In the long run, you would be much better off doing just the opposite.
Reason being is that every Tom, Dick, and Harry knows they are rotten and will bet against them laying -10 points or more............a surefire way to get to the poor house faster.
NEVER NEVER lay over -10 in the NFL!
Reason being is that every Tom, Dick, and Harry knows they are rotten and will bet against them laying -10 points or more............a surefire way to get to the poor house faster.
NEVER NEVER lay over -10 in the NFL!
If you blindly bet home dogs of 7.5 or more, you will do well. If you use power rankings, and play only half of those home dogs selectively, you can hit 60% (although you might only have 7 or 8 plays in a year).
As far as laying more than 3, that is almost assuredly a way to lose money. I would expect a lot of small favorites to be profitable this year (like last).
As far as laying more than 3, that is almost assuredly a way to lose money. I would expect a lot of small favorites to be profitable this year (like last).
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Journeyman:
Fish you are saying the bottom of the barrel teams cover more often than not?
I have researched this (before you answer...) you think AZ has a winning ATS say the past 8 yrs? <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
JMAN- EVERY game represents a different betting oppurtunity.
To make this very easy for you and everybody to understand, a crummy team would be a team getting +10 or more in a particular game.
Having said that, betting any NFL team getting +10 or more points will gain you an INSTANT advantage, as more times than not, they will cover the spread as has been proven through history.
Fish you are saying the bottom of the barrel teams cover more often than not?
I have researched this (before you answer...) you think AZ has a winning ATS say the past 8 yrs? <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
JMAN- EVERY game represents a different betting oppurtunity.
To make this very easy for you and everybody to understand, a crummy team would be a team getting +10 or more in a particular game.
Having said that, betting any NFL team getting +10 or more points will gain you an INSTANT advantage, as more times than not, they will cover the spread as has been proven through history.
Journey-
YOu miss the point.
Yeah..teams with 4-12 records are almost always gonna have losing ats records. But the point here is that, teams YOU THINK will have 4-12 records...will likely NOT and will likely have winning ATS records.
Obviously, if we KNEW a team would be bad, you would stay away...but the money is made betting on teams you EXPECT to do bad.
Iron.
YOu miss the point.
Yeah..teams with 4-12 records are almost always gonna have losing ats records. But the point here is that, teams YOU THINK will have 4-12 records...will likely NOT and will likely have winning ATS records.
Obviously, if we KNEW a team would be bad, you would stay away...but the money is made betting on teams you EXPECT to do bad.
Iron.
