FHMESQ July System Thread

fhmesq44 · Jul 15, 2007

IT is Stoopsy. Hope it keeps up

Sunday plays

Mo< - Indians to win 1
Mo> - Angels to win 1.66
Mo< - Phillies to win 1
Mo< - Marlins to win 5.97

Sunday possible plays

3SHD - Pirates to win 1 if Atl +100
4DRD - Giants to win 1 if LAD +110
3SRD - Dodgers to win 1 if LAD +100
3SHD - Cardinals to win 1 if Phil +100
3SHD - A's to win 1 if Minn +100

fhmesq44 · Jul 16, 2007

will update Saturday and Sunday later today. There is a conflicting play on Phil and LAD so I will only post the net play here and will post the detailed results tomorrow

Monday possible plays

3SHD - Giants to win 1 if Cubs +100
4DHF - Padres to win 1 if -130
4DHF - Dodgers to win .5064 if -130
4DHF - A's to win 1 if -130
3SHF - A's to win 1 if -110
3SRD - Mariners to win 1 if Balt +100

fhmesq44 · Jul 16, 2007

Monday, July 16:

Saturday Results

Mo> - Dodgers -126 won 8-7 for +1
4DRD, 3SRD - Marlins -162 won 5-2 for +2
4DRD - Red Sox -210 won 9-4 for +1
3SHF - Brewers -180 won 2-1 for +1

Total 5-0 for +5

Sunday Results

Mo< - Indians -215 won 5-3 for +1
Mo< Marlins won 5-3 for +5.97
Mo> - Angels -205 lost 5-4 for -3.403
Mo< - Phillies -119 lost 10-2 for -1.19
4DRD, 3SRD - Giants -135 lost 5-3 for -2.7
3SHF - A's -112 lost 4-3 for -1.12

Total 2-5 for -1.443

All others were no plays

Series Record 378-16
plus 18 abandoned/didn't post that are losses
Play Record 378-289-28
Units -90.0044 or $9000.44

Monday plays already posted

fhmesq44 · Jul 17, 2007

Tuesday, July 17:

Monday Results

3SRD - Phillies +156 lost 10-3 for -1.5064
4DHF, 3SHF - Dodgers -156 won 10-3 for +2
4DHF, 3SHF - A's -148 lost 4-1 for -2.96
3SRD - Mariners -142 won 4-2 for +1

Total 3-3 for -1.4664

All others were no plays

Series Record 381-16
plus 18 abandoned/didn't post that are losses
Play Record 381-292-28
Units -91.4708 or -$9147.08

Tuesday plays

3SRD - Phillies to win 3.8564
3SHF - A's to win 2.48
Mo> - Angels to win 5.07
3SHD - Tigers to win 2.12

Tuesday possible plays

3SHD - Giants to win 1 if Cubs +100
4DHF - Padres to win 1 if -130
3SHD - Blue Jays to win 1 if NYY +100
4DRD - A's to win 1 if Tex +110
4DHF - A's to win 2.48 if -130

fhmesq44 · Jul 17, 2007

Dsethi said:
at what point do you decide to call it quits and tweak the system? I'm thinking and hoping you're onto something here but being down 91 units is tough, especially if 1 unit = 1% of bankroll...best of luck, seems like this thing could turn around real quick too.

Few things, I have made some changes. One of which was to ditch the o/u systems, which were down ~50 units.

Personally, I passed on a few big losses (Balt -40 and Cin -26 unit play specifically) that were posted and quit the o/u systems before I quit posting them (they lost about 20 or so units after I quit playing but continued posting). So I am not in as bad a shape as the -90 units.

As far as changes go, many of the losses (specifically the two losses in the 4DHF system and 1 in the 3SHF system) came when we were playing on shitty teams, so I am passing when really poor teams that may fit the objective criteria are plays. I realize hindsight is 20/20, but with those few changes (dropping o/u, which I will review at the end of the season) and passing on crap teams in 3SHF and 4DHF, they are up ~60 units.

