For what its worth

Bleeder · Feb 8, 2012

Made my first plays of the season this week and simply went against the money and %. I dont know if its been consistent all season but shocked at how many sides had over 90% on them last two days and ML went opposite......
Monday
Phoenix :banger:

Tuesday only loss was Ottawa
Columbus
Islanders Under (78% on the over but juice was sitting low)
Islanders@)

Montreal
Kings
Lanche
Couver
Ottawa - L

Something that I will continue to play until it shows signs of evening out.

Bleeder · Feb 8, 2012

95% on the under in Carolina / Ducks. From looking at everything I wouldve thought the total would be 5. Combined that with the fact that unders are hitting at a 60% clip and the juice is only -120 for the under. I dont see Carolina scoring more than 3 so either a 4-3 OT win by the Ducks or 4-2 regulation win by Ducks. This one goes over 5.5 IMO and i will keeping riding the ATP Train.

Recon792 · Feb 8, 2012

thanks bleeder-- lets see how this goes. I tend to think yesterday was an abberation-- but we shall see. BOL.

Bleeder · Feb 8, 2012

Up to 97% on the under now and juice still sitting at -120.

KayJoy · Feb 8, 2012

These percentages do not represent the money which is what influences the line- these polls from sites like wagerline/covers and the like are not really worth a lot as the favourites are almost always the overwhelmingly popular choice.

Bleeder · Feb 8, 2012

KayJoy said:
These percentages do not represent the money which is what influences the line- these polls from sites like wagerline/covers and the like are not really worth a lot as the favourites are almost always the overwhelmingly popular choice.

Im sure it is unrealistic for them to be 100% accurate but Ive followed the betting trends tab at scoresandodds.com for years now and its been helpful in my decision making. I understand that some people dont trust them and that is their choice. I stick with what works for me.

KayJoy · Feb 8, 2012

Well generally it is a good idea to take the dogs and take back a price... which is what you do when you go against the "public".

Bleeder · Feb 9, 2012

Looks like I went with wrong choice. Contemplated Calgary pick and looks like that was the one. Saw the juice increase so I laid off oh well back at it. 6-2 on the week.