Friday 06/26/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Friday 06/26/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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Just wondering what kind of record Jefferson-Sports has.

Thanks.
 
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Game of the day: Yankees at Mets
By David Chan

Subway Series continues

The Yankees and Mets will kick off their second and final series in 2009 on Friday at Citi Field.

The Bronx Bombers took two of three at Yankee Stadium two weeks ago, outscoring the Mets by a count of 26-14. But both teams have struggled in the wake of that series, with the Yankees winning just three times in their past eight games and the Mets going 4-5 over their past nine.

The Mets, however, hold a slim 8-7 edge in the Subway Series since the start of 2007.

Pitching matchup

Game 1 will feature a mound matchup of C.C. Sabathia versus Mike Pelfrey.

The Yankee’s ace was forced to leave his last start after pitching only 1 1/3 innings due to tightness in his left bicep. All indications, however, are he's good to go for Friday's series opener.

“It wasn’t a sharp pain or anything,” Sabathia said. “It just felt a little tight. It’s something I felt before, between starts or something. It’s nothing major.”

But there has to be something more than tightness bothering the hurler.

Sabathia has been struggling, giving up 12 earned runs over his last 24 innings pitched. The Yankees are just 7-8 when he takes the mound this season.

Mike Pelfrey remains 2-0 at home this season, but was fortunate not to be on the hook in his last start here against the Rays. Pelfrey gave up eight hits and four earned runs in just five innings and the Mets lost 10-6. The right-hander has made it through the sixth inning only once in his last four starts

Pelfrey, however, was a winner in his lone previous start against the Yankees, a 15-6 Mets victory last season. And here's a bit of an odd trend: the Mets are 9-3 in Mike Pelfrey's last 12 starts in Game 1 of a series.

Safe at home

The Mets have settled in nicely to their new digs, posting a 21-14 record at Citi Field entering Thursday's action.

That record improves to 18-8 when you include only home games versus left-handed starting pitchers. Of course that mark dates back to their final season at Shea Stadium.

The team’s success at home can also be attributed to its ability to take the first game of a series. Getting off on the right foot has been one of the team’s strengths, as it is 17-7 in series openers.

Power outage

Prior to scoring eight runs in Wednesday's victory in Atlanta, the Yankees had scored only 18 runs in their past seven games.

“We have too many good hitters,” Manager Joe Girardi said, “to stay in a slump."

The underachievers have been led by Alex Rodriguez, who entered Thursday mired in a 2-for-25 slump. Robinson Cano, who was huge in this year's first installment of the Subway Series, is just three for his past 19.
 
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Friday's Tip Sheet
By Brad Young
vegasinsider


**Cubs (Wells) at White Sox (Contreras)**

-Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened the White Sox as a $1.15 home ‘chalk’ over the Cubs, with the total set at nine. WGN will provide coverage of this Windy City matchup at 4:05 p.m. ET.

-The Cubs’ Randy Wells (1-3, 2.57 ERA) is coming off of Sunday’s victory over Cleveland as a $1.53 home favorite, 6-2. The two-year veteran was reached for two runs on five hits with a walk and three strikeouts over 6 2/3 innings.

-The combined eight runs failed to eclipse the nine-run closing total, ending a string of three straight ‘over’ outings for the right-hander.

-Wells has never started against the White Sox in his brief major league career.

-The White Sox counter with Jose Contreras (2-6, 5.23 ERA), hoping the veteran right-hander can get back on the winning track. The Cuba native had won back-to-back games before last Friday’s setback to Cincinnati as a $1.00 road selection, 4-3. The seven-year veteran lasted six innings, surrendering three runs on nine hits (one home run) with no walks and two strikeouts.

-The combined seven runs failed to topple the nine-run closing total, enabling the ‘under’ to cash his fourth consecutive start.

-Contreras went 1-1 against the Cubs last season in two starts, going a combined 9 1/3 innings while allowing 12 runs on 17 hits (six home runs) with four walks and four strikeouts. The White Sox prevailed as a $1.15 home ‘chalk,’ 10-3, while losing as a $1.04 road underdog, 11-7. The ‘over’ prevailed in both of those matchups.

