Exbookie Wants to help the players Week 9

[ACE-ACE 2,080]

Investment plays 6-6 -$625
Action plays 19-18 -$1273.00
Total 25-24 -$1898.00
Bankroll $75,000.00
now $73,102.00

411 system now 7-4 61%



The Gambler's Fallacy

Beginning gamblers invariably view their expectations on too narrow a scale. They believe that having a 60 percent expectation means they figure to win 6 of their next 10 bets, or 12 of their next 20 bets, or 30 of their next 50 bets, etc.
Sorry but there is not much chance of that actually happening. The laws of probability are not nearly so precise. As a matter of fact, with a 60 percent expectation, you are not likely to win 6 of your next 10 bets at all.
The idea that expectations will be realized over a very short time is known as the Gambler's Fallacy. It is the same fallacy that causes roulette players to believe that red is more apt to win if black has won several times in a row.
That's not so, of course. Roulette wheels have no memory. It's coincidence. The mathematical law that dictates you will eventually win a number of bets commensurate with your expectation is effective only when dealing with very large numbers. In fact, mathematicians no longer refer to "the law of averages," it's now called the "the law of large numbers."
This same fallacy is at work when sports touts 'prove' they are experts by citing winning records, with only a few observations, such as 10-1, 20-5, 30-8, etc. Even without a good reason, such lop-sided results are bound to occur as a matter of happenstance. They are mathematically inevitable. For example, if all your bets had a winning expect ion of precisely 57.5%, you could expect to win between 48 and 7 of your next 100 bets - a variance from expectation of plus-or-minus 10 percent.
By comparison, you figure to win between 545 and 605 of your next 1,000 bets, which is a variance of only plus or minus 3 percent.
As for your next 10 bets ?...........It's a crapshoot.
It quickly becomes obvious that using past results as proof of future expectations requires having plenty of past results.

The Ping-Pong Balls

It may help to picture this: Let's say a crate of 10,000 Ping-Pong balls falls off a truck in front of your car on the freeway. The box contains 6,000 white Ping-Pong balls and 4,000 yellow Ping-Pong balls, randomly mixed.
The box shatters in front of your car, sending all 10,000 balls bouncing randomly onto the freeway. Let's say you happen to run over and smash exactly ten of those balls. How many white balls do you figure to smash?
The most likely number is six, of course, since 60 percent of the balls are white. But wait - that is only the most likely event of several other very likely events. You are only slightly less likely to smash five white balls, or seven white balls, and only slightly less likely than that to smash four white ones, or eight white ones, etc.....You are restricted to only eleven different possible events:
0-1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10
If you add up all the changes of all the other possible outcomes, smashing anything BUT six white balls out of ten, you can see you are not likely to smash exactly six white balls at all. Even though you do, indeed, have a 60 percent expectations, you will most likely end up with some other 'smash percentage.'
That's because ten observations, or events, are simply too few observations to expect reliable results. The 'universe' of observations, or events, is too small. This is the principle at the very heart of the Gamble Fallacy, and this is the undoing of many a gambler.
And to complicate the matter, if you do not smash precisely six white balls your 'smash percentage' must be at least 10 percent away - or different - from your expectation. Only eleven different outcomes are possible. The closest you can come to 60 percent, unless you hit it on the nose, is either 50 percent or 70 percent.
....But now let's suppose you smashed 1,000 balls instead of ten....In that case, we have a wholly different proposition. In that case, you can be sure you smashed more white balls than yellow ones, and you can be reasonably sure you smashed between 570 and 630 white balls - somewhere between 57 percent and 63 percent of the 1,000 balls smashed. This is assured because the bigger the universe, the more predictable the outcomes, percentage-wise.
Helping your prediction come true with 1,000 'smashes' instead of only 10 'smashes' is the fact that smash 59.9 percent, or 60.1 percent, or 59.8, 60.2 etc. .....With 1,000 balls smashed, you may fail to get precisely the percentage expected, but you cannot miss it by as much as 10 percent. It's virtually impossible to smash only 500 white balls, or as many as 700 white balls because there are too many events more likely to occur; ---- i.e, smashing 599 balls, or 601, or 598 or 602, etc.
Don't rely on double-digit numbers to produce a true expectations; guarantee yourself that you will stay alive long enough to record triple-digit results. That was, and still is, excellent advice.


my 9 years record at the RX TOTAL.......................580-499 +$179,518.00 54%


more to come

Ace

 

[Bruins4Life 3,300]

I hope you aren't counting contest money won in your RX total. That would be misleading.

 

[ACE-ACE 2,080]

I hope you aren't counting contest money won in your RX total. That would be misleading.

you got me...

let's do the one's that count more...just Investment plays...little higher % TOTAL INVESTMENT.194-142 +$154,496.00 58%

 

[ACE-ACE 2,080]

[h=3]YOU CAN WIN WITH PUBIC PLAY...YOU JUST HAVE TO PICK THE BEST ONE


Top NFL Public Bets[/h]

#1 421 Baltimore Ravens 93%

#2 415 Denver Broncos 89%

#3 418 Green Bay Packers 83%

#4 429 Chicago Bears 83%

#5 427 Detroit Lions 82%

#6 433 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 82%

#7 424 Houston Texans 77%

#8 426 Washington Redskins 68%

#9 438 Atlanta Falcons 68%

#10 302 San Diego Chargers 65%

 

[debbiek 0]

"check out the sheets for week 8 STATFOX IS ONE OF THE BEST"

Do you have these for week 9? I thought they were very helpful.

Thanks

 

[ACE-ACE 2,080]

"check out the sheets for week 8 STATFOX IS ONE OF THE BEST"

Do you have these for week 9? I thought they were very helpful.

