FE's F-around systems 2009

[FullyEclipsed]

I'm gonna run at least 2 systems in this thread for a bit more action on the year. My other system will be posted in the tracker forum because it is a grind it out system that can get confusing. That one will start in early May.

1st system will be series chases on totals. I'm not a huge fan anymore on doubling up on negative juice so I'll play those to win $25. This one is based on the same software program I use to do my parlay system except this is when the 2 teams are matched up.

First series starts tomorrow

Florida/Pitts Over

Will post the line when I put it in.

 

[FullyEclipsed]

There are no plays tomorrow but going to post the 2nd one now with the stats from previous years to back it up.

I've been playing around with the cancellation system a bit and ran a bunch of numbers to make this work. Basically betting opposite after 5 straight for games 6 & 7 ONLY with the cancellation system. Numbers below for 2008 and 2007 prove this theory.

Need to redo stats...

 

[FullyEclipsed]

Game won on-year-how many times-year-how many times

Game 6 (08) 61 (07) 63
Game 7 (08) 29 (07) 32
Game 8 (08) 12 (07) 14
Game 9 (08) 8 (07) 11
Game 10 (08) 5 (07) 4
Game 11 (08) 2 (07) 1
Game 12 (08) 0 (07) 1
Game 16 (08) 0 (07) 1


2008 -/+
Game 6 61/117 = 52.1% 122/56
Game 7 29/56 = 51.8 % 58/27
Game 8 12/27 = 44.4% 36/45


2007 -/+
Game 6 63/127 = 49.6% 126/64
Game 7 32/64 = 50.0% 64/32
Game 8 14/32 = 43.8% 28/54

Last 2 numbers shows how many numbers would be taken away vs. added. Big drop off at game 8.

Both years posted would clear the line 9+ times at 10 spots in the line.

 

[FullyEclipsed]

4/20 Series chase

Florida/Pitts Over 9.5 Even 25.00/25.00

 

[FullyEclipsed]

4/20 Series chase

Florida/Pitts Over 9.5 Even 25.00/25.00 L

0-1 -25.00

Game 2 tomorrow.


I'm not going to do the cancellation system. Too much effort into the little amount I was going to play for. Will bump this one up to $50 a unit in the beginning of May.

 

[FullyEclipsed]

0-1 -25.00

Game 2 Florida/Pitts Over 9 even $50.00/50.00

 

[FullyEclipsed]

0-2 -75.00

Game 2 Florida/Pitts Over 9 even $50.00/50.00 Lose

 

[FullyEclipsed]

0-2 -75.00

Florida/Pittsburgh Over 8 -110 110/100

 

[jv040]

what's your parlay system like

 

[FullyEclipsed]

1-2 +25

Florida/Pittsburgh Over 8 -110 110/100 Win

 

[FullyEclipsed]

what's your parlay system like

(Quick version) I'll try to have a better write up in that thread.

It's a martingale system on 2 team parlays using totals. Lots of rules on the betting to keep Risk amounts low on one play. Basically after 5 straight chases if they all lose divide total lost by 2 then add a unit to each to win. Play games 6-10 with half and a new series with the other half.

There are times it will get divided by 3. All chases will be grouped together so all money associated with those chases will be kept together. They branch out into multiple plays but will make it's way back. Each time a win takes place a unit will be gained from that.