Fading the come from ahead loser

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Okie State -17

Every year it seems like Iowa State comes close to defeating a good team at home, but comes up just a bit short in the end. Last week it happened once again as the Cyclones blew a 14 point 4th quarter lead when Baylor kicked a field goal as time expired losing 42-45 in Aimes. First year coach Matt Campbell must find a way to pick his team up off the turf after that disappointing defeat and head down to Stillwater to face the Cowboys from Oklahoma State. This will not be an easy task as the Cyclones are on a 12 game road losing streak having been outscored 83-23 on road trips to Iowa and TCU already this season. Not helping matters is that Iowa State is last among Power-5 teams when it comes to stopping the run giving up 261 ypg on 5.44 ypa. The Cowboys have to be feeling pretty good after defeating Big-12 foe Texas at home last week and with a bye week looming on deck shouldn't be distracted by any future opponents on Saturday. Mike Gundy is this role is an impressive 36-16 ATS (69%) as a home fav since 2006 while covering the last 4 in a row at home against the cyclones. Look for that trend to continue this week, good luck!
 

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yeah it's too bad the dbase doesn't track margin by quarter for ncaaf like it does for nfl. got a lot of interesting stuff with nfl through the quarter margins

fwiw Okie St been very good for 30 years at home before a bye

team = OKST and week + 2 = n:week and H and season > 1985
SU:24-7-0 (18.97, 77.4%)Teaser Records
ATS:21-7-0 (8.70, 75.0%) avg line: -9.3+6: 25-3-0 (89.3%)-6: 16-12-0 (57.1%)+10: 27-1-0 (96.4%)-10: 11-16-1 (40.7%)
O/U:6-2-0 (7.06, 75.0%) avg total: 66.1+6: 4-4-0 (50.0%)-6: 7-1-0 (87.5%)+10: 4-4-0 (50.0%)-10: 7-1-0 (87.5%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team44.7241.329.919.2312.71.114.313.313.39.538.5
Opp37.0133.135.520.5213.82.14.83.35.57.719.5
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Oct 08, 2016Saturday62016OKSTIWSThome-17.064.0



team = OKST and week + 2 = n:week and H and season > 1985 and line < -3
SU:16-0-0 (31.00, 100.0%)Teaser Records
ATS:13-3-0 (9.28, 81.2%) avg line: -21.7+6: 14-2-0 (87.5%) -6: 10-6-0 (62.5%) +10: 15-1-0 (93.8%) -10: 7-8-1 (46.7%)
O/U:4-1-0 (8.00, 80.0%) avg total: 64.4+6: 2-3-0 (40.0%) -6: 5-0-0 (100.0%) +10: 2-3-0 (40.0%) -10: 5-0-0 (100.0%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team43.1236.431.320.3315.01.316.416.113.77.746.7
Opp38.4139.431.115.9153.02.01.93.35.95.615.7
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Oct 08, 2016Saturday62016OKSTIWSThome-17.064.0



 

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Look under the 'Game Parameters' description RT as it is does look like they have added some new search parameters for NCAAFB including:

margin after the first
margin at the half
margin after the third
 

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cool didn't know they added those...too bad shortcuts don't work on them but stuff like this is useful:

i'll have to compare some of my NFL ones and see if they work in NCAAF

p:margin after the third > 10 and p:L and season > 2012 and p:margin > -7
SU:10-17-0 (-8.67, 37.0%)Teaser Records
ATS:8-17-2 (-4.72, 32.0%) avg line: 3.9+6: 13-14-0 (48.1%)-6: 4-23-0 (14.8%)+10: 18-8-1 (69.2%)-10: 4-23-0 (14.8%)
O/U:10-17-0 (-4.04, 37.0%) avg total: 54.9+6: 6-21-0 (22.2%)-6: 14-13-0 (51.9%)+10: 5-22-0 (18.5%)-10: 15-12-0 (55.6%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team36.7149.533.518.3205.91.74.28.43.84.421.1
Opp39.0164.834.119.7234.21.37.67.77.17.129.8
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Oct 08, 2016Saturday62016ARMYDUKEaway4.549.00
Oct 08, 2016Saturday62016KASTTXThome-7.071.50
Oct 08, 2016Saturday62016IWSTOKSTaway17.064.0


tightener of:
p:margin after the third > 10 and p:L and game type = RS and p:margin > -7
SU:26-53-0 (-6.25, 32.9%)Teaser Records
ATS:29-46-4 (-2.62, 38.7%) avg line: 3.6+6: 46-33-0 (58.2%) -6: 17-62-0 (21.5%) +10: 54-23-2 (70.1%) -10: 16-63-0 (20.3%)
O/U:31-47-0 (-2.80, 39.7%) avg total: 53.3+6: 17-60-1 (22.1%) -6: 44-34-0 (56.4%) +10: 13-65-0 (16.7%) -10: 52-25-1 (67.5%)
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team34.3122.933.019.1223.81.85.17.24.25.522.1
Opp40.9186.729.217.4206.41.67.17.46.77.028.4
DateLinkDayWeekSeasonTeamOppSiteQ1Q2Q3Q4FinalLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Oct 08, 2016Saturday62016ARMYDUKEaway4.549.00
Oct 08, 2016Saturday62016KASTTXThome-7.071.50
Oct 08, 2016Saturday62016IWSTOKSTaway17.064.0



 

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I'm on Duke, but for other reasons and I don't want any part of coach Ray Ban (w/o Mahomes) on the road against Snyder coming off a loss. I think Georgia would be the ultimate come from ahead loser last week considering how that game went down against the Vols. But I don't want to take less than 7 with South Carolina, nor do I want to pay (-120) for it and with the Hurricane Matthew approaching Columbia, I'm taking a wait and see approach there.
 

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What an awful play, Gundy might be losing his touch down there my goodness. Should have stayed away given the RLM and crappy Okie D
 

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