Thanks

I use outplays on the sheet best part ...will post again for week 9

 

[ACE-ACE 2,080]

stat vs ATS


HOME 51
AWAY 67

DOG 70
FAV 48......FAV HAVE ONLY WON ONE WEEK!!

OVER 60
UNDER 58

POINTS THAT MATTER 20 GAMES OUT OF 118

ACE

 

[NBAFANATIC 0]

stat vs ATS


HOME 51
AWAY 67

DOG 70
FAV 48......FAV HAVE ONLY WON ONE WEEK!!

OVER 60
UNDER 58

POINTS THAT MATTER 20 GAMES OUT OF 118

ACE

Favorites won only one week, maybe thats why you only won one as well, just sayin. How did hoops start out for you?

 

[ACE-ACE 2,080]

Favorites won only one week, maybe thats why you only won one as well, just sayin. How did hoops start out for you?

Week 4 +2442
week5 + 1465
week8

that was 3 weeks

 

[ACE-ACE 2,080]

"check out the sheets for week 8 STATFOX IS ONE OF THE BEST"

Do you have these for week 9? I thought they were very helpful.

Thanks

STATFOX IS DOWN THIS WEEK HOME BASE North Brunswick, New Jersey...and you know what that means

 

[ACE-ACE 2,080]

WinningPoints
http://www.mediafire.com/view/?1dlmdw9ipgbelne

Nellys Green Sheet
http://www.mediafire.com/view/?68rsytbv4mi6ipv

PointWise
http://www.mediafire.com/view/?azhzefzx76c8hg4

PlayBook
http://www.mediafire.com/view/?vbr4kvus431ai1g

ProFootballWeekly
http://www.mediafire.com/view/?ugpe2abb9i5h7b1

PowerSweep
http://www.mediafire.com/view/?pw5cb6jmdi9ztpk

 

[ACE-ACE 2,080]

Don't Let an Injury Cost You a Win.

