Exbookie Wants to help the players Week 9

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EX BOOKIE
Joined
Oct 20, 2003
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20,539
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Investment plays 6-6 -$625
Action plays 19-18 -$1273.00
Total 25-24 -$1898.00
Bankroll $75,000.00
now $73,102.00

411 system now 7-4 61%



The Gambler's Fallacy

Beginning gamblers invariably view their expectations on too narrow a scale. They believe that having a 60 percent expectation means they figure to win 6 of their next 10 bets, or 12 of their next 20 bets, or 30 of their next 50 bets, etc.
Sorry but there is not much chance of that actually happening. The laws of probability are not nearly so precise. As a matter of fact, with a 60 percent expectation, you are not likely to win 6 of your next 10 bets at all.
The idea that expectations will be realized over a very short time is known as the Gambler's Fallacy. It is the same fallacy that causes roulette players to believe that red is more apt to win if black has won several times in a row.
That's not so, of course. Roulette wheels have no memory. It's coincidence. The mathematical law that dictates you will eventually win a number of bets commensurate with your expectation is effective only when dealing with very large numbers. In fact, mathematicians no longer refer to "the law of averages," it's now called the "the law of large numbers."
This same fallacy is at work when sports touts 'prove' they are experts by citing winning records, with only a few observations, such as 10-1, 20-5, 30-8, etc. Even without a good reason, such lop-sided results are bound to occur as a matter of happenstance. They are mathematically inevitable. For example, if all your bets had a winning expect ion of precisely 57.5%, you could expect to win between 48 and 7 of your next 100 bets - a variance from expectation of plus-or-minus 10 percent.
By comparison, you figure to win between 545 and 605 of your next 1,000 bets, which is a variance of only plus or minus 3 percent.
As for your next 10 bets ?...........It's a crapshoot.
It quickly becomes obvious that using past results as proof of future expectations requires having plenty of past results.

The Ping-Pong Balls

It may help to picture this: Let's say a crate of 10,000 Ping-Pong balls falls off a truck in front of your car on the freeway. The box contains 6,000 white Ping-Pong balls and 4,000 yellow Ping-Pong balls, randomly mixed.
The box shatters in front of your car, sending all 10,000 balls bouncing randomly onto the freeway. Let's say you happen to run over and smash exactly ten of those balls. How many white balls do you figure to smash?
The most likely number is six, of course, since 60 percent of the balls are white. But wait - that is only the most likely event of several other very likely events. You are only slightly less likely to smash five white balls, or seven white balls, and only slightly less likely than that to smash four white ones, or eight white ones, etc.....You are restricted to only eleven different possible events:
0-1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10
If you add up all the changes of all the other possible outcomes, smashing anything BUT six white balls out of ten, you can see you are not likely to smash exactly six white balls at all. Even though you do, indeed, have a 60 percent expectations, you will most likely end up with some other 'smash percentage.'
That's because ten observations, or events, are simply too few observations to expect reliable results. The 'universe' of observations, or events, is too small. This is the principle at the very heart of the Gamble Fallacy, and this is the undoing of many a gambler.
And to complicate the matter, if you do not smash precisely six white balls your 'smash percentage' must be at least 10 percent away - or different - from your expectation. Only eleven different outcomes are possible. The closest you can come to 60 percent, unless you hit it on the nose, is either 50 percent or 70 percent.
....But now let's suppose you smashed 1,000 balls instead of ten....In that case, we have a wholly different proposition. In that case, you can be sure you smashed more white balls than yellow ones, and you can be reasonably sure you smashed between 570 and 630 white balls - somewhere between 57 percent and 63 percent of the 1,000 balls smashed. This is assured because the bigger the universe, the more predictable the outcomes, percentage-wise.
Helping your prediction come true with 1,000 'smashes' instead of only 10 'smashes' is the fact that smash 59.9 percent, or 60.1 percent, or 59.8, 60.2 etc. .....With 1,000 balls smashed, you may fail to get precisely the percentage expected, but you cannot miss it by as much as 10 percent. It's virtually impossible to smash only 500 white balls, or as many as 700 white balls because there are too many events more likely to occur; ---- i.e, smashing 599 balls, or 601, or 598 or 602, etc.
Don't rely on double-digit numbers to produce a true expectations; guarantee yourself that you will stay alive long enough to record triple-digit results. That was, and still is, excellent advice.


my 9 years record at the RX TOTAL.......................580-499 +$179,518.00 54%


more to come

Ace
 

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I hope you aren't counting contest money won in your RX total. That would be misleading.
 

EX BOOKIE
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I hope you aren't counting contest money won in your RX total. That would be misleading.

you got me...

let's do the one's that count more...just Investment plays...little higher % TOTAL INVESTMENT.194-142 +$154,496.00 58%
 

New member
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Sep 21, 2004
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"check out the sheets for week 8 STATFOX IS ONE OF THE BEST"

Do you have these for week 9? I thought they were very helpful.

Thanks
 

EX BOOKIE
Joined
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Messages
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"check out the sheets for week 8 STATFOX IS ONE OF THE BEST"

Do you have these for week 9? I thought they were very helpful.

