Finding the sucker bet of the day

[bauer1210]

avs ml and pl is a play

 

[bauer1210]

+210 at SIA

 

[bauer1210]

looking at twins

 

[letsgohoosiers]

I am bringing the chase back. There is a play every day that is near a 50% proposition on a RL dog. There is tremendous value in these plays and I don't think in any way possible I will be losing 7 in a row betting these.

Chase Record: 33-0 +$661
Overall Record: 33-30 +1.67 units
Baseball Record: 25-26-1 -1.31 units

Leg #1

Houston +1.5 +100 SIA Risk $20 to win $20

 

[bauer1210]

nice to see you back, been having pretty good luck with these

 

[olim]

I am bringing the chase back. There is a play every day that is near a 50% proposition on a RL dog. There is tremendous value in these plays and I don't think in any way possible I will be losing 7 in a row betting these.

Chase Record: 33-0 +$661
Overall Record: 33-30 +1.67 units
Baseball Record: 25-26-1 -1.31 units

Leg #1

Houston +1.5 +100 SIA Risk $20 to win $20

hoosiers...besides the chase. can you post your other plays if possible?.
thanks

 

[bauer1210]

nationals RL

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Don't need to be a genius to understand that NYY -1.5 is the sucker bet.

Chase Record: 34-0 +$681
Overall Record: 34-30 +2.67 units

Leg #1

Texas +1.5 -105 SIA Risk $21 to win $20

 

[2dollarRazzplayer]

can you list the bet amounts for the 7 game chase... how much money do you need to have to do the full 7 game chase if you start out with a 20 dollar bet?

 

[STACKSONDECK]

can you list the bet amounts for the 7 game chase... how much money do you need to have to do the full 7 game chase if you start out with a 20 dollar bet?

its the very first post of this thread

 

[heynow]

Hoosier, how well does the sucker bet theory work in the NBA playoffs with regard to the half point calculator and +EV and so forth. I recall you saying in a previous post that you have had some bad luck in NBA games. I saw that first hand awhile ago. Just wondering how this does in playoff games.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

can you list the bet amounts for the 7 game chase... how much money do you need to have to do the full 7 game chase if you start out with a 20 dollar bet?

Take your initial bet, it might be to win 10, 20, 50, etc.

Standard vig is -110. I RARELY play -110, but we'll use that as an example.

Leg #1 would be $10 * 1.1 (-110 vig) = $11

Leg #2 would be to win $10 + $11 you lost earlier. So $22 * 1.1 = Risk $24.2

Leg #3 would be to win $10 + $11 + $24.2. So $45.2 * 1.1 = Risk $49.72

You sum your losses and add $10, making this your "TO WIN" while the vig determines your risk.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Tim Lincecum is pitching against an unknown. Many will take the -160. Some feel it's too expensive and will be intrigued at the possibility of making him +100. That is the sucker play today.

Texas bet was canceled due to rain, starting over at Leg #1.

Leg #1

Dodgers +1.5 -110 SIA/Bodog Risk $22 to win $20

Chase Record: 34-0 +$681
Overall Record: 34-30 +2.67 units

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Chase Record: 34-0 +$681
Overall Record: 34-31 +1.57 units

Leg #2

Houston +1.5 (-120) SIA Risk $50.40 to win $42

 

[goblue12]

Next leg looking like the Mets +1.5?

 

[letsgohoosiers]

That would be the side to play (+1.5 +115 at Bodog). I'm not playing it. More interested in the total (under 7.5 -110).

 

[goblue12]

Hope you guys took advantage of Tampa +1.5

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Rays +1.5 was definitely the best bet. There's another game I like.

Leg #1

San Diego +115 SIA $20 to win $23

Going to chase with this. Near a 50% probability.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Chase Record: 36-0 +$716
Overall Record: 36-31 +3.72 units

Leg #1

Oakland +1.5 (-110) Bodog Risk $22 to win $20

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Chase Record: 36-0 +$716
Overall Record: 36-32 +2.62 units

Leg #2

Toronto -110 SIA Risk $46.20 to win $42