Fading San Diego Padres thread(4/15 to 4/20) 6 games..Overall Record with this type of wagering:(92-55 +25.24u

[gynecologist]

In case you are unfamilar with what I do here:

Basically what I do here is pick a team to bet or fade for a pre-determined amount of games.. No flat betting, unit amounts may and most likely will vary.. Also "NOT" limited to betting MLs, I will sometimes wager on RL and -1's..


PREVIOUS RESULTS:

2007 Season: Dodgers 9-4 +7.02
2007 Season: Giants 12-6 +7.91
2007 Season: Red Sox 4-2 +0.00
2007 Season: Mets 1-1 -0.46

2008 Season: Giants 7-6 +2.00
2008 Season: Red Sox 6-2 +3.65 Units
2008 season: O's: 3-5 -9.07 Units
2008 season: Rays: 6-3 +3.12 Units
2008 season Reds: 14-12 +1.18 Units
2008 season Red Sox :5-2 +3.79 Units
2008 season Mariners: 5-2 +3.43 Units
2008 season Royals: 9-3 +4.72 Units
2008 season Indians: 0-6 -9.49 Units
2008 season Pirates: 9-1 +7.24 Units



2007 Season overall: 26-13 +14.47 Units

2008 season overall: 66-42 +10.77 Units

Overall: 92-55 +25.24 Units

 

[gynecologist]

This time I'm going to fade the San Diego Padres who are currently 6-2 and overacheiving IMO.. With 6 road games versus the Mets and Phillies ahead in their schedule I'm not seeing them winning more than two games..

So my goal here is to finish at least 4-2 by betting against them in every game and to be ahead by the end, that is my goal with this= profit.. If I'm down 0.5 units before the final game I will wager enough to end with the profit, If I'm ahead 0.5 units before the final game I will wager enough to end with the profit..




Here is the Padres schedule for the next six games:

<TABLE class="calBorderBg cal" cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0 width=581 border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top height=80><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>15

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ NYM
4:10 PM
4 San Diego / ESPN
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>16

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ NYM
4:10 PM
4 San Diego
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>17

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ PHI
4:05 PM
4 San Diego
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>18

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ PHI
4:05 PM
4 San Diego / MLBN
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD class=calPageBg colSpan=7>

</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top height=80><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>19

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ PHI
10:35 AM
4 San Diego
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>20

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ PHI
4:05 PM
4 San Diego
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

I have the Padres going 2-4 at best during this stretch.. Hopefully 1-5 or better yet a 6 game losing streak..

 

[MRPOOPS]

This time I'm going to fade the San Diego Padres who are currently 6-2 and overacheiving IMO.. With 6 road games versus the Mets and Phillies ahead in their schedule I'm not seeing them winning more than two games..

So my goal here is to finish at least 4-2 by betting against them in every game and to be ahead by the end, that is my goal with this= profit.. If I'm down 0.5 units before the final game I will wager enough to end with the profit, If I'm ahead 0.5 units before the final game I will wager enough to end with the profit..




Here is the Padres schedule for the next six games:

<TABLE class="calBorderBg cal" cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0 width=581 border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top height=80><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>15

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ NYM
4:10 PM
4 San Diego / ESPN
MLB.TV

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>16

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ NYM
4:10 PM
4 San Diego
MLB.TV

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>17

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ PHI
4:05 PM
4 San Diego
MLB.TV

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>18

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ PHI
4:05 PM
4 San Diego / MLBN
MLB.TV

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD class=calPageBg colSpan=7>

</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top height=80><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>19

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ PHI
10:35 AM
4 San Diego
MLB.TV

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>20

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ PHI
4:05 PM
4 San Diego
MLB.TV

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

I have the Padres going 2-4 at best during this stretch.. Hopefully 1-5 or better yet a 6 game losing streak..

Interesting good luck...

 

[gynecologist]

0.6* Mets -1 (-125)

Its always nice to win the first game..

 

[BoutMyMoney]

good luck gyn...on this as well.. but small unit.. still dont trust mets.. im 0-3 this year playing them

 

[gynecologist]

Yeah I feel ya, Mets are a fuck up.. But the Padres aren't that good and the Mets lineup is too good to keep losing to the Padres I think..

 

[gynecologist]

1-0 +0.60 Units


So far, so good gentleman..

 

[2dollarRazzplayer]

I'll tag along for the ride, did last year during your second Red Sox line. I agree that Diego ain't that pretty. I like momentum plays, and I'll probably starting doing little runs like this myself, I think catching teams hot and cold is really the only good way to make money consistently in bases

 

[gynecologist]

Its great in many ways.. You learn about the team(s), you get a feel for them during the span as well..

GL

 

[BoutMyMoney]

congrats gyn, lets get on a roll. glad i cashed in on this although i was a little weary of the mets.. another .6 tomorrow?

 

[DJax24]

Nice start man...GL with tomorrow, I assume that'll be the best odds you have in this run (Peavy) so would be nice to win it

 

[kingking]

this is very cool. thanks very much for doin this and posting. :toast:

 

[gynecologist]

congrats gyn, lets get on a roll. glad i cashed in on this although i was a little weary of the mets.. another .6 tomorrow?

.6 is a large wager for me this early in the season.. I start off slow and periodically increase unit size throughout the season until about Mid-Late August then I decrease again..

Late May to Late July is the meaty part of the season IMO..

 

[gynecologist]

0.3* Mets -120 for Thursday
Sorry for the small unit investments guys, but the beginning of the year is a lot of educated guessing. Peavy is pitching in this one and he's always hard to bet against..

GL

 

[BoutMyMoney]

whats your unit scale gyn?

 

[gynecologist]

Usually dont play anything above 1 unit anymore.. Unless its football or a futures wager..

1 unit is about 2.5-3% of my bankroll..

 

[BoutMyMoney]

gyn check your private messages

 

[gynecologist]

Just did sir, can't believe the fuckin Mets today what a douche of a team.

 

[gynecologist]

1-1 +0.24 Units

0.4* Phillies -158

 

[SureGuy]

Just did sir, can't believe the fuckin Mets today what a douche of a team.

that was brutal may have been as bad as the pelfrey game

unreal