four tonight w/analysis

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<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">2</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+4.98 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">11</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">11</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+5.70 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since October 2008)</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">11</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">11</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+5.70 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games include OT unless stated otherwise

WASHINGTON -½ +1.35 over New Jersey (REG)
Both these teams are 3-1 but from what I’ve seen so far is a potent looking Capitals team that dominates the play for long stretches at a time playing an average looking Devils team that cannot even come close to keeping pace with the Caps. I’m not even convinced that the Devils are the better defensive team either. The Devils wins have come against the Islanders, an exhausted and banged up Penguin team upon their arrival home from overseas and the Thrashers. In four games they’ve scored six goals and it came against teams that are known to be not that difficult to score against. Furthermore, the Devils will play their fourth straight on the road here. The Caps are 2-0 at home, outscoring the opposition 9-3 and that includes a 5-1 pasting over the Canucks. They also beat Chicago and Pittsburgh. The Caps are an offensive juggernaut and it’s not just Alex Ovechkin. The Caps are tough, they’re quick they roll out four solid lines and they’re absolutely one of the top five teams in the NHL. The Devils try and win games 2-1 and it’ll work sometimes but this guest is just not that strong and when they did play a good team, the Rangers, they were buried 4-1. Devils get exposed again. Play: Washington -½ +1.35 (Risking 2 units).
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EDMONTON -½ +1.19 over Calgary (REG)
The Oilers went into Calgary last night and won 4-3 but that score is a little flattering to the Flames. The Oilers got to every loose puck and they drew a bunch of penalties, scored three times on the power-play, opened up a 4-2 lead going to the third and finished the deal. It should be noted that Jeff Drouin-Deslauriers was in goal for the Oilers last night and he looked very shaky and even allowed a couple of soft goals, yet the Flames still couldn’t do much. Garon will be back in net tonight and he’s been brilliant thus far. By contrast, Mikko Kiprusoff looks lost out there. He played a little better last night but he still looked way out of sorts and it appeared that pucks hit him as oppose to him making the save. Who knows if Mike Keenan will stick with Kiprusoff tonight or go with rookie Curtis McElhinney. Either way, that decision can’t hurt the Oilers. The tension in the Flames dressing room is getting thicker by the minute, as that whack-job Keenan is about to go off any minute. I said it yesterday and it’s worth repeating that the Oilers are getting stronger with each passing period. This is a hugely talented team that is loose, racking up wins, and having fun while the Flames are the exact opposite. The Oilers won last night and there’s not a single reason they can’t repeat in their own barn tonight. Play: Edmonton -½ +1.19 (Risking 2 units).
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Chicago +1.08 over ST. LOUIS
The Blue Notes are playing some very decent hockey this far and what they lack in talent they make up for in heart and that often goes a long way. Having said that, this choice has very little to do with playing against the Blues but more to do with playing on the talented Black Hawks. You see, the Black Hawks fired Denis Savard and now Joel Quenneville takes over the reins behind the bench and will coach his first game tonight. Players always want to make a strong impression on their new coach and although the firing came as a bit of a shock, there’s no denying that Chicago needed a kick in the ass. Quenneville is a proven winner that gets the best out of players and it’s a move that will pay off, as Savard was just not the right guy. These Black Hawks are way too talented to be losing games to inferior opposition and you can almost be assured that a strong, 60-minute effort by the Black Hawks is forthcoming tonight. I’m playing the “first game for the new coach angle”. Play: Chicago +1.08 (Risking 2 units).
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Philadelphia +1.76 over SAN JOSE
Yeah, the Flyers are winless and yeah, the Sharkies are off to a strong start but I’m not here trying to handicap games. I’m here to look for some value, play it and let the chips fall where they may. What I do know is that the Flyers are over-valued here at this price, as they’re a quality team that can absolutely go into San Jose and emerge victorious. Besides that, I’m not as sold on the Sharks as others might be. Their wins have come at the expense of Anaheim, the Kings twice and Columbus before they went into Anaheim last night and lost 4-0. Also note they were losing to Columbus late in the second and then scored two shorthanded goals to take the steam out of the Jackets. Against the Kings they scored four times in two games but won them both. Meanwhile, the Flyers have to be hungry tonight and after playing the Rangers, Pitt, Montreal and Colorado, they just might find the pace here a little more to their liking. The Flyers are too good to remain winless for much longer but more then that is the tag here and anytime we can get a take-back like this on the Flyers you can count me in and I make no exception here. Overlay. Play: Philadelphia +1.76 (Risking 2 units).
 

Don't assume people in charge know what they are d
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Totally agree with Hawks play.
We will get an effort.
Took it last night at +120

Nice writes
 

I don't know enough to know I don't know
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With you all the way on all four of your plays. Just waiting on a better price with the Flyers, (which should come minutes before game time).

GL
 

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Thank-you.

I think I'm going to play the Coyotes too and throw them into a couple of parlays.

They're too juicy with a 2-1 takeback.
 

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Tailed you on the Chicago play. Wow. They give up the lead with 12 secs to go, escape a 4-on-3 in OT then lose in the shootout when they had a chance to win it with their 3rd shooter.

Wash was a tough one as well - they surrender the lead in the 3rd period, but doesn't smart as much as the Blackhawks.

Thanks for the plays Sherwood. Good luck on the later games.
 

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There's going to be nights like this.
Damn, what could have been a 4-0 night turns into a 1-3 night. All four games had a 3rd period lead.
 

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Sep 10, 2005
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flyers might not win a game all year..that was a disgrace last night
 

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