<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">3</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+7.40 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">33</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">33</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">1</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+12.48 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since March 2009)</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">75</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">83</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">7</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+8.38 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
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NY Mets +1.88 over NY YANKEES
On strictly value alone, the Mets are a play here. Of course that doesn’t mean they’ll win but damn, this is a big time tag on a strong team. Yesterday’s pitching match-up looked a lot more favorable for the Yanks than this one and the Yanks needed a whole lot of luck and a ninth inning error to overcome an 8-7 deficit, not to mention a 6-3 deficit earlier on. The Mets are a dangerous team, just like the Yanks and Andy Pettitte, although he can be very tough, has thrown a ton of pitches this season and it’ll catch up to him at some point. In fact, his pitch-count over his last several games reads like this; 104, 104, 87, 114, 105, 106 and 115. Pettitte has allowed four runs or more in five of his last eight games and his ERA at home is 5.40 to go along with a .316 BAA. He could definitely get hit hard here. For the Mets, we’ll see a young pitcher with major-league experience. Fernando Nieve has thrown 109 pitches in the bigs and his numbers are not bad at all. He’s started 11 games, he’s appeared in 52 and in those 109 innings, he’s allowed just 105 hits while striking out 84. He’s been up here for a few games and saw action in relief on June 6 in Washington in which he went two full innings and allowed one hit, no runs and struck out two. Nieves has been around for a while and he’s one of those guys that could fill in very nicely for an injured pitcher for a start or two. He’s been up and down for years and won’t be intimidated by this scenario. These long-time minor leaguers that have been around for a while have seen it all and it’s not like he doesn’t have talent. Anyway, the Yanks are overpriced again and the tag here makes the risk a worthy one. Play: NY Mets +1.88 (Risking 2 units). <o></o>
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Atlanta +1.01 over BALTIMORE
I’m going to break my rule of playing AL teams only in inter-league play because the Orioles are absolutely not worthy of being the chalk right now. Whether they’re playing at home or on the road, the Orioles are not scoring runs and that’s an understatement. In fact, over its last 12 games, they’ve scored more than three times in a game just once. They’ve been held to two runs or fewer in eight of those last 12. They have two wins over that stretch and one of the wins was a 1-0 victory over Seattle. They’ve never seen today’s Braves starter and that can’t be beneficial to them in any way. The Braves came in here last night, scored two in the first and it was over. They cruised to an easy 7-2 victory and chances are they’ll win again over this crumbling host. Play: Atlanta +1.01 (Risking 2 units). <o></o>
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Florida +1.30 over TORONTO
The Jays looked completely lifeless last night in a 7-2 loss and this one goes at 1:00 PM. If last night is any indication then there’s a good chance that they’ll be lethargic again today. Ricky Nolasco was having a horrible year indeed until he faced the Jays last night and they made him look very good when in fact, he’s not. Nolasco struck out nine Jays. Today, the Jays will have to deal with Sean West, a guy that throws extremely hard and has wicked stuff. West is a big lefty that has made four big-league starts. In those starts he’s 1-1 with a 2.22 ERA. In 24.1 innings he’s allowed just 14 hits while striking out 15 and the opposition has hit a puny .159 against him. Casey Janssen has also made four starts but his ERA is 5.24 and at home in two starts his ERA is 6.55. The Blue Jays looked awful last night and they’re very vulnerable to another defeat today. Play: Florida +1.30 (Risking 2 units). <o></o>
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Detroit +1.00 over PITTSBURGH
The Pirates held true to form last night with another inter-league loss and have now dropped 41 of its last 56 inter-league games. The fact that they’re favored here is all the incentive needed to pull the trigger on the Tigers. Zach Duke has impressive numbers this season but a lot of luck has figured into that. He’s struck out just five batters over his last 20 innings and now has just 44 k’s in 85 innings of work. He puts the ball in play and he keeps it down but this isn’t the Cubbies, Atlanta, San Diego or Cincinnati he’ll be facing. No, this is the Tigers, a team that has won six of eight and that has a 14-5 record against left-handed starters. Offensively, the Tigers are far superior and when I don’t have to lay anything with the Tigers over the Buccos, you can pencil me in and I make no exception here. Play: Detroit +1.00 (Risking 2 units).
