Exbookie wants to help the players wk2

[ACE-ACE]

$75,000 bankroll
now $77,270.00
investment 1-0 +$2000
Action. 3-2 +$470
Total. 4-2 +$2470.00

This was the line at the start of week1. Two big line moves to look at NO FROM -6.5 to -10. And DENVER -1 now +3

Broncos

home

1.0

Sep 20, 2015

Sunday

2

2015

Panthers

Texans

home

-2.5

Sep 20, 2015

Sunday

2

2015

Steelers

Fortyniners

home

-2.5

Sep 20, 2015

Sunday

2

2015

Saints

Buccaneers

home

-6.5

Sep 20, 2015

Sunday

2

2015

Vikings

Lions

home

0.0

Sep 20, 2015

Sunday

2

2015

Bears

Cardinals

home

1.0

Sep 20, 2015

Sunday

2

2015

Bills

Patriots

home

-2.5

Sep 20, 2015

Sunday

2

2015

Bengals

Chargers

home

-3.0

Sep 20, 2015

Sunday

2

2015

Browns

Titans

home

-4.5

Sep 20, 2015

Sunday

2

2015

Giants

Falcons

home

-3.5

Sep 20, 2015

Sunday

2

2015

Redskins

Rams

home

2.0

Sep 20, 2015

Sunday

2

2015

Jaguars

Dolphins

home

4.0

Sep 20, 2015

Sunday

2

2015

Raiders

Ravens

home

5.0

Sep 20, 2015

Sunday

2

2015

Eagles

Cowboys

home

-2.0

Sep 20, 2015

Sunday

2

2015

Packers

Seahawks

home

-1.0

Sep 21, 2015

Monday

2

2015

Colts

Jets

home

-7.5

ALWAYS A GOOD WEEK IF YOU CAN SHOW A PROFIT....GOAL IS SIMPLE TO HAVE A PROFIT AFTER WEEK 3...at that point the system and stats will help more.

on my phone before the game started I played the song. "Remember the name". It's kind of how I feel about capping a game is about.

10% luck
20 % shill
15% power of will
5% fun
50% pain

how true .

put this up now because I don't have any plays tonight.

more to come

Ace

 

[Beerman1600]

Ace- I have been with you for my 7 year and I am so happy I have used your picks and service. When it comes to pro football- you are the best. If someone wants to make money on football- they should sign up with you.

Thank you so much for having profitable years. I have no doubt this will be a good year!!!!

 

[peteytrader]

ACE i would like to buy your nfl picks but it is asking me for a heritage ACCT number? what exactly do i have to do to get your picks thanks.

 

[peteytrader]

nevermind im all signed up and ready to rock this nfl season

 

[peteytrader]

do the picks come in as unit plays? if not how do we know to scale how much per bet?

 

[ACE-ACE]

do the picks come in as unit plays? if not how do we know to scale how much per bet?

I play under $800 action. Investment $2000 to a rare $4000

so you could say .2 of a unit to 4 units. Most take a % of what I bet...if I posted a $3000 bet could you do $300? That would be 10% of what I bet. You have to do the same with all the plays. $700 bet would only be $70.00
pick a % you feel you can do.

Ace

 

[peteytrader]

perfect thanks alot ACE excited to have a winning season

 

[ACE-ACE]

stats vs ATS

home 9
away 7

dog 6
fav 10

over 9
under 7

points that matter. 1 out of 16 games.....most 1weeks in the pass has 2-3 games that the points matter.

 

[ACE-ACE]

[h=1] HOW SHARPS ARE BETTING THURSDAY AND FRIDAY FOOTBALL[/h]
THURSDAY
DENVER BRONCOS AT KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (on CBS): Sharps hit the opener of Kansas City by 1.5 pretty hard, driving the game all the way up to the key number. You regulars know that home field advantage is generally worth three points in the NFL…so the market is saying these teams are currently about dead even. The opener was consistent with Futures prices…where Denver is seen as a better bet than Kansas City to win the AFC . Sharps right now aren’t buying that. They see Peyton Manning losing his effectiveness in a way that will hurt him when playing on the road against good teams. He couldn’t lead the Broncos to an offensive touchdown last week at home vs. Baltimore.
The Over/Under has fallen significantly along the same lines of thinking. An opener of 46 is down now to 41.5. Sharps, including the quants who specialize in totals, see this Denver offense struggling this season.
All that being said…Kansas City is only -3, not -5 or -6. There’s still a lot of sharp respect for the Denver defense. The Wise Guys expect a hard fought defensive battle that will go down to the wire. If the public jumps on the TV home team during the day enough to move the line higher, I’d expect fairly strong support for Denver +3.5.

