Fantasy Baseball News 2018

Search
Status
Not open for further replies.

hacheman@therx.com
Staff member
Joined
Jan 2, 2002
Messages
139,168
Tokens
Which September call-ups made the biggest impression?

Tommy Rancel
ESPN PLUS


Unlike in years past, in 2018, the September call-up has been more about role players than impact stars. There was plenty of potential with
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
and
Eloy Jimenez
, but those teams opted to play conservative when it came to service-time accrual. Alas, there is no
Corey Seager
type carrying his veteran team to the playoffs and yours to the finish line.


Instead, we have a mix of starting pitchers trying to be relievers for contenders or positioning themselves for a rotation spot on teams well out of it. We have a pair of promising backstops -- for different reasons -- and a few outfielders who could be big-time players in 2018. Some of the names below can help in a pinch right now, but most will have more opportunity to offer assistance next season.

In no particular order, here we go...

<offer style="box-sizing: border-box;"></offer>Kyle Wright, P Atlanta BravesThe fifth overall pick in 2017, Wright was called up to the big leagues after a strong season across two levels. He struck out 28 batters in 28 2/3 innings after being promoted to Triple-A, but he has struggled as a reliever at the highest level. Typically in control, he has walked six batters in five innings. You can keep him off the radar for the rest of 2018, but he will be a starter once again in 2019 and do so at the big league level.

Touki Toussaint, P Atlanta BravesToussaint has started two of his three appearances since being recalled, but like Wright, he has lost sight of the strike zone. He walked five batters in less than five innings in his last start. In his lone relief appearance, he faced nine batters, walking four, while collecting just three outs. It is a tough situation for young starters to switch roles late in the year. Toussaint will be in the running for a rotation spot sometime next season.

Nick Ciuffo, C Tampa Bay RaysThe former first-round pick was a surprise call-up after fellow catcher Adam Moore had passport issues early in the month. Ciuffo started the season on a 50-game suspension but ends it in the running to be the Rays' primary catcher. He is an above-average defender with decent pop from the left side. The Rays will likely let him go to battle with Michael Perez next spring, with the winner taking the lion's share of time behind the plate.

Alex Verdugo, OF Los Angeles DodgersVerdugo was called to Los Angeles for a third time this season. He has appeared in 13 games but only collected 24 plate appearances. The main outfielders for the Dodgers are all under contract next season, meaning something is going to have to change for him to get significant work next season. That could mean the Dodgers moving a veteran or moving Verdugo for a bigger piece of the puzzle.

Victor Robles, OF Washington NationalsAfter missing most of the first half of the season due to injury, Robles is back in Washington, where he is receiving a fair amount of playing time down the stretch. With the potential departure of Bryce Harper, the Nationals could be counting heavily on Robles and Juan Soto next season. Robles is a good hitter, with a feel for the strike zone and top-shelf speed. One of the top-10 prospects in baseball, he should play even more over the next 10 days and further position himself for a full-time gig in 2019.

Erick Fedde, P Washington NationalsFedde missed some time this summer with shoulder stiffness. He is back now and starting games for the Nationals, and will go into 2019 competing for a permanent spot. He has 22 strikeouts in 15 innings this month, while limiting opposing batters to a .154 average. Leading with a mid-90s sinker, he has posted a 63 percent groundball rate. The sinker along with cutter, slider and offspeed give him a well-rounded mix. He is a talented arm with an opportunity to carve a place on a team in transition.

Francisco Mejia, C San Diego PadresIn his first start, Mejia blasted two home runs. He added a grand slam earlier this week. Playing as part of a time share with Austin Hedges, Mejia will receive a handful more starts for the rest of the year before pushing the incumbent in the spring. Mejia is a top-of-the-order type of hitter who will carry catcher eligibility. He is definitely one you want to remember going into 2019 and could help in a pinch if you're desperate right now.

Justus Sheffield, P New York YankeesSheffield was a late call-up as his Triple-A club advanced in the playoffs. A candidate for a rotation spot next season, he will spend the next few weeks as a reliever with the Yankees, a role they have been preparing him for in the minors. As a starter, he works in the 92-95 area, but as a reliever, I would expect him to stay on the higher side with potentially more as he empties the tank. He does not have much value right now, but I expect him to be a key figure for 2019.

Sandy Alcantara, P Miami MarlinsSpeaking of key figures for 2019, Alcantara might be the Marlins' best starter heading into next season. Armed with an elite fastball, he posted back-to-back seven-inning gems to start the month before losing control his last time out. With a big fastball and long levers, that will happen from time to time. The Marlins may not be very competitive next year, but Alcantara is in a great spot as far as talent and opportunity. Miami closes out with the Reds, Nationals and Mets. He is a streaming option if you need one.

