Boise State has looked sloppy on offense this year (by their standards), but their D is on point. Fresno's QB threw quite a few suspect passes against Wisconsin last week. I don't like to bet on my own team (Boise) but I'll be watching this line; If it slips any further, I might have to take action!
Fresno will cover anything over a TD. They circled this game big time which hasn't been the case for the past few years. Fresno State was trashed in Boise 61-10 last year and that has been talked about all summer. I expect Fresno State to play better at home against Boise then they did against Wisconsin and I thought they outplayed Wisconsin. That first INT by the Fresno QB came on a defensive pick play that should have been called and had they scored would have likely sealed the game but that works in our favor here as we get a few more points.
Fresno also travels to Cincy next week which is looking like a hard game to win so they really need this win or they have to head to Hawaii at 1-3 and look for a win where they have historically struggled. Also a start like that could be the end of Pat Hill in Fresno as he would lose most of the fanbase and this makes the Boise game huge for him and the team. Therefore I expect an all out effort.
Boise is talented so they can win this game anyways but with the intangibles I am looking at it should be a toss up game and in that circumstance I will take a home dog + the points every time.
Fresno also travels to Cincy next week which is looking like a hard game to win so they really need this win or they have to head to Hawaii at 1-3 and look for a win where they have historically struggled. Also a start like that could be the end of Pat Hill in Fresno as he would lose most of the fanbase and this makes the Boise game huge for him and the team. Therefore I expect an all out effort.
Boise is talented so they can win this game anyways but with the intangibles I am looking at it should be a toss up game and in that circumstance I will take a home dog + the points every time.
I would say Wisconsin's ability to run the ball and massive size upfront had a part in the QB having a lot of zone coverage to pick a part. Boise State's running game was below average last year and doesn't appear much improved this year. Purdue went on the road to Oregon and sliced their defense up through the air and ground. Boise State didn't look half as good offensively.
