Federated 300 (NWS@Nashville)

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Sep 3, 2005
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NWS YTD

+ 2.89 units (Match-Ups)

+ 2.40 units (Outrights)

Total +5.29 units

Not sure what kind of line movement we'll have after they qualify, so locked in these two:

Match-Ups

2.00 units Stephen Leicht (+140) over Brad Coleman (@thegreek)
Going against a better racing team but in my opinion getting a big advantage in driver. Not that RCR is a second-class team but he is going up against Gibbs which is the best in this series.
Been familiar with Leicht for a while as he grew up and cut in teeth here in the southeast. This kid is very talented and would love to see him in a full-time, first-class ride. Already been a race winner in this series and does have a start in the Cup series under his belt.

Coleman has already had one go-round with Gibbs in 2007 driving the #18 (0 wins/3 Top5's/5 Top 10's/20.0 place avg. in 17 total starts) drove 24 races last year for Curb Racing with little success (2 Top 10's/avg. of 23.0) this will be his first race since Watkins Glen of last year.

1.50 units Erik Darnell (+120) over Mike Bliss (@thegreek)
Was familiar with Darnell from the truck series but really didn't know what Roush saw in him until I watched him at Darlington, this guy is pretty good and with experience should get even better.

Good line with the better team as long as the driver doesn't make any mistakes this one looks good.

May be back with more later.
 

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Kyle over Carl tonight for 2 beans, he won't even look back...
 

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lines went the opposite way, should have waited....

Adding...

Match-Ups

1.00 unit Stephen Leicht (+170) over Brad Coleman (@thegreek)
Adding a unit to previous play with new line

0.50 unit Erik Darnell (+170) over Mike Bliss (@thegreek)
Adding half a unit to previous play with new line

1.50 units Burney Lamar (+130) over Jason Keller (@thegreek)
Hate going against Keller but Lamar is in a very good ride with Braun Racing, has had decent results here and was pretty good in practice

1.50 units Brad Keselowski (+140) over Carl Edwards (@thegreek)
Good line on the hottest driver in the series (5.25 avg. the last 8). Edwards will be tough but this is a good possiblity.

Outrights

Pass


To Recap:

Match-Ups

2.00 units Stephen Leicht (+140) over Brad Coleman
1.00 unit Stephen Leicht (+170) over Brad Coleman

1.50 units Erik Darnell (+120) over Mike Bliss
0.50 unit Erik Darnell (+170) over Mike Bliss

1.50 unit Burney Lamar (+130) over Jason Keller

1.50 unit Brad Keselowski (+140) over Carl Edwards

Good luck everybody!
 

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Honestly, didn't like your first two picks, but you came out 50/50. Personally, I'd never bet against Bliss. I can say that now. I just like the guy for some reason. You killed it with the underdogs though, unbelievable. Nice job.
 

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I was scared of Coleman in that 20 rocket, shoulda known better... It's fine, I'll take my win... Shoulda put money on each of the 7 big underdogs at Belmont also...
 

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thanks tlento

nice hit with kyle...you called it, another dominate run

gl today
 

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