Willie Calhoun, OF/DH Texas RangersCalhoun is finally getting some run with the Rangers. He belted a home run on Sunday and will need to continue to show power if he is going to hit himself into the lineup come 2019. He is limited to left field or designated hitter, with little speed. The good news is, for fantasy purposes, the defense does not matter, and the speed can be made up elsewhere. It only works if he hits around .280 and approaches 30 home runs. He topped those numbers in 2017, but only the average followed into 2018. The power is the key to relevance.<strike></strike>
<strike></strike>
 

hacheman@therx.com
Staff member
Joined
Jan 2, 2002
Messages
139,168
Tokens
Karablog: Who are the top 10 starting pitchers to draft in 2019?


Eric Karabell
ESPN PLUS

I find it somewhat fascinating that Tampa Bay Rays left-hander Blake Snell and New York Mets right-hander Jacob deGrom rank Nos. 3 and 4 on the ESPN full-season Player Rater for statistical value.

Make no mistake, these are my two picks for the Cy Young Awards in their respective leagues, as Snell became the second Rays player ever to win 20 games, and deGrom has been the signature pitcher this season for run prevention, but also for lack of run support. He has a mere eight wins, even though it is not fair and yes, wins are a ridiculous category and tell us so little. Still, fantasy managers have received similar value for each!
<offer style="box-sizing: border-box;"></offer>
Snell gets my vote for overall fantasy pitcher MVP honors this season because he was not among the top 65 starting pitchers chosen in ESPN average live drafts, an almost incomprehensible value, while deGrom was a fourth-rounder and No. 8 among pitchers overall. In that way, deGrom has performed large as was expected. Snell's place in ADP comes right after Marco Estrada, Jordan Montgomery and Matt Harvey, which is embarrassing. Arizona Diamondbackslefty Patrick Corbin, St. Louis Cardinals right-hander Miles Mikolas and Atlanta Braves right-hander Mike Foltynewicz are other fantastic values, but not quite like Snell.

Fantasy managers seem to know which pitchers to choose early in drafts and in an age in which fewer and fewer starters make it to 200 innings, just to pick a number people care about, it does tend to make the guaranteed stars more valuable. After all, for years -- forever, really -- I would not think of including a starting pitcher among my first-round picks. Would I really select Max Scherzerover a top-10 hitter in 2019 drafts? Hard to say for sure but Scherzer might end up as fantasy's top overall player, as he trails Boston Red Sox outfielder Mookie Betts by just a bit on the Rater, and Scherzer has dominated for six years running. Yes, I think I would choose him fifth or sixth overall now.
Snell made obvious improvement as last season progressed, but still, his overall ERA was 4.04 and he won five games. That is it. Even this season Snell is hardly the most efficient pitcher out there, averaging short of six innings per outing. He is 33rd in innings pitched, so one could say his 20 wins are certainly fortunate and hardly a harbinger of more. In truth, he and deGrom could switch win totals next season, so never draft or rank pitchers based on that category. I prefer quality starts though it is also a flawed stat as well. Still, Scherzer and deGrom have the most of them with 26. Snell has the same number of QS as James Shields and Mike Leake.
The top tier of starting pitchers next season, at least for me, includes Scherzer at the top, along with Boston Red Sox lefty Chris Sale and Cleveland Indians right-hander Corey Kluber. To earn a place in that tier one must show not only amazing and consistent performance, but stay healthy year after year and pile on the strikeouts. Yes, Sale missed time this season, and might not qualify for the ERA title, so it might seem unfair to keep him in that tier while Los Angeles Dodgers lefty Clayton Kershaw leaves it, but Kershaw will end 2018 having not started more than 27 times in four of five seasons. The numbers are awesome when he does pitch, but let us say he leads that second tier for me.

Who else makes my early top 10 for starting pitchers? Well, after Scherzer, Sale, Kluber and Kershaw, I will say it is deGrom, Justin Verlander, Aaron Nola, Snell, Gerrit Cole and Noah Syndergaard, edging out Stephen Strasburg, Madison Bumgarner, Zack Greinke, Carlos Carrasco, Trevor Bauer and I guess Luis Severino, who scares me but deserves top-20 placement. Nola edges Snell because of the innings. They are a big deal. If Snell falls to 12 wins it would not surprise anyone, just like if deGrom does the same. Do not draft for wins, though we certainly thank Snell for his amazing season.