CLEMSON AT LOUISVILLE (on ESPN): This isn’t quite the matchup ESPN was hoping for because Louisville was stunned last week by Houston. The Cardinals are 0-2 because they also lost their season opener to Auburn. An opening line of Clemson -4.5 has been bet up to -5.5 or -6. Louisville money has been coming in on the six. So, we may have a tug-of-war through the day with squares (the public) betting Clemson -5.5 while sharps come in on the home underdog at six. The Over/Under has been bet down from 54 to 52, with some stores testing 51.5.

FRIDAY
FLORIDA STATE AT BOSTON COLLEGE (on ESPN): An opener of Florida State -9 has been bet all the way down to Boston College +7. Strong support for the home underdog at anything above a touchdown. Though, public money (and some sharp money) does hit FSU at that key number. Sharps weren’t impressed with Florida State through most of last Saturday’s TV game with South Florida. They’re confident that new quarterback Everett Golson shouldn’t have been laying more than a TD on the road this week against a dangerous opponent in a conference game. The fact that BC has a lot of new starters…and possibly an overmatched offense…does come into play at the key number of seven. FSU is palatable to some sharps at that price. The opening total of 53 has followed this week’s pattern so far with big Under money. That’s fallen all the way to 47 because of skepticism about both offenses in what could be a defensive grinder.

NEW MEXICO AT ARIZONA STATE (on PAC 12 NETWORK): The home underdog was hit fairly hard here, as an opener of -24.5 has been bet all the way up to -27. Oddsmakers thought the hook over the key number of 24 might scare sharps away. Instead sharps moved the game all the way to the next key number. Option teams like New Mexico have trouble playing from behind, which the Wise Guys are keenly aware of. No interest on the total yet.
There’s another game Friday night, which matches Idaho State and Boise State. That’s on the “extra” list because Idaho State isn’t part of the FBS. No lines are up yet as I write this. That’s not a game the public would play. And, there are low limits for any sharp that wants to bet it. If you see any move off the opener Friday, you can assume that’s from sharps playing for value at low limits.

 

[ACE-ACE]

1st play of 6 this week

KC-3......................$600.00.

Best to all

Ace

 

[ACE-ACE]

One reason there no investment plays this week....the edge is there but the team don't know it...lol

last night...last minute of the game is one to remember when you see a lot of edges in a game and that happens!
kc turn it over 5 times...my god they should of lost by more than 7! Only thing I can do is limit my bets...which I did this week.

hell of a game to watch

 

[slapshot]

Good Luck today ACE

WHO DEY :toast:

 

[ACE-ACE]

[h=1]HOW SHARPS ARE BETTING NFL WEEK TWO[/h]