Thanks

I use outplays on the sheet best part ...will post again for week 9
 

EX BOOKIE
Joined
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stat vs ATS


HOME 51
AWAY 67

DOG 70
FAV 48......FAV HAVE ONLY WON ONE WEEK!!

OVER 60
UNDER 58

POINTS THAT MATTER 20 GAMES OUT OF 118

ACE
 

New member
Joined
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Messages
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stat vs ATS


HOME 51
AWAY 67

DOG 70
FAV 48......FAV HAVE ONLY WON ONE WEEK!!

OVER 60
UNDER 58

POINTS THAT MATTER 20 GAMES OUT OF 118

ACE


Favorites won only one week, maybe thats why you only won one as well, just sayin. How did hoops start out for you?
 

EX BOOKIE
Joined
Oct 20, 2003
Messages
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"check out the sheets for week 8 STATFOX IS ONE OF THE BEST"

Do you have these for week 9? I thought they were very helpful.

Thanks

STATFOX IS DOWN THIS WEEK HOME BASE North Brunswick, New Jersey...and you know what that means
 

EX BOOKIE
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Don't Let an Injury Cost You a Win.

Arizona Cardinals
Adam SnyderG10/30/2012(quadricep) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Green Bay
Greg TolerCB10/30/2012(hamstring) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Green Bay
Todd HeapTE10/30/2012(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Green Bay
Kevin KolbQB10/16/2012(ribs) - is out indefinitely
Ryan WilliamsRB10/9/2012(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Beanie WellsRB9/26/2012(toe) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Jeremy BridgesT9/2/2012(thumb) - is on injured reserve
Javarris JamesRB8/31/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Richard BartelQB8/31/2012(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Levi BrownT8/24/2012(triceps) - is on injured reserve
Atlanta Falcons
Harry DouglasWR10/29/2012(knee/ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Dallas
Sean WeatherspoonLB10/29/2012(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Dallas
Brent GrimesCB9/10/2012(Achilles) - is on injured reserve
Adam NissleyTE8/31/2012(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Shann SchillingerS8/31/2012(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Will SvitekT8/20/2012(arm) - is on injured reserve
Bradie EwingFB8/11/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Baltimore Ravens
Bryant McKinnieT10/29/2012(hip) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Cleveland
Ma'ake KemoeatuDT10/29/2012(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Cleveland
Ramon HarewoodT10/29/2012(head) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Cleveland
Ray LewisLB10/17/2012(triceps) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Lardarius WebbCB10/16/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Damien BerryRB8/31/2012(neck/shoulder) - is on injured reserve
David ReedWR8/31/2012(knee) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Justin BorenG8/31/2012(foot) - is on injured reserve
Michael McAdooLB8/31/2012(Achilles) - is on injured reserve
Ricky BrownLB8/31/2012(head) - is on injured reserve
Tommy StreeterWR8/31/2012(foot) - is on injured reserve
Emanuel CookS8/27/2012(leg) - is on injured reserve
Ryan McBeanDT8/27/2012(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Buffalo Bills
Mario WilliamsDE10/31/2012(wrist) - is probable for Sunday's game against Houston
Cordy GlennT10/29/2012(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Houston
Kraig UrbikG10/29/2012(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Houston
Chad RinehartG10/22/2012(knee) - is out indefinitely
Mark AndersonDE10/10/2012(knee) - is out indefinitely
Colin BrownG10/9/2012(hamstring) - is on injured reserve
David NelsonWR9/11/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Ron BrooksCB9/4/2012(foot) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Zebrie SandersT9/1/2012(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Mike CaussinTE8/27/2012(knee) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Torell TroupDT8/23/2012(back) - is on injured reserve
Carolina Panthers
Brandon LaFellWR10/31/2012(concussion) - is doubtful for Sunday's game against Washington
Antwan ApplewhiteDE10/29/2012(thigh) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Washington
Dwan EdwardsDT10/29/2012(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Washington
Thomas KeiserDE10/29/2012(calf) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Washington
Jon BeasonLB10/24/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Chris GambleCB10/22/2012(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Kenny OnatoluLB10/17/2012(triceps) - is on injured reserve
Ryan KalilC10/10/2012(foot) - is on injured reserve
Mike PollakG10/6/2012(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Tauren PooleCB8/31/2012(ribs) - is on injured reserve
David GettisWR8/27/2012(knee) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Nate NessCB8/21/2012(concussion) - is on injured reserve
Lee ZiembaT8/13/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Chicago Bears
Brody EldridgeTE10/29/2012(illness) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Tennessee
Alshon JefferyWR10/8/2012(hand) - is expected to miss 4-6 weeks
Lorenzo BookerRB9/8/2012(head) - is on injured reserve
Johnny KnoxWR8/27/2012(back) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Brandon HardinS8/25/2012(neck) - is on injured reserve
Cincinnati Bengals
Armon BinnsWR10/29/2012(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Denver
Brian LeonardFB10/29/2012(rib) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Denver
Marvin JonesWR10/29/2012(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Denver
Bernard ScottRB10/8/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Jamaal AndersonDE9/18/2012(quadricep) - is on injured reserve
