Exbookie wants to help the players Pre/season thread

ACE-ACE · Aug 9, 2009

Welcome back
Win or lose I alway tell it like it is....Preseason!!!!! Tell you a story...Lions last year look real good in Preseason...D-line only allow 28 points all pre.... there Record was 4-0....what happen.....0-16 regseason

dont bet the team base on the regseason stats of last year....you got to know what each team want to see in each of the games...the goal for each team is to watch players...not to win

this year I want to watch also few bets here and there and use this thread to share news about the game

todays game

Buffalo vs. Tennessee from Canton, Ohio (8:00 p.m. EDT)
Buffalo - 6-0 Game One… 11-1 L12 as dog… 0-5 UNDER Game One
Tennessee - SERIES: 5-1 SU… 1-3 SUATS Game One… FISHER: 1-3 SUATS on neutral fields

Buffalo – This will be Dick Jauron’s fourth preseason as head coach of the Bills. In the Bills' first preseason game Jauron has had them ready to play covering all three of his Week 1 preseason games. This continues a trend that has seen the Bills go a perfect 5-0 against the spread in Week 1 of the preseason over the past five years. This is developing into one of my strongest preseason trends. This year’s play is on Aug. 9 as the Bills will face the Titans in the Hall of Fame game at Canton, Ohio. Plus, you have to throw in here that in the past three preseasons the Bills are a perfect 7-0 when they take the field as an underdog. Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Trent Edwards, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Matt Baker (rookie-North Carolina), and Gibran Hamdan

Tennessee – A strong preseason trend has developed for head coach Jeff Fischer over the past 4 years as he has sure opened things up offensively in the Titans last preseason game of the year seeing 182 points scored in these games. This year’s last preseason game is against the Packers on Sept. 3. Also have to add here is that these two teams have combined to play these wide open games the last 4 years. So let’s look for more of the same this season. Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Vince Young, Kerry Collins, Ingle Martin

MY pick

BUF over 31.5..........................$300.00

write up to come

best to all this year

Ace-Ace

SouthampMain · Aug 9, 2009

Great to see you back ACE!! Cant wait for kickoff tonight! GL this season & always look forward to your picks :toast:

S & M

ACE-ACE · Aug 9, 2009

as always my friend Nick has a good read

8/8/2009

DIRECT FROM NEVADA
WITH NICK BOGDANOVICH
NFL STARTS SUNDAY NIGHT
WITH HALL OF FAME GAME
It's time to get back into the swing of NFL handicapping!
The Preseason officially starts Sunday Night with the Buffalo/Tennessee game on NBC. Then everyone else gets rolling in a few days:
*THURSDAY: Four games are on the slate, including Arizona/Pittsburgh on ESPN in a Super Bowl rematch, and New England/Philadelphia marking the return of Tom Brady to action.
*FRIDAY: Four more games, including two head coaching debuts in the St. Louis/NY Jets game; as well as debuts in Minnesota/Indianapolis (for the Colts) and Denver/San Francisco (for the Broncos).
*SATURDAY 8/15: Six games including 'extra week of preparation' edges for Buffalo at home against Chicago, and Tennessee at home against Tampa Bay.
*MONDAY 8/17: The final two games of the first full week including Carolina/NY Giants on ESPN.
Las Vegas and Reno aren't expecting a flood of betting action just yet. But, squares do come out of the woodwork when football is on TV, particularly pro football! Business has been quiet all summer (particularly in July). Things are about to pick up with the return of pro football.
With the NFL kicking off this weekend, today seemed like the perfect time to talk about how oddsmakers and sharps think about the Preseason.
ODDSMAKERS