Arizona Cardinals
Adam Snyder	G	10/30/2012	(quadricep) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Green Bay
Greg Toler	CB	10/30/2012	(hamstring) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Green Bay
Todd Heap	TE	10/30/2012	(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Green Bay
Kevin Kolb	QB	10/16/2012	(ribs) - is out indefinitely
Ryan Williams	RB	10/9/2012	(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Beanie Wells	RB	9/26/2012	(toe) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Jeremy Bridges	T	9/2/2012	(thumb) - is on injured reserve
Javarris James	RB	8/31/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Richard Bartel	QB	8/31/2012	(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Levi Brown	T	8/24/2012	(triceps) - is on injured reserve
Atlanta Falcons
Harry Douglas	WR	10/29/2012	(knee/ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Dallas
Sean Weatherspoon	LB	10/29/2012	(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Dallas
Brent Grimes	CB	9/10/2012	(Achilles) - is on injured reserve
Adam Nissley	TE	8/31/2012	(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Shann Schillinger	S	8/31/2012	(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Will Svitek	T	8/20/2012	(arm) - is on injured reserve
Bradie Ewing	FB	8/11/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Baltimore Ravens
Bryant McKinnie	T	10/29/2012	(hip) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Cleveland
Ma'ake Kemoeatu	DT	10/29/2012	(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Cleveland
Ramon Harewood	T	10/29/2012	(head) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Cleveland
Ray Lewis	LB	10/17/2012	(triceps) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Lardarius Webb	CB	10/16/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Damien Berry	RB	8/31/2012	(neck/shoulder) - is on injured reserve
David Reed	WR	8/31/2012	(knee) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Justin Boren	G	8/31/2012	(foot) - is on injured reserve
Michael McAdoo	LB	8/31/2012	(Achilles) - is on injured reserve
Ricky Brown	LB	8/31/2012	(head) - is on injured reserve
Tommy Streeter	WR	8/31/2012	(foot) - is on injured reserve
Emanuel Cook	S	8/27/2012	(leg) - is on injured reserve
Ryan McBean	DT	8/27/2012	(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Buffalo Bills
Mario Williams	DE	10/31/2012	(wrist) - is probable for Sunday's game against Houston
Cordy Glenn	T	10/29/2012	(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Houston
Kraig Urbik	G	10/29/2012	(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Houston
Chad Rinehart	G	10/22/2012	(knee) - is out indefinitely
Mark Anderson	DE	10/10/2012	(knee) - is out indefinitely
Colin Brown	G	10/9/2012	(hamstring) - is on injured reserve
David Nelson	WR	9/11/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Ron Brooks	CB	9/4/2012	(foot) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Zebrie Sanders	T	9/1/2012	(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Mike Caussin	TE	8/27/2012	(knee) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Torell Troup	DT	8/23/2012	(back) - is on injured reserve
Carolina Panthers
Brandon LaFell	WR	10/31/2012	(concussion) - is doubtful for Sunday's game against Washington
Antwan Applewhite	DE	10/29/2012	(thigh) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Washington
Dwan Edwards	DT	10/29/2012	(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Washington
Thomas Keiser	DE	10/29/2012	(calf) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Washington
Jon Beason	LB	10/24/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Chris Gamble	CB	10/22/2012	(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Kenny Onatolu	LB	10/17/2012	(triceps) - is on injured reserve
Ryan Kalil	C	10/10/2012	(foot) - is on injured reserve
Mike Pollak	G	10/6/2012	(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Tauren Poole	CB	8/31/2012	(ribs) - is on injured reserve
David Gettis	WR	8/27/2012	(knee) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Nate Ness	CB	8/21/2012	(concussion) - is on injured reserve
Lee Ziemba	T	8/13/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Chicago Bears
Brody Eldridge	TE	10/29/2012	(illness) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Tennessee
Alshon Jeffery	WR	10/8/2012	(hand) - is expected to miss 4-6 weeks
Lorenzo Booker	RB	9/8/2012	(head) - is on injured reserve
Johnny Knox	WR	8/27/2012	(back) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Brandon Hardin	S	8/25/2012	(neck) - is on injured reserve
Cincinnati Bengals
Armon Binns	WR	10/29/2012	(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Denver
Brian Leonard	FB	10/29/2012	(rib) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Denver
Marvin Jones	WR	10/29/2012	(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Denver
Bernard Scott	RB	10/8/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Jamaal Anderson	DE	9/18/2012	(quadricep) - is on injured reserve
Thomas Howard	LB	9/14/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Kyle Cook	C	9/4/2012	(foot) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Pat Sims	DT	8/31/2012	(hamstring) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Tony Dye	S	8/31/2012	(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Brandon Ghee	CB	8/24/2012	(wrist) - is on injured reserve
Robert Sands	S	8/24/2012	(chest) - is on injured reserve
Taveon Rogers	CB	8/24/2012	(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Travelle Wharton	G	8/24/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Shaun Prater	CB	8/4/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Cleveland Browns
Emmanuel Stephens	DE	10/30/2012	(neck) - is on injured reserve
Ahtyba Rubin	DT	10/29/2012	(calf) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Baltimore
Dimitri Patterson	CB	10/29/2012	(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Baltimore
Mohamed Massaquoi	WR	10/29/2012	(hamstring) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Baltimore
Ryan Miller	G	10/29/2012	(illness) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Baltimore
Tashaun Gipson	S	10/29/2012	(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Baltimore
Scott Fujita	LB	10/24/2012	(neck) - is on injured reserve
Jason Pinkston	G	10/22/2012	(chest) - is on injured reserve
Jordan Norwood	WR	10/12/2012	(foot) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Auston English	DE	8/31/2012	(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Chris Gocong	LB	8/27/2012	(Achilles) - is on injured reserve
Emmanuel Acho	LB	8/27/2012	(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Phillip Taylor	DT	8/27/2012	(chest) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Eddie Williams	FB	8/17/2012	(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Dallas Cowboys
DeMarco Murray	RB	10/31/2012	(foot) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Atlanta
Dez Bryant	WR	10/31/2012	(hip) - is probable for Sunday's game against Atlanta
Dan Connor	LB	10/29/2012	(neck) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Atlanta
Phil Costa	C	10/29/2012	(leg/ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Atlanta
Sean Lissemore	DT	10/29/2012	(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Atlanta
Chris Jones	P	10/24/2012	(left knee) - is on injured reserve
Sean Lee	LB	10/24/2012	(toe) - is on injured reserve
Matt Johnson	S	10/19/2012	(hamstring) - is out indefinitely
Barry Church	S	9/25/2012	(Achilles) - is on injured reserve