Thomas HowardLB9/14/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Kyle CookC9/4/2012(foot) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Pat SimsDT8/31/2012(hamstring) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Tony DyeS8/31/2012(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Brandon GheeCB8/24/2012(wrist) - is on injured reserve
Robert SandsS8/24/2012(chest) - is on injured reserve
Taveon RogersCB8/24/2012(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Travelle WhartonG8/24/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Shaun PraterCB8/4/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Cleveland Browns
Emmanuel StephensDE10/30/2012(neck) - is on injured reserve
Ahtyba RubinDT10/29/2012(calf) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Baltimore
Dimitri PattersonCB10/29/2012(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Baltimore
Mohamed MassaquoiWR10/29/2012(hamstring) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Baltimore
Ryan MillerG10/29/2012(illness) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Baltimore
Tashaun GipsonS10/29/2012(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Baltimore
Scott FujitaLB10/24/2012(neck) - is on injured reserve
Jason PinkstonG10/22/2012(chest) - is on injured reserve
Jordan NorwoodWR10/12/2012(foot) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Auston EnglishDE8/31/2012(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Chris GocongLB8/27/2012(Achilles) - is on injured reserve
Emmanuel AchoLB8/27/2012(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Phillip TaylorDT8/27/2012(chest) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Eddie WilliamsFB8/17/2012(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Dallas Cowboys
DeMarco MurrayRB10/31/2012(foot) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Atlanta
Dez BryantWR10/31/2012(hip) - is probable for Sunday's game against Atlanta
Dan ConnorLB10/29/2012(neck) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Atlanta
Phil CostaC10/29/2012(leg/ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Atlanta
Sean LissemoreDT10/29/2012(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Atlanta
Chris JonesP10/24/2012(left knee) - is on injured reserve
Sean LeeLB10/24/2012(toe) - is on injured reserve
Matt JohnsonS10/19/2012(hamstring) - is out indefinitely
Barry ChurchS9/25/2012(Achilles) - is on injured reserve
Donovan KempWR8/28/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Kevin KowalskiC8/27/2012(ankle) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform List
Caleb McSurdyLB8/16/2012(Achilles) - is on injured reserve
Denver Broncos
Joe MaysLB10/30/2012(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Tracy PorterCB10/29/2012(illness) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Cincinnati
J.D. WaltonC10/1/2012(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Quinton CarterS9/29/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Philip BlakeC9/18/2012(thumb) - is on injured reserve
Ty WarrenDT9/11/2012(triceps) - is on injured reserve
Jeremy BealDE8/31/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Jason HunterDE8/27/2012(triceps) - is on injured reserve
Mario FanninRB8/6/2012(Achilles) - is on injured reserve
D'Andre GoodwinWR8/3/2012(ankle) - is on injured reserve
D.J. WilliamsLB5/1/2012(nine-game suspension) - will be eligible to return on 11/18 against San Diego
Detroit Lions
Louis DelmasS10/31/2012(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Jacksonville
Mikel LeshoureRB10/31/2012(leg) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Jacksonville
Amari SpieveyS10/29/2012(head) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Jacksonville
Bill BentleyCB10/29/2012(shoulder) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Jacksonville
Calvin JohnsonWR10/29/2012(knee) - is probable for Sunday's game against Jacksonville
DeAndre LevyLB10/29/2012(hamstring) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Jacksonville
Jacob LaceyCB10/29/2012(concussion) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Jacksonville
Nate BurlesonWR10/24/2012(leg) - is on injured reserve
Drayton FlorenceCB9/19/2012(forearm) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Bill NagyG8/27/2012(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Chris GreenwoodCB8/27/2012(abdomen) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Jahvid BestRB8/27/2012(concussion) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Jerome HarrisonRB7/30/2012(illness) - is on the reserve/non-football injury list
Green Bay Packers
John KuhnFB10/31/2012(calf) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Arizona
Jerel WorthyDE10/29/2012(head) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Arizona
Jordy NelsonWR10/29/2012(hamstring) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Arizona
Nick PerryLB10/29/2012(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Arizona
Sam ShieldsCB10/29/2012(shin) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Arizona
Greg JenningsWR10/25/2012(abdominal) - is out indefinitely
Charles WoodsonS10/22/2012(collarbone) - is expected to miss six weeks
D.J. SmithLB10/16/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Brandon SaineRB10/15/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Cedric BensonRB10/10/2012(foot) - is on injured reserve recall list
Derek SherrodT8/31/2012(leg) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Desmond BishopLB8/28/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
DeMarco CosbyTE8/27/2012(hamstring) - is on injured reserve
Frank ZomboLB8/27/2012(ankle) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Jaymes BrooksG8/27/2012(hamstring) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Johnny JonesDE8/27/2012(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Mike McCabeT8/27/2012(hip) - is on injured reserve
Ray DominguezG8/27/2012(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Houston Texans
Andre JohnsonWR10/31/2012(personal) - is probable for Sunday's game against Buffalo
