You have no clue. The most I was down this year was 8 units....that should not buried any one!
most don't bet what I do dime player. ( you would know this if you were on my list) bets a % of what I do)
if you bet 30% of what I bet you would have been down in week 5 $2500. 30% of my bankroll you would have a bankroll of $21,000!
that player was only down 10% of that players bankroll.
from the ones that follow me most bet 20%
so know what you are talking about before you come into my thread with your 1st posted.
bankroll should = A small amount of ones bet.
$20,000 bankroll should bet 1-4 units 200-800 bets. That's a person that bets $200 a unit
if you got less of aa bankroll you should bet less
as we all know this is not about 1 week. This is about the season
stay with goals. 1-4 unit should be the max...me I do .4 of a unit to 3.5 on any game
most my plays are 2 units
if you have $6000 bankroll you should not bet $200 a unit. Money management is the key.
ace
$20,000 bankroll should bet 1-4 units 200-800 bets. That's a person that bets $200 a unit
if you got less of aa bankroll you should bet less
as we all know this is not about 1 week. This is about the season
stay with goals. 1-4 unit should be the max...me I do .4 of a unit to 3.5 on any game
most my plays are 2 units
if you have $6000 bankroll you should not bet $200 a unit. Money management is the key.
ace
HOW SHARPS ARE BETTING NFL WEEK 16
SAN DIEGO AT SAN FRANCISCO (Saturday Night): An opener of San Francisco -2.5 was inviting action on the slumping 49ers. Oddsmakers knew that sharps would pound San Diego if they saw the key number of three in play. Sharps hit San Diego anyway! The line is now San Diego +1.5 as I write this. That leaves the game in the two-team teaser window, as “basic strategy” would suggest taking any move that crosses by the 3 and the 7. San Diego +7.5 will be a popular teaser entry in six-pointers if the line doesn’t move before kickoff. Oh, I can assure you that sharps have noticed how low scoring games have been getting of late. That makes teasers even more potent because points are more “valuable” when they’re scarce. (Tennessee/Jacksonville continued that recent low scoring trend). The Over/Under hasn’t budged here, which is a bit surprising given the low scoring games these teams have played recently. From this point forward, I’ll only mention Over/Unders when they’ve moved at least a point.
PHILADELPHIA AT WASHINGTON (Saturday Afternoon): Another game in the teaser window here, which could cause quite a headache for sportsbooks. Philadelphia opened at -8, and has been bet down to -7.5. That’s not a major move because eight isn’t a key number. But, it does tell you that sharps are falling out of love with the Eagles as a major threat the rest of the way. The public may come in on the favorite in the TV game because squares love betting the NFL. If that happens we’ll probably see a tug-of-war between squares on the Eagles and sharps on the dog at +8 or better. Sharps will be rooting for Philadelphia -1.5 in teasers, and a San Diego/Philly pairing will be very popular as a hoped for “bankroll builder” for those who like playing teasers.
MINNESOTA AT MIAMI: Moving to Sunday, there was strong sentiment on Minnesota at the opener of +7. It takes real money to take a game off the key number of seven. We’re now seeing Miami -6.5 everywhere. Telling that there wasn’t buyback on the Dolphins below the key number. As I’ve been saying recently, the Wise Guys have fallen out of love with Miami. They were a sharp moneymaker for several weeks. The team ran out of gas after losing at altitude in Denver. Plus, sharps have liked what they’ve seen in terms of effort from the Minnesota defense of late.
GREEN BAY AT TAMPA BAY: A surprisingly strong move on Green Bay from an opener of -10 all the way up to -11.5. That 10 is a key number (7+3), so it takes real sentiment to drive a number higher…particularly in the NFL where there’s usually a sharp bias for big underdogs. Position-takers and quants jumped in quickly at -10, -10.5, and even -11 because they see this as a mismatch at the quarterback position in a must-win game for the favorite. Green Bay doesn’t want to be a Wildcard, so they can’t afford to look past this game as they try to chase down Detroit. The total has been bet down from 50.5 to 49 or 48.5. That’s a reflection of Tampa Bay’s poor offensive play in recent weeks…and the potential for Green Bay to sit on a big lead if they get one.
DETROIT AT CHICAGO: This game jumped from Detroit -6.5 to Detroit -8.5 or -9 when it was announced that Bears quarterback Jay Cutler was benched in favor of Jimmy Clausen. The total also fell from 46 to 44.5. You can tell that oddsmakers believe the Bears made themselves worse with the move. Sharps haven’t expressed much sentiment yet because Clausen is such an unknown quantity with this offense. If the line settles at Detroit -8.5, you can be sure that Detroit -2.5 will show up in a lot of teasers.
