For those who think McCain will win

[D2bets]

Tell me how he gets to 270.

Just curious to hear how those people think he gets there. Haven't seen anybody actually even take a stab at it. Which battleground states does he win to get to 270?

 

[steaktartar]

they call us moonbats.........he needs to win saturn ive heard they have 140 electoral votes

 

[SportSavant]

im noticing price is dropping on Obama at matchbook and even 5dimes.

How can Obama be only -760 at this point?

 

[D2bets]

im noticing price is dropping on Obama at matchbook and even 5dimes.

How can Obama be only -760 at this point?

I think because there are folks that really don't know the numbers but who just figure it's worth a shot and like McCain.

I just want somebody to come out and tell me exactly how. Or multiple scenarios. I'm all ears. Is it Pennsylvania? Is that what it's all on?

 

[steaktartar]

im noticing price is dropping on Obama at matchbook and even 5dimes.

How can Obama be only -760 at this point?

scalpers.....he(mccain) has an electoral night mare........but if you lay -115... +600 is good........if you're lazy have credit accounts and just dont want to post up.....

 

[gtc08]

760 is still a pretty huge ass favorite.

 

[Sekrah]

IMO McCain is very likely to win Florida, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, and 1EV from Maine.

Incase one of those slips up, he's still extremely live in Colorado, Iowa, and Pennsylvania (per McCain and Obama internal polling)

I'm sorry the public (that means you) has been duped into accepting the bogus polling data as gospel. They will learn soon enough.

 

[SportSavant]

IMO McCain is very likely to win Florida, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, and 1EV from Maine.

Incase one of those slips up, he's still extremely live in Colorado, Iowa, and Pennsylvania (per McCain and Obama internal polling)

I'm sorry the public (that means you) has been duped into accepting the bogus polling data as gospel. They will learn soon enough.

im assuming you are thrilled by these numbers available for betting then?

are u wagering on Mcain at +800?

 

[D2bets]

IMO McCain is very likely to win Florida, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, and 1EV from Maine.

Incase one of those slips up, he's still extremely live in Colorado, Iowa, and Pennsylvania (per McCain and Obama internal polling)

I'm sorry the public (that means you) has been duped into accepting the bogus polling data as gospel. They will learn soon enough.

Nevada
<table class="data"><tbody><tr class="rcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">RCP Average</td><td>10/22 - 10/28</td><td>--</td><td>--</td><td>50.3</td><td>43.3</td><td class="spread">Obama +7.0</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">Reno Gazette-Journal</td><td>10/25 - 10/28</td><td>600 LV</td><td>4.0</td><td>50</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +5</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">Rasmussen</td><td>10/27 - 10/27</td><td>700 LV</td><td>4.0</td><td>50</td><td>46</td><td class="spread">Obama +4</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">CNN/Time</td><td>10/23 - 10/28</td><td>684 LV</td><td>3.5</td><td>52</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +7</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">Suffolk</td><td>10/26 - 10/26</td><td>450 LV</td><td>4.6</td><td>50</td><td>40</td><td class="spread">Obama +10</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">Reuters/Zogby</td><td>10/23 - 10/26</td><td>601 LV</td><td>4.1</td><td>48</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +4</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">Associated Press/GfK</td><td>10/22 - 10/26</td><td>628 LV</td><td>3.9</td><td>52</td><td>40</td><td class="spread">Obama +12</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">CNN/Time</td><td>10/19 - 10/21</td><td>700 LV</td><td>3.5</td><td>51</td><td>46</td><td class="spread">Obama +5</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[D2bets]

New Hampshire
Polling Data

<table class="data"><tbody><tr><th class="noCenter">Poll</th><th class="date">Date</th><th>Sample</th><th>MoE</th><th>Obama (D)</th><th>McCain (R)</th><th class="spread">Spread</th></tr><tr class="rcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">RCP Average</td><td>10/22 - 10/29</td><td>--</td><td>--</td><td>52.7</td><td>40.2</td><td class="spread">Obama +12.5</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">Suffolk</td><td>10/27 - 10/29</td><td>600 LV</td><td>4.0</td><td>53</td><td>40</td><td class="spread">Obama +13</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">WMUR/UNH</td><td>10/26 - 10/28</td><td>661 LV</td><td>3.8</td><td>58</td><td>34</td><td class="spread">Obama +24</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">Associated Press/GfK</td><td>10/22 - 10/26</td><td>600 LV</td><td>4.0</td><td>55</td><td>37</td><td class="spread">Obama +18</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">NBC/Mason-Dixon</td><td>10/23 - 10/25</td><td>625 LV</td><td>4.0</td><td>50</td><td>39</td><td class="spread">Obama +11</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[D2bets]