Ben TateRB10/31/2012(hamstring) - is doubtful for Sunday's game against Buffalo
Jesse NadingLB10/29/2012(foot/neck) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Buffalo
Quintin DempsS10/29/2012(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Buffalo
David HunterDE10/25/2012(foot) - is on injured reserve
Tim JamisonDE10/16/2012(Achilles) - is on injured reserve
Brian CushingLB10/10/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Rashad ButlerT8/31/2012(triceps) - is on injured reserve
Darryl SharptonLB8/27/2012(hip) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Randy BullockK8/26/2012(groin) - is on injured reserve
Ra'Shon HarrisDT8/22/2012(triceps) - is on injured reserve
Keyaron FoxLB8/9/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Indianapolis Colts
Coby FleenerTE10/31/2012(shoulder) - will miss at least two weeks
Darius ButlerCB10/29/2012(shoulder) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Miami
Fili MoalaDT10/29/2012(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Miami
Robert MathisLB10/29/2012(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Miami
Vontae DavisCB10/29/2012(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Miami
Seth OlsenG10/8/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Austin CollieWR9/24/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Korey LindseyCB8/31/2012(concussion) - is on injured reserve
Deji KarimRB8/27/2012(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Griff WhalenWR8/27/2012(foot) - is on injured reserve
Tim FuggerLB8/27/2012(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Brandon McKinneyDT8/26/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Scott LutrusLB8/14/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Josh ChapmanDT8/4/2012(knee) - is on the reserve/non-football injury list
A.J. EddsLB8/3/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Ben IjalanaT8/1/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Jacksonville Jaguars
Derek CoxCB10/29/2012(back) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Detroit
Montell OwensRB10/29/2012(shoulder) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Detroit
Rashean MathisCB10/29/2012(groin) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Detroit
Daryl SmithLB10/25/2012(groin) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Maurice Jones-DrewRB10/22/2012(foot) - is out indefinitely
Dwight LoweryS10/10/2012(ankle/foot) - is out indefinitely
Brett BrackettTE9/4/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Will RackleyG8/31/2012(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Brock BolenFB8/28/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Clint SessionLB8/27/2012(concussion) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Drew NowakG8/27/2012(foot) - is on injured reserve
Jason SpitzG8/27/2012(ankle) - is on injured reserve
John EstesC8/27/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Taylor PriceWR8/27/2012(foot) - is on injured reserve
Matt VeldmanTE8/25/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Reggie CornerCB7/30/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Kansas City Chiefs
Brady QuinnQB10/30/2012(head) - will miss Thursday's game against San Diego
Nate EachusRB10/30/2012(head) - will miss Thursday's game against San Diego
Stanford RouttTE10/30/2012(hamstring) - is questionable for Thursday's game against San Diego
Terrance CopperWR10/30/2012(calf) - is questionable for Thursday's game against San Diego
Devon WylieWR10/29/2012(hamstring) - is probable for Thursday's game against San Diego
Glenn DorseyDE10/29/2012(calf) - is questionable for Thursday's game against San Diego
Steve ManeriTE10/29/2012(ankle) - is questionable for Thursday's game against San Diego
Kevin BossTE10/3/2012(concussion) - is on injured reserve
Rodney HudsonC9/26/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Jacques ReevesCB9/25/2012(hamstring) - is on injured reserve
Alex TanneyQB8/31/2012(finger) - is on injured reserve
DeQuan MenzieCB8/31/2012(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Kyle McCarthyS7/30/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Martin RuckerTE6/13/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Miami Dolphins
Ryan TannehillQB10/31/2012(knee/quadriceps) - is probable for Sunday's game against Indianapolis
Richard MarshallCB10/29/2012(back) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Indianapolis
Kelcie McCrayS8/27/2012(foot) - is on injured reserve
Jonas GrayRB8/25/2012(knee) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Minnesota Vikings
John CarlsonTE10/31/2012(concussion) - is expected to miss Sunday's game against Seattle
Mistral RaymondS10/29/2012(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Seattle
Chris CookCB10/26/2012(arm) - is on the injured reserve recall list
DeMarcus LoveT9/3/2012(pectoral) - is on injured reserve
Greg ChildsWR8/26/2012(knees) - is on injured reserve
New England Patriots
Aaron HernandezTE10/29/2012(ankle) - is questionable for 11/11 against Buffalo
Brandon BoldenRB10/29/2012(knee) - is questionable for 11/11 against Buffalo
Kyle ArringtonCB10/29/2012(head) - is questionable for 11/11 against Buffalo
Logan MankinsG10/29/2012(calf/hip) - is questionable for 11/11 against Buffalo
Pat ChungS10/29/2012(shoulder) - is questionable for 11/11 against Buffalo
Steve GregoryS10/29/2012(hip) - is questionable for 11/11 against Buffalo
Tracy WhiteLB10/29/2012(foot) - is questionable for 11/11 against Buffalo
Trevor ScottDE10/29/2012(hamstring) - is questionable for 11/11 against Buffalo
Ras-I DowlingCB10/26/2012(quadriceps) - is on injured reserve
Visanthe ShiancoeTE9/5/2012(hamstring) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Jeff DempsRB8/31/2012(leg) - is on injured reserve
Jake BallardTE8/27/2012(knee) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform-list
Josh BarrettS8/27/2012(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Markus ZusevicsT8/27/2012(pectoral) - is on the reserve/non-football injury list
