Fading myself thread

Paddywack · Dec 22, 2008

I am probably the worst capper on this forum, and couldn't pick a winner to save my life. That being the case I am going to fade myself. All plays are the opposite of who I would want.

CBB- Northeastern +1.5 (I like Indiana)
NFL- Green Bay +4 (I like Chicago)

This should be a 2-0 night with these fades.

GimmeDattt · Dec 22, 2008

Paddywack said:
I am probably the worst capper on this forum, and couldn't pick a winner to save my life. That being the case I am going to fade myself. All plays are the opposite of who I would want.

CBB- Northeastern +1.5 (I like Indiana)
NFL- Green Bay +4 (I like Chicago)

This should be a 2-0 night with these fades.

I think you split. Have some confidence in yourself. You were on the right side of that Panthers game. Trust me, I was at the game and the Giants were so deflated at half I thought they would come out and get whipped but the thing that changed the game was the crowd. Not the noise but normally we would boo the hell out of them if they weren't producing but when they came out for the 2nd half we cheered the shit out of them. After the Panthers converted on crucial third downs, we got right back up and cheered. Best crowd I have ever seen at a Giants game. That changed that game in a huge way.

Also confidence=positive. If you get down on yourself you can't win. If you always think your going to win you can win. Trust me, we all have our bad times. Fading yourself is just going to drive you crazy. You may start talking to yourself like the Case.

roadreeler57 · Dec 22, 2008

Paddywack said:
I am probably the worst capper on this forum, and couldn't pick a winner to save my life. That being the case I am going to fade myself. All plays are the opposite of who I would want.

CBB- Northeastern +1.5 (I like Indiana)
NFL- Green Bay +4 (I like Chicago)

This should be a 2-0 night with these fades.

Wrong-Im the worst capper thats why I don't post...GL

douglas · Dec 22, 2008

tailing for spite ! ...........bol to us

ATSFAV · Dec 22, 2008

ive been there before..:sadbb:

homedawg · Dec 22, 2008

have some confidence bro. gotta learn to be a successful capper

Paddywack · Dec 22, 2008

Both of these picks are looking good. Northeastern up 10 at the half and GB is pounding the Bears in the 1st half. I am really on to something here guys. Stay tuned.....

Paddywack · Dec 22, 2008

Adding another fade, San Diego -8.5 second half (I like Boise in the 2nd half)

homedawg · Dec 22, 2008

so do you want to win? or do you want to lose?

homedawg · Dec 22, 2008

wow even fading 2nd half picks!!!

that takes something special

GL....I think??

Paddywack · Dec 22, 2008

homedawg said:
so do you want to win? or do you want to lose?

HD, what I am doing is posting the opposite of the plays I would normally play (fades). I am now playing my fades. I am tired of losing. If I show you a consistent losing capper, I can essentially show you a winner by fading.

homedawg · Dec 22, 2008

Paddywack said:
HD, what I am doing is posting the opposite of the plays I would normally play (fades). I am now playing my fades. I am tired of losing. If I show you a consistent losing capper, I can essentially show you a winner by fading.

this tactic has been tried by many before you. the mental ware over the long term is the eventual crippling end to this system. eventually your mind starts playing tricks on you, and your judgment will get clouded. you will start to convince yourself into not liking one side so you can play the other. in turn it just fucks you up worse than you were before and sets you back a few years in your capping development.
just my .02, that if you really want to succeed at this you just have to take your lumps, learn, and just start doing it.

anyways GL

Paddywack · Dec 22, 2008

HD, I am not changing a thing. I will keep analyzing the games and fading who I would bet. I will use your advice to my advantage. No getting into head games about it, just keeping it simple and posting losers that will fade into winners. Keep watching, you will see.

Paddywack · Dec 23, 2008

2-1 on the night, +0.9 units.

Green Bay +4 win (1 unit)
Northeastern +1.5 win (1 unit)
San Diego -8.5 2nd half loss (-1.1 unit)

Stay tuned for more tomorrow.

tayzler · Dec 23, 2008

This is kinda funny and trust me i feel like this sometimes!

Paddywack · Dec 23, 2008

23 December picks

Kent State +6 1 unit
Xavier -7.5 1 unit

Paddywack · Dec 23, 2008

Adding Cal Riverside +5 1 unit.

hcskip · Dec 23, 2008

Fading yourself....wow....

I have found that if I post 6 different parlays on a night of plays, then at the 11th hour go back and look at my bets, and see ONE common, little game that I thought would be decent play that somehow I had accidently managed to put in every single parlay (instead of overlapping my plays like I intend), guess, just GUESS which play is going to fail me and blow my parlays???

Yeah, the little dinky play.

Kinda happened to me last night - had two major IF bets, and for some idiotic reason, had the Clippers OVER as the first bet on each play. Don't know how I did that, though I guess I should print out my play sheet as I go to try to minimize that crap happening. Was sort of saved by my Boston and Orlando bets, but was sooo ticked by the situation, I went and played online BJ and lost even more money that way.

I hate online BJ.

Paddywack · Dec 23, 2008

Updated card for 23 December

Kent State +6 1 unit
Xavier -7.5 1 unit
Cal Riverside +5 1 unit
Texas pk 1 unit

JacktheRipper · Dec 23, 2008

Question

Are you posting the plays you want to win or are these plays that are the opposite of what you like?

You say you are fading yourself in this thread.

I am not sure this is the right way to do things if you are in a funk.

Roll up your sleeves and do some hard work handicapping these games yourself. Take the training wheels off and stop following everyone else. Instead, follow yourself. Just my 2 cents.

Good luck in your endeavor.