**Yankees (Sabathia) at Mets (Pelfrey)**

-LVSC lists the Yankees as a $1.55 road favorite over the Mets, with the total set at 8 ½. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

-The Yankees give southpaw CC Sabathia (6-4, 3.71 ERA) the starting assignment after he picked up a no-decision in Sunday’s rain-shortened effort against Florida. The portly 6-foot-7 hurler went just 1 1/3 innings, yielding one run on three hits with a walk and a strikeout.

-The Yankees eventually dropped that affair as a $1.65 road ‘chalk,’ 6-5, while the combined 11 runs eclipsed the 8 ½-run closing total. The ‘under’ had occurred his previous two outings.

-Sabathia, as a member of the Cleveland Indians and Milwaukee Bucks last season, has not started against the Mets the previous few years.

-The Mets’ Michael Pelfrey (5-2, 4.74 ERA) escaped with Sunday’s no-decision against Tampa Bay despite tossing a subpar five innings. The Wichita State product allowed four runs on eight hits with no walks and four strikeouts.

-The Mets eventually dropped that game as a home ‘pick,’ 10-6, while the combined 16 runs toppled the nine-run closing total. The ‘over’ has cashed in the right-hander’s last four starts.

-Pelfrey beat the Yankees last season as a $1.40 road underdog, 15-6. The four-year veteran tossed five innings, yielding four runs on eight hits with four walks and five strikeouts. The combined 21 runs soared ‘over’ the 10-run closing total.s

**Rockies (Hemmel) at Athletics (Braden)**

-LVSC installed Oakland as a $1.35 home ‘chalk’ over Colorado, with the total listed at 8 ½ ‘under’ (minus $1.20). This contest is scheduled to start at 10:05 p.m. ET.

-Colorado right-hander Jason Hammel (4-3, 4.60 ERA) finagled a no-decision against Pittsburgh Saturday despite struggling over a six-inning stint. The 26-year-old was reached for five runs on eight hits with two walks and four strikeouts over six innings.

-The Rockies eventually prevailed as a $1.65 home favorite, 9-7, while the combined 16 runs toppled the 10-run closing total. The ‘under’ has occurred his previous two outings.

-Hammel, a four-year veteran, has not started against the Athletics the past few years.

-Oakland left-hander Dallas Braden (5-6, 3.26 ERA) is coming off of Sunday’s setback to San Diego as a $1.20 road favorite, 4-1. The 26-year-old went seven innings, allowing two runs on six hits (one home run) with a walk and six strikeouts.

-The combined five runs failed to topple the 7 ½-run closing total, ending a string of three straight ‘over’ outings for the Texas Tech product.

-Braden, a three-year veteran, has never started against the Rockies in his major league career.
 
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MLB WRITE-UP

Friday, June 26

With interleague play here, remember there are DHs in games played in the American League parks, no DHs in National League parks. Under is 56-44-3 in NL parks, 51-46-5 in AL, As far as wins/losses go, the AL leads the NL, 114-95.

Hot Pitchers
-- Cain is 7-0, 2.00 in his last nine starts. Gallardo is 3-2, 2.11 in his last six starts.
-- Wells has 2.76 RA in eight starts this season. Contreras is 2-1, 1.23 in three starts since coming back from the minor leagues.
-- Hamels is 1-1, 2.57 in his last four starts. Romero is 1-1, 2.66 in his last three starts.
-- Bergesen is 3-0, 2.33 in his last five starts.
-- Meche is 2-2, 3.34 in his last five starts.
-- Beckett is 4-1, 2.47 in his last six starts.
-- Johnson is 4-0, 2.63 in his last five starts. Tampa Bay won four of last five Shields starts.
-- Verlander is 8-1, 1.75 in his last eleven starts.
-- Astros are 5-2 at home when Rodriguez starts.
-- Millwood is 3-1, 1.57 in his last four starts.
-- Cardinals won last three Wainwright starts, scoring 13-11-12 runs.
-- Weaver is 4-1, 2.45 in his last six starts.
-- Colorado won Hammel's last six starts, scoring 40 runs.
-- Kershaw has a 1.63 RA in his seven home starts. Seattle is 5-0 with Vargas if they score 2+ runs, 0-3 if they don't.