Myron PryorDT8/27/2012(shoulder) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform-list
Spencer LarsenFB8/27/2012(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Will AllenCB8/27/2012(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Dane FletcherLB8/15/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Jamey RichardG8/2/2012(concussion) - is on injured reserve
Brad HermanTE6/12/2012(Achilles) - is on injured reserve
New Orleans Saints
Courtney RobyWR10/31/2012(shoulder) - is questionable for Monday's game against Philadelphia
Daniel GrahamTE10/31/2012(knee) - is questionable for Monday's game against Philadelphia
David HawthorneLB10/31/2012(hamstring) - is questionable for Monday's game against Philadelphia
Joseph MorganWR10/31/2012(chest) - is questionable for Monday's game against Philadelphia
Will SmithDE10/9/2012(four-game suspension) - will be eligible to return on 11/18 against Oakland
Marcel JonesT9/8/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Nick ToonWR9/1/2012(foot) - is on injured reserve
Chris GivensWR8/31/2012(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Chris ChamberlainLB8/19/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Fenuki TupouT8/19/2012(triceps) - is on injured reserve
A.J. DavisCB8/14/2012(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Andrew TillerG8/14/2012(triceps) - is on injured reserve
New York Giants
Ahmad BradshawRB10/31/2012(foot) - is probable for Sunday's game against Pittsburgh
Chase BlackburnLB10/31/2012(hamstring) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Pittsburgh
Antrel RolleS10/29/2012(head) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Pittsburgh
Bear PascoeTE10/29/2012(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Pittsburgh
Jacquian WilliamsLB10/29/2012(calf) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Pittsburgh
Keith RiversLB10/29/2012(calf) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Pittsburgh
Kenny PhillipsS10/29/2012(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Pittsburgh
Rocky BernardDT10/29/2012(quadriceps) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Pittsburgh
Da'Rel ScottRB10/20/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Will HillS10/8/2012(four-game suspension) - will be eligible to return on 11/11 against Cincinnati
Bruce JohnsonCB8/31/2012(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Martin ParkerDT8/31/2012(neck) - is on injured reserve
Shaun RogersDT8/31/2012(calf) - is on injured reserve
Terrell ThomasCB8/31/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Travis BeckumTE8/27/2012(knee) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Brandon MosleyG8/17/2012(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Justin TrattouDE8/17/2012(ankle) - is on injured reserve
New York Jets
Bart ScottLB10/29/2012(toe) - is questionable for 11/11 against Seattle
Bilal PowellRB10/29/2012(shoulder) - is questionable for 11/11 against Seattle
Jeff CumberlandTE10/29/2012(hand) - is questionable for 11/11 against Seattle
Joe McKnightRB10/29/2012(ankle) - is questionable for 11/11 against Seattle
Darrelle RevisCB10/12/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Josh MaugaLB10/10/2012(pectoral) - is on injured reserve
Kenrick EllisDT10/10/2012(knee) - is expected to miss 4-6 weeks
Eric SmithS10/9/2012(knee) - is questionable for 11/11 against Seattle
Santonio HolmesWR10/3/2012(foot) - is on injured reserve
Oakland Raiders
Mike GoodsonRB10/31/2012(toe) - is probable for Sunday's game against Tampa Bay
Taiwan JonesRB10/29/2012(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Tampa Bay
Travis GoethelLB10/29/2012(back) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Tampa Bay
Khalif BarnesT9/19/2012(groin) - is out indefinitely
Shawntae SpencerCB9/17/2012(foot) - is out indefinitely
Ron BartellCB9/16/2012(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Jacoby FordWR9/15/2012(foot) - is on injured reserve
Aaron CurryLB8/31/2012(knee) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform-list
Jamie CumbieDT8/31/2012(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Marquette KingP8/31/2012(toe) - is on injured reserve
Ed WangT8/29/2012(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Rashawn JacksonRB8/29/2012(hip) - is on injured reserve
Zach HurdT8/29/2012(head) - is on injured reserve
Duke CalhounWR8/17/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Mario KurnLB8/17/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Philadelphia Eagles
Danny WatkinsG10/31/2012(ankle) - is questionable for Monday's game against New Orleans
Mardy GilyardWR10/31/2012(hamstring) - is questionable for Monday's game against New Orleans
Jason KelceC9/18/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Jason PetersT8/27/2012(Achilles) - is on the reserve/non-football injury list
Mike GibsonG8/27/2012(hip) - is on injured reserve
Mike PattersonDT8/27/2012(illness) - is on the reserve/non-football injury list
Ronald JohnsonWR8/2/2012(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Pittsburgh Steelers
Jonathan DwyerRB10/30/2012(quadriceps) - is questionable for Sunday's game against the NY Giants
Troy PolamaluS10/30/2012(calf) - will miss Sunday's game against the NY Giants
Alameda Ta'amuDT10/29/2012(two-game suspension served) - will be eligible to return for Sunday's game against the NY Giants
Brandon JohnsonLB10/29/2012(hamstring) - is questionable for Sunday's game against the NY Giants
Isaac RedmanRB10/29/2012(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against the NY Giants
Rashard MendenhallRB10/29/2012(Achilles) - is questionable for Sunday's game against the NY Giants
Marcus GilbertT10/12/2012(ankle) - is out indefinitely
David DeCastroT9/7/2012(knee) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Sean SpenceLB8/31/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
David JohnsonFB8/13/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
San Diego Chargers
