Fading my Cubbies the rest of July thread.

FairWarning · Jul 21, 2008

Pretty hard schedule they have to finish out the month:

3 @ Arizona
3 vs Florida
4 @ Milwaukee

I feel they will go about 6-5 in this stretch. If they do so, I will probably win money.

Starting tonight:

Snakes +129 playing Cubs action here. The key is Randy Johnson is 12-0 lifetime vs the Cubs, and at a dog price. Cubs have been horrible in Arizona in thepast.

Also playing the under 4 -120 for first 5 and the under 7.5-120 for teh game.

eraser76 · Jul 21, 2008

Johnson Not Faced Cubs Since 2004 Doubt Any Of These Players Where On The Team Then

FairWarning · Jul 21, 2008

eraser76 said:
Johnson Not Faced Cubs Since 2004 Doubt Any Of These Players Where On The Team Then

He faced them earlier in the year.

Take that back. He was supposed to, I think they had a long rain delay.

FairWarning · Jul 21, 2008

Cubs not exactly hitting the cover off the ball right now, sans Sunday.

eraser76 · Jul 21, 2008

I Always Get Burnt Betting Against My Team Tends To Bite Me In The Ass Either Way I Bet It For Or Against Good Luck Hope It Wins For You

FairWarning · Jul 22, 2008

3-0 +329

FairWarning · Jul 22, 2008

Arizona -110 (Petit/Marquis)

Harvey Dent · Jul 22, 2008

Like the call on fading them rest of the month

FairWarning · Jul 23, 2008

4-0 +429

Arizona +103 action vs Lilly

bookie · Jul 23, 2008

There are many sports bettors who would go against this theory and argue handicapping on a game to game basis.

One of the hardest things to predict is a team about to go on a streak whether its winning/losing. If you are wrong the outcome could become very expensive. On the other hand, the local perspective has an advantage of sensing this type of streak. I truly believe that and Fair Warning obviously sensed his team was about to start a bad run. Impressive.

This thread has the potential of being the best in the Rx baseball forum ever. I wish you luck Fair Warning. :103631605

FairWarning · Jul 23, 2008

bookie said:
There are many sports bettors who would go against this theory and argue handicapping on a game to game basis.

One of the hardest things to predict is a team about to go on a streak whether its winning/losing. If you are wrong the outcome could become very expensive. On the other hand, the local perspective has an advantage of sensing this type of streak. I truly believe that and Fair Warning obviously sensed his team was about to start a bad run. Impressive.

This thread has the potential of being the best in the Rx baseball forum ever. I wish you luck Fair Warning.

I am a huge Cubs fan, and hate the White Sox, but do listen to the local sports stations in Chicago and read both Chicago dailys. I wanted to do this starting with the Houston series. The way the schedule breaks for Chicago, this stretch is a bear for them. They have always been horrible in Arizona, Florida has played them well, and it is a budding rivarly in Milwaukee. I figure they are 5-6, 6-5 in this stretch thus a moneymaker. I will never lay more than -120 in this stretch (unless CC Sabathia is pitching). I also believe you play them all or quit after losing 3-4 in a row.

I would love to find more of these threads in the baseball forum. I see some potential spots upcoming with the White Sox and Yankees. Baseball is such a streaky sport, and thats how I play it.

FairWarning · Jul 24, 2008

4-1 +329

Florida +178 Action

Scary as Florida not playing very well right now, and Soriano is back.

Harvey Dent · Jul 24, 2008

streaks are what baseball is allll about, im currently riding the yanks 6-1 so far.... good luck

sumday · Jul 24, 2008

quit while you're ahead

i think cubs might go on a win streak here after beating arizona last night and getting soriano back and having their ace on the mound at home

FairWarning · Jul 24, 2008

sumday said:
i think cubs might go on a win streak here after beating arizona last night and getting soriano back and having their ace on the mound at home

They could, but my money isn't going near -200. They have struggled with Florida. Also no Kerry Wood this weekend. Cubs resting players tonight, so beware.

Tonight's lineups:

<table class="tablehead" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr class="oddrow"><td>1.</td> <td>H. Ramirez, SS</td> <td>A. Soriano, LF</td> </tr> <tr class="evenrow"> <td>2.</td> <td>A. Amezaga, 2B</td> <td>R. Theriot, SS</td> </tr> <tr class="oddrow"> <td>3.</td> <td>J. Cantu, 3B</td> <td>D. Lee, 1B</td> </tr> <tr class="evenrow"> <td>4.</td> <td>M. Jacobs, 1B</td> <td>A. Ramirez, 3B</td> </tr> <tr class="oddrow"> <td>5.</td> <td>C. Ross, CF</td> <td>R. Johnson, CF</td> </tr> <tr class="evenrow"> <td>6.</td> <td>L. Gonzalez, RF</td> <td>M. DeRosa, RF</td> </tr> <tr class="oddrow"> <td>7.</td> <td>J. Willingham, LF</td> <td>H. Blanco, C</td> </tr> <tr class="evenrow"> <td>8.</td> <td>J. Baker, C</td> <td>R. Cedeno, 2B</td> </tr> <tr class="oddrow"> <td>9.</td> <td>S. Olsen, P</td> <td>C. Zambrano, P</td></tr></tbody></table>

Addict101 · Jul 24, 2008

+210 now. Wow.

FairWarning · Jul 25, 2008

4-2 +229

Was going to sit this out today because the Cubs are so strong at home. Since Lou really burned Marmol last night, the Cubs bullpen is very short today. Therefore:

Florida +167 action
Florida/Cubs over 9-127