$2500.00 Take 'Under' 38 Jacksonville at Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 13)
Here we have two of the worst starting quarterbacks in the NFL right now. And the way the pro game is being played at the moment the quarterback is everything. Neither Curtis Painter nor Blaine Gabbert are completing more than 53 percent of their passes and Gabbert is completing just 45 percent. I don't see either team filling up the scoreboard without effective passing games. These two offenses combine to average just 26 points per game and the Colts have the better offense at just 14.2 points per game. Outside of giving up 62 points to New Orleans the Colts defense has not been that bad. And their points allowed is inflated because of some defensive and special teams touchdowns against them. Jacksonville's defense is really coming together. They held Houston, Baltimore and Pittsburgh to an average of just 16 points per game in their last three games. They are coming off a bye and they will be ready for the Colts. Jacksonville is just 1-7 against the total in their last eight games and the 'under' is 5-2 when the Colts are a home dog.
$2000.00 Take #225 Houston (-3) over Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 13)
The Bucs have lost back-to-back games and now they are facing one of the hottest teams in the league. Houston has won three straight games by double-digits and they are a solid 6-3 ATS in their nine games so far this season. This team has been playing great defense and haven't allowed over 14 points in their last three games. The Bucs are struggling to score and are only averaging 18.4 points per game. Tampa Bay has been outscored by an average of six points per game so far this season and their statistics suggest that their record should be even worse. The Bucs are just 7-19 ATS at home and they are just 1-4 ATS overall over the last month. Tampa is coming off an emotional game in New Orleans last week against a division rival. They have a game at undefeated Green Bay next week. I think that they stub their toe here and lose to the tough Texans.
$800.00 Take #223 Buffalo (+5.5) over Dallas (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 13)
The Bills are going to be an excellent underdog play here because I think that they will be able to move the ball against the Dallas defense. The Bills are back in their best role as an underdog and they are 3-0-1 ATS so far this season when they are getting points. Injuries are really slowing down the Dallas offense and they will be without Miles Austin this week. The Buffalo defense has been great at causing turnovers and that has been a problem for Dallas in the past. I think that our side will be able to force some miscues in this situation and I think that the Bills could even be in a position to force the upset. The Bills are 4-1 ATS as an underdog and the Cowboys are 2-10-1 ATS as a favorite
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$700.00 Take #217 Pittsburgh (-3) over Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 13)
This play is from my NFL 411 System. The Bengals have been having a great year so far. But that is a product of their schedule. They have played one of the easiest schedules in football and they only have won win over a team with a winning record. That win over Buffalo was only thanks to one of the biggest comebacks in franchise history. The Steelers are a tough veteran team. And they were 10 seconds away from their fifth straight win before falling to Baltimore. But this team will be able to get over that game and I think that they will make a statement here. The Steelers know if they lose this game they could fall two games back in the AFC North. They won't let that happen. The Steelers are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings and they have dominated this series for decades.
I think that they win this one going away.
$300.00 Take #231 New Orleans (Pk) over Atlanta (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 13)
This play is from my NFL 411 System. I always say that sometimes the lines just tell the tale. That is the case here. Atlanta was not made a favorite in this game because the oddsmakers know that the Saints are a much better team. Atlanta has only won win over a team with a winning record and they have been beaten soundly by any of the teams above .500 on their schedule. New Orleans has beaten teams like Chicago and Tampa that the Falcons lost to. The road team has won three straight in this series and New Orleans would have won five straight and eight of 10 in this series but they fell in overtime at home last year in a game where they turned it over three times. The Saints have a better defense and Drew Brees has been having a much better year than Matt Ryan. Let's go with the oddsmakers on this one and get with the better team.
Here we have two of the worst starting quarterbacks in the NFL right now. And the way the pro game is being played at the moment the quarterback is everything. Neither Curtis Painter nor Blaine Gabbert are completing more than 53 percent of their passes and Gabbert is completing just 45 percent. I don't see either team filling up the scoreboard without effective passing games. These two offenses combine to average just 26 points per game and the Colts have the better offense at just 14.2 points per game. Outside of giving up 62 points to New Orleans the Colts defense has not been that bad. And their points allowed is inflated because of some defensive and special teams touchdowns against them. Jacksonville's defense is really coming together. They held Houston, Baltimore and Pittsburgh to an average of just 16 points per game in their last three games. They are coming off a bye and they will be ready for the Colts. Jacksonville is just 1-7 against the total in their last eight games and the 'under' is 5-2 when the Colts are a home dog.