Here's what's going through the mind of oddsmakers when posting Exhibition lines...
*First, DON'T GET HURT! Limits start out small...and stores will move quickly if they sense any sort of sharp action on a particular team or total. Sportsbooks will accept an overall loss on Preseason football because they know they'll make back everything and more in September when the regular seasons in both college and pro football get rolling. August action will be much bigger than July action...but much smaller than the other football months. Sportsbooks will accept a bruise, but not an injury.
*Second, when in doubt, make the home team about a two-point favorite. Most of the games are true coin flips in that it's virtually impossible to know what's going to happen. Most teams will be playing backups and trying to avoid injuries. Somebody will win, and somebody will lose. The results mirror a coin flip or black and red on a roulette wheel more than something you can really handicap. Oddsmakers start by considering every game even...then allowing 2-3 points for home field advantage (usually 2 but sometimes 3 depending on the team).
*Third, charge the squares a tax for betting on their favorite teams. This never goes away. It's the heart of what oddsmakers do. If you were with me last season, you've already mastered this principal. If you're new to the website for the new football season, you should know that the fundamental goal of oddsmakers is to make the public take the worst of it. The public has clear betting patterns. Oddsmakers will shade the line a half a point or a point in the preseason based on those. Sometimes it's as much as 1-2 points if you're talking about a public team like the Dallas Cowboys playing on TV. The heart of modern profits in this sportsbook era is to exploit the 11/10 vigorish AND any points you can squeeze out of the public. Think of the power of having 10/11 in your favor plus a free point or two! That's what sportsbooks are shooting for.
*Be on the lookout for teams who are trying to win. Oddsmakers read the same web publications that sharps do. They try to anticipate sharp moves in this area. If they don't, they move quickly once the money solves any mysteries. Let's say one of the new coaches tells his local media that winning the first game is of utmost importance. Oddsmakers might make them 5-6 instead of 2-3 as a home favorite upon hearing that news. If they missed the news, so much sharp money would come in on that side that the line would move to 5-6 anyway. In the past, oddsmakers relied mostly on the money to tell them what was happening. In recent years they've done a better job of finding out the information themselves so they can beat sharps to the punch.
Okay, those are the basics from the oddsmaking perspective. How do sharps attack that?
*They study team and head coach histories to figure out which squads may be able to turn the odds into something better than a coin flip. Tony Dungy at Indianapolis was famous for placing no priority on Preseason games. Sharps would bet against him and grind out a profit over time (sometimes the Colts won anyway because they were a talented team!).
*They look for signs that a coach may be under pressure from the owner to win a home game to boost ticket sales or generate excitement for the season. Let's say a team only plays one game in its home city during the month. Certain coaches understand they need to win THAT game while blowing off the results of the rest. You pick up a few of during the Preseason...EVERY Preseason...and it adds up over time.
*They try to beat oddsmakers to the punch on items that make the news. This used to be easy before the internet because sharps had casual information networks that allows news to travel fast. It's tougher now, but still possible.
*There aren't that many stat handicappers for preseason games. It's mostly an information approach. But, I do know some guys who study the stats of backup quarterbacks very closely to see if they can 'handicap the second half' in a way that leads to pointspread winners. If one team will have a clear edge in quarters three and four...but the full game spread is just the home team -2 or -3...then you've probably got a winner in your pocket. Some guys used to use World League stats from the games over in Europe (where NFL backups saw a lot of action). That's not possible any more since the league folded.
*They take whatever half points or points are given in the TV games involving public teams. They don't enjoy the 10/11 edge oddsmakers get by battling the public...but those free points are worth something. They matter often enough to pad the bottom line over a series of weeks or years.
*They look for unique schedule or travel situations to exploit. This used to be easier when there were games in Japan or England every year. The players revolted about the horrible travel so those games have stopped. Each season will still present the occasional Monday-Thursday situation, or a team playing on one side of the country one week and the other the next week. Sharps have a knack for figuring out when the backups are going to no-show because of travel fatigue or a lack of preparation.

mp5070 · Aug 9, 2009

With ya on the over Ace!

What do you think about the side?

ACE-ACE · Aug 9, 2009

mp5070 said:
With ya on the over Ace!

What do you think about the side?