Eddie RoyalWR10/30/2012(hamstring) - is questionable for Thursday's game against Kansas City
Robert MeachemWR10/30/2012(hamstring) - is questionable for Thursday's game against Kansas City
Chris CarrCB10/29/2012(quadricep) - is questionable for Thursday's game against Kansas City
Jared GaitherT10/29/2012(groin) - is probable for Thursday's game against Kansas City
Jonas MoutonLB10/29/2012(hip) - is probable for Thursday's game against Kansas City
Nick HardwickC10/29/2012(abdomen) - is probable for Thursday's game against Kansas City
Richard GoodmanWR10/29/2012(hamstring) - is out indefinitely
Shareece WrightCB10/29/2012(ankle) - is probable for Thursday's game against Kansas City
Takeo SpikesLB10/29/2012(arm) - is probable for Thursday's game against Kansas City
Vaughn MartinDE10/29/2012(neck) - is probable for Thursday's game against Kansas City
Vincent BrownWR9/4/2012(ankle) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Brandyn DombrowskiT8/27/2012(foot) - is on the reserve/non-football injury list
Johnnie TroutmanG8/27/2012(pectoral) - is on the reserve/non-football injury list
San Francisco 49ers
Daniel KilgoreG10/30/2012(head) - is questionable for 11/11 against St. Louis
Parys HaralsonLB9/3/2012(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Darius FlemingLB8/27/2012(knee) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Jewel HamptonRB8/27/2012(undisclosed) - is on the reserve/non-football injury list
Seattle Seahawks
Ben ObomanuWR10/30/2012(wrist) - is on injured reseve
Byron MaxwellCB10/29/2012(hamstring) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Minnesota
Doug BaldwinWR10/29/2012(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Minnesota
Jason JonesDT10/29/2012(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Minnesota
John MoffittG10/29/2012(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Minnesota
Cameron MorrahTE8/31/2012(undisclosed) - is on injured reseve
Dexter DavisLB8/31/2012(hip) - is on injured reseve
Walter ThurmondCB8/31/2012(leg) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform-List
St. Louis Rams
Matt DanielsS10/30/2012(knee) - will be placed on injured reserve
Chris GivensWR10/29/2012(toe) - is questionable for 11/11 against San Francisco
Danny AmendolaWR10/29/2012(collarbone) - is questionable for 11/11 against San Francisco
Eugene SimsDE10/29/2012(knee) - is questionable for 11/11 against San Francisco
Mario HagganLB10/29/2012(thigh) - is questionable for 11/11 against San Francisco
Matt ConrathDE10/29/2012(knee) - is questionable for 11/11 against San Francisco
Rodger SaffoldT10/29/2012(knee) - is questionable for 11/11 against San Francisco
Wayne HunterT10/29/2012(back) - is questionable for 11/11 against San Francisco
Rokevious WatkinsG9/18/2012(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Scott WellsC9/11/2012(foot) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Trevor LawsDT8/27/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carl NicksG10/30/2012(foot) - is on injured reserve
Danny NobleTE10/30/2012(hamstring) - is on injured reserve
Eric WrightCB10/29/2012(Achilles) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Oakland
Aqib TalibCB10/13/2012(four-game suspension) - will be eligible to return on 11/11 against San Diego
Anthony GaitorCB10/9/2012(hamstring) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Adrian ClaybornDE9/25/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Sammie StroughterWR9/21/2012(foot) - is on injured reserve
Desmond WynnG8/27/2012(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Davin JosephG8/25/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Tennessee Titans
Jake LockerQB10/29/2012(shoulder) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Chicago
Leroy HarrisG10/29/2012(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Chicago
Michael RoosT10/29/2012(appendectomy) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Chicago
Patrick BaileyLB10/29/2012(rib) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Chicago
Tommie CampbellCB10/29/2012(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Chicago
Will WitherspoonLB10/29/2012(hamstring) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Chicago
Javon RingerRB10/26/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Zac DilesLB10/24/2012(leg) - is on injured reserve
Keyunta DawsonDE9/26/2012(hamstring) - is on injured reserve
Dave BallDE8/31/2012(concussion) - is on injured reserve
Leger DouzableDT8/31/2012(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Ryan DurandG8/31/2012(finger) - is on injured reserve
Marc MarianiWR8/27/2012(leg) - is on injured reserve
Markelle MartinS8/27/2012(knee) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Eugene AmanoC8/23/2012(triceps) - is on injured reserve
Gerald McRathLB8/23/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Washington Redskins
Doug WorthingtonDE10/29/2012(calf) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Carolina
Fred DavisTE10/22/2012(Achilles) - is on injured reserve
Brandon MeriweatherS10/8/2012(knee) - will miss at least one month
Pierre GarconWR10/8/2012(foot) - is out indefinitely
Roy HeluRB9/26/2012(foot/Achilles) - is on injured reserve
Adam CarrikerDE9/18/2012(quadricep) - is on injured reserve
Brian OrakpoLB9/18/2012(pectoral) - is on injured reserve
Nick SundbergLS9/11/2012(arm) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Jordan BernstineS9/10/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Chase MinnifieldCB8/31/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Chris NeildDT8/31/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Dorson BoyceFB8/31/2012(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Tanard JacksonS8/31/2012(personal) - is suspended indefinitely
Tristan DavisRB8/31/2012(knee) - is on injured reserve
Jammal BrownT8/27/2012(hip) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform List
Darius HanksWR8/15/2012(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Kentwan BalmerDE8/15/2012(personal) - is out indefinitely
 