Donovan Kemp	WR	8/28/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Kevin Kowalski	C	8/27/2012	(ankle) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform List
Caleb McSurdy	LB	8/16/2012	(Achilles) - is on injured reserve
Denver Broncos
Joe Mays	LB	10/30/2012	(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Tracy Porter	CB	10/29/2012	(illness) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Cincinnati
J.D. Walton	C	10/1/2012	(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Quinton Carter	S	9/29/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Philip Blake	C	9/18/2012	(thumb) - is on injured reserve
Ty Warren	DT	9/11/2012	(triceps) - is on injured reserve
Jeremy Beal	DE	8/31/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Jason Hunter	DE	8/27/2012	(triceps) - is on injured reserve
Mario Fannin	RB	8/6/2012	(Achilles) - is on injured reserve
D'Andre Goodwin	WR	8/3/2012	(ankle) - is on injured reserve
D.J. Williams	LB	5/1/2012	(nine-game suspension) - will be eligible to return on 11/18 against San Diego
Detroit Lions
Louis Delmas	S	10/31/2012	(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Jacksonville
Mikel Leshoure	RB	10/31/2012	(leg) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Jacksonville
Amari Spievey	S	10/29/2012	(head) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Jacksonville
Bill Bentley	CB	10/29/2012	(shoulder) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Jacksonville
Calvin Johnson	WR	10/29/2012	(knee) - is probable for Sunday's game against Jacksonville
DeAndre Levy	LB	10/29/2012	(hamstring) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Jacksonville
Jacob Lacey	CB	10/29/2012	(concussion) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Jacksonville
Nate Burleson	WR	10/24/2012	(leg) - is on injured reserve
Drayton Florence	CB	9/19/2012	(forearm) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Bill Nagy	G	8/27/2012	(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Chris Greenwood	CB	8/27/2012	(abdomen) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Jahvid Best	RB	8/27/2012	(concussion) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Jerome Harrison	RB	7/30/2012	(illness) - is on the reserve/non-football injury list
Green Bay Packers
John Kuhn	FB	10/31/2012	(calf) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Arizona
Jerel Worthy	DE	10/29/2012	(head) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Arizona
Jordy Nelson	WR	10/29/2012	(hamstring) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Arizona
Nick Perry	LB	10/29/2012	(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Arizona
Sam Shields	CB	10/29/2012	(shin) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Arizona
Greg Jennings	WR	10/25/2012	(abdominal) - is out indefinitely
Charles Woodson	S	10/22/2012	(collarbone) - is expected to miss six weeks
D.J. Smith	LB	10/16/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Brandon Saine	RB	10/15/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Cedric Benson	RB	10/10/2012	(foot) - is on injured reserve recall list
Derek Sherrod	T	8/31/2012	(leg) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Desmond Bishop	LB	8/28/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
DeMarco Cosby	TE	8/27/2012	(hamstring) - is on injured reserve
Frank Zombo	LB	8/27/2012	(ankle) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Jaymes Brooks	G	8/27/2012	(hamstring) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Johnny Jones	DE	8/27/2012	(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Mike McCabe	T	8/27/2012	(hip) - is on injured reserve
Ray Dominguez	G	8/27/2012	(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Houston Texans
Andre Johnson	WR	10/31/2012	(personal) - is probable for Sunday's game against Buffalo
Ben Tate	RB	10/31/2012	(hamstring) - is doubtful for Sunday's game against Buffalo
Jesse Nading	LB	10/29/2012	(foot/neck) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Buffalo
Quintin Demps	S	10/29/2012	(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Buffalo
David Hunter	DE	10/25/2012	(foot) - is on injured reserve
Tim Jamison	DE	10/16/2012	(Achilles) - is on injured reserve
Brian Cushing	LB	10/10/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Rashad Butler	T	8/31/2012	(triceps) - is on injured reserve
Darryl Sharpton	LB	8/27/2012	(hip) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Randy Bullock	K	8/26/2012	(groin) - is on injured reserve
Ra'Shon Harris	DT	8/22/2012	(triceps) - is on injured reserve
Keyaron Fox	LB	8/9/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Indianapolis Colts
Coby Fleener	TE	10/31/2012	(shoulder) - will miss at least two weeks
Darius Butler	CB	10/29/2012	(shoulder) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Miami
Fili Moala	DT	10/29/2012	(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Miami
Robert Mathis	LB	10/29/2012	(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Miami
Vontae Davis	CB	10/29/2012	(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Miami
Seth Olsen	G	10/8/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Austin Collie	WR	9/24/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Korey Lindsey	CB	8/31/2012	(concussion) - is on injured reserve
Deji Karim	RB	8/27/2012	(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Griff Whalen	WR	8/27/2012	(foot) - is on injured reserve
Tim Fugger	LB	8/27/2012	(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Brandon McKinney	DT	8/26/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Scott Lutrus	LB	8/14/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Josh Chapman	DT	8/4/2012	(knee) - is on the reserve/non-football injury list
A.J. Edds	LB	8/3/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Ben Ijalana	T	8/1/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Jacksonville Jaguars
Derek Cox	CB	10/29/2012	(back) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Detroit
Montell Owens	RB	10/29/2012	(shoulder) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Detroit
Rashean Mathis	CB	10/29/2012	(groin) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Detroit
Daryl Smith	LB	10/25/2012	(groin) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Maurice Jones-Drew	RB	10/22/2012	(foot) - is out indefinitely
Dwight Lowery	S	10/10/2012	(ankle/foot) - is out indefinitely
Brett Brackett	TE	9/4/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Will Rackley	G	8/31/2012	(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Brock Bolen	FB	8/28/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Clint Session	LB	8/27/2012	(concussion) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Drew Nowak	G	8/27/2012	(foot) - is on injured reserve
Jason Spitz	G	8/27/2012	(ankle) - is on injured reserve
John Estes	C	8/27/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Taylor Price	WR	8/27/2012	(foot) - is on injured reserve
Matt Veldman	TE	8/25/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Reggie Corner	CB	7/30/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Kansas City Chiefs
Brady Quinn	QB	10/30/2012	(head) - will miss Thursday's game against San Diego
Nate Eachus	RB	10/30/2012	(head) - will miss Thursday's game against San Diego
Stanford Routt	TE	10/30/2012	(hamstring) - is questionable for Thursday's game against San Diego
Terrance Copper	WR	10/30/2012	(calf) - is questionable for Thursday's game against San Diego
Devon Wylie	WR	10/29/2012	(hamstring) - is probable for Thursday's game against San Diego
