<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">3</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">2</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+3.54 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">28</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">34</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">2</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-2.62 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since March 2009)</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">51</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">61</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">6</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-5.36 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
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MINNESOTA –1.08 over Milwaukee
The AL continued its winning ways yesterday by winning eight of 14 games over the NL. That angle along with the Brewers 1-8 record over its last nine inter-league games has me leaning heavily to the home side at a cheap price. Furthermore, the Twins have been ripping the cover off the ball recently with an incredible 31 runs over its last two games. I also like going against very mediocre pitchers coming off a good start and that’s precisely what we have here. Braden Looper is coming off a six-inning, three run (one earned) win over the Cardinals, the team that no longer wanted him and you can be damn sure he dug a little deeper for that last start. Despite the win, he gave up five earned runs in his last outing against Florida and allowed nine runs over his previous two outings before that. His road ERA is 6.04 and it just doesn’t look good for him here. The Twins will call upon one of their top prospects for this start. Anthony Swarzak is 3-4 in seven Triple-A starts this year and leaves Rochester with a 2.25 ERA in those starts. He also had a solid WHIP of 1.03 and the best part is he throws strikes. The reports are that he throws a low to mid 90's fastball with a nasty slider and splitter. It’s always risky wagering on prospects in their debut but the Brewers anemic record against the AL, along with the Twins offensive outbursts makes this risk a very good one indeed. Play: Minnesota –1.08 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2). <o></o>
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Philadelphia +1.48 over NY YANKEES
Despite the AL vs NL angle the value here is too great to pass up on. I’ve said it a million times over that when you wager on the Red Sox or Yanks you’re going to pay a premium to do so and that’s all there is to it. The Phillies are red-hot and they’ll bring the league’s best winning percentage against lefties into this game. In fact, the Phillies are 4-1 on the road and 9-3 overall against southpaws and will face one here in Andy Pettitte. That stat alone, along with the Phils 7-1 record over its last eight road games makes this wager well worth it. Big overlay. Play: Philadelphia +1.48 (Risking 2 units). <o></o>
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Toronto +1.38 over ATLANTA
The Blue Jays are in a bit of a funk but they’ll be a little extra amped up here for the return of Casey Janssen. Janssen will throw his first game in the majors after more than a season on the sidelines and makes his first start since 2006. He appeared in 70 games as a reliever in 2007, saving six games with a 2.35 ERA, but missed all of last season after surgery to repair a torn labrum in his right shoulder. Janssen has spent the first seven weeks of the season working his way through the minors, pitching in rehab assignments at single-A Dunedin and double-A New Hampshire. In 23.2 rehab innings, he posted a 0.76 ERA. He says he feels great and he’s always had great stuff and with a big edge in the bullpen the Blue Jays can absolutely snap of its current four-game losing streak here. Play: Toronto +1.38 (Risking 2 units). <o></o>
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TEXAS –1½ +1.35 over HOUSTON
The Astros are just about the sickest team in the majors to wager on, as they continue to frustrate its backers by always coming up lame in scoring opportunities. If you wager on the Astros and they have first and third with one out you can count on an infield fly, a strikeout or a double-play. Anyway, Brian Moehler has had three quality starts (and I use that term very loosely) in a row and the chances of him coming up with a fourth are slim at best. Those three “quality” starts came against San Diego, Chicago at Wrigley with the wind blowing in and at Washington in which he gave up eight hits but just two earned runs in five innings. He was flirting with trouble the whole night against the Nats. Incidentally, Houston went on to lose that game 9-4. Prior to that he surrendered 12 runs in two starts combined in just four innings of work. So, in reality his last three starts is a small oasis in a desert of despair, as Moehler is a complete stiff with very little is his arsenal. Play: Texas –1½ +1.35 (Risking 2 units).
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
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fficeffice" /><o></o>MINNESOTA –1.08 over Milwaukee
The AL continued its winning ways yesterday by winning eight of 14 games over the NL. That angle along with the Brewers 1-8 record over its last nine inter-league games has me leaning heavily to the home side at a cheap price. Furthermore, the Twins have been ripping the cover off the ball recently with an incredible 31 runs over its last two games. I also like going against very mediocre pitchers coming off a good start and that’s precisely what we have here. Braden Looper is coming off a six-inning, three run (one earned) win over the Cardinals, the team that no longer wanted him and you can be damn sure he dug a little deeper for that last start. Despite the win, he gave up five earned runs in his last outing against Florida and allowed nine runs over his previous two outings before that. His road ERA is 6.04 and it just doesn’t look good for him here. The Twins will call upon one of their top prospects for this start. Anthony Swarzak is 3-4 in seven Triple-A starts this year and leaves Rochester with a 2.25 ERA in those starts. He also had a solid WHIP of 1.03 and the best part is he throws strikes. The reports are that he throws a low to mid 90's fastball with a nasty slider and splitter. It’s always risky wagering on prospects in their debut but the Brewers anemic record against the AL, along with the Twins offensive outbursts makes this risk a very good one indeed. Play: Minnesota –1.08 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2). <o
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></o>Philadelphia +1.48 over NY YANKEES
Despite the AL vs NL angle the value here is too great to pass up on. I’ve said it a million times over that when you wager on the Red Sox or Yanks you’re going to pay a premium to do so and that’s all there is to it. The Phillies are red-hot and they’ll bring the league’s best winning percentage against lefties into this game. In fact, the Phillies are 4-1 on the road and 9-3 overall against southpaws and will face one here in Andy Pettitte. That stat alone, along with the Phils 7-1 record over its last eight road games makes this wager well worth it. Big overlay. Play: Philadelphia +1.48 (Risking 2 units). <o
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></o>Toronto +1.38 over ATLANTA
The Blue Jays are in a bit of a funk but they’ll be a little extra amped up here for the return of Casey Janssen. Janssen will throw his first game in the majors after more than a season on the sidelines and makes his first start since 2006. He appeared in 70 games as a reliever in 2007, saving six games with a 2.35 ERA, but missed all of last season after surgery to repair a torn labrum in his right shoulder. Janssen has spent the first seven weeks of the season working his way through the minors, pitching in rehab assignments at single-A Dunedin and double-A New Hampshire. In 23.2 rehab innings, he posted a 0.76 ERA. He says he feels great and he’s always had great stuff and with a big edge in the bullpen the Blue Jays can absolutely snap of its current four-game losing streak here. Play: Toronto +1.38 (Risking 2 units). <o
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></o>TEXAS –1½ +1.35 over HOUSTON
The Astros are just about the sickest team in the majors to wager on, as they continue to frustrate its backers by always coming up lame in scoring opportunities. If you wager on the Astros and they have first and third with one out you can count on an infield fly, a strikeout or a double-play. Anyway, Brian Moehler has had three quality starts (and I use that term very loosely) in a row and the chances of him coming up with a fourth are slim at best. Those three “quality” starts came against San Diego, Chicago at Wrigley with the wind blowing in and at Washington in which he gave up eight hits but just two earned runs in five innings. He was flirting with trouble the whole night against the Nats. Incidentally, Houston went on to lose that game 9-4. Prior to that he surrendered 12 runs in two starts combined in just four innings of work. So, in reality his last three starts is a small oasis in a desert of despair, as Moehler is a complete stiff with very little is his arsenal. Play: Texas –1½ +1.35 (Risking 2 units).
