4 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Toledo is never an easy out when you get them at home. They have also proven to be best when they aren't expected to win as they have turned in an 8-3 ATS mark as a home dog this decade. The Buffalos, who once played even with Nebraska and Oklahoma in the Big-12, have not been seen since the 1990s. The proof came last week when they were a big favorite at home vs. a weak Colorado State team with a brand new quarterback, and before you knew it they were down 20-3. The offense is simply a mess and the coaching is suspect. Dan Hawkins, while he killed it at Boise, is just 13-23 ATS at Colorado. He claims the Buffs are capable of winning ten games this season, but now there are just 11 left and he has to go to Oklahoma State and Texas yet, so I don't see it. The play calling and defensive line are issues and the secondary is very suspect. This is a team that has won a total of two road games in the last three years and have no right being favored in this spot. Very telling is the fact the Buffalo's are 0-6 ATS following a game where the offense generated 275 yards or less. Toledo is a tough out at home where they are 27-13 ATS in their last 40 played. They are also 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games at home coming off a road loss.

Never an easy out ??? Toledo only won one game last year at home ??? and it was against MIAMI-OHIO ...who never wins unless they play a high school team. I'm not agreeing or disagreeing with this guys pick but wtf. Is this the same Wunderdog that picks 6/5 horses in 6 horse fields to show ? @):mad:
 

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If you want to discuss this, I acutually think he goes 2-0 in NFL with cowboys and pats covering. But no one comment any further or else this is gonna get crazy.
 

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If you want to discuss this, I acutually think he goes 2-0 in NFL with cowboys and pats covering. But no one comment any further or else this is gonna get crazy.

THERE HE IS - THIS IS THE GUY WITH THE GREAT FADE PLAYS. GOOD LUCK STEW WITH YOUR PLAYS. YOU SHOULD CONSIDER BUYING MORE HOOKS TO GO WITH THEM :laugh:
 
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WUNDERDOG
Complimentary Picks and Analysis
Game: Jacksonville at Indianapolis (Sunday 9/13 1:00 PM Eastern)Pick: Jacksonville +7 (-110) The 2009-10 NFL season will open without Tony Dungy at the helm of a team for the first time in over a decade. Dungy established himself as one of the all-time greats, winning at Tampa Bay and Indianapolis, including a Super Bowl a couple of years ago. Jim Caldwell takes over for the Colts as they face the Jacksonville Jaguars this week. The Jags could never get anything going a year ago as nothing seemed to go right for this team. They went from 11 wins in 2007 to five in 2008 thanks primarily to an injury-riddled offensive line that forced them away from their successful play action passing attack. They lost both starting guards and their center in the very early going and no team is going to win when that happens. It led to a running game that was literally grounded and exposed QB David Garrard to 42 sacks (double his previous high). The offensive line is healthy to start the season and Garrard lost 20 pounds in the off-season, setting up a swifter QB and back to the rollout playaction formations in which he has had his greatest success. Maurice Jones-Drew finally gets to tote the rock exclusively and this team will be better for it. I expect the Jags to improve tremendously on offense this year. The Jags match up well with the Colts up front and their hard-nosed smash mouth tactics have taken advantage of Indy's weak interior defense. The Jags have always played well against the Colts and these games are very frequently tight and hotly contested. The last 14 times these teams have met, 12 games were decided by eight points or less and the Jags have covered four straight at Indianapolis. Jaguars head coach Jack Del Rio is now 5-1 ATS as a divisional dog of 7+ points. This is just too many points in a division rivalry like this one. The line is big because Jacksonville is underrated. I like the Jags to put up a real fight here.I have five week one Sunday picks ready now. Get this week's picks which will also include my Monday night pick(s) as well.
 
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FROM ECAPPERMALL
FREE Friday Play from Glenn McGrew. Brewers at D-Backs. This is a high total for an NL game, especially with two free swinging offenses. Milwaukee is 13th in the majors in runs scored, Arizona 20th. A couple of effective veteran starters are on the hill, too. Braden Looper of the Brewers has a 3.32 ERA his last three starts with few walks, while Doug Davis (3.81 ERA) paints the corners and forces free swinging teams to reach for bad pitches. This total is to! o high Play the Brewers/D-Backs UNDER THE TOTAL.
 

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The Booooj sports

If anyone has purchased the Boooj sports season college and nfl package, please PM me i would be willling to split it with you.
 
