$500.00 -105 Take #401 St. Louis (+7.5) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
The Bears have a lot of things going on in the locker room right now. Players are not happy with quarterback Jay Cutler and this season of promise could be unraveling early in the year. St. Louis is 2-0 ATS and has played well. They should have beaten Detroit on the road in the opener and I think that they will go toe-to-toe with the Bears. Chicago is without Matt Forte and last year the offense was not the same without him. The Bears are coming off a game against rival Green Bay and next week they have a trip to Dallas on Monday Night Football. I don't think that they are focused on this game here against St. Louis. I like the Rams to make this one very interesting.
$2000.00 -102Take #407 Detroit (-3.5) over Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
The Lions lost badly to San Francisco last week. I think that they bounce back with a win here. Jake Locker is banged up but will play. He has really struggled early in the year and he is not as good as Matt Stafford. That Lions offense was shut down by the Niners last week but I don't think that will be the case here. The Titans have given up over 30 points in each of their first two games and Detroit is one of the best offenses that they will face all season. The books moved this one off of -3.0 and you know that they don't want to come off that key number. That tells me some big money has come in on the Lions.
$600.00 -109 Take #418 Indianapolis (-3) over Jacksonville (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
The Colts beat Minnesota last week in a very similar situation. They were two-point underdogs so the books have adjusted this one five full points. That sounds right to me. Andrew Luck looked good in that game and the kid has a lot of confidence. The Colts have revenge after being swept by the Jaguars last week. And Jacksonville has a lot less confidence in its quarterback after another terrible game by Blaine Gabbert last week. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last four meetings and the Colts are now 5-2 ATS in their last seven games. Lets get lucky with Luck!
The Bears have a lot of things going on in the locker room right now. Players are not happy with quarterback Jay Cutler and this season of promise could be unraveling early in the year. St. Louis is 2-0 ATS and has played well. They should have beaten Detroit on the road in the opener and I think that they will go toe-to-toe with the Bears. Chicago is without Matt Forte and last year the offense was not the same without him. The Bears are coming off a game against rival Green Bay and next week they have a trip to Dallas on Monday Night Football. I don't think that they are focused on this game here against St. Louis. I like the Rams to make this one very interesting.
$2000.00 -102Take #407 Detroit (-3.5) over Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
The Lions lost badly to San Francisco last week. I think that they bounce back with a win here. Jake Locker is banged up but will play. He has really struggled early in the year and he is not as good as Matt Stafford. That Lions offense was shut down by the Niners last week but I don't think that will be the case here. The Titans have given up over 30 points in each of their first two games and Detroit is one of the best offenses that they will face all season. The books moved this one off of -3.0 and you know that they don't want to come off that key number. That tells me some big money has come in on the Lions.
$600.00 -109 Take #418 Indianapolis (-3) over Jacksonville (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
The Colts beat Minnesota last week in a very similar situation. They were two-point underdogs so the books have adjusted this one five full points. That sounds right to me. Andrew Luck looked good in that game and the kid has a lot of confidence. The Colts have revenge after being swept by the Jaguars last week. And Jacksonville has a lot less confidence in its quarterback after another terrible game by Blaine Gabbert last week. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last four meetings and the Colts are now 5-2 ATS in their last seven games. Lets get lucky with Luck!
$2100.00 -110 San Diego (-3) over Atlanta (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
This play is from my NFL 411 System
I really like this Chargers team. This team is 2-0 and they looked great last week in a blowout winner over Tennessee for my Game of the week win. Atlanta is not in a good situation. They won on Monday Night Football but now they have to travel across the country and play on a short week of rest. This Falcons team also has to deal with the distraction of running back Michael Turner. The former Charger got a DUI earlier this week after the MNF game. Turner has not been playing well and now this. That will leave the team thin at running back. I don't think they can win a shootout with the Chargers. San Diego is a very motivated team. Everyone from the coach to the general manager to a lot of the veteran players know that they need to have a great season or there will be a lot of changes. They are rested and at home and they have a really big advantage by playing this tired, distracted Atlanta club off a win. All of these are reasons I like. But the numbers in the 411 System picked San Diego out even before the Turner situation. I will follow the system and look for a big winner in this game.
This play is from my NFL 411 System
I really like this Chargers team. This team is 2-0 and they looked great last week in a blowout winner over Tennessee for my Game of the week win. Atlanta is not in a good situation. They won on Monday Night Football but now they have to travel across the country and play on a short week of rest. This Falcons team also has to deal with the distraction of running back Michael Turner. The former Charger got a DUI earlier this week after the MNF game. Turner has not been playing well and now this. That will leave the team thin at running back. I don't think they can win a shootout with the Chargers. San Diego is a very motivated team. Everyone from the coach to the general manager to a lot of the veteran players know that they need to have a great season or there will be a lot of changes. They are rested and at home and they have a really big advantage by playing this tired, distracted Atlanta club off a win. All of these are reasons I like. But the numbers in the 411 System picked San Diego out even before the Turner situation. I will follow the system and look for a big winner in this game.