I dont

but

if I did a teaser it would be Buff +10 and over 27.5

Betsmart · Aug 9, 2009

Nice to see you posting Foots again

OccamsRazor · Aug 9, 2009

"Tennessee – A strong preseason trend has developed for head coach Jeff Fischer over the past 4 years as he has sure opened things up offensively in the Titans last preseason game of the year seeing 182 points scored in these games. This year’s last preseason game is against the Packers on Sept. 3. Also have to add here is that these two teams have combined to play these wide open games the last 4 years. So let’s look for more of the same this season. Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Vince Young, Kerry Collins, Ingle Martin "

Your write up above is for ths last game of the season involving Tenn and Greenbay.

Do you have a trend/writeup for the first game of the season Buff/Tenn?

ACE-ACE · Aug 9, 2009

OccamsRazor said:
"Tennessee – A strong preseason trend has developed for head coach Jeff Fischer over the past 4 years as he has sure opened things up offensively in the Titans last preseason game of the year seeing 182 points scored in these games. This year’s last preseason game is against the Packers on Sept. 3. Also have to add here is that these two teams have combined to play these wide open games the last 4 years. So let’s look for more of the same this season. Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Vince Young, Kerry Collins, Ingle Martin "

Your write up above is for ths last game of the season involving Tenn and Greenbay.

Do you have a trend/writeup for the first game of the season Buff/Tenn?

I will have a write up before the game...this come from
http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/story.cfm/story/885090
all team are there.

another good read on perseason

Sunday nights’ Hall of Fame Game from Canton, Ohio officially launches the NFL season, in this, the 19th campaign since the league was incepted back in 1920. Oh baby!
Squares and sharps are easily marked right about now by way of their attitude towards football betting during the preseason.
Novices will shy away from placing even a single preseason football bet, their theory being that the teams are in a state of flux, and the best players may or may not see action.
Sophisticated football handicappers understand that these abnormalities transcend into wagering opportunities if they can properly identify the coaching strategies that will dictate how the game will play out, which includes the emphasis placed on winning versus just evaluating talent. It is evident that the bookmakers agree with the sharps since preseason NFL wagering limits tend to be skimpy at best while betting lines are known to move upwards of 5 to 6 points from the opening number to kick off. .
As a general rule, there is an inverse relationship between the betting limit and the amount of risk that the house has determined it is willing to take on. When the house takes on that added risk they tend to move their lines quicker to dissuade one-sided action which effectively minimizes their exposure. In other words, the books realize that sound football handicapping can eliminate their edge in the preseason

Travel is always a factor, but it tends to have a limited effect during the preseason. Players are obviously fresher, and maintain that freshness by absorbing fewer bumps and bruises by as a result of the expanded rosters which translates into reduced playing time.
During the preseason, the rigors of the NFL schedule have yet to take its toll, while cross-country trips are a rarity. There are only two such games this preseason as the Cardinals travel to Heinz Field in the opening week for a Super Bowl rematch with the Steelers, while the Chargers take on the Falcons in Atlanta in the third preseason game, which is recognized by most coaches as the most critical contest in terms of starter preparation and evaluating talent in advance of slicing the roster to the 53-man limit.
From a results standpoint, coaching tendencies are the single most critical factor in determining the success or failure of an NFL team during the preseason. Obviously, the coach dictates who plays, for how long, and must decide whether to tip the scales towards winning or just evaluating personnel. Successful football handicapping involves in-depth analysis of a coach’s projected game plan.
Those coaches who are established and with a history of success tend to care less about chalking up what are essentially meaningless victories as they are generally beyond having to prove anything to ownership or the fan base. Jeff Fisher, Mike Tomlin, Andy Reid, Tom Coughlin, John Fox, and Bill Belichik fall into this category, though the latter three have historically treated sports bettors favorably during the preseason. By contrast, those coaches on the hot seat tend to step it up during this time as a means to reasserting a winning attitude and creating some added job insurance for themselves. Notable coaches that fall into this category are Marvin Lewis, Dick Jauron, Wade Phillips Gary Kubiak, and Jack Del Rio. It should be noted that the latter two have combined to go 23-10 ATS (69.6%) during their preseason coaching tenures with their respective

ACE-ACE · Aug 9, 2009

OccamsRazor said:
"Tennessee – A strong preseason trend has developed for head coach Jeff Fischer over the past 4 years as he has sure opened things up offensively in the Titans last preseason game of the year seeing 182 points scored in these games. This year’s last preseason game is against the Packers on Sept. 3. Also have to add here is that these two teams have combined to play these wide open games the last 4 years. So let’s look for more of the same this season. Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Vince Young, Kerry Collins, Ingle Martin "

Your write up above is for ths last game of the season involving Tenn and Greenbay.

