I think a lot of people are too high on Billingsley. Im not a fan at all, I've seen him get rocked a lot. He is very inconsistent and is coming off a game where he made 125 pitches. You and I have a very different opinion of Bills. I dont know many Dodger fans who are happy with him. He is considered the 3rd or 4th best pitcher on the team by just about everyone.
nonetheless I will send you an email soon. Send me one in case I dont have your new email, I think I do. Looking forward to your GG analysis, you always seem to know what to do with them.. You're a very good college capper, wish you posted plays so everyone else can see.
sherwood has a strong opinion on this game, almost opposite of mine. Here it is..
Los Angeles +1.05 over SAN DIEGO
Much has been made about the Dodgers lack of hitting since the break and things surely don’t get easier in San Diego. However, the Dodgers have still won four of its last five and they also played four games at home, three in San Fran and four in St. Louis, all pitchers parks, thus, it’s lack of hitting is overstated. On the other side is the Padres, who are averaging six runs a game over that same stretch. However, they played three in Pittsburgh, three against Arizona, three in Atlanta and three in Colorado. Incidentally, in Atlanta they scored seven runs in the three games and scored one and zero runs in two of the three games. In the other one they were down 4-2 in the ninth but scored two in the ninth and two in extra frames. In other words, they were fortunate to leave with a win and could have left scoring three runs in the three games. So, the Padres strong hitting since the break is also overstated. Then we have Chad Billingsley plus a tag against Jon Garland. In four July starts Garland has an ERA of 5.73 with two of those starts coming at home against Houston and Arizona. The other two were at Atlanta and Washington. In 22 frames in July, Garland has walked 11 and struck out 15. In two starts vs the Dodgers this year, he’s walked six and struck out six to go along with a BAA of .333 and an ERA of 4.91. Garland’s numbers are a complete mirage, as this is a guy that has to get lucky to win because he rarely misses anyone’s bat. Chad Billingsley is the opposite of Garland. Here’s a guy with tremendous stuff and whose confidence is soaring when he faces the Padres. He already shut them out once this year and has great career numbers against them that include a 9-4 record with a 2.51 ERA. Current Padre batters have 28 hits in 123 AB’s for a BA of .228. Over the last three years in five starts at Petco, Billingsley has a BAA of .179. Again, Billingsley plus a price over Garland is just plain sweet. Play: Los Angeles +1.05 (Risking 2 units).
May the better team win today, GL Sherwood.
Los Angeles +1.05 over SAN DIEGO
Much has been made about the Dodgers lack of hitting since the break and things surely don’t get easier in San Diego. However, the Dodgers have still won four of its last five and they also played four games at home, three in San Fran and four in St. Louis, all pitchers parks, thus, it’s lack of hitting is overstated. On the other side is the Padres, who are averaging six runs a game over that same stretch. However, they played three in Pittsburgh, three against Arizona, three in Atlanta and three in Colorado. Incidentally, in Atlanta they scored seven runs in the three games and scored one and zero runs in two of the three games. In the other one they were down 4-2 in the ninth but scored two in the ninth and two in extra frames. In other words, they were fortunate to leave with a win and could have left scoring three runs in the three games. So, the Padres strong hitting since the break is also overstated. Then we have Chad Billingsley plus a tag against Jon Garland. In four July starts Garland has an ERA of 5.73 with two of those starts coming at home against Houston and Arizona. The other two were at Atlanta and Washington. In 22 frames in July, Garland has walked 11 and struck out 15. In two starts vs the Dodgers this year, he’s walked six and struck out six to go along with a BAA of .333 and an ERA of 4.91. Garland’s numbers are a complete mirage, as this is a guy that has to get lucky to win because he rarely misses anyone’s bat. Chad Billingsley is the opposite of Garland. Here’s a guy with tremendous stuff and whose confidence is soaring when he faces the Padres. He already shut them out once this year and has great career numbers against them that include a 9-4 record with a 2.51 ERA. Current Padre batters have 28 hits in 123 AB’s for a BA of .228. Over the last three years in five starts at Petco, Billingsley has a BAA of .179. Again, Billingsley plus a price over Garland is just plain sweet. Play: Los Angeles +1.05 (Risking 2 units).
May the better team win today, GL Sherwood.
hno:Wow I lost a boat load on this one.. We get um next time gyno