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
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></o>NY Mets +1.88 over NY YANKEES
On strictly value alone, the Mets are a play here. Of course that doesn’t mean they’ll win but damn, this is a big time tag on a strong team. Yesterday’s pitching match-up looked a lot more favorable for the Yanks than this one and the Yanks needed a whole lot of luck and a ninth inning error to overcome an 8-7 deficit, not to mention a 6-3 deficit earlier on. The Mets are a dangerous team, just like the Yanks and Andy Pettitte, although he can be very tough, has thrown a ton of pitches this season and it’ll catch up to him at some point. In fact, his pitch-count over his last several games reads like this; 104, 104, 87, 114, 105, 106 and 115. Pettitte has allowed four runs or more in five of his last eight games and his ERA at home is 5.40 to go along with a .316 BAA. He could definitely get hit hard here. For the Mets, we’ll see a young pitcher with major-league experience. Fernando Nieve has thrown 109 pitches in the bigs and his numbers are not bad at all. He’s started 11 games, he’s appeared in 52 and in those 109 innings, he’s allowed just 105 hits while striking out 84. He’s been up here for a few games and saw action in relief on June 6 in Washington in which he went two full innings and allowed one hit, no runs and struck out two. Nieves has been around for a while and he’s one of those guys that could fill in very nicely for an injured pitcher for a start or two. He’s been up and down for years and won’t be intimidated by this scenario. These long-time minor leaguers that have been around for a while have seen it all and it’s not like he doesn’t have talent. Anyway, the Yanks are overpriced again and the tag here makes the risk a worthy one. Play: NY Mets +1.88 (Risking 2 units). <o
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></o>Atlanta +1.01 over BALTIMORE
I’m going to break my rule of playing AL teams only in inter-league play because the Orioles are absolutely not worthy of being the chalk right now. Whether they’re playing at home or on the road, the Orioles are not scoring runs and that’s an understatement. In fact, over its last 12 games, they’ve scored more than three times in a game just once. They’ve been held to two runs or fewer in eight of those last 12. They have two wins over that stretch and one of the wins was a 1-0 victory over Seattle. They’ve never seen today’s Braves starter and that can’t be beneficial to them in any way. The Braves came in here last night, scored two in the first and it was over. They cruised to an easy 7-2 victory and chances are they’ll win again over this crumbling host. Play: Atlanta +1.01 (Risking 2 units). <o
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></o>Florida +1.30 over TORONTO
The Jays looked completely lifeless last night in a 7-2 loss and this one goes at 1:00 PM. If last night is any indication then there’s a good chance that they’ll be lethargic again today. Ricky Nolasco was having a horrible year indeed until he faced the Jays last night and they made him look very good when in fact, he’s not. Nolasco struck out nine Jays. Today, the Jays will have to deal with Sean West, a guy that throws extremely hard and has wicked stuff. West is a big lefty that has made four big-league starts. In those starts he’s 1-1 with a 2.22 ERA. In 24.1 innings he’s allowed just 14 hits while striking out 15 and the opposition has hit a puny .159 against him. Casey Janssen has also made four starts but his ERA is 5.24 and at home in two starts his ERA is 6.55. The Blue Jays looked awful last night and they’re very vulnerable to another defeat today. Play: Florida +1.30 (Risking 2 units). <o
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></o>Detroit +1.00 over PITTSBURGH
The Pirates held true to form last night with another inter-league loss and have now dropped 41 of its last 56 inter-league games. The fact that they’re favored here is all the incentive needed to pull the trigger on the Tigers. Zach Duke has impressive numbers this season but a lot of luck has figured into that. He’s struck out just five batters over his last 20 innings and now has just 44 k’s in 85 innings of work. He puts the ball in play and he keeps it down but this isn’t the Cubbies, Atlanta, San Diego or Cincinnati he’ll be facing. No, this is the Tigers, a team that has won six of eight and that has a 14-5 record against left-handed starters. Offensively, the Tigers are far superior and when I don’t have to lay anything with the Tigers over the Buccos, you can pencil me in and I make no exception here. Play: Detroit +1.00 (Risking 2 units).
