FINAL FOUR PLAYS BEST OF LUCK

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Will be gone much of the weekend, so i will have limited time write anything or answer a question. i think we all have talked enough on this subject that if you don't have a selection by now, don't bother.

I think the ACC is getting no respect here. they have 2 teams in the final four, they are ranked as the best conf on the planet, yet they both are getting points. maybe vegas knows something i don't, but i'll take my chances

DUKE +2 GOY 20 UNITS
GTECH +5 10 UNITS

BEST OF LUCK
 
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STEALING SOME INFO HERE FROM DANTE



posted April 02, 2004 08:52 AM
sorry GB...read this at covers you are correct its big east


"Another worry for UConn bettors is their team's performance against the ACC this season. The Huskies lost 77-61 to Georgia Tech in November and 86-83 to North Carolina in January. Duke, meanwhile, went 4-1 straight up against those clubs this campaign, losing once to Georgia Tech in early March"
Posts: 23662 | From: Brooklyn, NY | Registered: June 25, 2001


MIGHT ADD THAT LOSSES TO SYRACUSE AND ONE POINT WIN TO RUTGRES AND AFTER LAST NIGHTS RUTGERS PERFORMANCE THE ACC IS A CUT ABOVE.

DON'T GET SWAYED INTO THE PERCEPTION, THE ACC IS A BETTER CONFERENCE, I JUST THINK YOU WOULD BE A FOOL NOT TO TAKE THESE TWO ACC TEAMS AND THE POINTS AND RUN WITH IT.
 
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DAMN,

WHERE IS MY SERVICE CONTRACT. HELL I'M UP OVER 200 UNITS IN THE LAST 3 OR 4 WEEKS.


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Thats a great way to jinx yourself..bragging; however the Public will be all over the Favs this weekend I can feel it. I forgot about UCONN loosing to GT.
 

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just thinking outside of the box as if I thought duke would keep it within 2...

you might consider the ML if you think they'll keep it within 2.

at +125 or something you earn yourself a little more...

it will be a battle but whoever wins I cant imagine they will do it by only 2.

then again who am I to look for extra value

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Im on the other side anyway

I hate being on the other side of you in both plays.


that never ends up a good thing


good luck anyway!
 
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NOT BRAGGING

just having some fun.

it's all about having fun.

wagerline has become quite useful to me.

they had the over last night big, like 78%, so i thought about it and why everyone so high on the over and then the line made sense to me why it was so low. because vegas new it. so i jumped on the under.


anyway, looks like the huskies are going to be a public favorite once again by a good margin, alongwith the over.

i like duke more and more after seeing some these predictions, and yea i did forget about the huskies lost to gt. not just a lost, but a blowout.

i just think the big east has some good ball players, but not nearly as athletic as the acc.

either way someone goes in this game, it is going t be a nail bitter.
 

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are you putting a lot of emphasis on conference strength?

Uconn did win their conference with an ailing bigman - over the "toughest" team in the big east.

Duke was not so fortunate - losing to a maryland team that earlier in the season lost to West Virginia - who didnt even break .500 in the big east...

that may not be a totally valid comparison on my part but I just wanted to point it out as something to think about when putting weight on how conferences compare.
 
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yes on these two particular games.

and most games i guess.

it's really the only way to judge how good the teams are i think.

yea the whole A beat B who lost to C is ok, but that is only part. matchups determine those more than anything.

it's really hard to judge someone by the way they cap games from a few comments here and there. seems like a lot gets taken out of context here. not to say you are taking anything out of context, but well i think you know what i mean.

i would say 75% goes by numbers in my book, with ratings and such.

then the other 25% goes by what i have seen myself and my judgement of basketball. which cannot be measured by any scale.

sometimes i just see a line and i like it, or i pick the winners or write down a score of a game and wait for the lines.

i thought this game duke would be favored by 3 or more, and i was thinking to myself if they would cover or not, then the line came out and they were etting points, well i need to say no more.

plus all the mathematical numbers add up to taking duke.

but if duke would of been favored, then i might of had a small play on uconn, depending on the line.

there is such a fine line with these games, it's just so hard to figure out. i will take anything above 60% at this time of year.

that's why a goy comes about so much because the ine is so tight, there are less games, and i feel i have a huge advantage in my system.

you being from that area i can see why you like uconn, you have watched them all year, and have a great feel for that team, while i'm just punching numbers that i hope are correct.

a small note, this system using conf ratings and such works outstanding in pro football. the last years in the playoffs i was 13-3.
7-0 2 years ago.
 

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still think it's too early to do any picks on this weekends games. wait until 30 min or so before game time to make your bets. every game with a 1 1/2 point move or more has gone the other way, so i'll just wait it out and see what happens (this is for both the game line and o/u) good luck all
 

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Once again...your my hero...I hope your this good in college football. Way to go and keep it up. Congrats
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Missed you this weekend.

Nice plays this weekend. I had UConn -1. What a brutal March.
 
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why does that not surprise me.

he shouldn't waste his money these little pools,

there is something called the lottery.


boy have you seen my nba plays, brutal.

cost my myself thousands this past month. just killing me.
 

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