five tonight w/analysis

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<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">1</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-2.00 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">29</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">35</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">3</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+6.16 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since October 2008)</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">82</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">104</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">3</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+1.42 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games include OT unless stated otherwise

New Jersey +1.05 over CAROLINA
The Canes have won three in a row and all I can say to that is big deal. They beat Atlanta, St. Louis and Tampa Bay and they were the second best team on the ice in two of those three games. This one’s really a no-brainer, as the Devils are about 1000 times more talented then the Canes in every department. This one really doesn’t need a big breakdown or analysis. There’s nothing unusual as far as scheduling, letdowns, fatigue or anything else. Put these exact same teams on the ice for 10 games and the Devils would beat them seven or eight times, period. Any tag here on the Devils is a gift. Play: New Jersey +1.09 (Risking 2 units).
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Atlanta +2.15 over PITTSBURGH (REG)
After watching these pitiful Penguins play in its last three games, it’s not difficult to figure out why they’re losing. They have no set lines, the frustration level is higher then it’s ever been and the team has absolutely no spunk in them whatsoever. Last night, down 1-0 in New York, they had a 5 on 3 for a full two minutes, didn’t score, took a penalty of their own and ended up losing 4-0. Incidentally, that power-play hasn't produced a goal in seven games and was 0-for-9 last night. Had they played anyone else but the offensively challenged Rangers, the score might have been 7-0. The Penguins have lost five straight and have been outscored 22-7 over that stretch. They’ve also been outscored 10-1 in its last two losing to the Panthers and Rangers. Coach Michel Theiren doesn’t even know who to bench anymore but someone will be sitting tonight. Last night he benched Alex Goligoski and Hal Gill and one has to wonder who it’ll be tonight. Fleury also looks shaky in net. So, while the Penguins may snap out of it, the fact is, this host in reeling badly and should they lose tonight say goodbye to Theiren. The players have been complaining about him since last year and they want him gone. The Penguins are so ripe to get beat it’s not funny and win, lose or draw, this price is insane, as the Thrashers can score goals and they’re usually enthusiastic. Huge overlay. Play: Atlanta +2.15 (Risking 2 units).
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Ottawa +1.86 over BUFFALO (REG)
Perhaps the atmosphere in Ottawa and the determination of the juniors will inspire the Senators to go out and play their hearts out in this one. The Sens are having a horrible year but there are signs that suggest they are close to turning the corner. They’ve picked up points in two of its last three games, winning in Edmonton and taking the Devils to OT in its last. New Jersey needed a goal with six minutes to go to send it to extra time. The Sens also have nine power-play goals in its last seven games and that’s always a sure sign. Antoine Vermette, who couldn’t buy a point earlier, is starting to produce and that’s huge for the Sens. Oh, and let’s not forget that this team still has Heatley, Spezza and Alfredsson and they’re showing signs of waking up too. The Sabres can never be trusted as a huge favorite. They’ll play a great game and follow it up with a stinker. They’re unreliable as hell and they’ve had nothing but trouble against the Sens in their own crib. In fact, Ottawa loves to play here and has played some of its best hockey over the years at this venue, including a 5-2 win here in late October. Thus, at this price, and especially after that display by the juniors at Scotiabank place last night, one has to at least believe the players were inspired by the game and by the frenzied crowd. Play: Ottawa +1.86 (Risking 2 units).
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WASHINGTON -½ +1.04 over Philadelphia (REG)
This just might be the best bet on the board in a month. The last time these two played was about two weeks ago in Philly in a game the Flyers won 7-1 and that was the most misleading score of the year. In fact, at one point early in the second period the Caps were out-shooting Philly 28-2 and were down 1-0. The Caps were completely dominating and that’s when the Flyers were healthy. Now the venue switches to Washington, where the Caps have won 17 of 19 games this year. Furthermore, the Flyers come in here fresh off five straight on the road with the last three coming being on the west coast including a game in Vancouver. In addition, the Flyers are the walking wounded. They dressed just nine forwards last game and they were so short up front that defenseman Luca Sbisa was forced to play forward. The Flyers have called up a slew of players from the farm for tonight’s game to fill in for injured players Jeffrey Lupul, Simon Gage (he might go tonight), Daniel Briere, Scottie Upshall, Aaron Asham and Claude Giroux. The Flyers could have as many as nine regulars out of the line-up. So, in its final game of a six-game trip, the Flyers are in a heap of trouble here. The Caps are the straight goods and they absolutely will recall that 7-1 thrashing they took in Philly in a game they dominated in. Flyers are tired, banged up and ripe as hell for the taking. Play: Washington -½ +1.04 (Risking 2 units).
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CALGARY +1.25 over San Jose
The Sharkies may be the cream of the crop (although I’m not convinced of that) but they may be starting to come back down to earth. San Jose is just 4-4 over its last eight games, beating the Rangers, Islanders, Dallas and Vancouver while losing to Detroit (6-0), Columbus, St. Louis and Minnesota. Any team that loses to the Jackets, Blues and Wild in a recent stretch is more then capable of losing in Calgary. In fact, the Flames are 13-4 in their own barn and they’re coming off perhaps their worse game in a month on Sunday when the went into Chicago and lost 5-2. Prior to that they had won seven of its last eight games and frankly, I couldn’t give a rats ass who they’re playing. When the Flames are a pooch at home I’m betting them because their chances of winning at home are greater then their chances of losing. Overlay. Play: Calgary +1.25 (Risking 2 units).
 

sarah palin enthusiast
Joined
Oct 14, 2006
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Nice writeups as always Sherwood. Good luck tonight and GO SENS GO!
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
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With you on Washington. Good luck on your other 4. Thanks for the write ups.
 

Don't assume people in charge know what they are d
Joined
Aug 16, 2006
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Loading up on Caps
GL
 

New member
Joined
Nov 27, 2004
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Which of your picks on Monday was not a loser, Pittsburgh or the Islanders?
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
Joined
Mar 19, 2008
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Capitals 1st period is my top play today!

Good luck sherwood
 

Member
Joined
Feb 13, 2007
Messages
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CGY looking good w/4-0 lead....gl

I don't see SJS netting 5 goals to overcome the deficit.
 

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