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Friday Mlb totals comp GC-

On Friday the comp play is on the under in the Braves ans Cards game. Rotation numbers 959/60 at 8:05 eastern. There are several solid under indicators in this game tonight. The Cardinals have gone under in 15 of 20 games as a home favorite in this range. Both teams have played low scoring games in the month of September. Atlanta has gone under in 5 straight. St.Louis has gone under in 4 of their last five. In the pitching match up the Braves have J.Jurjens going tonight and he has been solid in his road starts with a 3.13 era. Pineiro for the Cardinals has been equally solid at home with a 2.62 era. The Braves have really struggled at the plate over the past week hitting just .172,while averaging just 2.4 runs per game heading into Thursdays game. Look for another low scoring game here tonight Dont Miss Fridays big card with a Big Mlb dominator system and college football play. Take the Under in the Braves at Cardinals game as the Bonus Play.Bol GC-
 

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IC WNBA

7 Unit Play. WNBA GOY. Take Over 168.5 between the Connecticut Sun @ Atlanta Dream (Friday @ 7pm). Well, what better day to step out than today? We have made great profit of late (15-8 run including a 5* GOM Winner yesterday) that we can build off of. The playoffs are approaching and the incentive to produce has never been as high as this week for certain teams in the league. We rode that philosophy with our 5* GOM winner yesterday on Chicago over the Fever at home. With that win, the Chicago stay on pace for a potential playoff spot. In that same manner, we look for the Connecticut Sun to do their part to hang out to their dreams of going dancing as well. The Mystics, Sun and Sky are all battling for the fourth playoff spot in the East. The Sky won a much needed game over the league leading Fever at home so they can obtain their 16th win of the season. Washington and Connecticut are at 15 wins. Thus, Connecticut desperately needs a win today. Bear in mind that Washington has two games remaining and will play on the last day of the regular season so they have a slight edge in controlling their own destiny one more time. That makes this game even more paramount for Connecticut. The Sun have been dismal of late down the stretch. Yet, they can still make it to the playoffs if the upset Atlanta on the road. The Dream however come off a loss themselves and technically, have not clinched a playoff spot. The Dream have 17 wins. Rather than the side, I like the over here for the underlying reasons mentioned above. Atlanta is great off a loss. This team is 8-2 to the over and has not played back to back Unders in their last 10 games. They come off getting handily defeated at Phoenix and will look to rebound back at home. The Dream's avenue of bouncing-back is putting up a ton of points at home as evidenced by putting up 103 points at home after a loss to the Sparks at home. Connecticut comes off a big overtime win over New York. This team had a tough road trip prior to that but did score a wealth of points going over in three of those four road games. One of those games was in Phoenix. Phoenix ended up winning that game 84-95 (179) but that game is a perfect prototype to this game. The Dream and Mercury play similar style of play and I expect a 170+ scoring total. Bear in mind that Atlanta comes off a loss and with an increased scoring output for them as well as the fact Connecticut will look to stay competitive tonight as it is a must win for them, I suspect this game will go over the posted total. The Sun also have revenge from the most recent loss to Atlanta. The Sun are also 8-1-1 to the Over in their last ten games quietly as well. On top of all that, I want to point you to the total that has been set for this game - 168.5. Considering the first game the total was set at 155, the next game the total was set at 155.5 and the most recent game, the total was set at 156.5, it is a stark jump for this total to be set at 168.5. What makes it more surprising is the fact that the three previous games went under the posted total - and yet, this total is still set 12 points more than the highest total prior to this game. I believe this is another sign that Vegas is expecting a very competitive, and high scoring contest this evening. The Over is 10-1 for the Sun following a straight up loss, the Over is 12-2 for the Dream on 3 days rest and the Over is 6-1 for the Dream following a straight up loss as well. Here's to going on a 16-8 run and add to the winning week as we gear up for a big playoff stretch run.
Good luck,
IC
 
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Craig's Trap Bonus Play MLB for Friday

The Bottom Line:
STL -123: Very simple breakdown don't over think this one. STL is a much better team and has twice the lineup that ATL does. Pinnero goes for STL today and even thouh his last two starts saw him allow 4 ER's he still has been great all year. STL has won 8 of last 10 games with great pitching solid defense and timely hitting and today they will do the same. ATL is coming off a winning series taking 2 of 3 in HOU but have still are only 4-6 in last 10 games. Today they go to Jurrjens who has lost his last two due to lack of run support. Seems like when he pitches the Braves can't score runs. Think today we will see the same result. Very nice price on the best team in the NL playing at home. SCORE STL 4 - ATL 2
 

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