Do you have a trend/writeup for the first game of the season Buff/Tenn?

here one

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 width="100%" border=0 *Cellpadding="1"><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupHeader colSpan=2>Head-to-Head Series History</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2 height=15><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupBorder><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons </TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons </TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

ACE-ACE · Aug 9, 2009

<TABLE class=datatable cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD><TABLE class=datatable cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TH class=header2>Team Trends and Angles</TH><TR><TH align=left>All team trends listed below apply to the current game.</TH></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupBorder><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupHeader colSpan=10>BUFFALO - Recent ATS Trends</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader> </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=3>Against the spread</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=3>Over/Under</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=3>Straight Up</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader> </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Current</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Last 3 </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Since 1993</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Current</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Last 3 </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Since 1993</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Current</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Last 3 </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Since 1993</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Description</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>O-U</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>O-U</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>O-U</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">in games where the line is +3 to -3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>14-16</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>10-21</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>16-15</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCellsWhite Text">in all games</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>5-3</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>33-33</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>2-6</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>26-40</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>4-4</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>32-35</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">against conference opponents</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>12-16</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>15-12</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>14-14</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCellsWhite Text">against AFC South division opponents</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>1-1</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>2-5</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>1-1</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>3-4</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>1-1</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>2-5</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">in games played on a neutral field</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-2</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCellsWhite Text">in August games</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>5-3</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>31-29</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>2-6</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>23-37</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>4-4</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>31-30</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">in all lined games</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>5-3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>33-33</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-6</TD><TD class=matchupCells>26-40</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>4-4</TD><TD class=matchupCells>32-35</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCellsWhite Text">as an underdog</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>5-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>25-14</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>1-4</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>14-24</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>4-1</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>19-20</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">in all games where the total is 35 or less</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>6-11</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>9-9</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>6-12</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupHeader colSpan=10>TENNESSEE - Recent ATS Trends</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader> </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=3>Against the spread</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=3>Over/Under</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=3>Straight Up</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader> </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Current</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Last 3 </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Since 1993</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Current</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Last 3 </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Since 1993</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Current</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Last 3 </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Since 1993</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Description</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>O-U</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>O-U</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>O-U</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">in games where the line is +3 to -3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>18-8</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>15-13</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>18-10</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCellsWhite Text">in all games</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>4-4</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>26-20</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>5-3</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>25-23</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>6-2</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>27-21</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">against conference opponents</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>10-4</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>6-8</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>3-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>11-3</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCellsWhite Text">against AFC East division opponents</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>2-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>4-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>2-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>3-1</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>2-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>4-0</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">in games played on a neutral field</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCellsWhite Text">in August games</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>4-4</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>24-18</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>5-3</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>24-20</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>6-2</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>25-19</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">in all lined games</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>4-4</TD><TD class=matchupCells>26-20</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>5-3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>25-23</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>6-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>27-21</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCellsWhite Text">as a favorite</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>2-3</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>12-15</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>3-2</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>12-17</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>4-1</TD><TD class=matchupCellsWhite>17-12</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">in all games where the total is 35 or less</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>3-1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>5-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>4-1</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD><TABLE class=datatable cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TH class=header2>Team Statistics</TH><TR><TH align=left>Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.