Cold Pitchers
-- Harang is 0-3, 4.45 in his last five starts. Sowers is 0-6, 7.08 in seven starts this season.
-- Detwiler is 0-3, 5.65 in his last five starts.
-- Vasquez was 5-2, 4.18 in 14 starts at AAA Indianapolis.
-- Pelfrey has an 8.41 RA in his last four starts. Sabathia is 1-1, 5.57 in his last four starts- he left his last start in second inning (bicep).
-- Jurrjens is 0-3, 5.06 in his last four starts.
-- Silva is 0-0, 6.00 in three starts this season.
-- Perkins is 0-2, 10.80 in his three road starts.
-- Anderson is 0-2, 8.59 in his last three starts.
-- Buckner is 0-3, 9.72 in his last three starts.

Hot Teams
-- Giants won five of their last six games.
-- White Sox won four of their last five games.
-- Blue Jays won four of their last five games.
-- Mets won three of their last four games. Bronx won their last couple games, scoring 19 runs.
-- Red Sox won eight of their last ten road games.
-- Tampa Bay won 10 of its last 14 games. Marlins won six of seven.
-- Tigers won their last seven games, scoring 44 runs. Astros are 10-6 in their last sixteen games.
-- Angels won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Rockies won 17 of their last 20 games.
-- Mariners won seven of their last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Brewers lost seven of their last nine home games.
-- Cubs lost their last five road games.
-- Indians lost eight of their last nine games. Reds are 5-14 in their last nineteen road games.
-- Phillies lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Orioles lost their last three games, allowing 23 runs. Nationals lost three of their last four contests.
-- Pirates lost five of their last seven games. Royals lost six of their last eight games.
-- Braves lost 10 of their last 15 games.
-- Padres lost nine of their last twelve games. Rangers lost five of their last seven games.
-- Minnesota is 9-17 in its last 26 road games. Cardinals lost three of their last four games.
-- Arizona lost 16 of its last 22 home games.
-- Oakland lost three of its last four games.
-- Dodgers are just 12-10 at home without Manny Ramirez.

Totals
-- Eight of last ten Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Eight of last eleven Cub road games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Philadelphia road games went over the total.
-- Last four Washington games went over the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in Royals' last five road games.
-- Three of last four Bronx Bomber games went over the total.
-- Last five Boston road games went over the total.
-- Nine of last thirteen Florida games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Houston games.
-- Last ten Texas home games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Cardinals' last eight games.
-- Seven of last nine Arizona home games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-4 in Colorado's last twelve road games.
-- Six of last nine Dodger games went over the total.
 
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Trend Report
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4:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Chi Cubs are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 11 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs

7:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CLEVELAND
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 10 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

7:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

7:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. BALTIMORE
Washington is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Baltimore's last 13 games when playing at home against Washington

7:07 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. TORONTO
Philadelphia is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

7:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. NY METS
NY Yankees are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 16-8 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

7:35 PM
BOSTON vs. ATLANTA
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:38 PM
FLORIDA vs. TAMPA BAY
Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Florida is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games when playing at home against Florida

8:00 PM
DETROIT vs. HOUSTON
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games

8:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. TEXAS
San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Texas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 10 games when playing San Diego

8:05 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. MILWAUKEE
San Francisco is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

8:15 PM
MINNESOTA vs. ST. LOUIS
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games at home

9:40 PM
LA ANGELS vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

10:05 PM
COLORADO vs. OAKLAND
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado

10:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. LA DODGERS
Seattle is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games
 
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WNBA LONG SHEET

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Friday, June 26
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INDIANA (4 - 2) at NEW YORK (2 - 4) - 6/26/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 63-92 ATS (-38.2 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
INDIANA is 65-94 ATS (-38.4 Units) in road games since 1997.
INDIANA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
NEW YORK is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (1 - 4) at ATLANTA (3 - 4) - 6/26/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (1 - 5) at SAN ANTONIO (2 - 3) - 6/26/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 8-5 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-5 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOS ANGELES (2 - 4) at SEATTLE (5 - 2) - 6/26/2009, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 6-4 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 6-4 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets
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Indiana Fever at New York Liberty (-2, 139.5)

It all boils down to one simple word for the Indiana Fever: balance.