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Ace Docs is having a field day promoting your 7-0 NFL weekend. Now you have a 411 nfl GOY play Sunday? Lets hope you DON'T have a let down after a perfect last weekend.
 

EX BOOKIE
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Market Report: What Sharps are Betting in NFL Week Nine


Sharps have been relatively quiet this week in NFL betting heading into tonight’s nationally televised game between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Diego Chargers. That tells you Las Vegas oddsmakers are doing a better job of posting opening lines (about time!). But, it also tells you that there are games where professional wagerers are lying in wait for better numbers over the weekend. Sometimes early and midweek silence speaks very loudly when it comes to how the sharps bet the NFL.
Let’s run through what the sharps are betting and thinking (based on our discussions with sources) this week. Games are presented in official rotation order.

KANSAS CITY AT SAN DIEGO: What most grabbed the attention of sharps was that this one opened in the two-teamer teaser window with a line of San Diego -8.5. That meant you could move the Chargers down past both the seven and the three with a six-point move. Sharps who follow the basic strategy principles have already included the Chargers in their weekend mix. Sportsbooks who prefer not to take teasers have either lifted the Chargers to -9, or dropped the game down to -7. You don’t normally see ranges that wide in an NFL game…but different offshore places have different views on teasers! In terms of the game, sharps weren’t fond of either team at the opening price…and don’t really trust San Diego as a favorite right now nor Kansas City to compete hard with anyone. Sharps will fade any game day move from the public. The Wise Guys did move the total down from 43.5 to 42.5 with an Under play involving two struggling offenses in a divisional showdown.

DENVER at CINCINNATI: No interest yet in this one on the opening line of Denver -3.5. As we’ve said in the past…if a game opens a half point away from a critical number…then DOESN’T move…you can determine sharp intent very easily. If sharps liked the dog, they would have bet immediately because the number three is so common. They didn’t do that…which tells you they prefer the favorite. There’s no reason to bet right away with a line like -3.5. This will either be a pass for sharps or a play on the favorite before kickoff. The market has been giving Peyton Manning respect in recent weeks, and rightly so. At the very least, you learn from this game that sharps are sold on Denver as a legitimate AFC power right now, and are convinced that Cincinnati is a non-threat this year even though they made the playoffs last season.

ARIZONA AT GREEN BAY: Another game that hasn’t budged off its opening number. Sharps hit Green Bay hard last Sunday against a Jacksonville team that should have been overmatched. The Packers played so poorly that they almost lost the game outright! Sharps didn’t want to go back to the well again with a double digit home favorite. Arizona’ defense is better than Jacksonville’s, and has a double digit road upset at New England on its resume. Of course, Arizona looked so bad this past Monday against NFC power San Francisco that it’s hard to like them vs. another NFC power like Green Bay. Our sources tell us sharps will take the dog on game day if the public drives the favorite higher.

MIAMI AT INDIANAPOLIS: Interesting game here matching two up-and-comers in the AFC. Both have rookie quarterbacks. Both have a chance to make the playoffs anyway because they play in weak divisions and have found a way to win some early games. Sharps have made it clear in recent weeks that they don’t see these teams as even though. Oddsmakers read that right, and opened Miami at -2 even though they were on the road. That would suggest Miami is FIVE points better on a neutral field. Some sharps hit Miami anyway! We’re seeing -2.5 in most places now…with an understanding that Indianapolis home dog money would come in were the game to move to three. Indianapolis does qualify for basic strategy teaser play at the current line…taking them as a dog up to +8.5. The lessons here are that the market as a whole sees Miami as the clearly superior team now and moving forward…but percentage histories would have some sharps on Indy +3 and in two-team teasers as the home dog.

BALTIMORE AT CLEVELAND: We have a big move here even though it was only half a point! Sharps bet Baltimore -3 on the opener, driving the line to -3.5. We’ve told you in the past that it takes a lot of money to move off a three…and then you know support for the favorite is strong if the game doesn’t buggywhip right back to the key number. This game moved to -3.5 and stayed there. The sharps don’t like Cleveland here as the lesser of the two teams dealing with a well-rested divisional visitor. Byes have been getting respect for the better teams this year, and the Ravens are off a bye. Maybe it’s best to say that the sharps love the potential bye boost in this spot rather than the favorite. Baltimore was a team badly in need of a break given their prior injury situation and recent form.

BUFFALO AT HOUSTON: Interesting here that we have a move toward the dog. Houston opened at -11 and dropped down to -10.5. Buffalo does have garbage time capabilities…and sharps do pay attention to quarterback quality at double digit spreads. We’ve told you in the past that some sharps bet all double digit dogs just on principal. That segment wasn’t active with Arizona in Green Bay with the short preparation week for the Cards, but did step in here enough to move the line a tick. We’re hearing that Houston money would come in at -10…but there’s skepticism the line would move that low. We’re not mentioning many totals because they’ve been quiet this week. The number here did fall from 48.5 to 47.5 with some early Under money. The fact that we DIDN’T see Under interest in Cincinnati, Green Bay, and Cleveland is a virtual weather report for those cities this weekend. Totals plummeted in the Midwest last week when weather was forecast to be a big influence (and early bettors showed a profit with that approach).