</TH></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupBorder><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupHeader colSpan=15>BUFFALO - Current Season Performance</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader> </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=2>Straight Up</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=2>Against Spread</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=5>Team</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=5>Opponent</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader> </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Units</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>O-U</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Score</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Half</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Yards</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YPP</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>TO</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Score</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Half</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Yards</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YPP</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>TO</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">All Games</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>+0.4</TD><TD class=matchupCells>3-1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-3</TD><TD class=bad>16.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>12.0</TD><TD class=bad>247.0</TD><TD class=bad>(4.4)</TD><TD class=good>1.0</TD><TD class=good>14.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>8.7</TD><TD class=good>274.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.2)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2.0</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Road Games</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>+0.9</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>17.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>15.5</TD><TD class=bad>248.5</TD><TD class=bad>(4.1)</TD><TD class=good>1.0</TD><TD class=good>12.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>7.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>287.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.6)</TD><TD class=good>3.5</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Last 3 Games</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>+1.4</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>16.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>11.3</TD><TD class=bad>249.3</TD><TD class=bad>(4.2)</TD><TD class=good>0.7</TD><TD class=good>14.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>7.0</TD><TD class=good>251.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.1)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2.0</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Grass Games</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>-1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-1</TD><TD class=bad>14.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>14.0</TD><TD class=bad>240.0</TD><TD class=bad>(4.7)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>17.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>14.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>341.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.4)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2.0</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupBorder><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupHeader colSpan=14>BUFFALO - Current Season Statistics</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=5> </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=2>Rushing</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=4>Passing</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=3>Total</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader> </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>PPG</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Half</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>FD</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>TOP</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>ATT-YDS</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YPR</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>CMP-ATT</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>PCT</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YDS</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>PYA</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>ATT-YDS</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YPP</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YPPT</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Offense (All Games)</TD><TD class=bad>16.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>12.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>15.5</TD><TD class=matchupCells>33:15</TD><TD class=matchupCells>31-107</TD><TD class=bad>(3.5)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>17-26</TD><TD class=good>67.0%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>140</TD><TD class=bad>(5.4)</TD><TD class=bad>57-247</TD><TD class=bad>(4.4)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(15.4)</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Opponents Defensive Avg.</TD><TD class=matchupCells>16.8</TD><TD class=matchupCells>11.2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>18.4</TD><TD class=matchupCells>31:46</TD><TD class=matchupCells>27-110</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(4)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>20-33</TD><TD class=matchupCells>62.2%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>193</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.9)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>60-302</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(18.1)</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Offense Road Games</TD><TD class=matchupCells>17.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>15.5</TD><TD class=matchupCells>15.5</TD><TD class=matchupCells>34:48</TD><TD class=bad>31-83</TD><TD class=bad>(2.7)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>18-29</TD><TD class=good>62.7%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>165</TD><TD class=bad>(5.6)</TD><TD class=bad>61-248</TD><TD class=bad>(4.1)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(14.6)</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Defense (All Games)</TD><TD class=good>14.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>8.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>13.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>26:45</TD><TD class=matchupCells>23-94</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(4.1)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>17-29</TD><TD class=matchupCells>57.6%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>180</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(6.1)</TD><TD class=good>52-274</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.2)</TD><TD class=good>(18.6)</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Opponents Offensive Avg.</TD><TD class=matchupCells>15.9</TD><TD class=matchupCells>8.8</TD><TD class=matchupCells>15.6</TD><TD class=matchupCells>30:38</TD><TD class=matchupCells>27-109</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(4)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>18-31</TD><TD class=matchupCells>60.0%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>184</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(6)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>58-293</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(18.5)</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Defense Road Games</TD><TD class=good>12.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>7.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>14.5</TD><TD class=matchupCells>25:11</TD><TD class=matchupCells>21-93</TD><TD class=bad>(4.3)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>17-29</TD><TD class=matchupCells>59.3%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>193</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(6.6)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>51-287</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.6)</TD><TD class=good>(23.9)</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD><HR noShade SIZE=1></TD></TR><TR><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupBorder><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupHeader colSpan=15>TENNESSEE - Current Season Performance</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader> </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=2>Straight Up</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=2>Against Spread</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=5>Team</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=5>Opponent</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader> </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Units</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>W-L</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>O-U</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Score</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Half</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Yards</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YPP</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>TO</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Score</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Half</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Yards</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YPP</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>TO</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">All Games</TD><TD class=matchupCells>3-1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>+2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>19.2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>11.5</TD><TD class=good>370.2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.6)</TD><TD class=good>0.5</TD><TD class=matchupCells>16.