HOUSTON AT CAROLINA: An opener of Carolina -3.5 is down to a solid -3 on the news that Ryan Mallett will be the starting quarterback for Houston. Sharps are generally higher on Mallett than his predecessor Brian Hoyer. Though, both are question marks in terms of having a big positive impact. Mallett will be tested by this tough Carolina defense. The total has dropped from 41 to 39.5 because Carolina still looks like it’s going to play low scoring defensive games this season. Note that I only mention Over/Unders that have moved at least a point in these large NFL reports.
TAMPA BAY AT NEW ORLEANS: An opener of New Orleans -10.5 was bet down to the key number of 10 right away. As bad as Jameis Winston and Tampa Bay looked last week, sharps don’t trust the poor Saints defense above that key number. Mostly -10 out there now, with some stores testing -9.5. Remember that a lot of old school guys will take any double digit dog in the NFL. The total is down from 48.5 to 47. That might surprise some of you in this dome game. But, the Saints actually run a lot of clock with their yard-chewing passing attack.
SAN FRANCISCO AT PITTSBURGH: Pittsburgh opened at -6.5…and the game has jockeyed between that and the six through the week. May have a tug-of-war brewing because six is a key number (though not as key as seven). Pittsburgh money comes in at -6 because of residual skepticism about SF this season (plus the extra days of rest!). But, many sharps have updated their projections on the Niners after a strong showing Monday vs. the Vikings…and are taking +6.5. The total is up from 44 to 45.5 or 46. I’m hearing that’s a quant reaction to what’s seen as a vulnerable Pittsburgh defense.
DETROIT AT MINNESOTA: Speaking of the Vikings…that poor showing Monday soured sharps by the fourth quarter! An opener here of Minnesota -3 is down to -2 or -2.5 depending on the store. The fact that the game didn’t move back to the key number of three is very telling. Detroit will obviously be a popular choice in basic strategy two-team teasers that move the line six points. If a dog won’t get bet up from +2.5 to +3…it’s REALLY popular at +8.5. Can’t tell you how many sharps were proud of betting Minnesota in that SF game through the summer, only to see the Vikings play horribly out of the gate.
NEW ENGLAND AT BUFFALO: Oddsmakers anticipated support for the Bills because Buffalo played so well against the Colts last week. Buffalo was a sharp side in that game at +2.5. An opener here of New England -1.5 was bet down toward pick-em. Patriots money usually comes in right at pick-em. Even though the one isn’t really a key number and few games end in ties, we may see a tug-of-war before kickoff with Patriots money hitting pick-em, while Bills backers come in at +1 or better. Will be interesting to see how the public bets the game over the weekend. The Over/Under is down from 46 to 45 or 44.5 because this Buffalo team could be very tough to score on at home this year.
ARIZONA AT CHICAGO: Not much happening with Arizona sitting fairly stable at -2 as the road favorite. That stability suggests Chicago +8 will be a popular choice in two-team teasers. The Bears were competitive in the stats last week on this field vs. Green Bay. Plus, it’s a bad body clock game for the visitors. Last season we saw a lot of important line movement on Sunday mornings before the early games kicked off. I have a hunch something like that might happen in this matchup. Over bettors hit both 45 and 45.5. The total is now 46. The way the Bears play…they may inspire Over bets until the weather turns.
TENNESSEE AT CLEVELAND: Huge change here…as the earliest lines making Cleveland a favorite have now moved all the way to Tennessee -1.5. Sharps were very impressed with Marcos Mariota last week. They don’t expect a replay of such a great performance. But, he clearly can hold his own at the very least vs. other bad teams. Johnny Manziel will get the start for Cleveland. He’s shown some growth in maturity…but still doesn’t have the passing chops to thrive in this league according to sharps I’ve been talking with. The fact that a rookie making only his second start is listed as a road favorite tells you a lot about how the Wise Guys view these two quarterbacks.
SAN DIEGO AT CINCINNATI: Looks like a tug-of-war shaping up here between Cincinnati -3 and San Diego +3.5. The Bengals appeal to some because they have a playoff loss to avenge from two seasons ago and this is a bad body clock game for the visitors. San Diego had great stats last week vs. Detroit though, and many sharps are still very skeptical of Cincy’s Andy Dalton when he’s facing quality opposition. This one might get heavily bet because there’s fairly strong support for both sides of the equation. Cincy money is really happy at -3, while SD money is really happy at anything higher. The total is up from 45.5 to 47.5 on the heels of San Diego’s high scoring shootout with Detroit.
ST. LOUIS AT WASHINGTON: Looks like another tug-of-war at the critical number. Here it’s road favorite St. Louis betting the nod at -3, while home dog Washington draws some support at 3.5. The case for the home dog is that Washington played Miami dead even on this field last week outside of a Dolphins defensive touchdown…while St. Louis is in an obvious letdown spot off the overtime victory over hated Seattle. There’s still a lot of general “anti-Washington” sentiment in sharp circles though…which puts money on the Rams at the three. If you work this week’s openers, Washington’s basically being treated by oddsmakers like they’re the Jacksonville of the NFC.
ATLANTA AT NY GIANTS: This is the tenth early game! Vegas likes having more later starts because it gives people time to re-invest in more matchups. We’re seeing a solid NYG -2.5 right now. That puts Atlanta in the teaser window for two-teamers that cross both the 3 and the 7. It’s expected that Atlanta money would come in hard if the public pushes the Giants to -3 on game day. Atlanta had more impressive stats in its nailbiter win last week over Philadelphia than NYG did in its nailbiter loss to Dallas. We’re not seeing much Under interest in early kickoffs. That tells you the weather should be pretty nice on Sunday.
BALTIMORE AT OAKLAND: Derek Carr has been upgraded to “probable” at quarterback for the Raiders. That’s settled the line at Baltimore -6 as a road favorite. That’s probably where it should have been for the Cincinnati game last week in retrospect. Some stores are testing Baltimore -6.5 because Ravens money isn’t afraid to ask for a bounce-back performance against such a poor opponent. Old school guys who like home dogs in this general price range are waiting to see if the seven comes into play before kickoff.
MIAMI AT JACKSONVILLE: This is a late kickoff even though it involves East Coast teams. Miami opened at -4, but was bet up to -6. A few reasons here. Jacksonville’s offense looked horrible last week vs. Carolina. Jacksonville doesn’t have much home field advantage. And, that’s even more of an issue when the visitor has such a short trip. The Jags aren’t getting the standard 3 points for home field in the market for this one. I am hearing that some dog money is biding its time because points could be at a premium in a defensive struggle. If you take out the defensive scores, Jacksonville lost to Carolina 13-9, while Miami tied Washington 10-10 last week. Plus six is going to appeal to some old school sharps in that environment.
DALLAS AT PHILADELPHIA: The marquee game of the afternoon has been sitting on Philly -5 and 55 through the week. Looks like some Dallas money started coming in late Friday…which could mean we’ll see a drift downward through the weekend. The market is trying to figure out how to price the Dez Bryant injury. A line of five means the Eagles would be TWO points better on a neutral field. Tough for some sharps to swallow.
SEATTLE AT GREEN BAY: People in Las Vegas have been wondering all summer how this line would settle once Week Two arrived. Seattle looks to be falling from prior heights, while Green Bay is making its case to be the new NFC favorite. A line of Green Bay -3.5 tells you the market currently sees the Packers as the superior team. There hasn’t been much interest on this high quality dog even with the hook. Oddsmakers will have to decide if they want to accept their current positions on Seattle through the weekend…or do more to attract Seahawks money. Taking a position on Denver this past Thursday night in Kansas City ended up working in their favor. The Over/Under is up from 48 to 49 because both offenses are expected to move the ball.

