"Fast Start" System & "20 Point" System (THEGAME9000)

[Loves2kickass]

I combined the Fast Start and 20 Point systems together, only using both based on the 6/6 & 5/6 qualifiers.

6/6
Philadelphia 13-1 (NFC #1) +13 points
Buffalo 11-3 (AFC #1) +12 points
Kansas City 11-3 (AFC #2) +5 points
Minnesota 11-3 (NFC #2) -1 point
Cincinnati 10-4 (AFC #3) +3 points
Tampa Bay 6-8 (NFC #4) +/- 0 points
Cleveland 6-8 (AFC #12) -6 points OUT

5/6
San Francisco 10-4 (NFC #3) +13 points
Baltimore 9-5 (AFC #5) +7 points
LA Chargers 8-6 (AFC #6) -6 points
Miami 8-6 (AFC #7) +1 point
Jacksonville 6-8 (AFC #10)+/-0 points OUT

Note: Regarding the top 3 teams in points with the 20 Point system, San Francisco was close to having 20+ points at this point in the season. They won 4 games giving up either 14, 15, 16 & 17 points which missed the cut off of wins while giving up less than 14 pts. Philadelphia also. They allowed 17 three times and 16 once in 4 of their wins. Regardless, based on the system, no points given for those wins.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Ceasars odds for "20 pt" and "Fast Start" system teams that have a chance to qualify for SB and/or win. I'll be watching the results of these 3 teams closely the remainder of the season.

@THEGAME9000 this could get very interesting if, per say, San Francisco or Philadelphis and Buffalo get to +20 points. That would give good reason to bet before playoffs a futures SB matchup with SF vs Buffalo or Philadelphia vs Buffalo. As we get closer things should get more clearer.

6/6
Philadelphia 13-1 (NFC #1) +13 points
NFC Conf odds: +175; SB odds: +500

Buffalo 11-3 (AFC #1) +12 points
AFC Conf odds: +160; SB odds: +340

5/6
San Francisco 10-4 (NFC #3) +13 points
NFC Conf odds: +210; SB odds: +575

 

[XXII]

This is absolutely incredible information. Thank you Gentlemen!

 

[Loves2kickass]

This is absolutely incredible information. Thank you Gentlemen!

You're welcome @XXII

All credit for the systems is to be given to @THEGAME9000 . I'm just doing the leg work as much as I can. I hope what I'm providing helps one way or another.

 

[PiefaceJCS]

nice L2K, let's see if we can channel it.

my week 5 SB projection... min/buf, ouch, looks like we may have to walk Minnesota back... but not yet.

as you know if any playoff team reaches +20 by seasons end it's the golden ticket to the SB.
not saying that team will win, lose or cover... just participate.

in last 23 years a playoff team reached the 20pt or more threshold 17 times, going to the big game and grabbing a 12-4-1 ats record in the bowl, 6 other times no team reached 20pts after the reg season.
looking at the assignment #'s with just 3 weeks to go, only 3 teams even have the possibility of reaching 20.

BUFFALO+ 12
PHILADELPHIA+ 13
SAN FRANCISCO+ 13

seeing as SF is the odd man out matching only 5 of 6 and having unsettled issues at QB it's easy to see them falling by the wayside.
Minnesota stuck at a negative number it's easy to see them bowing out (not saying they will yet) but...
since 1999 there has been 280 playoff teams, of the 280 teams only 12 times did a team with a neg # even make the playoffs, and of those 12 only 1 time did a team make the SB. ( NYG in 2011).

now weighing in the final #'s when the last reg season games are over, the team with the lower numerical value has went 12-5 ats in last 17 s 05
the team with the lower numerical value has also gone 13-5 su in the bowl the last 18 years s 04
when the lower numbered team is the dog in the bowl? (7-2 su and 8-1 ats s 01)

now should Philadelphia continue their run, quite possible, they might just field a SB team with...
A. the higher #
B. the favored role
C. possibly the league MVP at QB

as we know sb qb's who win the league MVP don't fare well in the big game going 0-9-2 ats and 2-9 su in the game s 96

this is what I had to deal with after week 4 of the regular season, I hope I haven't ruined the rest of the season for anyone but now we do know what to look for.
and what to expect....

thanx for the help L2K....

GAME.

good stuff Game. Thanks for sharing.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Things should become a little more clearer after Monday night.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Buffalo wins and keeps Chicago under 14 pts to get them to +15 pts with the "20 point" system. 5 more to get them to the +20 point mark for a ticket to the bowl.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Could be setting up for a Buff/SF Super Bowl?