"Fast Start" System & "20 Point" System (THEGAME9000)

[Loves2kickass]

"Fast Start" system & "20 Point" system updated at the conclusion of week 15. All information has been double checked for accuracy. Both systems are to be credited to @THEGAME9000 I'm just doing the research and sharing the information.

"FAST START" SYSTEM (conference rank in parenthesis)

6/6
Philadelphia 13-1 (NFC #1)
Buffalo 11-3 (AFC #1)
Kansas City 11-3 (AFC #2)
Minnesota 11-3 (NFC #2)
Cincinnati 10-4 (AFC #3)
Tampa Bay 6-8 (NFC #4)
Cleveland 6-8 (AFC #12) OUT

5/6
San Francisco 10-4 (NFC #3)
Baltimore 9-5 (AFC #5)
LA Chargers 8-6 (AFC #6)
Miami 8-6 (AFC #7)
Jacksonville 6-8 (AFC #10) OUT

"20 POINT" SYSTEM (conference rank in parenthesis)

Buffalo +12 (AFC #1)
Baltimore +7 (AFC #5)
NY Jets +7 (AFC #9) OUT
Kansas City +5 (AFC #2)
Cincinnati +3 (AFC #3)
New England +3 (AFC #8) OUT
Miami +1 (AFC #7)
Tennessee +0 (AFC #4)
LA Chargers -6 (AFC #6)

Philadelphia +13 (NFC #1)
San Francisco +13 (NFC #3)
Dallas +6 (NFC #5)
Washington +6 (NFC #7)
Seattle +2 (NFC #8) OUT
Tampa Bay +0 (NFC #4)
NY Giants +0 (NFC #6)
Minnesota -1 (NFC #2)
Detroit -6 (NFC #9) OUT

 

[THEGAME9000]

nice L2K, let's see if we can channel it.

my week 5 SB projection... min/buf, ouch, looks like we may have to walk Minnesota back... but not yet.

as you know if any playoff team reaches +20 by seasons end it's the golden ticket to the SB.
not saying that team will win, lose or cover... just participate.

in last 23 years a playoff team reached the 20pt or more threshold 17 times, going to the big game and grabbing a 12-4-1 ats record in the bowl, 6 other times no team reached 20pts after the reg season.
looking at the assignment #'s with just 3 weeks to go, only 3 teams even have the possibility of reaching 20.

BUFFALO+ 12
PHILADELPHIA+ 13
SAN FRANCISCO+ 13

seeing as SF is the odd man out matching only 5 of 6 and having unsettled issues at QB it's easy to see them falling by the wayside.
Minnesota stuck at a negative number it's easy to see them bowing out (not saying they will yet) but...
since 1999 there has been 280 playoff teams, of the 280 teams only 12 times did a team with a neg # even make the playoffs, and of those 12 only 1 time did a team make the SB. ( NYG in 2011).

now weighing in the final #'s when the last reg season games are over, the team with the lower numerical value has went 12-5 ats in last 17 s 05
the team with the lower numerical value has also gone 13-5 su in the bowl the last 18 years s 04
when the lower numbered team is the dog in the bowl? (7-2 su and 8-1 ats s 01)

now should Philadelphia continue their run, quite possible, they might just field a SB team with...
A. the higher #
B. the favored role
C. possibly the league MVP at QB

as we know sb qb's who win the league MVP don't fare well in the big game going 0-9-2 ats and 2-9 su in the game s 96

this is what I had to deal with after week 4 of the regular season, I hope I haven't ruined the rest of the season for anyone but now we do know what to look for.
and what to expect....

thanx for the help L2K....

GAME.

 

[Michelangelo]

Hi Game. Looks like your work is spot on again.

Maybe you don't want to share it but if you do what exactly are the qualifiers for those systems?

Thanks.

 

[THEGAME9000]

PLAYOFF TEAMS get...

+3pts for every win allowing less than 14pts
+2pts for every win allowing more than 30pts
-3pts for every loss allowing more than 30pts
-2pts for every loss allowing less than 14pts

again... simple.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Hi Game. Looks like your work is spot on again.

Maybe you don't want to share it but if you do what exactly are the qualifiers for those systems?

Thanks.

"Fast Start" system qualifiers are as follows.....1st 4 games of season.....

1. Straight up record of at least 2-2 = 1pt.
2. Won at least 1 game straight up by double digits = 1 pt.
3. Scored 20+ points at least once = 1 point.
4. Favored at least 3 times = 1 pt.
5. Scored at least 80 points combined in 1st 4 games = 1 pt.
6. Surrendered less than 100 points combined in 1st 4 games = 1 pt.

@THEGAME9000 just posted the "20 point" system crtieria.

