$2000.00 Take #429 Dallas (-7) over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 20)
This is my NFL Game of the Month. I know that this is a big rivalry game and that the underdog, which is usually Washington, has been a great play in this series over the last decade. But this play is a big exception. Dallas beat the Redskins once already this year and the Cowboys were very banged up and disorganized in that home win. Washington was playing very well at the time but the Cowboys just had too much talent. Now Washington is in shambles. They have major quarterback issues and they don't have confidence in either signal caller. They have lost their best offensive weapons and the defense is worn down because they are forced to be on the field for so long. Dallas is a team that is building momentum and they have won three of their last four games all by blowouts. Their last three wins have come by an average of over 24 points per game and I do not think that the Redskins will be able to stop them here. This Redskins team is ready to quit on the season and I think that Dallas wins this one going away.
$600.00 Take #416 Atlanta (-6) over Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 20)
This play is from my 411 System. The Falcons suffered a tough loss last week to New Orleans. But they played well in that game and only lost in overtime because of a foolish coaching decision. Tennessee will not be able to put the same type of pressure this weekend. The Titans are just 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games against teams above .500 and they are not on Atlanta's level. The Falcons have been great at home under coach Mike Smith and they have been great at coming back after a loss and cashing a ticket. The Falcons are 18-5 ATS after a loss. I think that Matt Ryan is going to have a big day here and that he is going to find Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez for touchdowns. Mike Turner will be unstoppable on the ground and I think that the home team will just wear down the visiting Titans.
$500.00 Take #421 Jacksonville (+1) over Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 20)
This play is from my 411 System. The Falcons suffered a tough loss last week to New Orleans. But they played well in that game and only lost in overtime because of a foolish coaching decision. Tennessee will not be able to put the same type of pressure this weekend. The Titans are just 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games against teams above .500 and they are not on Atlanta's level. The Falcons have been great at home under coach Mike Smith and they have been great at coming back after a loss and cashing a ticket. The Falcons are 18-5 ATS after a loss. I think that Matt Ryan is going to have a big day here and that he is going to find Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez for touchdowns. Mike Turner will be unstoppable on the ground and I think that the home team will just wear down the visiting Titans
$400.00 Take 'Under' 34.5 Jacksonville at Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 20)
These are two bad teams with two bad quarterbacks and scoring has been a problem for both teams all season long. They only had a combined 45 points in both of their games together last week! Jacksonville has gone 'under' in eight of nine games this year and most of them are not even close. They have played 'under' in four straight game and there has been 30 or fewer points in five of their nine outings this year. Cleveland has not scored over 17 points since Sept. 18 (seven games). Because this game should be so low scoring I like the underdog. I think that the Jaguars have the better defense, the better running game and the better special teams. All of that will add up to a win. The Jaguars will rely on Maurice Jones-Drew and he gives them a gamebreaker that Cleveland just does not have.