The ballers from the Hoosier State have been giving opponents headaches this season with their diversified attack. The Fever feature three players in double figures and two others not far behind. Indiana, just a half game back of Washington for first place in the Eastern Conference, is led by Katie Douglas (17.7 ppg), Tamika Catchings (13.3) and Ebony Hoffman (10.5). Tammy Sutton-Brown (9.7) and Tully Bevilaqua (8.8) also are threats.

New York, however, features just two players – Shameka Christon (18.2 ppg) and Janel McCarville (11.7) – who crack double figures. The Liberty’s lack of offensive punch is a big reason the team has struggled to a 2-4 record.

The Liberty will get nothing free against the Fever.

Pick: Fever


Detroit Shock at Atlanta Dream (-2, 155)

Marynell Meadows, coach of the Atlanta Dream, believes the light may be going on for rookie and first round draft pick Angel McCoughtry.

"She’s finally starting to get our system and understand how to play as a professional," the coach told reporters.

The development of the former Louisville star, who is averaging 10.9 points, 2.3 assists and 2.9 rebounds in nearly 18 minutes per game, is crucial for Atlanta. And McCoughtry’s 26-point, eight-assist performance in a 99-98 loss to Chicago earlier in the week has given her coach hope she can boost a team stocked with veterans.

If Atlanta gets McCoughtry to gel with a lineup including Sancho Lyttle (15 ppg, 8 rpg), Chamique Holdsclaw (13.4, 4.1) and Nikki Teasley (4.6, 2.7 apg), the Dream can entertain visions of the playoffs.

The Shock appear to be moving in a different direction. The team lost coach Bill Laimbeer after he resigned earlier this month in hopes of landing an NBA job. Maybe instead he saw the writing on the wall. The defending champs are missing the injured Cheryl Ford and the suspended Kara Braxton.

The Shock, who have lost four of five games this year, should see their nightmare continue.

Pick: Dream
 
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Dave Cokin

(967) FLORIDA MARLINS
(968) TAMPA BAY RAYS
Take "(967) FLORIDA MARLINS"

The streaking Marlins try for their sixth straight win tonight as they open their weekend rivalry series with the Rays. Tampa is coming on strong, as they continue to score loads of runs and they're getting strong pitching from James Shields. But Josh Johnson has been money all season long for the Marlins and here's an opportunity to back Johnson at dog money. Tough game for sure, but at the price, I think the Marlins are worth a shot.
 
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Jim Feist

(963) NEW YORK YANKEES
(964) NEW YORK METS
Take "(964) NEW YORK METS"

C.C. Sabathia pitched into the second inning his last start before experiencing tightness in his throwing bicep. Not a good sign! Especially for a big name ace who is going to be favored a lot. He says he's fine, but all pitchers do. It's unknown what CC will be able to bring to the hill this game and he faces a Mets team that is tops in the NL in batting average and steals and second in OBP. Starter Mike Pelfrey is decent (5-2) and unbeaten at home. He has a 3.95 ERA at home and offers great value. Play the Mets.
 

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Platinum Plays

Free Selection:MLB

CHICAGO CUBS - 105 Over the Chicago White Sox
 

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Razor Sharp

FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY:

BOSTON (Beckett) -130 over Atlanta
 

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Totals4U

Friday's Free Selection:

Detroit Tigers/Houston Astros under 7 1/2
 

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Easy Money Sports

Lee's Free Friday Selection

ARIZONA w/Buckner +140
 

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The Vegas Steam Line

Free Winner for Friday:

CHICAGO WHITE SOX (Contreras) -110 over Chicago Cubs
 

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