CAROLINA AT WASHINGTON: We probably have a weekend tug-of-war spot set up there just above the key number of three. Washington opened at -3.5, and nobody bet them. Some sharps did play the dog…and there’s been enough interest in the dog that some stores are have changed the juice, or dropped the number to three with extra juice on the favorite. These teams seem evenly matched in a lot of ways, and both have young star quarterbacks. Home field is worth three points, and Washington has been in slightly better form this year. Ergo…Carolina +3.5 and Washington -3 are both sharp plays because the chances of the game landing exactly on three are pretty good.

DETROIT AT JACKSONVILLE: The Jaguars impressed enough sharps that the opening line here of Detroit -4 has fallen to -3.5. Detroit has struggled to play past expectations this season, turning most games into a thriller. You want the dog in thrillers! We do hear that sharps would hit Detroit if the game were to drop to the key number of three…unless a game day forecast of rain became a weather equalizer. Jacksonville becomes a more appealing play in the muck. Detroit is more dangerous in great conditions.

CHICAGO AT TENNESSEE: A full point move is rare this week, but we’ve had that in this matchup. Chicago opened at -4.5 and was bet down to -3.5. The Bears were lucky to win last week vs. Carolina, and didn’t sparkle offensively the week before against Detroit. Tennessee did shock Pittsburgh on this field recently. Our sources tell us that those skeptical about the Bears have already bet. Those who still believe in both the Bears and the general NFC dominance of the AFC this year are waiting to see if the line drops further. They’d rather lay the three and are waiting to see if they get it.

MINNESOTA AT SEATTLE: Clear support for Seattle here. The opener of -4 has been bet up to -4.5 or -5. Given the general serenity of the markets this week, that seems like a thunderbolt! Sharps are telling us they don’t think Christian Ponder is likely to have a good game on the road against this strong Seattle defense given his recent struggles. This would have been a bigger play but the Vikings do have a few extra days of preparation time after playing a Thursday Nighter.

TAMPA BAY AT OAKLAND: This will be the final game near the teaser window this week. Oakland opened at -1.5 and has stayed there in most places. That puts Tampa Bay (+) in the teaser window moving them up past the three and the seven. Some stores have moved the game line to Oakland -1 to avoid taking teaser bets. We are hearing some newfound respect for Tampa Bay from sharps after their win in Minnesota. They’re saving their investments for games that involve better prices and don’t involve cross-country trips.

PITTSBURGH AT NY GIANTS: The showcase game of the afternoon will be a tug-of-war game where the home favorite Giants will draw money at -3, but the respected road underdog Pittsburgh will be attractive at +3.5. The opener was Giants -3.5 and the tug started right away at least with vigorish. This will be the most bet game of the afternoon…and sportsbooks will be furious if the final score lands exactly on Giants by three.

DALLAS AT ATLANTA: There are a lot of games in the 4-5-6 nether regions this week, between the key numbers of three and seven, and not near the teaser window. Atlanta opened at -4.5, but has been bet down to -4. Stat guys who believe turnovers regress to the mean are enthusiastic about Dallas posting some results in the coming weeks. The Cowboys have playoff caliber raw stats but a horrible turnover differential. Sharps who think Tony Romo is a turnover machine aren’t betting the Cowboys.

PHILADELPHIA AT NEW ORLEANS: Looks like we’ll finish the week Monday Night with another tug-of-war game. Sharps are generally skeptical of both teams right now…as each has consistently underachieved expectations thus far in 2012. But, it’s not hard for an experienced sharp who’s been through the ringer a few times that Michael Vick +3.5 against a bad defense deserves some consideration…as does Drew Brees -3 at home on a fast track vs. a slumping opponent. For now, there’s more Vick interest than Brees interest because sharps generally shade their passions toward the underdog. The public will likely take New Orleans at -3 on game day…setting up another tug-of-war that sees sportsbooks praying the game doesn’t land exactly on the magic number.
 

EX BOOKIE
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foot note...MYSELF....HMM..TO BE TRUE TO A SYSTEM YOU MUST FOLLOW THE RULES!!!!...THIS MAKES ME SO MAD TO SEE SOMEONE THAT KNOW THE RULES ....NOT TO FOLLOW THEM

i STILL SEE THE ## SYSTEM NUMBERS....NO WAY NYG IS A PLAY....JUST NOT TRUE...ANOTHER ONE IF YOU DIG DEEP IS NOT A PLAY ALSO!!!...THAT ONE i'M ON THE OTHER SIDE AND NYG IS DIE LOCK.

I KNOW MOST OF YOU DONT KNOW WHAT I'M TALKING ABOUT. BUT IT MAKES ME SICK THINKING ABOUT IT.....ALL THAT TIME....WASTED!!!....SAD....... DAD YOU KNOW WHAT I'M SAYING.
 

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