Learning experience I suppose, expensive one though.

fhmesq44 · Jul 18, 2007

posting the very early games only

Wednesday possible plays

4DRD - Braves to win 1 if Cin +110
4DHF - Braves to win 1 if -130

fhmesq44 · Jul 18, 2007

Wednesday plays

3SHF - A's to win 6.12
Mo< - Marlins to win 2.19

Wednesday possible plays (includes previously posted)

4DRD - Braves to win 1 if Cin +110
4DHF - Braves to win 1 if -130
4DHF - Padres to win 2.54 if -130
4DRD - A's to win 2.47 if Tex +110
3SRD - A's to win 1 if Tex +100
4DHF - A's to win 6.12 if -130
3SHD - Blue Jays to win 1 if NYY +100

fhmesq44 · Jul 18, 2007

Wednesday, July 18: - just updating Tuesday

Tuesday Results

3SRD - Phillies won 15-3 for +3.8564
3SHF, 4DRD, 4DHF - A's -147 lost 11-4 for -8.7612
Mo> - Angels -110 lost 8-3 for -5.577
3SHD - Tigers won 1-0 for +2.12
4DHF - Padres -154 lost 7-0 for -1.54

Total 2-5 for -9.9018

All others were no plays

Series Record 383-16
plus 18 abandoned/didn't post that are losses
Play Record 383-297-28
Units -101.3726 or -$10,137.26

Wednesday plays already posted

fhmesq44 · Jul 19, 2007

Thursday plays

Mo< - Marlins to win 1

Thursday possible plays

3SRD - Nationals to win 1 if Col +100
3SRD - Marlins to win 1 if Cin +100
4DRD - Braves to win 1 if STL +110
4DHF - Braves to win 2.56 if -130
3SHF - Braves to win 1 if -110
4DHF - Padres to win 2.54 if -130
3SHD - Blue Jays to win 1 if NYY +100
3SRD - Twins to win 1 if Det +100
4DHF - Red Sox to win 1 if -130

fhmesq44 · Jul 20, 2007

Friday plays

Mo< - Marlins to win 2.53
Mo> - Padres to win 1
3SRD - Marlins to win 2.53

Friday possible plays

4DHF - Marlins to win 1 if -130
4DHF - Padres to win 2.54 if -130
4DRD - Dodgers to win 1 if NYM +110
4DRD - Red Sox to win 1 if CWS +110
4DHF - Red Sox to win 2.94 if -130
3SHF - Red Sox to win 1 if -110
4DRD - Tigers to win 1 if KC +110
4DRD - Blue Jays to win 2.9 if Sea +110
4DHF - A's to win 6.13 if -130

fhmesq44 · Jul 20, 2007

Friday, July 20: - just updating Wednesday and Thursday

Wednesday Results

3SHF, 4DRD, 3SRD - A's -117 won 6-0 for +9.59
Mo< - Marlins -140 lost 6-0 for -3.066
4DRD, 4DHF - Braves -156 lost 5-4 for -3.12

Total 3-3 for +3.404

Thursday Results

Mo<, 3SRD - Marlins -153 lost 7-5 for -3.06
4DRD, 4DHF, 3SHF - Braves -178 won 10-1 for +4.56
4DHF - Red Sox -194 lost 4-2 for -1.94

Total 3-3 for -.44

All others were no plays

Series Record 389-16
plus 18 abandoned/didn't post that are losses
Play Record 389-303-28
Units -98.4086 or -$9840.86

Friday plays already posted

fhmesq44 · Jul 21, 2007

Saturday plays

Mo> - Angels to win 9.64
Mo> - Padres to win 2.23
Mo< - Braves to win 4.26

Saturday possible plays
3SHD - Dbacks to win 1 if Cubs +100
4DRD - Dodgers to win 1 if NYM +110
4DHF - Padres to win 2.54 if -130
4DHF - Yankees to win 1 if -130
4DRD - Blue Jays to win 2.9 if Sea +110
4DRD - Tigers to win 2.7 if KC +110
4DHF - A's to win 6.12 if -130

May be other plays on TB/NYY game 2

fhmesq44 · Jul 22, 2007

Sunday possible plays

4DHF - Padres to win 2.54 if -130

fhmesq44 · Jul 23, 2007

Monday possible plays

4DRD - Astros to win 2.35 if LAD +110
4DRD - Rockies to win 1 if SD +110
3SRD - Dbacks to win 1 if Fla +100
4DHF - Dbacks to win 1 if -130
4DHF - Giants to win 1 if -130 - PASS
3SRD - Indians to win 1 if Bos +100
3SRD - Royals to win 1 if NYY +100 - PASS

fhmesq44 · Jul 23, 2007

Monday, July 23: - just updating Friday, Saturday and Sunday

Friday Results

Mo<, 3SRD, 4DHF - Marlins -139 won 10-2 for +6.06
Mo> - Padres -123 lost 7-3 for -1.23
4DRD, 4DHF, 3SHF - Red Sox -215 won 10-3 for +4.94
4DRD - Tigers -170 lost 10-2 for -1.7