Wednesday recap

Box scores

Highlights:

Luke Voit, 1B, New York Yankees: 4-for-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI, 4 R
Tommy Pham, OF, Tampa Bay Rays: 3-for-5, 2 HR, 2 RBI
Freddie Freeman, 1B, Atlanta Braves: 3-for-3, HR, 3 RBI, SB
Robbie Ray, SP, Arizona Diamondbacks: 6 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 4 BB, 8 K
Walker Buehler, SP, Los Angeles Dodgers: 6 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 12 K
Lowlights:
Kris Bryant, 3B, Chicago Cubs: 0-for-4, 4 K
Giancarlo Stanton, OF, New York Yankees: 0-for-5, 3 K
Cole Hamels, SP, Chicago Cubs: 6 IP, 9 H, 7 ER, 0 BB, 4 K
Jack Flaherty, SP, St. Louis Cardinals: 4 2/3 IP, 5 H, 5 ER, 2 BB, 6 K
David Price, SP, Boston Red Sox: 5 1/3 IP, 5 H, 4 ER, 4 BB, 2 K

Recent takeaways:
Walker Buehler (24 years, 53 days old) is the youngest Dodgers pitcher with a 10-strikeout game since Clayton Kershaw did so on September 4, 2011 at age 23 years, 169 days old. pic.twitter.com/dCsBRMVYq1
- ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) September 20, 2018


• Buehler should finish second to Flaherty in strikeouts by a rookie, though he has a better ERA and WHIP than the Cardinals right-hander. Still, this should restore faith in rookie hurlers for fantasy managers, even though quite a few this season either could not stay healthy or did not get a chance, like Mike Soroka, Brent Honeywell, Michael Kopech, Forrest Whitley and Alex Reyes. We saw surprising performances this season from Jaime Barria, Dereck Rodriguezand Freddy Peralta, along with relievers Seranthony Dominguez, Trevor Hildenberger and Jordan Hicks. Pitchers get hurt, first-year options or not. Buehler and Flaherty look like top-20 starters for next season and beyond.
• Arizona's Ray has figured things out in his interesting season, as he has not permitted more than two runs in an outing in more than a month. In addition, Ray has not permitted more than two hits in a start for four consecutive. Walks remain a problem but this fellow, with major K potential, needs to be a top-20 starter in 2019 rankings as well.
• Dodgers outfielder Yasiel Puig started Wednesday's game on the bench, because the opposing starter was left-handed and Puig, for some reason, no longer hits lefties well. Still, he entered late and clubbed the game-winning home run. Puig is the No. 12 outfielder on the Player Rater for the past month, and doing so in a quasi-platoon role. If he could only get back to hammering lefties there could still be a mammoth 35-homer season in him.
Kansas City Royals second baseman Adalberto Mondesi had his fourth game with a home run and a stolen base in this truncated season. Mondesi has hit 10 blasts and stolen 26 bases in 65 games. He gets discussed in this space and on the Fantasy Focus Baseball podcast quite a bit, but perhaps just calling Mondesi a top-100 option for next year is selling him way short.

Health report:

Houston Astros manager A.J. Hinch acknowledged that shortstop Carlos Correa is far from 100 percent due to a lingering back injury. It shows in the numbers as Correa is hitting .174 since the All-Star break with one home run and a .480 OPS. Yuck. Fantasy managers have all the info they need to sit him the final week of the season, but this should not alter his 2019 projections.
• The Colorado Rockies hope to have shortstop Trevor Story, the No. 14 option on the Player Rater, back this weekend from his elbow woes. Earlier in the week it was speculated that Story had a serious UCL injury, which could mean Tommy John surgery and much missed time. Now the Rockies think he plays this weekend. Story is good for baseball so let us hope he can play.

Closing time:
Pittsburgh Pirates lefty Felipe Vazquez saved his 12th game since the All-Star break on Wednesday, and despite a summer hiccup in which many thought his valuable elbow had been compromised, he is back among the top 10 relievers on the Rater. Vazquez does not boast the flashy numbers from a season ago in ERA and WHIP, but his FIP is the same and the K rate is up.
Baltimore Orioles right-hander Mychal Givens saved his eighth game Wednesday, and seventh since the break. It is not a lot of saves but this is a team with 108 losses with 10 games to go. Givens can save another game or two if you need.

W2W4:

Kevin Gausman has big numbers for the Braves since the trade, and he can put away the NL East with a win against the Phillies on Thursday. Gausman has been so inconsistent over the years, so should we unilaterally trust these numbers in Atlanta and say he is a top-20 option? I cannot do it yet and I do not know what more it would take. He might have to do this all of 2019 to convince me.

• Friday night features the Sale-Bauer matchup in which neither of them is likely to pitch long enough to earn a win or help a fantasy manager much. Check it out on ESPN2. Bauer makes his return after a line drive caused a leg fracture last month. He is expected to pitch only two innings, then cede to rookie Shane Bieber. Most would simply sit Bieber because he is not starting, and against the Red Sox I would, but there is a Tampa Bay reliever/starter with 15 wins (Ryan Yarbrough), so we cannot dismiss them.

• The Red Sox and Indians meet on ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball at 7 p.m. ET, with starting pitchers you do not want in fantasy. If you need a Sunday win in your head-to-head playoffs, I like Brad Keller and Wade Miley among the available set. Miley has a 2.08 ERA in 14 starts. I do not know how he has done this, nor would expect it to continue in 2019, but yes, rely on him on Sunday.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Forum statistics

Threads
1,109,344
Messages
13,459,226
Members
99,469
Latest member
herbalinfusion
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com