ATLANTA AT NEW ORLEANS: The only interest here has been on the Over/Under. The opening total of 55 has been bet up to 56. Quants made the game 56 because neither defense is well suited to stop either offense. The opening line of New Orleans -6 has stood pat, and is expected to stay there all weekend. Sharps would fade any move off the six, particularly if the public drove New Orleans up to the key number of seven.
NEW ENGLAND AT NY JETS: The opening line of New England -11 was bet down. We’re now seeing Patriots -10.5 in most places. Stores testing -10 see New England money come in on the key number. And, given that the public is likely to bet the Pats here…we’re not likely to see many tens over the weekend. Sharps definitely like the Jets at +11, and some are still betting them at +10.5. Remember that there are many old-school sharps who really like taking double digit divisional dogs on principal.
KANSAS CITY AT PITTSBURGH: Pittsburgh opened on a key number at -3. Nothing’s happened yet to take the game off the three. My feel is that sharps generally prefer the Steelers at that number because love for the Chiefs has lessened in recent action (similar to Miami). But, Kansas City +3.5 would generate strong underdog sentiment because so many games between relatively evenly matched teams land right on the three. If the public bets Pittsburgh on game day, we may see a tug-of-war develop between Pittsburgh -3 and Kansas City +3.5. The Over/Under is down a point from 47.5 to 46.5.
CLEVELAND AT CAROLINA: This is not a game sharps are likely to be involved in heavily because of the quarterback situations for both teams. What’s shaping up now is a value-based tug-of-war between Carolina -3 on their home field and Cleveland +3.5. The total is down from 41.5 to 40.5 in what’s expected to be a defensive field position game matching quarterbacks who could have trouble finding the end zone at the end of drives.
BALTIMORE AT HOUSTON: Baltimore has been bet up from -4 to -5 because of the very shaky quarterback situation or Houston. It may not go up higher though because sharps have tremendous respect for this Houston defense. I wouldn’t be surprised to see sharps come in on “the underdog without a quarterback” at +6 if the public drives the number that high on game day.
NY GIANTS AT ST. LOUIS: St. Louis continues to get a lot of respect from sharps even though they couldn’t score a touchdown in last week’s 12-6 home loss to Arizona. That was on a Thursday Night, which gives the Rams some extra rest and preparation time. That’s certainly part of why the game opened at -6, and has been bet up in places to -6.5. I would expect Giants money to come in if the full seven is tested. The total has been bet down from 45.5 to 43.5 because of respect for what’s recently been a great Rams defense.
BUFFALO AT OAKLAND: Buffalo has been bet up from an opener of -6 to -6.5. That may strike you as high for a relatively unproven team like Buffalo on the road on the other side of the continent in a letdown spot off of Green Bay. But, many sharps really love this defense, and see it matching up well with the sporadic Raiders offense. Remember that many sharps won big with the Bills last week vs. the Packers. That said, there is Oakland money waiting on the sideline to see if +7 comes into play. The Raiders won for some sharps on this field two weeks ago when they upset San Francisco. I think this is a case of Buffalo interesting showing immediately, and Raiders interest biding its time.
INDIANAPOLIS AT DALLAS: The marquee game of the day hasn’t budged off its opening numbers of Dallas -3 and 55.5. Sharps didn’t have a meaningful difference in their own projections. They would bet any move off the key number of three created by public money before kickoff (and this will be a heavily bet game by squares because it’s the best TV game of the afternoon). I would expect squares to bet the Over with these quarterbacks indoors in a potential shootout. It might take more than 56 to bring in sharp action on the Under.
SEATTLE AT ARIZONA (Sunday Night): Arizona is another team dealing with quarterback injuries, and that’s created another possible teaser headache for sportsbooks. Seattle is still at -7.5, which means Seattle -1.5 would be a very popular choice in two-team teasers. And, because the Over/Under is so low here, that would be one of the best teaser situations all year in the NFL. Getting SIX points is really meaningful when the full game Over/Under is only 36 or 36.5 (down from an opener of 37). Sharps aren’t showing much interest on the team side yet at the full game price…but will definitely be active here with a teaser leg.
DENVER AT CINCINNATI (Monday Night): Looks like we have a tug-of-war shaping up here between Denver -3 and Cincinnati +3.5. Though, it’s possible that game day action from squares comes in so strong on the favored Broncos that the game just settles on 3.5. Sharps will be playing the Bengals on game day at +3.5 or better. The Over/Under has dropped from 48.5 to 47.5 because Denver has become run-heavy in recent games.