Glenn Dorsey	DE	10/29/2012	(calf) - is questionable for Thursday's game against San Diego
Steve Maneri	TE	10/29/2012	(ankle) - is questionable for Thursday's game against San Diego
Kevin Boss	TE	10/3/2012	(concussion) - is on injured reserve
Rodney Hudson	C	9/26/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Jacques Reeves	CB	9/25/2012	(hamstring) - is on injured reserve
Alex Tanney	QB	8/31/2012	(finger) - is on injured reserve
DeQuan Menzie	CB	8/31/2012	(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Kyle McCarthy	S	7/30/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Martin Rucker	TE	6/13/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Miami Dolphins
Ryan Tannehill	QB	10/31/2012	(knee/quadriceps) - is probable for Sunday's game against Indianapolis
Richard Marshall	CB	10/29/2012	(back) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Indianapolis
Kelcie McCray	S	8/27/2012	(foot) - is on injured reserve
Jonas Gray	RB	8/25/2012	(knee) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Minnesota Vikings
John Carlson	TE	10/31/2012	(concussion) - is expected to miss Sunday's game against Seattle
Mistral Raymond	S	10/29/2012	(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Seattle
Chris Cook	CB	10/26/2012	(arm) - is on the injured reserve recall list
DeMarcus Love	T	9/3/2012	(pectoral) - is on injured reserve
Greg Childs	WR	8/26/2012	(knees) - is on injured reserve
New England Patriots
Aaron Hernandez	TE	10/29/2012	(ankle) - is questionable for 11/11 against Buffalo
Brandon Bolden	RB	10/29/2012	(knee) - is questionable for 11/11 against Buffalo
Kyle Arrington	CB	10/29/2012	(head) - is questionable for 11/11 against Buffalo
Logan Mankins	G	10/29/2012	(calf/hip) - is questionable for 11/11 against Buffalo
Pat Chung	S	10/29/2012	(shoulder) - is questionable for 11/11 against Buffalo
Steve Gregory	S	10/29/2012	(hip) - is questionable for 11/11 against Buffalo
Tracy White	LB	10/29/2012	(foot) - is questionable for 11/11 against Buffalo
Trevor Scott	DE	10/29/2012	(hamstring) - is questionable for 11/11 against Buffalo
Ras-I Dowling	CB	10/26/2012	(quadriceps) - is on injured reserve
Visanthe Shiancoe	TE	9/5/2012	(hamstring) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Jeff Demps	RB	8/31/2012	(leg) - is on injured reserve
Jake Ballard	TE	8/27/2012	(knee) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform-list
Josh Barrett	S	8/27/2012	(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Markus Zusevics	T	8/27/2012	(pectoral) - is on the reserve/non-football injury list
Myron Pryor	DT	8/27/2012	(shoulder) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform-list
Spencer Larsen	FB	8/27/2012	(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Will Allen	CB	8/27/2012	(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Dane Fletcher	LB	8/15/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Jamey Richard	G	8/2/2012	(concussion) - is on injured reserve
Brad Herman	TE	6/12/2012	(Achilles) - is on injured reserve
New Orleans Saints
Courtney Roby	WR	10/31/2012	(shoulder) - is questionable for Monday's game against Philadelphia
Daniel Graham	TE	10/31/2012	(knee) - is questionable for Monday's game against Philadelphia
David Hawthorne	LB	10/31/2012	(hamstring) - is questionable for Monday's game against Philadelphia
Joseph Morgan	WR	10/31/2012	(chest) - is questionable for Monday's game against Philadelphia
Will Smith	DE	10/9/2012	(four-game suspension) - will be eligible to return on 11/18 against Oakland
Marcel Jones	T	9/8/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Nick Toon	WR	9/1/2012	(foot) - is on injured reserve
Chris Givens	WR	8/31/2012	(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Chris Chamberlain	LB	8/19/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Fenuki Tupou	T	8/19/2012	(triceps) - is on injured reserve
A.J. Davis	CB	8/14/2012	(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Andrew Tiller	G	8/14/2012	(triceps) - is on injured reserve
New York Giants
Ahmad Bradshaw	RB	10/31/2012	(foot) - is probable for Sunday's game against Pittsburgh
Chase Blackburn	LB	10/31/2012	(hamstring) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Pittsburgh
Antrel Rolle	S	10/29/2012	(head) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Pittsburgh
Bear Pascoe	TE	10/29/2012	(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Pittsburgh
Jacquian Williams	LB	10/29/2012	(calf) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Pittsburgh
Keith Rivers	LB	10/29/2012	(calf) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Pittsburgh
Kenny Phillips	S	10/29/2012	(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Pittsburgh
Rocky Bernard	DT	10/29/2012	(quadriceps) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Pittsburgh
Da'Rel Scott	RB	10/20/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Will Hill	S	10/8/2012	(four-game suspension) - will be eligible to return on 11/11 against Cincinnati
Bruce Johnson	CB	8/31/2012	(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Martin Parker	DT	8/31/2012	(neck) - is on injured reserve
Shaun Rogers	DT	8/31/2012	(calf) - is on injured reserve
Terrell Thomas	CB	8/31/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Travis Beckum	TE	8/27/2012	(knee) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Brandon Mosley	G	8/17/2012	(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Justin Trattou	DE	8/17/2012	(ankle) - is on injured reserve
New York Jets
Bart Scott	LB	10/29/2012	(toe) - is questionable for 11/11 against Seattle
Bilal Powell	RB	10/29/2012	(shoulder) - is questionable for 11/11 against Seattle
Jeff Cumberland	TE	10/29/2012	(hand) - is questionable for 11/11 against Seattle
Joe McKnight	RB	10/29/2012	(ankle) - is questionable for 11/11 against Seattle
Darrelle Revis	CB	10/12/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Josh Mauga	LB	10/10/2012	(pectoral) - is on injured reserve
Kenrick Ellis	DT	10/10/2012	(knee) - is expected to miss 4-6 weeks
Eric Smith	S	10/9/2012	(knee) - is questionable for 11/11 against Seattle
Santonio Holmes	WR	10/3/2012	(foot) - is on injured reserve
Oakland Raiders
Mike Goodson	RB	10/31/2012	(toe) - is probable for Sunday's game against Tampa Bay
Taiwan Jones	RB	10/29/2012	(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Tampa Bay
Travis Goethel	LB	10/29/2012	(back) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Tampa Bay
Khalif Barnes	T	9/19/2012	(groin) - is out indefinitely
Shawntae Spencer	CB	9/17/2012	(foot) - is out indefinitely
Ron Bartell	CB	9/16/2012	(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Jacoby Ford	WR	9/15/2012	(foot) - is on injured reserve
Aaron Curry	LB	8/31/2012	(knee) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform-list
Jamie Cumbie	DT	8/31/2012	(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Marquette King	P	8/31/2012	(toe) - is on injured reserve
Ed Wang	T	8/29/2012	(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Rashawn Jackson	RB	8/29/2012	(hip) - is on injured reserve
Zach Hurd	T	8/29/2012	(head) - is on injured reserve
Duke Calhoun	WR	8/17/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Mario Kurn	LB	8/17/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Philadelphia Eagles
Danny Watkins	G	10/31/2012	(ankle) - is questionable for Monday's game against New Orleans
Mardy Gilyard	WR	10/31/2012	(hamstring) - is questionable for Monday's game against New Orleans