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>8.2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>301.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.4)</TD><TD class=bad>1.2</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Road Games</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-1</TD><TD class=bad>13.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>9.5</TD><TD class=matchupCells>309.0</TD><TD class=bad>(4.7)</TD><TD class=good>1.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>19.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>5.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>293.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.4)</TD><TD class=bad>1.0</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Last 3 Games</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>+1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>0-3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-2</TD><TD class=bad>14.3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>8.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>328.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5)</TD><TD class=good>0.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>18.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>6.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>322.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.6)</TD><TD class=bad>1.3</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Grass Games</TD><TD class=matchupCells>3-0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>+3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1-2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>2-1</TD><TD class=good>24.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>14.3</TD><TD class=good>422.0</TD><TD class=good>(6)</TD><TD class=good>0.3</TD><TD class=matchupCells>16.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>10.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>295.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.4)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>1.7</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupBorder><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupHeader colSpan=14>TENNESSEE - Current Season Statistics</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=5> </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=2>Rushing</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=4>Passing</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader colSpan=3>Total</TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader> </TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>PPG</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Half</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>FD</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>TOP</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>ATT-YDS</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YPR</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>CMP-ATT</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>PCT</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YDS</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>PYA</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>ATT-YDS</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YPP</TD><TD class=matchupSubHeader>YPPT</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Offense (All Games)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>19.2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>11.5</TD><TD class=matchupCells>19.5</TD><TD class=matchupCells>30:22</TD><TD class=good>33-190</TD><TD class=good>(5.8)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>15-34</TD><TD class=bad>43.7%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>180</TD><TD class=bad>(5.3)</TD><TD class=good>66-370</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.6)</TD><TD class=bad>(19.2)</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Opponents Defensive Avg.</TD><TD class=matchupCells>18.1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>10.6</TD><TD class=matchupCells>17.1</TD><TD class=matchupCells>30:31</TD><TD class=matchupCells>31-139</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(4.5)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>15-31</TD><TD class=matchupCells>49.3%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>166</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.4)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>62-305</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(4.9)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(16.8)</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Offense Road Games</TD><TD class=bad>13.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>9.5</TD><TD class=matchupCells>17.5</TD><TD class=matchupCells>30:19</TD><TD class=good>31-140</TD><TD class=good>(4.5)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>16-35</TD><TD class=bad>45.7%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>168</TD><TD class=bad>(4.8)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>66-309</TD><TD class=bad>(4.7)</TD><TD class=bad>(23.8)</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Defense (All Games)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>16.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>8.2</TD><TD class=matchupCells>16.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>29:37</TD><TD class=bad>27-140</TD><TD class=bad>(5.2)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>18-29</TD><TD class=bad>63.2%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>161</TD><TD class=good>(5.5)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>56-302</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.4)</TD><TD class=good>(18)</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Opponents Offensive Avg.</TD><TD class=matchupCells>14.7</TD><TD class=matchupCells>7.4</TD><TD class=matchupCells>17.5</TD><TD class=matchupCells>30:29</TD><TD class=matchupCells>28-134</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(4.8)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>19-32</TD><TD class=matchupCells>59.0%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>169</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.2)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>61-303</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(20.6)</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Defense Road Games</TD><TD class=matchupCells>19.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>5.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>15.0</TD><TD class=matchupCells>29:40</TD><TD class=bad>25-130</TD><TD class=bad>(5.1)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>20-29</TD><TD class=bad>69.0%</TD><TD class=matchupCells>162</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.6)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>54-293</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(5.4)</TD><TD class=matchupCells>(15.4)</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD><TABLE border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=copy>Average power rating of opponents played: BUFFALO 16.5, TENNESSEE 16.2</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD><TABLE class=datatable cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TH class=header2>Current Season Results And Upcoming Games</TH><TR><TH align=left>Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.</TH></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD><TABLE class=datatable cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TH class=header2>Head-to-Head Series History</TH><TR><TH align=left>Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.</TH></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupBorder><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupHeader>All games in this series since 1993</TD></TR><TR><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">TENNESSEE is 3-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1993</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">TENNESSEE is 3-1 straight up against BUFFALO since 1993</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1993</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupHeader>Games over the last 3 seasons</TD></TR><TR><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons </TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons </TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

