Jack Jones
Jun 08 '18, 7:10 PM
MLB | Padres vs Marlins
Play on: Marlins -130
Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Miami Marlins -130
It’s not often I back the Miami Marlins. However, due to their advantage on the mound today, they are worth laying the small price of -130. I’ve seen enough from starter Caleb Smith to know he’s the real deal.
Smith has gone 4-6 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.193 WHIP in 12 starts this season with 74 K’s in 60 1/3 innings. He has been at his best at home, going 1-2 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.208 WHIP in five starts. And Smith faced the Padres on May 28th, yielding just one run in 7 innings of a 7-2 victory for a 1.29 ERA.
Opposite Smith in that May 28th start was Eric Lauer, who gave up 5 earned runs in 2 1/3 innings to take the loss. Lauer has been brutal all season, going 2-3 with a 6.82 ERA and 1.981 WHIP in eight starts. He is no match for Smith in this one.
San Diego is 22-53 after having won three of its last four games over the past three seasons. It is losing by 2.1 runs per game on average in this spot. The Padres are 9-25 in their last 34 games following an off day. The Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Marlins Friday.
Jun 08 '18, 7:10 PM
MLB | Padres vs Marlins
Play on: Marlins -130
Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Miami Marlins -130
It’s not often I back the Miami Marlins. However, due to their advantage on the mound today, they are worth laying the small price of -130. I’ve seen enough from starter Caleb Smith to know he’s the real deal.
Smith has gone 4-6 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.193 WHIP in 12 starts this season with 74 K’s in 60 1/3 innings. He has been at his best at home, going 1-2 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.208 WHIP in five starts. And Smith faced the Padres on May 28th, yielding just one run in 7 innings of a 7-2 victory for a 1.29 ERA.
Opposite Smith in that May 28th start was Eric Lauer, who gave up 5 earned runs in 2 1/3 innings to take the loss. Lauer has been brutal all season, going 2-3 with a 6.82 ERA and 1.981 WHIP in eight starts. He is no match for Smith in this one.
San Diego is 22-53 after having won three of its last four games over the past three seasons. It is losing by 2.1 runs per game on average in this spot. The Padres are 9-25 in their last 34 games following an off day. The Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Marlins Friday.