Fezzik, what time are you going to be taking back +300

[JackStraw+]

Pinnacle price has now dropped to -256.

 

[wilheim]

Will Smarty Jones Win the Belmont Stakes? Must Go
03:35 PM
201 Yes -243
202 No +223

 

[JackStraw+]

Fezzik over estimated the take back price. He had a very marginal scalp and nothing like he expected.

 

[Railbird]

Fezzik is sharp, he takes the dog and under, he bets against the public from California. He has it all figured out.

 

[Fezzik]

The nine slot didn't help, nor did the fact that the true sharps identified that he had no business being a 2.5-1 favorite.

The scalp was still there. +250 was readily avialable all day (but I will admit the line tanked in the last 2 hours.....smart money).

But all those laying -3 at plus money could easily have played back +3 lenghts also at plus money and made some good coin.

In retrospect, the "spread lengths betting" carried the substantial scalp......

Maybe I exagerated the opportunity but any shopper still should have at least broken even, and I imagine 95% profited.

 

[wilheim]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> posted May 30, 2004 07:36 PM
-280 to win it all and it has just started to steam.

Watch the squares wait until Saturday and lay it minus $3.80

<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Not quite wil.

 

[Fezzik]

Plenty of squares laid -500!

 

[PeteRoseJR]

What Idiot would bet a horse at -280???

If you did, you should take some time off and re-think your strategy before you go bankrupt.

 

[wilheim]

Actually using $200 as a base bet betting SJ at -280 you would win $71.43 if he wins. At the track SJ went of at $.35 to one or $2.70 for a $2.00 bet and you would have won $70 if he wins. So the -280 was just a little bit better than track odds. Not to say that either was a good bet but the -280 was better than the track by a bit.


wil.

 

[PeteRoseJR]

I love how you always try to correct me..WIL

Sorry I should have said:

What idiot would bet a horse -280 -3/4 of a length.


Thanks Wil...

 

[wilheim]

Pete thats what moderators do. I wasn't trying to correct you -just pointing out what the two payouts were. Either way you were right about them not being good bets.


wil.