Jason Kelce	C	9/18/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Jason Peters	T	8/27/2012	(Achilles) - is on the reserve/non-football injury list
Mike Gibson	G	8/27/2012	(hip) - is on injured reserve
Mike Patterson	DT	8/27/2012	(illness) - is on the reserve/non-football injury list
Ronald Johnson	WR	8/2/2012	(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Pittsburgh Steelers
Jonathan Dwyer	RB	10/30/2012	(quadriceps) - is questionable for Sunday's game against the NY Giants
Troy Polamalu	S	10/30/2012	(calf) - will miss Sunday's game against the NY Giants
Alameda Ta'amu	DT	10/29/2012	(two-game suspension served) - will be eligible to return for Sunday's game against the NY Giants
Brandon Johnson	LB	10/29/2012	(hamstring) - is questionable for Sunday's game against the NY Giants
Isaac Redman	RB	10/29/2012	(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against the NY Giants
Rashard Mendenhall	RB	10/29/2012	(Achilles) - is questionable for Sunday's game against the NY Giants
Marcus Gilbert	T	10/12/2012	(ankle) - is out indefinitely
David DeCastro	T	9/7/2012	(knee) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Sean Spence	LB	8/31/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
David Johnson	FB	8/13/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
San Diego Chargers
Eddie Royal	WR	10/30/2012	(hamstring) - is questionable for Thursday's game against Kansas City
Robert Meachem	WR	10/30/2012	(hamstring) - is questionable for Thursday's game against Kansas City
Chris Carr	CB	10/29/2012	(quadricep) - is questionable for Thursday's game against Kansas City
Jared Gaither	T	10/29/2012	(groin) - is probable for Thursday's game against Kansas City
Jonas Mouton	LB	10/29/2012	(hip) - is probable for Thursday's game against Kansas City
Nick Hardwick	C	10/29/2012	(abdomen) - is probable for Thursday's game against Kansas City
Richard Goodman	WR	10/29/2012	(hamstring) - is out indefinitely
Shareece Wright	CB	10/29/2012	(ankle) - is probable for Thursday's game against Kansas City
Takeo Spikes	LB	10/29/2012	(arm) - is probable for Thursday's game against Kansas City
Vaughn Martin	DE	10/29/2012	(neck) - is probable for Thursday's game against Kansas City
Vincent Brown	WR	9/4/2012	(ankle) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Brandyn Dombrowski	T	8/27/2012	(foot) - is on the reserve/non-football injury list
Johnnie Troutman	G	8/27/2012	(pectoral) - is on the reserve/non-football injury list
San Francisco 49ers
Daniel Kilgore	G	10/30/2012	(head) - is questionable for 11/11 against St. Louis
Parys Haralson	LB	9/3/2012	(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Darius Fleming	LB	8/27/2012	(knee) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Jewel Hampton	RB	8/27/2012	(undisclosed) - is on the reserve/non-football injury list
Seattle Seahawks
Ben Obomanu	WR	10/30/2012	(wrist) - is on injured reseve
Byron Maxwell	CB	10/29/2012	(hamstring) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Minnesota
Doug Baldwin	WR	10/29/2012	(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Minnesota
Jason Jones	DT	10/29/2012	(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Minnesota
John Moffitt	G	10/29/2012	(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Minnesota
Cameron Morrah	TE	8/31/2012	(undisclosed) - is on injured reseve
Dexter Davis	LB	8/31/2012	(hip) - is on injured reseve
Walter Thurmond	CB	8/31/2012	(leg) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform-List
St. Louis Rams
Matt Daniels	S	10/30/2012	(knee) - will be placed on injured reserve
Chris Givens	WR	10/29/2012	(toe) - is questionable for 11/11 against San Francisco
Danny Amendola	WR	10/29/2012	(collarbone) - is questionable for 11/11 against San Francisco
Eugene Sims	DE	10/29/2012	(knee) - is questionable for 11/11 against San Francisco
Mario Haggan	LB	10/29/2012	(thigh) - is questionable for 11/11 against San Francisco
Matt Conrath	DE	10/29/2012	(knee) - is questionable for 11/11 against San Francisco
Rodger Saffold	T	10/29/2012	(knee) - is questionable for 11/11 against San Francisco
Wayne Hunter	T	10/29/2012	(back) - is questionable for 11/11 against San Francisco
Rokevious Watkins	G	9/18/2012	(ankle) - is on injured reserve
Scott Wells	C	9/11/2012	(foot) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Trevor Laws	DT	8/27/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carl Nicks	G	10/30/2012	(foot) - is on injured reserve
Danny Noble	TE	10/30/2012	(hamstring) - is on injured reserve
Eric Wright	CB	10/29/2012	(Achilles) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Oakland
Aqib Talib	CB	10/13/2012	(four-game suspension) - will be eligible to return on 11/11 against San Diego
Anthony Gaitor	CB	10/9/2012	(hamstring) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Adrian Clayborn	DE	9/25/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Sammie Stroughter	WR	9/21/2012	(foot) - is on injured reserve
Desmond Wynn	G	8/27/2012	(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Davin Joseph	G	8/25/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Tennessee Titans
Jake Locker	QB	10/29/2012	(shoulder) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Chicago
Leroy Harris	G	10/29/2012	(knee) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Chicago
Michael Roos	T	10/29/2012	(appendectomy) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Chicago
Patrick Bailey	LB	10/29/2012	(rib) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Chicago
Tommie Campbell	CB	10/29/2012	(ankle) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Chicago
Will Witherspoon	LB	10/29/2012	(hamstring) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Chicago
Javon Ringer	RB	10/26/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Zac Diles	LB	10/24/2012	(leg) - is on injured reserve
Keyunta Dawson	DE	9/26/2012	(hamstring) - is on injured reserve
Dave Ball	DE	8/31/2012	(concussion) - is on injured reserve
Leger Douzable	DT	8/31/2012	(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Ryan Durand	G	8/31/2012	(finger) - is on injured reserve
Marc Mariani	WR	8/27/2012	(leg) - is on injured reserve
Markelle Martin	S	8/27/2012	(knee) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform list
Eugene Amano	C	8/23/2012	(triceps) - is on injured reserve
Gerald McRath	LB	8/23/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Washington Redskins
Doug Worthington	DE	10/29/2012	(calf) - is questionable for Sunday's game against Carolina
Fred Davis	TE	10/22/2012	(Achilles) - is on injured reserve
Brandon Meriweather	S	10/8/2012	(knee) - will miss at least one month
Pierre Garcon	WR	10/8/2012	(foot) - is out indefinitely
Roy Helu	RB	9/26/2012	(foot/Achilles) - is on injured reserve
Adam Carriker	DE	9/18/2012	(quadricep) - is on injured reserve
Brian Orakpo	LB	9/18/2012	(pectoral) - is on injured reserve
Nick Sundberg	LS	9/11/2012	(arm) - is on the injured reserve recall list
Jordan Bernstine	S	9/10/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Chase Minnifield	CB	8/31/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Chris Neild	DT	8/31/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Dorson Boyce	FB	8/31/2012	(undisclosed) - is on injured reserve
Tanard Jackson	S	8/31/2012	(personal) - is suspended indefinitely
Tristan Davis	RB	8/31/2012	(knee) - is on injured reserve
Jammal Brown	T	8/27/2012	(hip) - is on the Physically-Unable-to-Perform List
Darius Hanks	WR	8/15/2012	(shoulder) - is on injured reserve
Kentwan Balmer	DE	8/15/2012	(personal) - is out indefinitely