SAN DIEGO AT SAN FRANCISCO (Saturday Night): An opener of San Francisco -2.5 was inviting action on the slumping 49ers. Oddsmakers knew that sharps would pound San Diego if they saw the key number of three in play. Sharps hit San Diego anyway! The line is now San Diego +1.5 as I write this. That leaves the game in the two-team teaser window, as “basic strategy” would suggest taking any move that crosses by the 3 and the 7. San Diego +7.5 will be a popular teaser entry in six-pointers if the line doesn’t move before kickoff. Oh, I can assure you that sharps have noticed how low scoring games have been getting of late. That makes teasers even more potent because points are more “valuable” when they’re scarce. (Tennessee/Jacksonville continued that recent low scoring trend). The Over/Under hasn’t budged here, which is a bit surprising given the low scoring games these teams have played recently. From this point forward, I’ll only mention Over/Unders when they’ve moved at least a point.
PHILADELPHIA AT WASHINGTON (Saturday Afternoon): Another game in the teaser window here, which could cause quite a headache for sportsbooks. Philadelphia opened at -8, and has been bet down to -7.5. That’s not a major move because eight isn’t a key number. But, it does tell you that sharps are falling out of love with the Eagles as a major threat the rest of the way. The public may come in on the favorite in the TV game because squares love betting the NFL. If that happens we’ll probably see a tug-of-war between squares on the Eagles and sharps on the dog at +8 or better. Sharps will be rooting for Philadelphia -1.5 in teasers, and a San Diego/Philly pairing will be very popular as a hoped for “bankroll builder” for those who like playing teasers.
MINNESOTA AT MIAMI: Moving to Sunday, there was strong sentiment on Minnesota at the opener of +7. It takes real money to take a game off the key number of seven. We’re now seeing Miami -6.5 everywhere. Telling that there wasn’t buyback on the Dolphins below the key number. As I’ve been saying recently, the Wise Guys have fallen out of love with Miami. They were a sharp moneymaker for several weeks. The team ran out of gas after losing at altitude in Denver. Plus, sharps have liked what they’ve seen in terms of effort from the Minnesota defense of late.
GREEN BAY AT TAMPA BAY: A surprisingly strong move on Green Bay from an opener of -10 all the way up to -11.5. That 10 is a key number (7+3), so it takes real sentiment to drive a number higher…particularly in the NFL where there’s usually a sharp bias for big underdogs. Position-takers and quants jumped in quickly at -10, -10.5, and even -11 because they see this as a mismatch at the quarterback position in a must-win game for the favorite. Green Bay doesn’t want to be a Wildcard, so they can’t afford to look past this game as they try to chase down Detroit. The total has been bet down from 50.5 to 49 or 48.5. That’s a reflection of Tampa Bay’s poor offensive play in recent weeks…and the potential for Green Bay to sit on a big lead if they get one.
DETROIT AT CHICAGO: This game jumped from Detroit -6.5 to Detroit -8.5 or -9 when it was announced that Bears quarterback Jay Cutler was benched in favor of Jimmy Clausen. The total also fell from 46 to 44.5. You can tell that oddsmakers believe the Bears made themselves worse with the move. Sharps haven’t expressed much sentiment yet because Clausen is such an unknown quantity with this offense. If the line settles at Detroit -8.5, you can be sure that Detroit -2.5 will show up in a lot of teasers.
ATLANTA AT NEW ORLEANS: The only interest here has been on the Over/Under. The opening total of 55 has been bet up to 56. Quants made the game 56 because neither defense is well suited to stop either offense. The opening line of New Orleans -6 has stood pat, and is expected to stay there all weekend. Sharps would fade any move off the six, particularly if the public drove New Orleans up to the key number of seven.
NEW ENGLAND AT NY JETS: The opening line of New England -11 was bet down. We’re now seeing Patriots -10.5 in most places. Stores testing -10 see New England money come in on the key number. And, given that the public is likely to bet the Pats here…we’re not likely to see many tens over the weekend. Sharps definitely like the Jets at +11, and some are still betting them at +10.5. Remember that there are many old-school sharps who really like taking double digit divisional dogs on principal.
KANSAS CITY AT PITTSBURGH: Pittsburgh opened on a key number at -3. Nothing’s happened yet to take the game off the three. My feel is that sharps generally prefer the Steelers at that number because love for the Chiefs has lessened in recent action (similar to Miami). But, Kansas City +3.5 would generate strong underdog sentiment because so many games between relatively evenly matched teams land right on the three. If the public bets Pittsburgh on game day, we may see a tug-of-war develop between Pittsburgh -3 and Kansas City +3.5. The Over/Under is down a point from 47.5 to 46.5.
CLEVELAND AT CAROLINA: This is not a game sharps are likely to be involved in heavily because of the quarterback situations for both teams. What’s shaping up now is a value-based tug-of-war between Carolina -3 on their home field and Cleveland +3.5. The total is down from 41.5 to 40.5 in what’s expected to be a defensive field position game matching quarterbacks who could have trouble finding the end zone at the end of drives.