$800.00 -105 Take #423 Houston (-1.5) over Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
This play is from my NFL 411 System
This Houston team is one of the best in the NFL. This team has not even played its best game yet and has two blowout victories. Defensively this team is in the Top 5 in the NFL. I think they have a better defense than the Atlanta group that really confused and frustrated Peyton Manning. Manning still has a lot of rust from missing a full season and then changing teams. Denver did not look good on Monday Night Football. Now this team has to travel home and turn around on a short week against one of the AFC's favorites. Houston was originally installed as a two-point underdog. But the sharps pounded them before the line was made available to the public. When it came out it came out with the Texans favored. That is a big swing. This team is 12-2 ATS on grass and 12-3 ATS in conference games. Denver is just 15-34-2 ATS at home and they do not have as strong of a home field edge as people think. The Broncos are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games playing on Sunday following a MNF game. Lay the points.
This play is from my NFL 411 System
This Houston team is one of the best in the NFL. This team has not even played its best game yet and has two blowout victories. Defensively this team is in the Top 5 in the NFL. I think they have a better defense than the Atlanta group that really confused and frustrated Peyton Manning. Manning still has a lot of rust from missing a full season and then changing teams. Denver did not look good on Monday Night Football. Now this team has to travel home and turn around on a short week against one of the AFC's favorites. Houston was originally installed as a two-point underdog. But the sharps pounded them before the line was made available to the public. When it came out it came out with the Texans favored. That is a big swing. This team is 12-2 ATS on grass and 12-3 ATS in conference games. Denver is just 15-34-2 ATS at home and they do not have as strong of a home field edge as people think. The Broncos are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games playing on Sunday following a MNF game. Lay the points.
I'm not sure how these 411 plays work but why have a record on these just do units won/lost. 1 play is 2100 and the other 800, that's a big difference. When you lose one and win one you are not just losing juice so why the record. Last year you gave the record but I believe they were the same units. Shouldn't they all be the same units cause it's a 411 play.
Ace, your posting the plays after the games start. Really why even post them and call the thread "exbookie wants to help the players" what help is this doing the players?
Not trying to bash you, but these threads make no sense.
Your better off just running your tout business and thats it.
The big guy upstairs will always be watching my friend
Not trying to bash you, but these threads make no sense.
Your better off just running your tout business and thats it.
The big guy upstairs will always be watching my friend
Critics are awfully loud when...
Ace's picks are losing. Critics on this forum are the ultimate "Monday Morning Quarterback". The critics will also be silenced as the year moves along and Ace beats the NFL once again. Seriously...cut the guy some slack. I know that you don't like that he is a tout (since 06 with Docs btw), but he has obviously dedicated his life to beating the books and is trying to help some of us become better cappers. The point of this thread is to pick up some tidbits here and there that can make our capping stronger and to document Ace's record at the end of the season. If you want to play or fade his picks then all it will cost you is about $250 for the season which is basically like him giving them away. I have no doubt that Ace plays his own $ on the picks he makes each week, and that he wants every single selection in the Supercontest to win so that he can hang his hat as one of the best cappers in the country. I do not know Ace, and have no reason to stick up for him other than the fact that he is a "CONTRIBUTOR" on this site and that is appreciated by those who are trying to get better. We are all in this together against the books, so what is the point of dogging someone after you see that his picks are no good for a week or two?
Ace's picks are losing. Critics on this forum are the ultimate "Monday Morning Quarterback". The critics will also be silenced as the year moves along and Ace beats the NFL once again. Seriously...cut the guy some slack. I know that you don't like that he is a tout (since 06 with Docs btw), but he has obviously dedicated his life to beating the books and is trying to help some of us become better cappers. The point of this thread is to pick up some tidbits here and there that can make our capping stronger and to document Ace's record at the end of the season. If you want to play or fade his picks then all it will cost you is about $250 for the season which is basically like him giving them away. I have no doubt that Ace plays his own $ on the picks he makes each week, and that he wants every single selection in the Supercontest to win so that he can hang his hat as one of the best cappers in the country. I do not know Ace, and have no reason to stick up for him other than the fact that he is a "CONTRIBUTOR" on this site and that is appreciated by those who are trying to get better. We are all in this together against the books, so what is the point of dogging someone after you see that his picks are no good for a week or two?