 

[debbiek 0]

thanks ace

 

[Mr.Bojangles 0]

Ace, is is there a good site to go to for that injury information?

 

[ACE-ACE 2,080]

Ace, is is there a good site to go to for that injury information?

its free....I have a service that is better SportsOptions...updates within a short time...I check it every day!

 

[NBAFANATIC 0]

Ace Docs is having a field day promoting your 7-0 NFL weekend. Now you have a 411 nfl GOY play Sunday? Lets hope you DON'T have a let down after a perfect last weekend.

 

[CrazyK 0]

How many 411 plays this week?

 

[ACE-ACE 2,080]

How many 411 plays this week?

7 plays in all two 411 plays this week

 

[ACE-ACE 2,080]

Market Report: What Sharps are Betting in NFL Week Nine


Sharps have been relatively quiet this week in NFL betting heading into tonight’s nationally televised game between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Diego Chargers. That tells you Las Vegas oddsmakers are doing a better job of posting opening lines (about time!). But, it also tells you that there are games where professional wagerers are lying in wait for better numbers over the weekend. Sometimes early and midweek silence speaks very loudly when it comes to how the sharps bet the NFL.
Let’s run through what the sharps are betting and thinking (based on our discussions with sources) this week. Games are presented in official rotation order.

KANSAS CITY AT SAN DIEGO: What most grabbed the attention of sharps was that this one opened in the two-teamer teaser window with a line of San Diego -8.5. That meant you could move the Chargers down past both the seven and the three with a six-point move. Sharps who follow the basic strategy principles have already included the Chargers in their weekend mix. Sportsbooks who prefer not to take teasers have either lifted the Chargers to -9, or dropped the game down to -7. You don’t normally see ranges that wide in an NFL game…but different offshore places have different views on teasers! In terms of the game, sharps weren’t fond of either team at the opening price…and don’t really trust San Diego as a favorite right now nor Kansas City to compete hard with anyone. Sharps will fade any game day move from the public. The Wise Guys did move the total down from 43.5 to 42.5 with an Under play involving two struggling offenses in a divisional showdown.

DENVER at CINCINNATI: No interest yet in this one on the opening line of Denver -3.5. As we’ve said in the past…if a game opens a half point away from a critical number…then DOESN’T move…you can determine sharp intent very easily. If sharps liked the dog, they would have bet immediately because the number three is so common. They didn’t do that…which tells you they prefer the favorite. There’s no reason to bet right away with a line like -3.5. This will either be a pass for sharps or a play on the favorite before kickoff. The market has been giving Peyton Manning respect in recent weeks, and rightly so. At the very least, you learn from this game that sharps are sold on Denver as a legitimate AFC power right now, and are convinced that Cincinnati is a non-threat this year even though they made the playoffs last season.

ARIZONA AT GREEN BAY: Another game that hasn’t budged off its opening number. Sharps hit Green Bay hard last Sunday against a Jacksonville team that should have been overmatched. The Packers played so poorly that they almost lost the game outright! Sharps didn’t want to go back to the well again with a double digit home favorite. Arizona’ defense is better than Jacksonville’s, and has a double digit road upset at New England on its resume. Of course, Arizona looked so bad this past Monday against NFC power San Francisco that it’s hard to like them vs. another NFC power like Green Bay. Our sources tell us sharps will take the dog on game day if the public drives the favorite higher.

MIAMI AT INDIANAPOLIS: Interesting game here matching two up-and-comers in the AFC. Both have rookie quarterbacks. Both have a chance to make the playoffs anyway because they play in weak divisions and have found a way to win some early games. Sharps have made it clear in recent weeks that they don’t see these teams as even though. Oddsmakers read that right, and opened Miami at -2 even though they were on the road. That would suggest Miami is FIVE points better on a neutral field. Some sharps hit Miami anyway! We’re seeing -2.5 in most places now…with an understanding that Indianapolis home dog money would come in were the game to move to three. Indianapolis does qualify for basic strategy teaser play at the current line…taking them as a dog up to +8.5. The lessons here are that the market as a whole sees Miami as the clearly superior team now and moving forward…but percentage histories would have some sharps on Indy +3 and in two-team teasers as the home dog.

BALTIMORE AT CLEVELAND: We have a big move here even though it was only half a point! Sharps bet Baltimore -3 on the opener, driving the line to -3.5. We’ve told you in the past that it takes a lot of money to move off a three…and then you know support for the favorite is strong if the game doesn’t buggywhip right back to the key number. This game moved to -3.5 and stayed there. The sharps don’t like Cleveland here as the lesser of the two teams dealing with a well-rested divisional visitor. Byes have been getting respect for the better teams this year, and the Ravens are off a bye. Maybe it’s best to say that the sharps love the potential bye boost in this spot rather than the favorite. Baltimore was a team badly in need of a break given their prior injury situation and recent form.