MONDAY NIGHT
NY JETS AT INDIANAPOLIS: An opener of Indianapolis -6 was bet up to -7. The market is still trying to work out how to rate the Jets this season. Indianapolis is usually better than -7 when hosting doormats. So we know that the Jets earned some respect with their home blowout over Cleveland last week. But, disrupting Johnny Manziel is a lot easier than trying to slow down Andrew Luck at this site. We might see a tug-of-war developing by kickoff. Hard to know this far in advance if that’s going to be public money pushing the game up to 7.5…or sharp dog money pulling it down to 6.5.

 

[ACE-ACE]

5 more plays this week
3 come on the 1pm est games

best to all

Ace

 

[ACE-ACE]

Buff +1 ..................$500-108
Tb +10....................$500-105
Atl +2.5...................$500-105

all dog day.

 

[slapshot]

Who Dey :toast:


looking for a AFC North sweep of California

 

[ACE-ACE]

Buff +1 ..................$500-108
Tb +10....................$500-105
Atl +2.5...................$500-105
Dal+5......................$500-107

 

[slapshot]

good looking day hope you finish off the night game :toast:

and how about the ending in that Raiders game

 

[ACE-ACE]

good looking day hope you finish off the night game :toast:

and how about the ending in that Raiders game

Bad news romo out.....oak took down a lot of players in the contest

 

[ACE-ACE]

3-2 +$300.00
with one more play this week

took notes have a great investment play without knowing the numbers for next week....it pops out...can't you see it...lol