Fading the Public System...

[crazyivan24]

Monday, Nov 10...
Instead of handicapping any games, I'm going to just start a season long NBA thread where I will attempt to fade the public (when the public favours one particular SIDE). I will fade any team which the public backs - anything over 60% on one side is the FADE play...

Monday's Games:

New York @ Cleveland
Lakers @ Memphis
Denver @ Chicago
Utah @ San Antonio
Phoenix @ Golden State

 

[crazyivan24]

NBA Fading Record: 0-0-0 (N/A)
*Based on 1 Unit wagers*

Monday's Games:

New York (61%) @ Cleveland -2 (39%)
Lakers -7.5 (72%) @ Memphis (28%)
Denver @ Chicago *No Line*
Utah @ San Antonio *No Line*
Phoenix -2 (53%) @ Golden State (47%)

Plays thus far
Hence the over 60% fades are:

Cleveland Cavaliers -2 (-105)

Memphis Grizzlies +8 (-115)


I personally wagered to win $200 on each... Will post more picks later if possible...

 

[PITBULL]

Where are you getting these %'s?

 

[sammythesage]

not a bad idea for once

 

[crazyivan24]

Denver (48%) @ Chicago -4 (52%)
However for the total it is:
Over 187.5 (34%) vs Under 187.5 (66%)

Phoenix -2 (53%) @ Golden State (47%)
Over 184 (62%) vs Under 184 (38%)

Hence, two more "Fade the Public Experiment Plays"

Denver Nuggets/Chicago Bulls Over 187 -105

Phoenix Suns/Golden State Warriors Under 184 -104



*I will count it as Risk/Win 100 (1 unit) each...however I'm personally wagering $200 on both of these myself*

 

[crazyivan24]

Unbelievable start so far....Cavaliers won big...and Grizzlies won SU...Bulls game looks like it will go over....and the suns/warriors just started pending

 

[arth]

den/chi over too

where can i find this numbers (public plays %) ?

GL
arth

 

[crazyivan24]

Monday Nov 10th Recap:
Cleveland Cavaliers -2 (-105) WIN
Memphis Grizzlies +8 (-115) WIN
Denver Nuggets/Chicago Bulls Over 187 -105 WIN
Phoenix Suns/Golden State Warriors Under 184 -104 Lost


NBA Fading Season Record: 3-1-0 (+196) or +1.96 UNITS
NBA Sides Fades: 2-0 (+200)
NBA Totals Fades: 1-1 (-4)
*All Wagers are to win 100 (1 Unit) on Favorites and risk 100 (1 Unit) on Underdogs*



*Will Post tommorrow's plays at noon*

 

[crazyivan24]

NBA Fading Season Record: 3-1-0 (+196) or +1.96 UNITS
NBA Sides Fades: 2-0 (+200)
NBA Totals Fades: 1-1 (-4)
*All Wagers are to win 100 (1 Unit) on Favorites and risk 100 (1 Unit) on Underdogs*

I will personally wager to win $200 on all these myself...up $392 fading the public...lets see if it continues to roll...

Tuesday, Nov 11...
Philadelphia -2.5 (56%) vs. Washington (44%)
Boston (55%) vs. Indiana -6 (45%)
Seattle (52%) vs. Minnesota -6.5 (48%)
New Orleans (55%) vs. Dallas -7 (45%)
Miami (36%) vs. Houston -9.5 (64%)
Toronto (45%) vs. Portland -6 (55%)
Detroit (62%) vs. Sacramento -7 (38%)
Atlanta (39%) vs. LA Clippers pk (61%)

Subsequently, we will have to fade the public on the Houston, Detroit and LA Clippers Game.... $200 to win on each myself (will count it as 1 unit though for record purposes)

Miami Heat +10.5 (-110)
Sacramento Kings -6 (+101)
Atlanta Hawks pk (-105)

Will Post Public percentage on Totals later...if there are any 'fades' over 60%

 

[vantuz]

try it with %70...
will be sure almost..

 

[fivedoorsdown]

lol. crazy you should try your hockey out.
if you get a real go read you can go for the -1 1/2 bonus play been on fire covering 5 out 6 so far

 

[Antonioli]

define "public"

 

[theTownDrunk]

ivan
where do you get these stats
if they are from wagerline
they are useless!

we should just fade you!

 

[webbah]

towndrunk.......that's what he's saying probably - wagerline's consensus is a joke so he's checking on fading it - assuming that's where he's getting his numbers.

JW

 

[crazyivan24]

Nope - they are not from wagerline.

 

[arth]

ivan's % are not wagerline's numbers...

Ivan - please tell us where we can find this numbers (or please send me the url ? arth@tenbit.pl )

GL
arth

 

[crazyivan24]

Can't disclose vital information...you'll just have to keep checking the thread and the record....

Give it time and lets test this experiment out fellas

 

[Antonioli]

Tonight public money are on Portland, LA Clippers and Minnesota.

Sac vs Det and Hou vs Miami are pretty evened. If you are making money, then you should stick with your figures. But whether they are really public...

 

[bigplaytrends]

Great idea Crazy...Im down with the expeirament and will be checking often...Stat fox will say who the public is favoring according to line movement

 

[crazyivan24]

ddint go well today 0-2-1