BUFFALO AT HOUSTON: Interesting here that we have a move toward the dog. Houston opened at -11 and dropped down to -10.5. Buffalo does have garbage time capabilities…and sharps do pay attention to quarterback quality at double digit spreads. We’ve told you in the past that some sharps bet all double digit dogs just on principal. That segment wasn’t active with Arizona in Green Bay with the short preparation week for the Cards, but did step in here enough to move the line a tick. We’re hearing that Houston money would come in at -10…but there’s skepticism the line would move that low. We’re not mentioning many totals because they’ve been quiet this week. The number here did fall from 48.5 to 47.5 with some early Under money. The fact that we DIDN’T see Under interest in Cincinnati, Green Bay, and Cleveland is a virtual weather report for those cities this weekend. Totals plummeted in the Midwest last week when weather was forecast to be a big influence (and early bettors showed a profit with that approach).

CAROLINA AT WASHINGTON: We probably have a weekend tug-of-war spot set up there just above the key number of three. Washington opened at -3.5, and nobody bet them. Some sharps did play the dog…and there’s been enough interest in the dog that some stores are have changed the juice, or dropped the number to three with extra juice on the favorite. These teams seem evenly matched in a lot of ways, and both have young star quarterbacks. Home field is worth three points, and Washington has been in slightly better form this year. Ergo…Carolina +3.5 and Washington -3 are both sharp plays because the chances of the game landing exactly on three are pretty good.

DETROIT AT JACKSONVILLE: The Jaguars impressed enough sharps that the opening line here of Detroit -4 has fallen to -3.5. Detroit has struggled to play past expectations this season, turning most games into a thriller. You want the dog in thrillers! We do hear that sharps would hit Detroit if the game were to drop to the key number of three…unless a game day forecast of rain became a weather equalizer. Jacksonville becomes a more appealing play in the muck. Detroit is more dangerous in great conditions.

CHICAGO AT TENNESSEE: A full point move is rare this week, but we’ve had that in this matchup. Chicago opened at -4.5 and was bet down to -3.5. The Bears were lucky to win last week vs. Carolina, and didn’t sparkle offensively the week before against Detroit. Tennessee did shock Pittsburgh on this field recently. Our sources tell us that those skeptical about the Bears have already bet. Those who still believe in both the Bears and the general NFC dominance of the AFC this year are waiting to see if the line drops further. They’d rather lay the three and are waiting to see if they get it.

MINNESOTA AT SEATTLE: Clear support for Seattle here. The opener of -4 has been bet up to -4.5 or -5. Given the general serenity of the markets this week, that seems like a thunderbolt! Sharps are telling us they don’t think Christian Ponder is likely to have a good game on the road against this strong Seattle defense given his recent struggles. This would have been a bigger play but the Vikings do have a few extra days of preparation time after playing a Thursday Nighter.

TAMPA BAY AT OAKLAND: This will be the final game near the teaser window this week. Oakland opened at -1.5 and has stayed there in most places. That puts Tampa Bay (+) in the teaser window moving them up past the three and the seven. Some stores have moved the game line to Oakland -1 to avoid taking teaser bets. We are hearing some newfound respect for Tampa Bay from sharps after their win in Minnesota. They’re saving their investments for games that involve better prices and don’t involve cross-country trips.

PITTSBURGH AT NY GIANTS: The showcase game of the afternoon will be a tug-of-war game where the home favorite Giants will draw money at -3, but the respected road underdog Pittsburgh will be attractive at +3.5. The opener was Giants -3.5 and the tug started right away at least with vigorish. This will be the most bet game of the afternoon…and sportsbooks will be furious if the final score lands exactly on Giants by three.

DALLAS AT ATLANTA: There are a lot of games in the 4-5-6 nether regions this week, between the key numbers of three and seven, and not near the teaser window. Atlanta opened at -4.5, but has been bet down to -4. Stat guys who believe turnovers regress to the mean are enthusiastic about Dallas posting some results in the coming weeks. The Cowboys have playoff caliber raw stats but a horrible turnover differential. Sharps who think Tony Romo is a turnover machine aren’t betting the Cowboys.

PHILADELPHIA AT NEW ORLEANS: Looks like we’ll finish the week Monday Night with another tug-of-war game. Sharps are generally skeptical of both teams right now…as each has consistently underachieved expectations thus far in 2012. But, it’s not hard for an experienced sharp who’s been through the ringer a few times that Michael Vick +3.5 against a bad defense deserves some consideration…as does Drew Brees -3 at home on a fast track vs. a slumping opponent. For now, there’s more Vick interest than Brees interest because sharps generally shade their passions toward the underdog. The public will likely take New Orleans at -3 on game day…setting up another tug-of-war that sees sportsbooks praying the game doesn’t land exactly on the magic number.

 

[ACE-ACE 2,080]

foot note...MYSELF....HMM..TO BE TRUE TO A SYSTEM YOU MUST FOLLOW THE RULES!!!!...THIS MAKES ME SO MAD TO SEE SOMEONE THAT KNOW THE RULES ....NOT TO FOLLOW THEM

i STILL SEE THE ## SYSTEM NUMBERS....NO WAY NYG IS A PLAY....JUST NOT TRUE...ANOTHER ONE IF YOU DIG DEEP IS NOT A PLAY ALSO!!!...THAT ONE i'M ON THE OTHER SIDE AND NYG IS DIE LOCK.

I KNOW MOST OF YOU DONT KNOW WHAT I'M TALKING ABOUT. BUT IT MAKES ME SICK THINKING ABOUT IT.....ALL THAT TIME....WASTED!!!....SAD....... DAD YOU KNOW WHAT I'M SAYING.