$2000.00 Take #225 Houston (-3) over Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 13)
The Bucs have lost back-to-back games and now they are facing one of the hottest teams in the league. Houston has won three straight games by double-digits and they are a solid 6-3 ATS in their nine games so far this season. This team has been playing great defense and haven't allowed over 14 points in their last three games. The Bucs are struggling to score and are only averaging 18.4 points per game. Tampa Bay has been outscored by an average of six points per game so far this season and their statistics suggest that their record should be even worse. The Bucs are just 7-19 ATS at home and they are just 1-4 ATS overall over the last month. Tampa is coming off an emotional game in New Orleans last week against a division rival. They have a game at undefeated Green Bay next week. I think that they stub their toe here and lose to the tough Texans.
$800.00 Take #223 Buffalo (+5.5) over Dallas (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 13)
The Bills are going to be an excellent underdog play here because I think that they will be able to move the ball against the Dallas defense. The Bills are back in their best role as an underdog and they are 3-0-1 ATS so far this season when they are getting points. Injuries are really slowing down the Dallas offense and they will be without Miles Austin this week. The Buffalo defense has been great at causing turnovers and that has been a problem for Dallas in the past. I think that our side will be able to force some miscues in this situation and I think that the Bills could even be in a position to force the upset. The Bills are 4-1 ATS as an underdog and the Cowboys are 2-10-1 ATS as a favorite
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$700.00 Take #217 Pittsburgh (-3) over Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 13)
This play is from my NFL 411 System. The Bengals have been having a great year so far. But that is a product of their schedule. They have played one of the easiest schedules in football and they only have won win over a team with a winning record. That win over Buffalo was only thanks to one of the biggest comebacks in franchise history. The Steelers are a tough veteran team. And they were 10 seconds away from their fifth straight win before falling to Baltimore. But this team will be able to get over that game and I think that they will make a statement here. The Steelers know if they lose this game they could fall two games back in the AFC North. They won't let that happen. The Steelers are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings and they have dominated this series for decades.
I think that they win this one going away.
$300.00 Take #231 New Orleans (Pk) over Atlanta (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 13)
This play is from my NFL 411 System. I always say that sometimes the lines just tell the tale. That is the case here. Atlanta was not made a favorite in this game because the oddsmakers know that the Saints are a much better team. Atlanta has only won win over a team with a winning record and they have been beaten soundly by any of the teams above .500 on their schedule. New Orleans has beaten teams like Chicago and Tampa that the Falcons lost to. The road team has won three straight in this series and New Orleans would have won five straight and eight of 10 in this series but they fell in overtime at home last year in a game where they turned it over three times. The Saints have a better defense and Drew Brees has been having a much better year than Matt Ryan. Let's go with the oddsmakers on this one and get with the better team.
$300.00 Take #233 Detroit (+3) over Chicago (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 13)
This play is from my NFL 411 System. The Bears are coming off a nice upset win on the road against Philadelphia. But they have to turn around quickly to face a Lions team that is coming off an extra week of rest. The Lions really pushed Chicago around when they met in Detroit last month and they won 45-10 their last time out. I think that their bye week came at a great time because now they are rested up and playing a team off short rest and a trip to London. The Lions have had a lot of success in this series, going 7-3 ATS against Chicago and covering three straight. The underdog is 17-8 ATS in the last 25 meetings and the Lions are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 conference games. Detroit is back in its favorite role and I expect an outright winner here.
This play is from my NFL 411 System. The Bears are coming off a nice upset win on the road against Philadelphia. But they have to turn around quickly to face a Lions team that is coming off an extra week of rest. The Lions really pushed Chicago around when they met in Detroit last month and they won 45-10 their last time out. I think that their bye week came at a great time because now they are rested up and playing a team off short rest and a trip to London. The Lions have had a lot of success in this series, going 7-3 ATS against Chicago and covering three straight. The underdog is 17-8 ATS in the last 25 meetings and the Lions are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 conference games. Detroit is back in its favorite role and I expect an outright winner here.
POINTS THAT MATTER 21 GAMES OUT OF 130 16%
ACE I'm sure you checked this out, POINTS THAT MATTERED in this weeks games 0-15....Straight-up winner covered EVERY GAME(so far Monday night pending)...I've been telling people for years it is the best predictor of NFL games, just pick the straight-up winner and you'll be a winner against the spread. But the key is picking the straight-up winner LOL
Yours in Winners
BernieV
ACE I'm sure you checked this out, POINTS THAT MATTERED in this weeks games 0-15....Straight-up winner covered EVERY GAME(so far Monday night pending)...I've been telling people for years it is the best predictor of NFL games, just pick the straight-up winner and you'll be a winner against the spread. But the key is picking the straight-up winner LOL
Yours in Winners
BernieV