 

[Loves2kickass]

nice L2K, let's see if we can channel it.

my week 5 SB projection... min/buf, ouch, looks like we may have to walk Minnesota back... but not yet.

as you know if any playoff team reaches +20 by seasons end it's the golden ticket to the SB.
not saying that team will win, lose or cover... just participate.

in last 23 years a playoff team reached the 20pt or more threshold 17 times, going to the big game and grabbing a 12-4-1 ats record in the bowl, 6 other times no team reached 20pts after the reg season.
looking at the assignment #'s with just 3 weeks to go, only 3 teams even have the possibility of reaching 20.

BUFFALO+ 12
PHILADELPHIA+ 13
SAN FRANCISCO+ 13

seeing as SF is the odd man out matching only 5 of 6 and having unsettled issues at QB it's easy to see them falling by the wayside.
Minnesota stuck at a negative number it's easy to see them bowing out (not saying they will yet) but...
since 1999 there has been 280 playoff teams, of the 280 teams only 12 times did a team with a neg # even make the playoffs, and of those 12 only 1 time did a team make the SB. ( NYG in 2011).

now weighing in the final #'s when the last reg season games are over, the team with the lower numerical value has went 12-5 ats in last 17 s 05
the team with the lower numerical value has also gone 13-5 su in the bowl the last 18 years s 04
when the lower numbered team is the dog in the bowl? (7-2 su and 8-1 ats s 01)

now should Philadelphia continue their run, quite possible, they might just field a SB team with...
A. the higher #
B. the favored role
C. possibly the league MVP at QB

as we know sb qb's who win the league MVP don't fare well in the big game going 0-9-2 ats and 2-9 su in the game s 96

this is what I had to deal with after week 4 of the regular season, I hope I haven't ruined the rest of the season for anyone but now we do know what to look for.
and what to expect....

thanx for the help L2K....

GAME.

No problem at all Game. I'll keep this updated until the end of the regular season. Thank you for the information inside the numbers.

 

[Michelangelo]

Excellent stuff, GAME. I've always had a lot of respect for the work you do.

 

[Loves2kickass]

@THEGAME9000 you stated its easy to see San Francisco falling by the wayside but if they finish the season at +20 pts or more don't they still qualify for a SB appearance?

 

[THEGAME9000]

@THEGAME9000 you stated its easy to see San Francisco falling by the wayside but if they finish the season at +20 pts or more don't they still qualify for a SB appearance?

yep, no getting around it, I would also love to say Cincinnati goes all the way as I believe they are the best team in football by far but I have to dance with the chick I brought.
with that being said, it wouldn't shock me to see them run the table, I think burrow is just that good.

 

[THEGAME9000]

No problem at all Game. I'll keep this updated until the end of the regular season. Thank you for the information inside the numbers.

I appreciate what you do for us.

thanx

GAME.

 

[Loves2kickass]

yep, no getting around it, I would also love to say Cincinnati goes all the way as I believe they are the best team in football by far but I have to dance with the chick I brought.
with that being said, it wouldn't shock me to see them run the table, I think burrow is just that good.

Yes Cincinnati looks darn good. They are a 6/6 Fast Start team but they're also a possible negative 20 Point system team with being only a +3 as of today.

 

[Loves2kickass]

now weighing in the final #'s when the last reg season games are over, the team with the lower numerical value has went 12-5 ats in last 17 s 05

@THEGAME9000 is this will all the playoff games?

 

[THEGAME9000]

nope, only SB.

 

[Loves2kickass]

@THEGAME9000 it looks so far if Philly or Buffalo can get to +20 points as 6/6 fast start teams they could be a SB winner. The 20 point system to get there and the fast start system to win it. Also San Francisco has a real shot at 20 points but as a 5/6 fast start team it would be just too get there unless a 4/6 or lower team snuck in with them

Might be tough for Philly if they clinch early and they don't play starters last few games of season. Looking good for the Bills if they can finish strong last 3 games.

 

[truguru]

Go game go

 

[THEGAME9000]

@THEGAME9000 it looks so far if Philly or Buffalo can get to +20 points as 6/6 fast start teams they could be a SB winner. The 20 point system to get there and the fast start system to win it. Also San Francisco has a real shot at 20 points but as a 5/6 fast start team it would be just too get there unless a 4/6 or lower team snuck in with them

Might be tough for Philly if they clinch early and they don't play starters last few games of season. Looking good for the Bills if they can finish strong last 3 games.

It's cool how things work once you take a good look at it.
a certain number of variables have the ability to line up in a specific way determining a prescribed outcome.
you have just entered "the twilight zone"?️‍?️
gotta love it.

GAME.

 

[brendanjack]

Good read

 

[cigar]

Oh that tricky 2011 Giants team. Look L2k this guy has Seattle a tick below the Chefs too . My numbers were almost 4 weeks ago when you had a good laugh. Let's see if SDS pegs them. Projecting sb participants at week 5 is the way. The media won't put out good power numbers. They'll get laughed at. They wait for the red board.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Good read

Very interesting for sure.

 

[cigar]

Very interesting for sure.

It had NYG and Green Bay for both Sunday and Monday nighters.