jcheckers · Aug 9, 2009

Thanks and Good Luck ACE, Always enjoy the good read from
your buddy Nick! :103631605

And As Always...Touchdown Fat Boy!

BORO · Aug 9, 2009

Thanks for all the info. I usually play the under in the first preseason games for the sake of the defenses are usually ahead of the offense. I think you stated this a few years ago. Do you have any stat on this? I've been looking and no luck. Thanks again.

DukeSnider · Aug 9, 2009

:toast:Hi Ace....win or lose I always look forward to your insights,information and picks.I appreciate all the time and efforts you put into your handicapping...thank God you don't require a lot of sleep and your bride is tolerant of your handicapping lifestyle !!

BTW the way what's your o/u for your beloved Lions ?
:toast:

ACE-ACE · Aug 9, 2009

BORO said:
Thanks for all the info. I usually play the under in the first preseason games for the sake of the defenses are usually ahead of the offense. I think you stated this a few years ago. Do you have any stat on this? I've been looking and no luck. Thanks again.

my own stats....
those two Coach play alittle harder...also the fact in the last two year you would see over and under set around 35...they have drop because the oddsmaker also know they have been going under the 1st week...I feel both the team can score 2 td each in 60 mins...gut feeling it will go over base on everything I know

AllenRocks · Aug 9, 2009

actually Titan's 3rd string QB is Patrick Ramsey who used to start for Redskins. Chris Morensen's son is the 4th string. Expect to see Vince Young for at least a quarter or two.

ACE-ACE · Aug 9, 2009

DukeSnider said:
:toast:Hi Ace....win or lose I always look forward to your insights,information and picks.I appreciate all the time and efforts you put into your handicapping...thank God you don't require a lot of sleep and your bride is tolerant of your handicapping lifestyle !!

BTW the way what's your o/u for your beloved Lions ?
:toast:

saw them play the other day.....a few good passes...but most were low and drop!!...my hope is alway 8-8....but they look like under 5 again this year!

This year I'm in the Hilton contest...so you can keep track of the 5 picks..
you will see the one's I like the most by the money I put on them...its hard some week to come up with 3 picks so two may not be bet by me...with a new system this year that factor everything all the way to Life time Coach record to coldweather diff in temp and 60 more stats ..last year it when 23-7 and only picks no more than 1-2 picks a week...
my wife is gear up for the season also...she loves football and help me with the stats...you got to love her!!

Ace

ACE-ACE · Aug 9, 2009

QUEEN OF HEARTS said:
ACE ACE and the NFL!!

what more can you ask for ?

I love you ACE !!!

did not see your posted until now...had to say hi....what been going on

lu Ace

ACE-ACE · Aug 9, 2009

MY picks

BUF over 31.5..........................$300.00
Buf Over 16.5 -105 1st half..............$300.00

The best edge is the 1st half pick

Ace

luvs2spooge · Aug 9, 2009

Right now its Buf Over 14.5 first half -125 at the Greek if anyone wants to squeak a bet in there

BORO · Aug 9, 2009

ACE-ACE said:
my own stats....
those two Coach play alittle harder...also the fact in the last two year you would see over and under set around 35...they have drop because the oddsmaker also know they have been going under the 1st week...I feel both the team can score 2 td each in 60 mins...gut feeling it will go over base on everything I know

Thanks for the response and good luck tonight.