florida ny mets 8 run total?

[idgethemidget]

this seems low to me and far too much respect for willis and martinez. willis has been shaky at best, and martinez may be back up to speed but both these teams can hit. The stats from pops thread on over/unders seems to bear this out and it doesnt look to bad in the umpire department.it will be hot under the umpires mask no doubt, and maybe a larger strike zone but like baltimores game yesterday, when umps call them loose they get no relief from the players and managers. ,any thoughts greatly appreciated.
cheers
idget

 

[TKE683]

I was liking it as well, Mets should get to Willis and if i'm not mistaken off the top of my head Willis has a brutal home ERA

 

[idgethemidget]

with you tke on this one and hoping that cubs total is high. I like the under in that one, you playing any day games? I am huge on the yankees so i am staying off the totals on that one.

 

[-Newman-]

Like I did in another thread, I'll just do here.

I had some analysis of this game in my thread of today's picks. I'll just copy and paste below. Although, I see the juice is up to -119 and the Florida Team Total is now at 3.5.



New York Mets @ Florida Marlins
Game Total Over 8 (+102) ... 1.00 Unit / 1.02 Unit
Florida : Team Total Over 3 (-113) ... 3.39 Unit / 3.00 Unit

==========

Just a few things to talk about in this game which features Pedro Martinez, sporting a 3.59 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP, and Dontrelle Willis, sporting a 4.27 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP.

First, a thing that caught my eye was the home / away stats from these 2 pitchers. Pedro enters today's game, allowing 4.87 runs per game in 10 away games, going 7-2-1 against the O/U. Dontrelle enters today's game, allowing 6.60 runs per game in 10 home games, going 8-2 against the O/U.

New York as a team, enters today's game averaging 5.26 runs per game and 61-41 versus the O/U. On the road, they average 5.85 runs per game, going 35-19 versus the O/U. New York is currently 5-0 versus the O/U in their last 5 games, as well as 8-1 during their last 9 games, averaging 6.22 runs per game during that stretch.

Florida as a team, enters today's game averaging 4.65 runs per game and 61-44 versus the O/U. At home, they average 4.37 runs per game, going 29-21 versus the O/U. Florida is currently 6-0 versus the O/U in their last 6 games, averaging 6 runs per game during that stretch. And as far as the Team Total over 3 play ... Since the All-Star Break, Florida has failed to score 3 or more runs only 5 times out of 21 (24%) games. In fact, of their 107 regular season games, they have failed to score 3 or more times in 25 (23%) of those games. New York, on the other hand has allowed their opponent to score 3 or more times in 79 of their 106 regular season games (79%). So, in the end, Florida has scored 3 or more in 77% of their regular season games and New York has alllowed their opponents to score 3 or more in 79% of their games.

Umpiring in today's matchup is Mr. Reilly. Reilly is only 11-10 versus the O/U this year; however, he is averaging 5.48 walks and 9.65 runs per game. Last year, he was 21-16 versus the O/U, averaging 6.45 walks and 10.61 runs per game.
​

 

[TKE683]

I'm just hitting the Braves over idget, Huddy has been brutal this year, Chacon not much better if not worse, two low scoring games, due for some hitting and the wind is blowing out to LF.
That Rockies under hurt yesterday, my biggest bet of the year, the last five days i have had the worst luck ever.
I was looking at the Yanks so i think i'll follow on that one.
G/L idget

 

[xMrWx]

Willis down but not out

I wouldn't count willis out though. Although he has been a bit inconsistent this season, he has a 9-2 record with a 2.08 ERA lifetime against the mets. If he comes out to play tonight then it should be a good pitching matchup.

 

[TKE683]

Willis has brutal home numbers and night numbers and his start was a complete disaster.

 

[TKE683]

idget, the wind is blowing 10mph straight in from CF at Wrigley, waiting for those totals to come out.

 

[goodcall]

this seems low to me and far too much respect for willis and martinez. willis has been shaky at best, and martinez may be back up to speed but both these teams can hit. The stats from pops thread on over/unders seems to bear this out and it doesnt look to bad in the umpire department.it will be hot under the umpires mask no doubt, and maybe a larger strike zone but like baltimores game yesterday, when umps call them loose they get no relief from the players and managers. ,any thoughts greatly appreciated.
cheers
idget

I also really like the over here.

Both the Mets and and Marlins have been hitting very well lately, while it seems both pitchers are in a bit of a slump. I will likely sell as many points on this total as I can.

Good luck!

 

[idgethemidget]

I am all over that total on the marlins game,guys the total on the cubs game is only nine,10.5 yesterday on the game that was canceled. 9 doesnt seem much with any wind at wrigley. I dont know on that one. I love this marlins game.

 

[WildmanTokyo]

Mets/Fish Over 8 is the biggest play for me today. This total line doesn't make sense at all... I took Fish team total Over 3.5 as well. Let's get some cash!!

 

[Yogi1964]

I hope it is all FLA 9-0

Good luck tonight

 

[ZZZSpeedster]

Looks like I am the lone dissenter!
I am taking UNDER 8 all the way today
Wind is also blowing in straight from dead center at around 11 MPH

Hopefully the star pitchers decide to show up!

 

[idgethemidget]

It could be a pitchers duel,these guys have the talent no doubt. That is just a very low total for two teams that can really hit the ball.I am not wagering on it large, my big wagers today were yanks and the tigers against seo tonight and little on boston but I hope this doesn't turn into a pitchers duel.I think the mets could have 4 or 5 by the 5th.we'll see.
cheers lads
Idget

 

[pj.sports]

2 runs robbed by Beltran!!!

 

[ZZZSpeedster]

Here comes the true test of fate

Late Innings!

 

[idgethemidget]

I saw that with beltran, and the mets just hit into I think there third double play tonight with runners at first and third. this one is not looking good at all, speedster you may have been right. I just hope floridas bullpen will make an appearance soon or martinez has a wild inning.

 

[WildmanTokyo]

Hmmm, looks like Willis will have a complete game. Let's hope Mets bullpen will screw up.

 

[ChicoandtheMan]

Guess the slugfest was on the boston game....

 

[ChicoandtheMan]

Phillies on the board....