Ez MLB Spot n System Plays

[Ezdoesit]

System

TB/CHW looks like peavy might be the favorite in this one, so CHW would be the play, but it's too close right now gonna have to wait till a little closer to game time.

 

[JakeandBA]

question regarding this system. Will do some back testing

Situation:

Lines made up and teams made up

Game 1
Cardinal 10 Giants 1

Chase is on.

Game 2 Cardinals -140
So play the Cardinals with RL

Results of Game 2
Cardinals 2 Giants 6

Game 3
Cardinals +120

Question do you play the Cardinals in this situation still or ?

Next situation:

Same results Game 1

Game 2
Giants -150

So play the Giants with RL

Game 2 results
Cardinals 2 Giants 1

Game 3
Giants +120
So the play is still on the Giants?

 

[Ezdoesit]

question regarding this system. Will do some back testing

Situation:

Lines made up and teams made up

Game 1
Cardinal 10 Giants 1

Chase is on.

Game 2 Cardinals -140
So play the Cardinals with RL

Results of Game 2
Cardinals 2 Giants 6

Game 3
Cardinals +120

Question do you play the Cardinals in this situation still or ?

Next situation:

Same results Game 1

Game 2
Giants -150

So play the Giants with RL

Game 2 results
Cardinals 2 Giants 1

Game 3
Giants +120
So the play is still on the Giants?

OK gotta win by ten, so 10-1 is a no play. Havn't back tested 9 runs so maybe it would work. But if Cardinals won by ten and they were minus the next game, u would take them runline. IF they lost or won by 1, and game two giants were minus, u would take Giants on the Money Line, this would be an oppo or opposite bet (so far all opposite bets covered the runline as well, but i reccomend moneyline). I took game three out of the system because it doesn't pay too a 2 game chase was 66-11 last year, say losing about 300 every loss and winning 100 every win, profit is over 3,000 for season with only a two game chase betting to win 100 a series. but in game 3 if u do take it, best results are to bet the team that won by 10 runs on the moneyline even if they are plus money. Game threes last year were 7-4. So by making it a 2 game chase you have 7 more losses, of 300 a series so 2,100, but u take away 4 game 4 losses of 2,800. u do get 7 more wins of 700, so it's equal, but u wont ever have to lay 700, which i think makes the 2 game chase better.

 

[Ezdoesit]

sorry if u don't understand that jiberish at the end, basically same result with a 3 game chase, but u don't risk as much.

 

[Ezdoesit]

System YTD 4-1 (+155)
CHW -105= 105 to win 100

(tricky line, but i see most casinos have the game at -105 both ways, and 1 or 2 with chw or tb as a small favorite. So i deem this a pick which requires the play to be on the opposite team.)

 

[Ezdoesit]

For situation 2. if cardinals win by 10 runs, and next game giants are minus take giants moneyline, if cardinals win that game(so we loose), and the next game the cardinals are minus, take cardinals runline. The games do not have to be against the same opponent, as the case with Miluwake tomorrow.

 

[JakeandBA]

ok starting to understand. thanks for helping for the amount the team has to win by and also the first chase game. Think i got it down for the second chase game but will sit back and review the selections. If i have any questions will ask them.

Thanks again

:howdy:

 

[JakeandBA]

ok the Rays won by more than 1 run in the first chase game. Since the rays are fav (at this time -230) then the pick would be the rays less the rl line to win 2 units correct?
:think2:

 

[Ezdoesit]

ok the Rays won by more than 1 run in the first chase game. Since the rays are fav (at this time -230) then the pick would be the rays less the rl line to win 2 units correct?
:think2:

Correct, rays -1.5 for the final game of the chase

 

[Ezdoesit]

System
Game 2 of chase
Rays -1.5 -110= 220 to win 200

 

[Ezdoesit]

System

Rays-1.5-110 = 220 to win 200

CHC-120= 120 to win 100 (might wanna wait closer to game time but looks like CHC are gonna be favorite making this an oppo play)

 

[JakeandBA]

ok i think i got it when u say oppo play. Since Milw was the team to score the 10 run victory and they are the underdog, then play the opposite team since this team is the fav. if i said that correctly

 

[Ezdoesit]

ok i think i got it when u say oppo play. Since Milw was the team to score the 10 run victory and they are the underdog, then play the opposite team since this team is the fav. if i said that correctly

Correct,

 

[JakeandBA]

first series loss with TB but i like it since the chase ends right here, rather lose 33 or so and be done with it than continue


maybe cubs can hang on

 

[JakeandBA]

played ml and rl line for cubs so broke even...i guess technically down -1.2 units or so

 

[Ezdoesit]

played ml and rl line for cubs so broke even...i guess technically down -1.2 units or so

Yah with this system you will have some losses, last year there were 11, i think 1 month had 3, 1 month had 0, and the rest had 2 losses. So hopefully we met the L quota for the month, and can churn out another couple W's.

 

[Ezdoesit]

System YTD 5-2 (-70)

Oak-1.5 +130= 100 to win 130

 

[Ezdoesit]

System

Game 3 option (not recommended, doesn't count on record, just an option)


TB -150 = 600 to win 400

I'll probably put a little on TB, i would not lay the whole 600. So far the only other game 3 option was a L with ATL.

 

[Ezdoesit]

played ml and rl line for cubs so broke even...i guess technically down -1.2 units or so

Nice call with the RL, so far all oppo W's have covered on the RL as well but i am still hesitant to put the oppo RL into the system. Most times when a team win's by 10, and the next game they are the underdog, it's never more than 130 so the moneyline won't kill the bankroll, though the RL so far would have given a nice little boost to the bankroll.

 

[Ezdoesit]

System

Game 2

Oak -1.5 +170= 200 to win 340