Total 6-2 for +9.305

Saturday Results

Mo> - Angels -110 lost 5-2 for -10.604 - series loss
Mo> - Padres -121 lost 12-4 for -2.6984
Mo< - Braves -127 won 14-6 for +4.26
4DRD - Dodgers -142 won 8-6 for +1
4DHF - Yankees -205 (game 1) won 7-3 for +1
4DRD - Blue Jays -125 won 1-0 for +2.9
4DRD - Tigers -238 won 10-8 for +2.7
4DHF - A's -205 won 4-3 for +6.12

Total 6-2 for +4.6776

Sunday Results

4DHF - Padres -205 lost 9-0 for -5.2072

Total 0-1 for -5.2072

All others were no plays

Series Record 401-17
plus 18 abandoned/didn't post that are losses
Play Record 401-308-28
Units -89.6332 or -$8963.32

Monday plays already posted

fhmesq44 · Jul 24, 2007

Tuesday, July 24:

Monday Results

4DRD - Rockies -137 won 7-5 for +1
3SRD - Indians -131 lost 6-2 for -1.31

Total 1-1 for -.31

All others were no plays

Series Record 402-17
plus 18 abandoned/didn't post that are losses
Play Record 402-309-28
YTD Units -89.9432 or -$8994.32
Post AS Break +25.2182 or +$2521.82

Tuesday plays

3SRD - Indians to win 2.31
Mo> - Padres to win 4.94

Tuesday possible plays

3SHD - Nationals to win 1 if Phil +100
4DRD - Astros to win 2.35 if LAD +110
4DHF - Dbacks to win 1 if -130
3SHD - Marlins to win 1 if Ariz +100
4DHF - Giants to win 1 if -130 = PASS
4DHF - Rangers to win 1 if -130 - PASS
3SHD - Twins to win 1 if Tor +100
3SRD - Royals to win 1 if NYY +100 - PASS
4DHF - Angels to win 1 if -130

May be some plays on Det/CWS and Sea/Tex game 2s, will post later.

fhmesq44 · Jul 24, 2007

Additional Tuesday plays

Mo> - Seattle to win 1 - game 2

fhmesq44 · Jul 25, 2007

Wednesday plays

3SRD - Indians to win 4.97
Mo> - Mariners to win 2.2
3SHD - Marlins to win 2.7*

Wednesday possible plays

3SHD - Nationals to win 1 if Phil +100
4DRD - Astros to win 2.35 if LAD +110
4DHF - Dbacks to win 1 if -130*
4DHF - Giants to win 1 if -130 - PASS
3SHD - Twins to win 1 if Tor +100
4DRD - Angels to win 1 if Oak +110
4DHF - Angels to win 2.8 if -130
4DRD - Indians to win 1 if Bos +110
3SRD - Royals to win 1 if NYY +100 - PASS
3SHD - Mariners to win 1 if Tex +100

* for the conflicting Ariz and Fla plays, reduce the amount risked on the Fla play by the amount to win on the Ariz play

fhmesq44 · Jul 26, 2007

Thursday plays

3SHD - Marlins to win 3.5
Mo> - Mariners to win 4.56

Thursday possible plays

4DHF - Giants to win 1 if -130 - PASS
4DRD - Rockies to win 2.35 if LAD +110
3SHD - TB to win 1 if Balt +100
4DRD - Indians to win 1 if Bos +110
3SRD - KC to win 1 if NYY +100 - PASS
3SHF - Mariners to win 1 if -10

fhmesq44 · Jul 26, 2007

Thursday, July 26: just posting results

Tuesday Results

3SRD - Indians -115 lost 1-0 for -2.6564
Mo> - Mariners -142 lost 2-1 for -1.42
Mo> - Padres -142 won 5-3 for +4.93
3SHD - Marlins -113 lost 9-3 for -1.13
4DHF - Angels -180 lost 4-3 for -1.8

Total 1-4 for -2.0764

Wednesday Results

3SRD - Indians -108 won 1-0 for +4.964
Mo>, 3SHD - Mariners -110 lost 7-6 for -3.5
3SHD - Marlins +156 lost 7-0 for -1.3656
4DHF - Dbacks -156 won 7-0 for +1
4DRD, 4DHF - Angels -167 won 7-6 for +3.8

Total - 4-3 for +4.8984

All others were no plays

Series Record 407-17
plus 18 abandoned/didn't post that are losses
Play Record 407-316-28
YTD Units -87.1212 or -$8712.12
Post AS Break +28.0402 or +$2804.02

Thursday plays already posted