MathProf said:FHM,
Yes of course when a team wins less than 40% of its road games, then
by definition the opponents must be doing well but the question is
how many games were won or lost by one run (all of which would be
losers if you play opponent -1.5 runs).
Possibly there is a slightly different approach which would correlate
more directly.
By the way, congrats on early success - would you mind reviewing
in a post your list of "no play" road teams?
I'll try to manually update spreadsheet but if could send out current
version much appreciated.
Mathprof
I suppose you could play the home team on the ML, but there will be pretty big juice on a lot of them since the roadie is one of the worst teams. For instance, I had to lay 150/100 with KC/CWS on the -1.5, CWS ML was like -280. You could also just avoid those series, however, I view them as easy money so I will continue to play and take the units.
I will put out a thread with the garbage teams.