Virginia
<table class="data"><tbody><tr><th class="noCenter">Poll</th><th class="date">Date</th><th>Sample</th><th>MoE</th><th>Obama (D)</th><th>McCain (R)</th><th class="spread">Spread</th></tr><tr class="rcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">RCP Average</td><td>10/22 - 10/28</td><td>--</td><td>--</td><td>51.0</td><td>44.5</td><td class="spread">Obama +6.5</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">Marist</td><td>10/26 - 10/27</td><td>671 LV</td><td>4.0</td><td>51</td><td>47</td><td class="spread">Obama +4</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">FOX News/Rasmussen</td><td>10/26 - 10/26</td><td>1000 LV</td><td>3.0</td><td>51</td><td>47</td><td class="spread">Obama +4</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">CNN/Time</td><td>10/23 - 10/28</td><td>774 LV</td><td>3.5</td><td>53</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +9</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">National Journal/FD</td><td>10/23 - 10/27</td><td>404 RV</td><td>4.9</td><td>48</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +4</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">SurveyUSA</td><td>10/25 - 10/26</td><td>671 LV</td><td>3.9</td><td>52</td><td>43</td><td class="spread">Obama +9</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">Reuters/Zogby</td><td>10/23 - 10/26</td><td>600 LV</td><td>4.1</td><td>52</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +7</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">Associated Press/GfK</td><td>10/22 - 10/26</td><td>601 LV</td><td>4.0</td><td>49</td><td>42</td><td class="spread">Obama +7</td></tr><tr class="isInRcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">Washington Post</td><td>10/22 - 10/25</td><td>784 LV</td><td>3.5</td><td>52</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +8</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Roanoke College</td><td>10/19 - 10/26</td><td>614 LV</td><td>4.0</td><td>48</td><td>39</td><td class="spread">Obama +9</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">VCU</td><td>10/20 - 10/22</td><td>817 LV</td><td>4.0</td><td>51</td><td>40</td><td class="spread">Obama +11</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">NBC/Mason-Dixon</td><td>10/20 - 10/21</td><td>625 LV</td><td>4.0</td><td>47</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +2</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">CNN/Time</td><td>10/19 - 10/21</td><td>647 LV</td><td>4.0</td><td>54</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +10</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">SurveyUSA</td><td>10/18 - 10/19</td><td>652 LV</td><td>3.9</td><td>51</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +6</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Rasmussen</td><td>10/16 - 10/16</td><td>700 LV</td><td>3.0</td><td>54</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +10</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Winthrop/ETV</td><td>09/28 - 10/19</td><td>665 LV</td><td>3.8</td><td>45</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +1</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">CNN/Time</td><td>10/11 - 10/14</td><td>698 LV</td><td>3.5</td><td>53</td><td>43</td><td class="spread">Obama +10</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[D2bets]

Sekrah, I will give you credit, as implausible as it is, you did lay out a mathematical scenario to 270, exactly.

 

[Sekrah]

d2Bets.. Exit poll of over 7,000 early voters has Obama up 50-48% in Nevada and Democrats outvoting Republicans to-date, telling me there's lots of Dem crossovers! Far more than most of what these polls are telling us (Most have 8-10% Dems for McCain).

Again, keep boosting your confidence on this fraudulant polls.. You're going to be disappointed Tuesday.

 

[Sekrah]

D2.. the polls are oversampling Obama/Democrats and underestimating White Democrat crossovers for McCain. You don't have to believe me. You'll see for yourself Tuesday.

 

[D2bets]

D2.. the polls are oversampling Obama/Democrats and underestimating White Democrat crossovers for McCain. You don't have to believe me. You'll see for yourself Tuesday.

We shall see. I hope you'll be here Tuesday.

 

[Sekrah]

I also see an undecided voter break to playout similar to Carter/Ford 1976, only that McCain is much, MUCH closer than Ford was at this point.

 

[Sekrah]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/Marist_VA_103008.pdf

D2.. Seriously.. Do you think only 6% of Democrats are going to Break for McCain? I've seen internals from Pennsylvania showing McCain garnering as much as 20% of the Hillary primary vote! Anecdotal evidence also supports this.

In this poll, Virginia indies are going to break for McCain by 12 points but he's only going to grab 6% of VIRGINIA DEMOCRATS? Bush got 8% of Virginia Democrats, and McCain is FAR MORE appealing than Bush and Barack Obama FAR LESS appealing than Kerry to White Democrats.

These polls just don't jive with common sense.

 

[Mistermj]

We shall see. I hope you'll be here Tuesday.

Be here...we'll own this GD place Tuesday.

We should start a suicide watch ...hand over your shoe laces and belts at the door boys. :cripwalk:

 

[gtc08]

sekrah, your own republican bias will lead you to disappointment. Your last post proves how way out there you are. McCain is far less then Bush when he ran and the demographics of Virginia are considerably different than in 04.

 

[Mistermj]

sekrah, your own republican bias will lead you to disappointment. Your last post proves how way out there you are. McCain is far less then Bush when he ran and the demographics of Virginia are considerably different than in 04.

Hey gtc...are u really going to Madtown tomorrow?

For the freaks Halloween party? :lol:

You are nuts man...thats some crazy shit.