BALTIMORE AT HOUSTON: Baltimore has been bet up from -4 to -5 because of the very shaky quarterback situation or Houston. It may not go up higher though because sharps have tremendous respect for this Houston defense. I wouldn’t be surprised to see sharps come in on “the underdog without a quarterback” at +6 if the public drives the number that high on game day.
NY GIANTS AT ST. LOUIS: St. Louis continues to get a lot of respect from sharps even though they couldn’t score a touchdown in last week’s 12-6 home loss to Arizona. That was on a Thursday Night, which gives the Rams some extra rest and preparation time. That’s certainly part of why the game opened at -6, and has been bet up in places to -6.5. I would expect Giants money to come in if the full seven is tested. The total has been bet down from 45.5 to 43.5 because of respect for what’s recently been a great Rams defense.
BUFFALO AT OAKLAND: Buffalo has been bet up from an opener of -6 to -6.5. That may strike you as high for a relatively unproven team like Buffalo on the road on the other side of the continent in a letdown spot off of Green Bay. But, many sharps really love this defense, and see it matching up well with the sporadic Raiders offense. Remember that many sharps won big with the Bills last week vs. the Packers. That said, there is Oakland money waiting on the sideline to see if +7 comes into play. The Raiders won for some sharps on this field two weeks ago when they upset San Francisco. I think this is a case of Buffalo interesting showing immediately, and Raiders interest biding its time.
INDIANAPOLIS AT DALLAS: The marquee game of the day hasn’t budged off its opening numbers of Dallas -3 and 55.5. Sharps didn’t have a meaningful difference in their own projections. They would bet any move off the key number of three created by public money before kickoff (and this will be a heavily bet game by squares because it’s the best TV game of the afternoon). I would expect squares to bet the Over with these quarterbacks indoors in a potential shootout. It might take more than 56 to bring in sharp action on the Under.
SEATTLE AT ARIZONA (Sunday Night): Arizona is another team dealing with quarterback injuries, and that’s created another possible teaser headache for sportsbooks. Seattle is still at -7.5, which means Seattle -1.5 would be a very popular choice in two-team teasers. And, because the Over/Under is so low here, that would be one of the best teaser situations all year in the NFL. Getting SIX points is really meaningful when the full game Over/Under is only 36 or 36.5 (down from an opener of 37). Sharps aren’t showing much interest on the team side yet at the full game price…but will definitely be active here with a teaser leg.
DENVER AT CINCINNATI (Monday Night): Looks like we have a tug-of-war shaping up here between Denver -3 and Cincinnati +3.5. Though, it’s possible that game day action from squares comes in so strong on the favored Broncos that the game just settles on 3.5. Sharps will be playing the Bengals on game day at +3.5 or better. The Over/Under has dropped from 48.5 to 47.5 because Denver has become run-heavy in recent games.
Ace, Ace, Ace come on man. You know that gamblers are looking for that one hit or bail outs. How many do you really think bet % wise everything you post? Yes you had a good couple of weeks but you lost thousands up to a couple of weeks ago, then lay out 10k worth of bets. How many of the average players could do that. Me, I doubt you bet every penny of every play you put out there, but hey that's just my opinion. Believe it or not Ace there are many who were buried following your plays up until a couple weeks ago. Those players probably didn't even get a chance to get back some cash these last 2 weeks. I don't bet any of your plays but if I was paying for your plays and followed you from day one this year I would've been gone long before these last 2 weeks.
At at therx I don't give out NBA or CBB ... ...if we are talking docs. You don't get sales if you don't win. And this year I'm up 20% in sales...if you were one of those follower you could talk. one game don't make a season.... And why are we talking NBA in my NFL thread.
you just don't like tout and you come in here. Trying to make a point that don't have anything to do with you.
as you say. Once again......
Jeff Jeff jeff. Let talk about you..what's your record.....for someone that only have 61 post. You must be winning a lot. I could name 10-15 poster that know what I bet on this forum...two have set me up with cr. accts. ......I been here for 10 year grasshopper I earn my wings. You just don't like tout like me.
start your only thread and show everyone who you are...than...and only than. You will have my respect. Now fly
Jeff Jeff jeff. You are a wantbe
JeffPerry
RX JuniorJoin DateOct 2014LocationUtica NYPosts61
12-15-2014, 07:02 AM
No strings attached email me for my FREE 2 team parlay guaranteed winners. Bail Out Monday.
This was from in the
- Site Promotions Forum.
Ok ok I can help
1 start a thread in NFL forum
2. Posted your picks like a good boy. Lol
3. Show me you can win for one year
4 than I will get you on a site so you can sell your picks
Deal
