Forecasting COVID - Confirmed Cases

[michael777]

You're a faggot

You are 100% correct HC

 

[Willie99]

You're a faggot

Why would you insult faggots like that?

Many of them are great people, great Americans......

Nobody who thinks or acts or talks like a Mango can be a good and decent person, they're all bottom of the barrel losers in life

 

[exploited17]

 

[HarryCaray]

Why would you insult faggots like that?

Many of them are great people, great Americans......

You are correct. Regrettable comment for that reason only.

 

[SgtLanquel]

*IF* 25% or more holds for coming 10 days

3/26 81,591
3/27 101,989
3/28 127,486
3/29 159,358
3/30 199,198

3/31 248,997
4/1 311,246
4/2 389,058
4/3 486,322
4/4 607,933

As noted in a separate thread, while these numbers may well *exist* on Apr 4 given the variable of 25% daily, we likely will NOT see them posted that soon because quite simply it appears at least 7million-8million tests would have to be performed in same 10 days and at this time the USA does not have that many available

How much of the Senate 4.5T bailout bill is being allotted for manufacture and expedited delivery of needed COVID tests to health care providers nationwide?

We ruefully note our deliberate use of *If* when presenting a list of simple exponential numbers. At no point did I state this as a literal prediction.....Gleeful critics seized on it as us placing a wager at the window and became highly excited to make their own forecasts, but all are forgiven as this climate has emotions roiling high for many folks

Here are the actual updated numbers beginning w March 26 and a fresh *IF* the most recent trend of growth were to extend for another 10 days thru Apr 14

DATE Conf Cases %growth from previous day's tally

3/26 82,135 26%
3/27 101,295 23%
3/28 121,176 20%
3/29 139,773 15%
3/30 160,377 15%

3/31 185,469 16%
4/1 211,740 14%
4/2 245,070 16%
4/3 277,953 13%
4/4 311,544 12%

*IF*
4/5 12% 348,929
4/6 12% 390,800
4/7 11% 433,788
4/8 11% 481,504
4/9 11% 534,469

4/10 10% 587,916
4/11 10% 646,707
4/12 10% 711,377
4/13 10% 782,514
4/14 10% 860,765
4/15 10% 946,841


We *do predict* the variable of Daily%Growth will hold at or above 10% for most of April into mid May as more legitimate tests become available and are deployed and reported

We hope you enjoyed this Update of Possible Expansion numbers and please form an orderly line at the REPLY queue while maintaining a minimum six feet of separation even if your mouth and nose are securely covered with one of Aunt Beverly's beautiful scarves

 

[SgtLanquel]

A related chart of actual numbers reported so far, nationally thru Apr 4 w % of growth from previous week

Reported US coronavirus cases:

5 weeks ago: 69 cases
4 weeks ago: 444 cases +643%
3 weeks ago: 2,826 cases +637%
2 weeks ago: 25,740 cases +911%
1 week ago: 121,285 cases +471%
Right now: 311,544 cases +257%

----------------
Reported US coronavirus deaths:

5 weeks ago: 1 death
4 weeks ago: 19 deaths +1800%
3 weeks ago: 58 deaths +305%
2 weeks ago: 323 deaths +557%
1 week ago: 2,043 deaths +633%
Right now: 8,488 deaths +415%

 

[HarryCaray]

4/5 12% 348,929
4/6 12% 390,800
4/7 11% 433,788
4/8 11% 481,504
4/9 11% 534,469

4/10 10% 587,916
4/11 10% 646,707
4/12 10% 711,377
4/13 10% 782,514
4/14 10% 860,765
4/15 10% 946,841


We *do predict* the variable of Daily%Growth will hold at or above 10% for most of April into mid May as more legitimate tests become available and are deployed and reported

Two days in a row in the single digits.
Maybe need to think about getting out of the prediction business?

 

[bigbet1234]

Two days in a row in the single digits.
Maybe need to think about getting out of the prediction business?

Yep. No where near what they will project. Complete shit show

 

[halekulani]

Can you imagine how many people would test positive for the virus if every American were to be tested today? it would be in the millions - making the death rate of those infected what we call statistically irrelevant - nada - nil - fake news

never had a morgue overflow because of the seasonal flu

right now morgues are beyond capacity and there is makeshift storage of bodies

 

[halekulani]

4/6/20 10,986 total deaths in the US