Famous “Ace's System Plays” for Betting the NFL

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this year like all the other years...I will not hold back....$75k bankroll...3 spots in hilton and over 40 hours of stats,watching games,reading, living football!! with my two "tool" in hand "Myline and 99 system" how could I not be better than 70% of the ones that have spots in the hilton...all I have to do is beat the other 30%...last year there was 328...so that means beating 97 players...so I would give odds that one of my 3 spots gets into the money top 20...

ACE...wish you the best of luck this year in the contest and the 99 system plays! Was following last year and cant wait for this year. I hope all the bashers or guys who cant appreciate things in life go away soon or change their minds. But I guess they will always be there no matter what!

You and QOH have just been great, and I do really appreciate all the sharing you do by helping guys like myself add extra cash to the bankrolls.

Wish I can be in Vegas that August day, but will be there Sept 3-6th.

BOL this year and cant wait!

Shawn
 

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Fred,
Hold off on bragging?? WTF....it's been like that over 2 or 3 years, he has never lost an entire leg. All documented!

i must be missing something sherriff, i understood that he has never lost 7 in a row?
 

LADY LUCK
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Been away for awhile on a project and family business, but back posting here again. Thanks for all the emails.

Just to let you know, I am probably the biggest analyzer of systems for sports betting out there, and one of the biggest critics. I like to take the engine apart, so to speak, and see if the system is based upon real technical advantages or hype. For the most part, systems put out by most marketing 'cappers are hype.

And while Ace and Doc's markets the system with similar "hype", the bottom line is Dizzy Dean's great line: "It ain't bragging if you can do it." And the proof is in the pudding: the 99 system provides the baseline for Ace, and he does the rest by making tweaks according to late-breaking events that may impact any of the intricate calculations. So does the system work? I defer that answer to Ace and QOH, because A) I don't know the actual calculations that make up the system, and B) I don't know the tweaks that Ace does to add value to the system result.

I've dealt with assessing worth of intellectual properties with regard to proposals and other variable-related sales factors, mostly for raw computer programs and other digital documents. Certainly, a confidential sport handicapping system, proven to be profitable, would fall into this category. If I had to put a magnitude on the system (based upon proven track record, promotional attributes, and confidential security measures, i.e. few people know about it), I'd speculate it's worth well over 6 figures, if it can hit over 60% this season (without tweaking). However, that's based upon as reasoned a method as I can assess for such a potential business decision, certainly nothing I'd sign an affidavit for at this time. If I were to assess ANY system that I've analyzed in the past few years? The 4 bits I have in my pocket is worth 50 cents more than what I'd assess them for, and I WOULD sign an affidavit to THAT.

As someone who is a relatively recent poster but long-time lurker (since around the Celtic massacre of the Lakers in '08), I can not just vouch for Ace's picks, nor his promotion of his system. To be blunt, the 99 is the ONLY system that works as advertised (promoted). So I don't really understand what the commotion 99steak really wants to pursue. Hell, these threads PROVE his record, which means more than a tout board. His demeanor soars above those in similar shoes as well.

If one used a progressive bankroll unit betting method that ties the unit bet to the CURRENT bankroll amount and not a static amount to play the picks gerated by Ace/99, the posted winnings would have been trebled (tripled). A 69% win rate shoots through the ROOF on a progressive bankroll unit bet sequence. A 60% produces a significant winning result as well. I'm still waiting for an ok by the site mods to post a thread with my newest betting excel sheets, as I'd like discussion involved with the sheets, but you can see an early prototype of a simulated betting sequence HERE.


very nice post Sportsbet Tracker.

The last paragraph on tripling is accurate . somewhere in all of that you also said that, " if it can hit over 60% this season , the value is worth well over 6 figures."
I would say that," If it hits in excess of 60% 5 straight seasons in a row, then the value is PRICELESS.

The only thing for sale at that point would be the picks themselves. I suggest save your money Honey!!!


You mentioned "TWEAKS".

I want to comment on that because I feel that your post was very intriguing and I dont want any followers getting the wrong Idea.
I will tell you this from the bottom of my heart.....the only TWEAKING is in the value of each individual pick itself. The intricate calculations are rock solid. They will never change. If you were to follow the system from 2009 results for the next 5 years, you will be getting the exact same formulas for each and every game period. A key to you and all of the other followers of the 99 System would be to evaluate the value of each 99S play. Each pick is either black or white. There is no gray areas. The only way to not be TRUE to the 99 system would be for us to withhold a particular game that was 99S selected. Why would we do that ? simple....because maybe ACE did not like the play for other reasons and decided to not post it to protect the player from a potential loss. That is BS and that does not happen. Yes it did happen 1 time in 2009 and guess what ? that game went on to win and cover by 21 points. ACE made this very clear the very next day and said it would never happen again. It only happened 1 time and that was within the first 5 weeks of the season. I am not saying anything here that has not already been posted ....I am just making things more clear. The record of 29-12 is 100% acurate except for 1 more win. I can even tell you another little story about being TRUE to the system.

I cant remember which week it was, but I believe that it was San Fransisco. The 99 system picked a game that we all thought , "HELL NO ". ACE himself did not even like the play !!! He went onto post/document that play for the week and made it clear that it was a 99S play and he did not play it as a Hilton pick. He laid $300 on it ( which is a very low ACE ACE action play) "AS SUPPORT OF THE 99 SYSTEM". guess what happened ?


Ill tell you another story , week 1 2009. We had been working on this thing for several months and the plays were checked , checked again, checked again and again. There were 3 plays. the system went 3-0.

Week 2 2009 , 3 more plays and 3 more wins ....6-0-0.

week 3 2009 , 2 more plays and 2 more wins ....8-0-0.

week 4 2009 , 3 more plays and 2 more wins .....10-1-0.

By the end of the season there was only 3 weeks that it was under 50%.


Lets just watch and see what it has in store for us in 2010.
 

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Thanks, QOH. As you know the system, I appreciate that you understand my normally skeptic analysis of systems in general. Oddsmakers are generally sharp cookies, but even they can't approach natural laws (physics) in sustainability of keeping the vig honest on both sides of the coin.

By the way, I'm creating a bet tracking Excel sheet specifically for the Ninety-9 system to allow others to maximize their leverage when they use your system. Basically, they plug in their initial bankroll and their desired bet percentage. The app will automatically calculate all bets based upon the current bankroll, and I'm even creating a automated bet entry function which will make it super easy to use. For instance, if a handicapper pick says "Chicago +4.5" in your email or on a posting, and you copy it and paste it into the function, the system will automatically know you are selecting the Bears, and from the date of your paste, the actual event including opponent. Just paste, confirm, and click, and bet the amount that comes up with your favorite bookmaker(s) (remember, this is used for "informational, entertainment purposes only :103631605). If you are on the Internet, clicking a Results button will obtain the result of the game and automatically grade existing bets in your tracker. Once I make this app air tight, I'll release it.

NOTE: This software has absolutely nothing to do with the actual Ninety-9 system itself; it is simply a bet tracker based upon my other trackers. I'm simply making it real easy to use for the Ninety-9 bettors.

By the way, does the Ninety-9 account for preseason games? Ideally, I'd like to release it at least 7 days, but no more than 15 days, before the first cycle. I can show Ace / QOH for their permission before it's fully released.
 

EX BOOKIE
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SportsBet Tracker;8003134 By the way said:
does not work with Preseason....what you got is away to track bets...right....I'm big on good record keeping...you have my e-mail...think you show it to me once
 

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ace:

what place did you come in for the hilton contest the year before last and what was your final record. i know you placed third last year and went 52-31-?
 

EX BOOKIE
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ace:

what place did you come in for the hilton contest the year before last and what was your final record. i know you placed third last year and went 52-31-?

1.5 points from 1st place came in 3rd place with a record of 52-31-2....only one week with a 2-3 record and 2 5-0 week help a lot<><>
 

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Hey guys, I am getting the 99 picks from ACE!! Since they do so well over the past few years, do you think it is safe to go 5% of bankroll on each selection??? Thanks for your help!!
 

EX BOOKIE
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Hey guys, I am getting the 99 picks from ACE!! Since they do so well over the past few years, do you think it is safe to go 5% of bankroll on each selection??? Thanks for your help!!

most would say never bet more than 2% of your bankroll on any pick.....we know its doing 70% over the last two year...so its your money and past record tells you it may be a good move
 

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At 69%, I would bet 1.6% of the current bankroll per unit. On a 4-unit play, that comes to 6.4% of your current bankroll.

At 60%, I'd drop down to 1.2%; possibly 1.3% per unit. (4-unit play: 4.8% - 5.2%)

In addition, for simultaneous events, make sure that no more than 20% of your entire bankroll is in play.

These are based upon, but not derived from, the Kelly Criterion for maximizing your bets for favorable conditions while minimizing your risks.
 

EX BOOKIE
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At 69%, I would bet 1.6% of the current bankroll per unit. On a 4-unit play, that comes to 6.4% of your current bankroll.

At 60%, I'd drop down to 1.2%; possibly 1.3% per unit. (4-unit play: 4.8% - 5.2%)

In addition, for simultaneous events, make sure that no more than 20% of your entire bankroll is in play.

These are based upon, but not derived from, the Kelly Criterion for maximizing your bets for favorable conditions while minimizing your risks.

this link was a great read Kelly Criterion

so it you got a bankroll of $2000 and I make a pick on a game for 2 units...you should make a play of 3.2% or $64.00!
if I did this base on my $75k bankroll ...the play should be $2400...but my unit=$1000....so I would have bet only $2000

so I feel its in line to bet this way

make sure you read that link
 

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when do u usually post ur 99 plays,,on fri, sat or sun??? and can we pay to get them sooner, and what sports book line do u use,,if u can say,,and the 99 system starts to kick in fully after what week??
 

EX BOOKIE
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when do u usually post ur 99 plays,,on fri, sat or sun??? and can we pay to get them sooner, and what sports book line do u use,,if u can say,,and the 99 system starts to kick in fully after what week??

QOH will posted them one hour before game time...for keeping track of the record....dont kick in until week 3 100%
it does stART WEEK ONE..BASE ON LAST YEAR STATS AND WHAT HAPPEN IN PERSEASON ...you can PM me if you want
to know more
 

OpW

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hey whats up Ace... can you tell me what has been the record for the system the last seasons and if youre gonna post the plays of the system in this season?
 

EX BOOKIE
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hey whats up Ace... can you tell me what has been the record for the system the last seasons and if youre gonna post the plays of the system in this season?

2008-09 23-4
2009-10 28-12-1
or docsports because I did not say it was a 99 system play...last year record there was 27-13

QOH will posted them 1 hour before the 1st game on sunday (so one will see the record this year)
 

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